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Posted by alexzeitler 10/22/2024

A new book shows how the power of companies is destabilizing governance(hai.stanford.edu)
333 points | 344 comments
yedava 10/23/2024|
The problem is deeper than that. Software has completely eroded property rights. I believe someone has coined the term "techno feudalism". Corporations own the software and us serfs merely lease it.
TZubiri 10/23/2024||
Stallman's contributions may have issues, but man his views on Intellectual Property stands on its own legs.

https://www.gnu.org/philosophy/not-ipr.html

nottommo 10/23/2024|||
Good read. I wonder how you get the average person to be interested in these issues.
crawfordcomeaux 10/23/2024|||
Run for President in an attention-grabbing way without caring about winning and say it over & over?
avmich 10/24/2024||
Lawrence Lessig tried (not quite without caring about winning, but close), but that attention-grabbing didn't work out that well.
alexashka 10/25/2024|||
You don't. The average person ought to do simple work and produce children, select few of which will have talent and integrity. These few have and always will make all the difference.
prlin 10/23/2024|||
That was interesting. I was hoping for him to dive deeper into specific cases but I suppose the essay was long enough. Any other recommendations (potentially from https://www.gnu.org/philosophy/essays-and-articles.html#Laws)?
majormajor 10/23/2024|||
> Software has completely eroded property rights. I believe someone has coined the term "techno feudalism". Corporations own the software and us serfs merely lease it.

I think that's reversed - that's property rights being stronger than ever. "Own things forever and just rent them out" is NOT a weak formulation of property rights from the point of view of the producers of those things.

aynyc 10/23/2024|||
I think they meant basic concept of keeping the things you paid for, such as software, ebooks, musics, et.. Not actual housing market.
majormajor 10/23/2024||
I didn't mention the housing market? I was talking about anyone who produces goods (digital or physical).

There's not an inherent privilege of purchasing over renting in property rights. In either case you're paying for something, it's just a different slice of that something. They're different transactions that can benefit the different parties different ways in different situations. But if technological development lets the owner get the financial rewards of selling through "licensing" that's hardly a reduction in the owner's rights - and it's hard to make a "pro-strong-property-rights" argument that's based in "people should be forced to sell on the buyer's terms, not their own."

esperent 10/23/2024||
> There's not an inherent privilege of purchasing over renting in property rights. In either case you're paying for something, it's just a different slice of that something

I don't think there's anything inherently right about renting or owning.

Rather, it's one of the things we need to learn about and decide which is better for our societies.

Right now, we are far into testing the "renting" side, especially when it comes to housing and software, and it's very clear that, at least as currently implemented, this is creating an unhealthy society with massive wealth inequality.

I don't have an answer to this, but the only people I see arguing for the status quo are the very few who have benefited from it - landlords, politicians, company execs etc. Or at least people who aspire to join those classes.

If you do find yourself arguing for it, please ask yourself whether you're doing it for selfish reasons rather than looking beyond yourself.

BehindBlueEyes 10/24/2024||
I think the problem is not with renting but with letting owners hoard property (real estate or other) to profit from renting them out en masse, depriving others from ownership options. Also owners considering their property as something to do with as they want (exploit) rather than a duty of care. Best of both worlds for them: e.g. charge each month for software to pay for "ongoing development" and spend it on shareholders and/or features for growth but cut costs on support and maintenance... Or you know, rent out a moldy, drafty studio to a desperate intern who must move to Paris to work and doesn't have rich parents.

Maybe it proves your point that I'm technically a landlord now, but only to help out a neighbour so they could stay in the area for cheap, because they needed to downsize, approached me and we agreed on a very low price. I wasn't initially planning on renting it out because it needed some upfront work to be liveable, which might be even more selfish considering the housing shortage where i live...

slg 10/23/2024|||
>from the point of view of the producers of those things.

Fundamentally that's the question. Do we want a society from the perspective of "the producers" or the greater population?

Not trying to put words in OP's mouth, but I think the general idea is that software has allowed "the producers" to shrink in number and grow in power, turning independent farmers into serfs if you will. Should that cause us to reevaluate the previous question?

DrillShopper 10/23/2024||
> Do we want a society from the perspective of "the producers" or the greater population?

Look at what the right wing US party always runs on - cutting taxes for "job creators", "running the government like a business", and bail outs for Wall Street.

At least half of this country fantasies about being at the beck and call of "the producers" of things. Fanboys of Elon Musk squeal if he interacts with them on Twitter.

mesofile 10/23/2024|||
> I believe someone has coined the term "techno feudalism"

Bruce Schneier, for one, not sure if anyone else had applied the feudal analogy before him. His remarks stand up quite well, I think:

https://www.schneier.com/essays/archives/2012/11/when_it_com...

Clubber 10/23/2024|||
>Corporations own the software and us serfs merely lease it.

We were way more worried about that before GNU/Linux became a thing.

userbinator 10/23/2024|||
Now there are tons of devices running Linux, for which you may be able to see the source code, but are unable to modify it, for ostensibly "security" reasons.
IncreasePosts 10/23/2024|||
Serfs has very little choice over their situation.

What piece of software do you need for your life, but you're forced to lease?

aspenmayer 10/23/2024||
Code running on medical devices.
zeroonetwothree 10/23/2024|||
It's the producer of the software that has the property rights, not the user.

If I own a piece of land, I can charge people to visit it, but I don't give up my property rights to do so. We don't see that as an "erosion" of property rights but rather the opposite.

vundercind 10/23/2024|||
Not much software is really all that useful, let alone necessary, though. And only a little bit of that isn’t provided by one vendor or another as part of delivering whatever other actual service you were after (e.g. banking apps).
CatWChainsaw 10/23/2024|||
Yanis Varoufakis.
mbostleman 10/23/2024|||
Property, that is, that didn’t exist prior to the wide use of software or SaaS platforms. Which begs the question, did the rights ever exist to be eroded in the first place?
sp0d3rmun 10/23/2024|||
Unrelated but I love your username haha, wonder why I didn't think of it earlier.
ronsor 10/23/2024|||
> Software has completely eroded property rights.

This is a great topic to discuss right after you accept the End-User License Agreement and Terms of Service.

__MatrixMan__ 10/23/2024|||
Nobody owns software. Some people control it. Others, it controls.
phyzix5761 10/23/2024||
[flagged]
idle_zealot 10/23/2024|||
I think the reality is that most of the slaves like working the fields and living in hovels. Otherwise, they would run away more frequently.

Of course, if they do run we send the hounds after them.

Clearly this is a case of revealed preference.

teeray 10/23/2024||||
> This was a huge barrier of entry for a lot of people who now have the ability to afford it and can make a living using it. Today photoshop is $9.99 per month

It wasn’t though. People learned photoshop on a pirated copy and used that to make art that Adobe didn’t care about. Companies are the ones who paid the $1000/seat license for their professional designers.

flyingcircus3 10/23/2024||||
In your videogame example, there was no change in the concept of ownership between Nintendo 64 games and Playstation 5 games. If you have the physical media and the console, you can play the game.

Although Nintendo 64 tried to push the envelope in what consumers would pay, the price of video games on the mainstream consoles has stayed in the $50-$75 since at least 1985.

cryptoz 10/23/2024|||
I don’t have a PS5 but my Xbox (my first one ever) is an absolute nightmare to play, even if I have the physical media. Still demands an internet connection. Still demands updates before I play. Typically I would expect to wait 2+ hours before I’m allowed to play a game I have on physical media. Often the estimated time is so long I just give up and don’t play. I let it update and then forget about it. Come back a week later and it says my system is out of date and needs an update before I play.

Not the same experience at all compared to N64.

phyzix5761 10/23/2024|||
Most consoles and computers today don't even have a way to insert discs. You have to download the game which means you can't share or sell the game when you're done. That's why the price is lower. You license the software rather than own a copy. Also, $75 in 1985 is the equivalent of $224 today so even though the number has stayed the same the real cost is much lower now.
lancesells 10/23/2024||||
> Today the average PS5 game price is $70.

And how many games do people have to subscribe to PSN to use? How many people have to pay for internet to use their game? How many games have microtransactions or DLC? How about a season pass? How about all of the editions they have? What's the cost of a controller? Does a console come with one or two? How many times do you have to buy a game because backward compatibility doesn't exist?

I'm not a big gamer and I realize some (maybe most) of these are not required, but let's not act like the gaming industry is surviving off the base price of a game like in the 90s.

realce 10/23/2024||||
> I think the reality is most people are ok with not owning things.

> By removing ownership from the product offering the seller can reduce the price.

The price of ownership is greater than the price of licensing, as it comes with additional rights and privileges than licensing.

If a product or good is only offered and priced without ownership, how can you say that people "are ok with" not utilizing an option that's not provided to them? They cannot purchase ownership, by what means could they experience the difference?

The products you use as examples were wildly successful under an ownership paradigm, what says that Photoshop or N64 games would have been somehow better if they were licensed goods?

phyzix5761 10/23/2024||
I agree "The price of ownership is greater than the price of licensing, as it comes with additional rights and privileges than licensing." That's why it was more expensive to purchase a product with ownership rights.

The reason I say people are ok with it is because the companies who didn't switch to a licensing model and kept their old prices either are no longer around or had to switch to a licensing model in order to stay competitive. If people were ok paying higher prices for the benefit of ownership then that's what we would see in the market today.

to11mtm 10/23/2024||||
> I think the reality is most people are ok with not owning things. Otherwise, they wouldn't agree to licensing software from companies.

This is such a huge hand-waving blanket statement that I apologize in advance for my response.

The CAD shop I worked at was doing fine on R14 for YEARS and specialized apps/etc with hardware dongles until everyone got onto the 'SaaS' or 'Subscription' mode. And frankly, the "choice" our shop had more than once was 'our customer signed a deal to use this so we have to buy it'. What was worse was they did that twice in one year, and the second product cost as much per seat/year as the first product cost FOR OUR WHOLE TEAM per year.

> Another example is video games. The average Nintendo 64 game used to be $75.99 in 1997 which is $150 in today's dollars. Today the average PS5 game price is $70. That's half the price.

You're comparing apples to oranges there. Heck, even back then, a -huge- benefit of the PS and Saturn was that production costs for discs were -cheap-. Something like 3$ including case and sleeve. Compare to N64 carts which as far as I can understand would cost somewhere between 15-30$ depending on size of ROM. Neither of those factor in actual 'distribution' costs (i.e. shipping to retailer) but I know which format was lighter/smaller... Also PS1 'greatest hits' were the closest we had to steam sales at the time.

> By removing ownership from the product offering the seller can reduce the price.

Says every SaaS that gives a nice intro contract that will even give a nice first contract, knowing that by renewal the buyer will be more at their mercy with too much pain involved to 'get away' from ever-increasing prices... Low-Code tools are really good at this strategy lol.

ChrisMarshallNY 10/23/2024||||
I used to fork out $1200/year for just three apps.

Nowadays, it’s about $800, and I have access to any of their apps I want (I still only use the three, though).

eesmith 10/23/2024||||
> By removing ownership from the product offering the seller can reduce the price.

Pricing works by what people will pay for, not by how much it costs to produce.

Removing ownership increases profit.

Also, N64 games have additional utility, like resale or gift value, which affects the price comparison.

FpUser 10/23/2024||||
>"$75.99 in 1997 which is $150 in today's dollars. Today the average PS5 game price is $70. That's half the price.

If salary of the average Joe was doubled as well your logic would be ok. Bit it did not.

P.S. It appears that I am wrong about median salary growth so my point should be discarded

dragonwriter 10/23/2024||
> If salary of the average Joe was doubled as well your logic would be ok. Bit it did not.

Using the most recent numbers against the last quarter of 1997, it actually increased to 2.29× the 1997 amount, well over double:

Employed full time: Median usual weekly nominal earnings (second quartile): Wage and salary workers: 16 years and over

Q4 1997: $508 / Q3 2024: $1,165

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LES1252881500Q

atmavatar 10/23/2024|||
To be fair, we should also consider expenses.

All-Transactions House Price Index for the United States [1]

Q4 1997: 204.87 / Q2 2024: 682.18

i.e., roughly 3.33x

Median Consumer Price Index [2]

1997-12: 170.42938 / 2024-09: 353.73857

i.e., roughly 2.07

Take that as you will (I was mostly curious).

Interestingly, it seems console prices have kept pace with inflation.

NES at release: $180 ($428 adjusted for inflation)

PS5 right now: $450 (standard) / $500 (slim) / $700 (pro)

[1]: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USSTHPI

[2]: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEDCPIM094SFRBCLE

dragonwriter 10/23/2024||
The CPI was already built into the discussion (the original discussion was inflation--CPI adjusted--prices, and this branch was about a comment that indicated that wages had not kept price with inflation) and the housing price thing just indicates that buying a house has gotten more expensive even adjusting for inflation, which is true but way afield of the discussion of game prices.
FpUser 10/23/2024|||
Sorry, my wrong then
sweeter 10/23/2024|||
few companies actually offer products that you can just pay for. Its pretty rare and usually extremely celebrated when it happens. When it comes to things like housing and cars, very few people can buy a home and have to rent or take out gigantic loans. I wouldn't read this as "people are okay with not owning things" so much as "what choice is there?" and thats at the root of the problem. Monopolies and collusion have destroyed choice and competition which is supposedly the root of capitalism and neo-liberalism.
caust1c 10/23/2024||
Orthogonally related to the article, I think it gets to the deeper issue at hand with regulating technology:

The internet connects everyone and allows for free-flow of information, free-flow information is eroding people's trust.

We want free speech, but people use words to deceive and coerce. You can't make rules to stop this - people will always find ways around them.

Ken Thompson wrote "Reflections on Trusting Trust" in 1984 (fitting as it may be). The conclusion being that we can't rely on computers to build trust. But we need trust to live in a society.

It's human instinct trust one another. But falsehoods spread fast online, and after being fooled so many times, people are losing their natural trust in others.

What's the way forward? I'm curious what this crowd thinks.

arnaudsm 10/23/2024||
Reputation is the usual solution. You build a community and you know who to trust, like humans have always done.

The early internet was mostly that (BBS, Usenet, forums). But on the modern internet we mostly consume random google sites & TikTok accounts that are probably bots.

FAANG has actively replaced following with algorithmic feeds because they're more profitable.

llm_trw 10/23/2024|||
>Reputation is the usual solution.

Since it's no longer political to mention Iraq: every major news organization lied about the war, they knew they lied about it and millions died. The only person to be held accountable for this was the one person to tell the truth: https://www.commondreams.org/opinion/phil-donahue-iraq-war

We can't solve the issue of truth through our current institutions because those institutions are rotten to the core. The best we can do is keep them from destroying the channels from which we can hear how badly they are fucking up and allow us to organize.

arnaudsm 10/23/2024|||
American's trust in media declined accordingly.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/651977/americans-trust-media-re...

My point was about small communities though. For country scale organizations it's a much trickier problem indeed.

impossiblefork 10/24/2024||||
I think it's beyond current institutions. It's so easy to infiltrate and subvert any well-regarded institution, so it can't be institutions.

It has to be decentralised, i.e. you or an open source software agent that you control is what's doing the filtering and deciding what you see.

It has to be a moderatorless system where you end up with what you actually choose.

mistermann 10/23/2024||||
If Humans ever got their act together enough to organize, would they even have a clue what to do?
corimaith 10/23/2024|||
It's sad how a comment decrying the falsehoods of institutions is relaying it's own falsehoods right here...
llm_trw 10/23/2024||
Do tell what those are.
fallingknife 10/23/2024||||
The algorithm has replaced following out of necessity. The following paradigm made sense when social media was something where you mainly connected with people you were friends with IRL and where media came from a small number of channels that could be browsed by one person (even this was already overwheling by the time cable hit hundreds of channels). There is simply no way to navigate the billions of pieces of content generated daily without an algorithm. There could be the exact thing you want out there, but how would you ever discover it?
cudgy 10/23/2024||
Search for it?
2OEH8eoCRo0 10/23/2024||||
Reputation requires identity. I'd need to know people are who they say they are. This is still hard to do. You ain't getting reputation and privacy.
caust1c 10/23/2024|||
I think trust and identity are fundamentally intertwined, for sure. I think it's also why trust can be easily gamed by posing as certain identity groups. It's a dark path taken to the extreme.

I just read supercommunicators by Charles Duhigg and one of the best take aways from it was to remind people that they have multiple identities that they hold dear, and some of them may be in conflict. It gets people to think more and not regress to knee-jerk beliefs they think they're supposed to hold based on their identity on a given topic.

arnaudsm 10/23/2024||||
Pseudonyms are anonymous yet can still build trust. I appreciate anonymity when I want to talk about sensitive topics.
mc32 10/23/2024|||
Anonymous reputation can turn on those who trust the reputable entity. Easy, though facile, examples are the romantic schemes used to defraud, more intricate are spies and so on.
arnaudsm 10/23/2024||
In a small communities, newcomers are more scrutinized to prevent that. And the scammer can only have a single victim before being expelled.

HN, while being large, incentivizes that brilliantly, by highlighting new accounts in green.

2OEH8eoCRo0 10/23/2024||
You can't expel people without proper identity. If you kick out a scammer they can keep coming back with different names/identities.
SoftTalker 10/23/2024|||
If you can't put your real name on your opinion, what is it really worth?
RiverCrochet 10/23/2024|||
If I can build reputation somewhere, I'm going to use the same account, but that account may not have my real name. Reputation incentivizes identity, but not necessarily association to a real identity.
gruez 10/23/2024|||
>FAANG has actively replaced following with algorithmic feeds because they're more profitable.

Alternatively: it's what users want.

toomuchtodo 10/23/2024|||
https://www.wired.com/story/meta-just-proved-people-hate-chr...

The data supports your thesis, but in the same way a meth addict wants more meth imho. The algorithm is hitting a reward center (TikTok has put on a masterclass in this, for example).

I would be interested to see user preferences with regards to algorithm vs chronological feed when the cohort is on GLP-1 agonist of some sort (which inhibits malfunctioning reward center behavior, including alcohol, tobacco, and opioid addictions).

arnaudsm 10/23/2024||||
People want cigarettes and fast food too. It's not good for them either, and legislation and education improved the situation.

Social media is to the 2020s what cigarettes were to the 50s

jon_richards 10/23/2024|||
Agreed. I’m pretty sure future generations will look at our social media habits like we look at this https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7355737/amp/The-chi...
zie 10/23/2024||||
> Social media is to the 2020s what cigarettes were to the 50s

That is an interesting thought. Thanks!

fsflover 10/25/2024||
And not a new one: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24579498
zie 10/25/2024||
Thanks. new to me anyway!
gruez 10/23/2024||||
That remains to be seen. Studies purporting to show the harms of social media are shaky at best. It could very well turn out to be more benign like TVs or violent video games (remember the pearl clutching around those in the early 2000s?).
rangestransform 10/23/2024|||
Who are you to decide for people that they cannot smoke and eat McDonald’s

I thoroughly despise the frankly Puritan attitude that society should prevent people from harming themselves

caskstrength 10/23/2024||||
> Alternatively: it's what users want.

So why are they so opposed to adding some toggle in the options to allow chronological feed then?

EasyMark 10/23/2024||||
It’s what users are addicted to. I did that with TikTok first time I installed it. Just swipe swipe watch swipe. Those like 15-30 seconds hits are addictive as hell. I deleted my account after an hour and haven’t touched it since, except the occasional video a friends sends a link to. Their algo is way better than Twitter or Meta algos.
ozgrakkurt 10/24/2024|||
You can market cocaine and sell it then make the same argument. “This is what people want, thats why it makes money” is not an argument in many cases.
chiefalchemist 10/23/2024|||
True trust is earned. "Default trust" is not the same thing. But the two are often confused.

When trust is lost, it takes 10x, sometimes 100x more effort to regain it.

Sometimes, even with 100x the effort trust does not return.

These are Life 101 basics. Pretending these laws don't exist doesn't make them disappear.

From my perspective, the root problem is that institutions that want to be trusted - and traditionally were - don't want to make the effort to regain the trust they lost. The media and the government come to mind. Instead they waste energy shamelessly demanding to be trusted, which only widens the gap. They blame the violated, which only widens the gap.

And into that void, the nefarious has rushed in. Until the institutions embrace "true trust is earned" the nefarious will thrive in the gap.

ckemere 10/23/2024||
I think earning trust often requires significant personal sacrifice. Institutions are made up of people, and I think that one of the outcomes of the web era is that it seems that fewer high talented folks find the motivation to do unglamorous, lower-remuneration jobs.
chiefalchemist 10/23/2024||
No pain. No gain. That too applies in the earned / sacrifice sense.

Trust is one of now corrupted words. It's current meaning is a Frankenstein knock off of the true meaning of the word. Other examples include journalism, and leadership (which have also fallen due to lack of sacrafic).

Yes, it's Orwellian. Normalized. But still Orwellian.

smaug7 10/23/2024|||
I don't have a specific answer to this as I'm not a trained historian. However, didn't we see this with the invention of the printing press back 500+ years ago? That also dramatically increased knowledge distribution and probably lies and mistruths. How did society handle that?
Zamiel_Snawley 10/23/2024|||
Exacerbated witch hunting, for one[1]. Enabled the Protestant reformation which led to the 30 years war, among others[2].

[1] https://blogs.ubc.ca/etec540sept09/2009/10/31/unintended-con...

[2] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thirty_Years%27_War

caust1c 10/23/2024||||
I've thought about this a lot too and I think about a few things:

- The barrier to creating and distributing content was higher (it still had to capture people's attention).

- We didn't have all the tools to artificially create content, just our imaginations.

I'm no doomer by any means, and I think it's useful to look back at history for clues as to how to manage it but it's hard to find clues when the situation is so different.

I still believe education and critical thinking are the best antidote for disinformation, but higher education in the US has continued to come under attack (and perhaps rightfully so with the costs rising extremely out of proportion to inflation).

kelseyfrog 10/23/2024|||
> The barrier to creating and distributing content was higher.

The printing press lowered the barrier to distributing ideas. The internet lowered the barrier further.

In each case, there is a period of social turmoil as society "catches up". The Peasants' War, Müntzer, the Münster Rebellion, Matthys, Hoffman, and on and on are all events and products of the change in availability of printed word.

We developed social technologies to counter the faults exploited by increased information availability. "Don't believe everything you read," is a meme which acts against the bias exploited by highly available text. The invention of journals, newspapers, and citations all act in the same way.

We haven't developed enough new social technologies to counter the change in information availability. Our existing techniques aren't enough to hold tide and frankly, like all change, going back is never an option, but finding new ways to exist are.

mistermann 10/23/2024|||
Maybe Elon Musk should enter the education game too.
jfengel 10/23/2024||||
A key difference was the lack of democracy. There was plenty of misinformation, but it didn't channel quite so directly to the levers of power.

That wasn't necessarily better. We put democracy in place for a reason. But there has been a shift in the societal basis that underlies democracy, and we'll be forced to come up with another set of solutions.

mistermann 10/23/2024||
It's weird how people can recognize early versions of manmade things are usually primitive and need numerous iterations to get working at acceptable levels of optimality but when it comes to democracy there's some sort of a magical force hiding it from sight in this regard.
AdieuToLogic 10/23/2024|||
The scarcity of printing presses and costs associated in running them by definition made distribution a calculated financial endeavor. Cultivating a positive reputation would therefore be a valuable asset in order to reliably recoup costs via sales and/or retain patrons.

This form of gatekeeping has been eliminated with the zero cost of any person being able to publish their thoughts digitally and without review. Furthermore, misinformation and disinformation now has a financial incentive by way of "driving the clicks."

In short, not everyone's voice needs to be heard by all, especially when extremism is required in order to "stand out."

dllthomas 10/23/2024|||
Doesn't really undermine your point, but as a fun aside: Trusting Trust style attacks on compilers were (theoretically) solved by David Wheeler with "diverse double compiling".
caust1c 10/23/2024||
Yes, good point. That's pretty similar to scientific falsifiability at least!

I think for topics that are not as easily provable as reproducible builds though, trust gets murky.

There was something else I read (can't find it now) that made a similar analogy for a web of trust.

A web of trust (e.g. PGP) will have de-facto authorities since there will be a tendency for more people to sign individuals presumed to be trustworthy based on their history. It follows that the system runs into issues if their key gets compromised or if a false individual is subject to a sybil attack, producing the illusion of trust. See also: github stars, cryptocurrency, social media follower counts.

bill_joy_fanboy 10/23/2024|||
I think of how I lost trust and it's more along the lines of: "Wow, with all of this new information, I can see how institutions/experts/officials have been lying to me all along."

In other words, I "lost trust" in institutions, experts, officials etc., when I found the information on the web that I consider to be "the truth" which overrides what established organizations previously proffered to the me.

The Web did cause me to lose trust, but only because it made the actual truth available to me and made me realize how dishonest most people are.

There may be examples of this... A mechanic who overcharges you can be "found out" now by a customer who does some online research. Previously, this work would be accepted as is, but it is now (rightfully) questioned. The dishonesty was always there, but it's more readily discovered now.

Hope I'm making sense...

d0gsg0w00f 10/23/2024||
Unpopular opinion: It's exhausting to be under the illusion I can fact check the world. There's so much freedom in having the faith to say "I trust you that I need those brake pads". If I get screwed for $200 it just means I have $200 less to spend on some other junk I don't need. The scammer won't survive in the long run.
bill_joy_fanboy 10/23/2024||
> It's exhausting to be under the illusion I can fact check the world.

Oh, I agree. It is tiring.

> If I get screwed for $200...

Some scams do far more damage than $200.00.

> The scammer won't survive in the long run.

Not really true. Some entire industries are built on scams and last decades or indefinitely.

numbsafari 10/23/2024|||
Maybe the Amish are on to something.
mistermann 10/23/2024|||
> We want free speech, but people use words to deceive and coerce.

They do.

> You can't make rules to stop this - people will always find ways around them.

Would you be pissed if you got penalized for this comment?

john-radio 10/23/2024|||
I don't really see how that's related to the article (not trying to be a dick about it or anything; probably I'm just dense).
JackYoustra 10/23/2024||
...you can make rules to stop this? The Dominion election fraud was more or less cast out of mainstream discourse with commercial damages law. If you expand this a bit (ONLY A BIT) farther, you'd expect a roughly linear scale of results.
ijustlovemath 10/23/2024||
There was no fraud. That was debunked.
JackYoustra 10/23/2024||
Yes, that's my whole point? Dominion election fraud was cast out because of court cases.
Animats 10/23/2024||
It's not a very good paper, even though the author has reasonable credentials in Europe.

She writes: "For example, just as legislatures rely on independent legal teams to help draft legislation that will survive court challenges, they also need independent technology experts they can turn to for reliable information. Making tech expertise available to lawmakers would go a long way toward reducing lobbyists’ effectiveness and ensuring lawmakers understand how technology impacts issues like healthcare, education, justice, housing, and transportation."

This shows insufficient knowledge of the US situation. The U.S. Congress used to have an Office of Technology Assessment.[1] It was abolished in 1995. "House Republican legislators characterized the OTA as wasteful and hostile to GOP interests."

The generic problem is monopolies, not "tech". US banks and drug stores are down to 2-3 major players. Tough enforcement of the Sherman Act might help. Although the experience with the AT&T breakup is not encouraging.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Office_of_Technology_Assessmen...

BehindBlueEyes 10/29/2024|
I don't see how you conclude from that quote that she doesn't know about the office of technology or lacks understanding of the US context. When I read making tech expertise available, I'm not picturing a government science department doing research, I'm picturing independent consultants translating algorithms into english.

If anything, your point shows the bipartisan us vs. them is the main problem if claiming bias against a party is enough to get rid of something disliked. Is that what you mean by monopolies?

And to be clear, I agree monopolies are an issue, but that doesn't negate other issues such the fact tech solutions can result in enforcing implicit rules that weren't decided through democratic process despite impacting populations at the same level a government decision would.

1024core 10/23/2024||
IMHO, it's the companies AND the government against the people.

The government twists the companies' arm to make it do things that the government is not allowed to do. Company refuses to play along? Threaten to break it up. There's a reason why AT&T has dedicated wiretap rooms for the NSA. DJI not selling drones to Ukraine? Threaten to ban it in one of its biggest markets.

wyager 10/23/2024||
This is not worth reading, because it was not generated as part of a deductive process, where you start with some facts and work your way to some entailments.

Instead, the causal process that let to the creation of this book and ad was that the political patronage relationship between American progressives and American tech companies fell apart. This leads to demand for post-hoc justifications for subsequent changes in cash allocation, lawfare budget allocation, etc.

The author started with the conclusion "... and that's why we have to disenfranchise tech companies" and worked backwards from there.

Therefore, this document cannot, on expectation, communicate to you any useful entailments, except insofar as that conclusion might incidentally be correct for reasons totally unrelated to the author's thought process.

Barrin92 10/23/2024||
"Let’s compare how the U.S. responded to the Ukraine war in the physical world versus in the cyber domain. As part of NATO, the U.S. is clear: It doesn’t want to see boots on the ground. But in the cyber domain, the U.S.’s offensive activities are ongoing?"

A few weeks ago I saw Zero Days, which is a good documentary on Stuxnet and it's pretty wild just to what extent tools in that domain are out of the purview of the public. Offensive capabilities that amount to acts of war seemingly have no democratic oversight, and even an ex-director of the NSA thought the amount of classification of materials went too far. Very few people were willing to speak at all to the filmmakers even years after it had already blown over.

Whether its some sort of dystopian privatized policing by Palantir or tools used by three letter agencies, what the article warns of has arguably already arrived a decade ago.

anonymousiam 10/23/2024||
What can be done about the unchecked power of governance?
AdieuToLogic 10/23/2024||
> What can be done about the unchecked power of governance?

If you are fortunate enough to live in a country which has free and fair elections, then vote.

wyager 10/23/2024|||
We're implicitly talking about the US, though, given that the subject of the article is SV tech companies
mistermann 10/23/2024||||
It is entirely possible that it is not possible for us to vote our way out of this.

Remember how the US came to be in the first place.

dnissley 10/24/2024||||
instructions unclear, choice is between more government power and more government power
wejrwiejre 10/23/2024|||
Those countries exist? Last I checked there are few true democracies. Where there are free and fair elections the politicians seem bought out by unchecked corporate interests. If all your options are just corporate shills and power hungry spooks and goons is it even "free and fair" at that point?
AdieuToLogic 10/23/2024|||
>> If you are fortunate enough to live in a country which has free and fair elections, then vote.

> Those countries exist?

Yes. The US is one, others exist today as well.

> Where there are free and fair elections the politicians seem bought out by unchecked corporate interests.

Start by voting for the least objectionable politicians in the general election (local, state, and federal).

If you do not like those choices, remember this and vote in the primary (or primaries where allowed) for the least objectionable politicians.

If you do not like the choices in primaries, remember this and get involved in the selection process for the least objectionable political party.

Note the recurring theme of involvement in the representation process. Those who do not want you to have this type of agency spend a lot of money to disparage it.

farts_mckensy 10/23/2024||
>Those who do not want you to have this type of agency spend a lot of money to disparage it.

You just contradicted yourself. Do we have free and fair elections, or do we have a system whereby the wealthy have disproportionate influence? It's one or the other.

AdieuToLogic 10/24/2024||
>> Those who do not want you to have this type of agency spend a lot of money to disparage it.

> You just contradicted yourself.

I did not. Please re-read what I wrote dispassionately.

> Do we have free and fair elections, or do we have a system whereby the wealthy have disproportionate influence? It's one or the other.

This is a false dichotomy[0]. The US has had free and fair elections for at least 40 years. I wish I could confidently state a longer period. Some might include the 70's but few would include much of the 60's.

What the wealthy do in attempt to convince people they do not have agency, or that their involvement in representative government does not matter, is orthogonal to having it. I humbly recommend contemplating the difference.

HTH

0 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/False_dilemma

farts_mckensy 10/24/2024||
You're begging the question with respect to what is "free" and "fair." The US is neither by any reasonable definition of these words.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Begging_the_question

See, I can do that too.

In large part, people do not have that kind of agency, and telling them they do is deceptive liberal bullshit.

AdieuToLogic 10/24/2024||
> You're begging the question with respect to what is "free" and "fair."

Free: there are no longer Jim Crow laws[0], such as voting poll taxes[1].

Fair: each eligible voter whom casts a vote in US elections has it included in the vote tally (see below).

> In large part, people do not have that kind of agency, and telling them they do is deceptive liberal bullshit.

Every eligible voter has the ability to cast their vote in one form or another. In extenuating circumstances, some votes will not be included. I am neither a constitutional nor civil rights lawyer, so will not attempt to clarify those situations beyond acknowledging they exist.

I will not further engage in this thread as my interpretation of your replies thus far is they are not based in intellectually honest discourse.

0 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Crow_laws

1 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poll_tax

farts_mckensy 10/24/2024||
Insufficient definition.
JumpCrisscross 10/23/2024||||
> Last I checked there are few true democracies. Where there are free and fair elections the politicians seem bought out by unchecked corporate interests

If you're anywhere in the West, this doesn't describe your democracy but a cartoon of it.

Like yes, if you only show up for--in the U.S.--the Presidential general election, your vote isn't that powerful because it's not supposed to be in a country of a quarter of a billion.

farts_mckensy 10/23/2024||
"Bought out by corporate interests" is a completely accurate assessment of the American electoral system. It's honestly quite alienating reading all of these completely delusional comments. Your vote is at the very least supposed to be proportionally significant to the general population. We don't even have that. We are bombarded with corporate propaganda every fucking day. A senator from Wyoming has just as much of a vote as California. This notion that we live in a democracy or anything close to that is asinine. The system is not tethered to the will of the people in any sense of the word. It's an oligarchy.
JumpCrisscross 10/23/2024|||
> notion that we live in a democracy or anything close to that is asinine. The system is not tethered to the will of the people in any sense of the word. It's an oligarchy

Pure democracy doesn't work. (More accurately: election fetishisation doesn't work. It tears itself apart in manufactured partisanship.) We live in a republic. The Congress is democratically elected. The President is meant to embody the strengths of monarchy. The Supreme Court represents the oligarchy. This is civics 101, succinctly summarised in the Federalist Papers.

> senator from Wyoming has just as much of a vote as California

I vote in Wyoming. We're not the oligarchy. We're not even a swing state. You're complaining about, broadly, the Electoral College (and our system of apportionment). That's orthogonal to that of corporate interests. If anything, the fact that each of my resresentatives has fewer people they're accountable to makes them harder to buy off.

farts_mckensy 10/23/2024||
You sound like a religious fundamentalist. Civics 101 is blindly deferring to the architects of a system whereby only rich, white property owners could vote?

Look, however you rationalize it in your head, power is highly concentrated in the US. Unless you are a member of the ruling class, being in favor of this basically amounts to Stockholm Syndrome.

JumpCrisscross 10/23/2024||
> sound like a religious fundamentalist

Wat.

> Civics 101 is blindly deferring to the architects of a system whereby only rich, white property owners could vote

No, it's understanding the tradeoffs systems of governments make in erecting the systems that they do.

Have you read the Federalist Papers? If not, I suggest starting there. It's more interesting than railing against the woke mind virus or corporations.

> however you rationalize it in your head, power is highly concentrated in the US

It's not consistently concentrated. And even then, it's not that concentrated. I've managed, as a rando, to get language put into multiple state and twice federal bills because I was the only person in my district who called in on a low-priority process. Nihilism in American politics is often just cover for civic laziness.

farts_mckensy 10/23/2024||
It's a good thing I don't advocate for nihilism. You haven't asked what I advocate, which illustrates to me you're a dull, incurious person. And if you're seriously bringing up the "woke mind virus," I think that says all I need to know about you. I haven't even brought up matters of social justice. Many of the things I think are rather "unwoke" in many respects; however, if that's your paradigm, your brain is hopelessly broken. I don't particularly care that you have gotten "language" into legislation. Do you also have some patents in your name?
bushbaba 10/23/2024|||
> Your vote is at the very least supposed to be proportionally significant to the general population

that's not true in the US, a republic not a direct democracy. Never has been.

farts_mckensy 10/23/2024||
Ah, blind deference to the status quo. You got me on that one.
JumpCrisscross 10/23/2024||
> blind deference to the status quo

Because unchecked corporate interests / you don't vote for the President but for electors are hot takes?

(Also, "your vote is at the very least supposed to be proportionally significant to the general population" doesn't technically make sense. I think I know what you're getting at. But even ignoring the political structure and just focussing on voting, you're assuming by statement values for parameters which lie on a spectrum.)

farts_mckensy 10/23/2024||
You're trying to trip me up on technicalities that are completely immaterial to my point.

Blind deference to the status quo illustrates poor critical thinking skills.

farts_mckensy 10/23/2024|||
You will be lambasted for it, but you're fundamentally correct. Recall that the question was "What can be done about the unchecked power of governance?" If your response to that question is "just vote," you have missed the plot entirely. It is truly pathetic how naive that statement is. It's akin to still believing in Santa Claus.
jvanderbot 10/23/2024||
I would say the statement was "Well, at least vote". And in local elections, that does make a difference.

In general, I think far too much attention is paid to single election cycles at the federal level. And I'm not sure why. The state you live in has significantly more effect on your experience with government, outlay of benefits, taxes, education and environmental policies than who holds the presidential office, for essentially all issues that matter.

In the rare case that a federal change affects you (likely a court decision, thanks to lame duck congress), states routinely step in, as we've seen recently.

The one exception to everything is that if you want _other_ states to live like _your_ state, then yeah - you better try to get the federal government aligned with your virtues. But why any sane person would want that is beyond me.

farts_mckensy 10/23/2024||
This is just the galaxy brain version of the position I am criticizing. You are not any less naive than the person who said "just vote." You're fundamentally missing the point. Corporations manipulate state and local elections as well, and the scope of what is possible is shaped by this. If your impulse during this political moment is to rally people to vote, all you are demonstrating is that you do not fully understand the system you live in.
azemetre 10/23/2024|||
If you live in a democracy, you show up. That can mean voting, attending local council meetings, and running for office.

Society is shaped by those who just simply show up, so show up if you want a say.

farts_mckensy 10/23/2024||
Historically that is simply untrue.
azemetre 10/23/2024|||
Then alternatively I suggest you read The Power Broker by Robert Caro and sire a child to lead the change you seek.
mrguyorama 10/23/2024||||
America is as broken as it is because explicit Republican policy for 50 years has been "Don't let the government interfere with company activities" and Americans voted for that with all their might. Millions of registered democrats voted for Reagan, with his loud and clear "I'm going to make the government do less" policy, and his history of narcing on coworkers and friends to the "Commies are bad" witch hunt.

Empirically, people who think the government has a duty to protect it's citizens from corporate raiding have not shown up to vote. The US has had 2 years of total democrat control during my entire life, plus a decade.

For the most part it's people who are politically apathetic, as if letting the choice be made by only the most rabid political fans is a better option than making your mild opinion known. Or they swear that "both sides are the same" despite Congressional votes not being secret and "both sides" being trivially not the same on many very important issues.

Elections have consequences. We got exactly what we voted for.

Nearly all of this happened before the citizens united decision.

kelseyfrog 10/23/2024|||
Do we live in history or the present?
farts_mckensy 10/23/2024||
Gee, wouldn't want people to think too hard. Better come up with a false dilemma.
kelseyfrog 10/23/2024||
What is it that people should be thinking about?
farts_mckensy 10/23/2024||
We study history in order to understand the present moment. So your question presents a false dilemma in an attempt to cut off historical analysis and blindly continue what you're doing without question. How is society actually shaped? If you believe it's by people simply "showing up," you are delusional.
freshpots 10/24/2024|||
I humbly disagree, at least at the local level. Get involved and you'll be surprised at how much you can do. Local clubs, like an Optimist Club or Lions Club volunteering for your community builds relationships. Many people involved are part of the community: business owners, politicians, accomplished/connected individuals, etc. Much of what affects you in a democracy is local and can be changed if you get involved. It is not just about checking some boxes every couple years.
sien 10/23/2024||
First you can have democracy. Then separation of powers between the judiciary, the executive and the legislature along with property rights and the rule of law.

It seems to work reasonably well.

haberman 10/23/2024||
> And of course, the other real issue, especially in the U.S., is the capability of the power grids. In the Netherlands, which is an advanced economy, as in the U.S. and the U.K., we’ve already seen reports that the grids are functioning at near-emergency levels: code red. The grids are stretched to their limits. They break down and outages are more frequent. And yet there are many data centers in the pipeline that were agreed to years ago. When they come online in two or three years, we may face a wave of disaster.

I keep a document called "Timed Predictions," so I can check back on bold predictions such as these.

I'm adding an entry for this. In a few years, I'll evaluate whether we experience "a wave of disaster" due to overtaxed energy grids in 2026-2027.

godelski 10/23/2024||
Have you ever considered opening this up? Of course I can see it getting too big and but having multiple contributors could be useful, especially when hunting down sources. Or is anyone interested in starting an (at least partially) open version?
haberman 10/23/2024|||
I consider https://longbets.org/ the public version of this.

It's a little different in that it only publishes bets made directly on the site, but that also helps remove some of the ambiguity that otherwise would be inherent in trying to judge predictions made elsewhere.

myroon5 10/26/2024||||
Metaculus hosted similar:

https://www.metaculus.com/faq/#public-figure

But apparently removed it recently:

https://github.com/Metaculus/metaculus/issues/1095

ted_bunny 10/23/2024|||
It'd be pretty hard to curate. What qualifies? How are they ranked? Is this just a prediction market of ideas?
xxr 10/23/2024|||
I would love to hear more of these from your doc
haberman 10/23/2024||
I've added claims from a wide gamut of people (some just random Internet users), but here are a few:

2021-10-02 (did not come true): "I would not be surprised if Apple completely closes off the Mac ARM64 platform for “security” in the next few years. The option to boot third-party OSes seems like a short-term gimme to keep the pitchforks and torches at bay." -- https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28731406

2022-01-12 (did not come true as a "crisis"): "Long COVID / PASC [...] will easily be our next great public health crisis sooner than anyone can imagine." -- https://twitter.com/JamesPhipps/status/1481442131751456770

2022-04-04 (we will soon see): "Unless we see big structural changes in the Democratic party's coalition, then the modal outcome for 2024 is Donald Trump winning a filibuster-proof trifecta with a minority of the vote." -- https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1511028728381734912

2022-11-18 (did not come true): "I do not think Twitter will die, but it will go down in the next few days due to the World Cup and its overwhelming traffic. When it does, Musk will dedicate himself to bringing it back up, and boldly claim that his mission is to “keep Twitter standing.” In the background, he will realise that nobody wants to work for him, and that there is no path that involves him running (or even keeping) this website that resembles any kind of success." -- https://www.wheresyoured.at/the-fraudulent-king/

2024-01-29 (by the end of 2024): Brigida v. @SecretaryPete will be settled by the start of year 2025 -- https://x.com/tracewoodgrains/status/1752118772960514234

meibo 10/23/2024||
You are seeing the first two as "concluded"? Apple is known for playing long games, especially now that they need to be careful due to threats of regulation, and studies about long COVID take a long time - we really don't have enough research yet to be sure and we're barely 2 years out of the pandemic.

I'm holding my breath on both of those but I'm curious why you think otherwise.

haberman 10/23/2024||
For the first, the prediction was "in the next few years." If we take "a few" as three, that would bring us to 2024-10-02, which was earlier this month. It could still happen someday, but didn't in the time frame of this prediction.

For the second, "sooner than anyone can imagine" is admittedly not a specific time frame, but we're 2.5 years later and I haven't heard any news about long COVID lately, certainly nothing calling it a crisis. But this also could certainly change in the future.

rapjr9 10/23/2024||
This doesn't sound like a crisis? These are all recent:

"How Much Does Long COVID Cost Society? New Data Shed Light"

https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/how-much-does-long-covi...

"Long COVID: confronting a growing public health crisis"

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2...

"The Long Covid Moonshot"

https://www.sanders.senate.gov/press-releases/news-sanders-i...

"Long Covid is a significant health crisis in China too"

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanwpc/article/PIIS2666-6...

"Long Covid at 3 Years"

https://erictopol.substack.com/p/long-covid-at-3-years

"The future of excess mortality after COVID-19"

https://www.swissre.com/institute/research/topics-and-risk-d...

"Covid Brain"

https://erictopol.substack.com/p/covid-brain

"The Indomitable Covid Virus"

https://erictopol.substack.com/p/the-indomitable-covid-virus

The reason you don't hear any news about long covid is that it affects peoples brains, hearts, immunity, microbiome, organs, and employability. The hospitals do not attribute the rise of problems in these areas to long covid, so there is no news about long covid as the ultimate source of increases in childhood diabetes, the rise of autoimmune diseases, middle age heart attacks, a higher background death rate, decline in lifespan, availability of workers, etc. These are all reported as isolated mysterious facts that nobody understands. But just prior to the rises was a huge pandemic from a disease that causes long covid with many research reports of very long lasting damage to multiple systems in the body; maybe the cause is not so mysterious? Swiss Re the insurance company is certainly paying attention.

And the pandemic is not over, more people are getting long covid right now and it's not just the old people. The main fear is that this is a slow moving crisis where 5% of all people lose _some_ capability every year, including the capability of fighting off other infections, and also including those who are reinfected. It doesn't take long for that to have widespread effects and indeed effects are showing up and there are already economic consequences. The reason researchers were saying "sooner than anyone can imagine" is that this is an exponential effect and now that the CDC is no longer collecting data (and much of the world followed suite) it is difficult to predict with precision. However, like all exponential effects it will at some point start the steep part of the upward climb.

aspenmayer 10/23/2024|||
I’ve seen users on Reddit use “remind me” bots for this kind of thing, so maybe you could use something similar? Future-dated blog posts with RSS/Atom notifications/feed subscriptions?
llm_trw 10/23/2024|||
>I'm adding an entry for this. In a few years, I'll evaluate whether we experience "a wave of disaster" due to overtaxed energy grids in 2026-2027.

We have been experiencing overtaxed grids for decades now. Rolling black and brown outs happen every summer on a hot, cloudy, still day. The issue isn't big-tech, the issue is that we're living in a fantasy where we can keep the grid running with renewables and no sign of terawatt hour batteries.

ggm 10/23/2024|||
I think you're battering round evidence to fit your own square hole. Batteries are coming on stream, and do not need to be TwH scale to provide incremental improvement and I don't personally think the outages are sheeted home to the rise of solar and wind alone. It's complicated.
llm_trw 10/23/2024||
I've worked as a quant for a power company and had more data than god about what was happening in a continent wide grid. The instabilities in the grid are caused by renewables turning on and off at the drop of a hat the whole network over. That's on top of the complete lack of any stable base load at night that comes with renewables.

I then build a continent wide physics based electrical network simulation down to the individual house. There is no way to keep the networks stable in the coming decades with more and more intermittent sources coming in.

Large heavy spinning shafts are the only thing that's kept us from catastrophic failures and pretty much no one knows or cares.

We're betting civilization on pixie dust and unicorn farts.

ggm 10/23/2024||
South Australia is going to find out. Synchronous condensers have been a thing since forever, batteries are moving into that space. Sure they started in FCAS but they now bid for some of the inertia stuff too. SA is of course connected to the Australian east coast grid and are securing supply from them, but they got islanded in a big storm, the gas fallback generators didn't work and they lost the grid. Now, they have built out for wind, solar and battery. They haven't had a significant fail yet. Those gas generators who failed, and who failed to do black start are in court over their contract.

Building out and running more syncons seems like a low bar.

I appreciate you work in the field. but, so do a bunch of people in the grid forming world who think it's entirely feasible to move beyond the base load model. Maybe they are all smoking pixie dust, but I think it's not clear you're right and they're wrong, because BOTH OF YOU have fucktonnes of experience and skin in the game, past and present.

As a random asker (ie me), why is your input here better than the people doing the planning for the Australian east coast grid?

https://aemo.com.au/-/media/files/initiatives/engineering-fr...

https://www.aer.gov.au/system/files/ElectraNet%20-%20System%...

zahlman 10/23/2024|||
>Rolling black and brown outs happen every summer on a hot, cloudy, still day.

Perhaps it's different in the US, but here in Toronto I've noticed the frequency and especially the severity of such events decrease over time. It's been 21 years since "the big one" (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northeast_blackout_of_2003). This year's biggest event was much less impressive (https://toronto.citynews.ca/2024/07/16/power-outages-toronto...), and that was caused by exceptional storms (https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/a-parade-of-storms-how-toro...).

javajosh 10/23/2024|||
Great idea, please consider publishing it. I've often wanted to do something similar, and in reverse (that is, now that the outcome has happened, check predictions). Not to get too far afield but online discourse really undervalues success. It's almost as if people speak not because they are correct, but because people like hearing them speak.
tomjen3 10/23/2024|||
If we do face a wave of disaster, it will be because the government has prevented sufficient building of powerplants.
SamPatt 10/23/2024||
Have any of those timed predictions proven correct yet?
smackeyacky 10/23/2024||
The insidious take over of security by the smart phone is what worries me the most. I can't pay my taxes, access healthcare or even sign-on to my job without using my phone any more.

If somebody said 25 years ago that access to government services would be completely privatised there would have been uproar. Not only did we consent to this, we did it willingly in exchange for convenience. Now we are screwed.

Americans used to be all gung-ho about "those who give up freedom for security will not be free or secure" but it's much worse than that. We gave up security for convenience and handed everything about ourselves to an unscrupulous bunch of billionaires who are intent on replacing government wholesale, and we will be paying them while they do it.

gruez 10/23/2024||
>I can't pay my taxes, access healthcare or even sign-on to my job without using my phone any more.

Where is this? For instance the IRS still allows you to file by mail[1], and it's unclear why you'd need a phone to go to a hospital or walk in clinic. As for needing a phone to access your company networks, I don't how it's deserving of outrage anymore than needing a laptop to do a modern desk job.

[1] https://www.irs.gov/filing/where-to-file-paper-tax-returns-w...

TrapLord_Rhodo 10/28/2024|||
when i try to login to the IRS site it sends a 2fa to my phone.
smackeyacky 10/23/2024|||
Not everyone lives in the US
gruez 10/23/2024||
That's why I asked OP for where he lived, and qualified my point about the IRS with "for instance". I'm not going to do an exhaustive search of all countries to validate the claim.
smackeyacky 10/23/2024||
OP is Australian
IAmGraydon 10/23/2024|||
I understand your concern, but I think it's overly simplistic to frame this as a zero-sum tradeoff between convenience and security/freedom. Smartphones have undoubtedly made interacting with government services more accessible and efficient - especially for marginalized communities, rural populations, and individuals with disabilities.

That being said, I'm not convinced that access to government services has been "completely privatized" as you claim. Governments often partner with private companies to develop and provide these services, and there's usually some level of regulatory oversight in place. This collaboration has led to some really valuable innovations, like online portals for tax filing and telemedicine.

The Benjamin Franklin quote about trading freedom for security is still relevant, of course. But maybe we should also consider the flip side: by resisting technological change, we risk getting left behind. Finding a balance between convenience, security, and individual rights is the real challenge.

Rather than sounding the alarm about an "insidious takeover," perhaps we should focus on the practical steps we can take to ensure our rights are protected. Advocating for open standards, strengthening regulatory frameworks, and investing in digital literacy programs would be a good start. Let's try to have a nuanced discussion about this, rather than resorting to hyperbole.

smackeyacky 10/23/2024||
I stand by the idea that it is insidious. It’s one thing for our governments to ensure access is secure, it’s entirely another to assume we all have smartphones and have aligned ourselves with Apple or Google. Being a digital serf is our new reality and we did it willingly. If we had to start up our Ford to access a government website it would be ridiculous but having to have your phone at hand is just as bad. Google and Apple both know exactly when and where you accessed a government service and stand as a gatekeeper to doing so. It is by definition insidious.
majormajor 10/23/2024|||
Plenty of people when I lived in Texas 25 years ago who would be pretty easy to get onboard with privatizing access to government services. Complaints about the DMV, for instance, are eternal. School vouchers were and continue to be hot in many influential circles, with people wanting to get rid of the government services entirely in favor of privatized ones. Pro-privatization, small-government ideas have been WILDLY popular since at least Reagan.

Giving up liberty for security, (or just convenience or religion) in the US goes back even further. Cold War policies and inquisitions, any number of vice laws, restrictive zoning, to name a few from the 20th century.

bloomingeek 10/23/2024|||
Not to mention the tracking on our vehicles and TVs. And how the police can demand the video off our Ring door bells. What's next, my dash cams?
gruez 10/23/2024||
>And how the police can demand the video off our Ring door bells. What's next, my dash cams?

They always could. It's called a search warrant. The idea that your security camera footage was inaccessible to governments was incorrect to begin with.

tomrod 10/23/2024||
I believe most services you can still use the mail for?
thunderbong 10/23/2024|
An interesting point from the article -

> Governments are increasingly outsourcing all kinds of processes to tech companies. And if a tech company operates in the name of a government, it should be as accountable as the government. I call this “the public accountability extension.” It sounds simple, but it would be a huge game changer. Right now, as governments outsource more and more critical governmental functions to tech companies, they also offload governmental accountability.

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