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Posted by geox 10/27/2024

7 points | comments
Terr_ 10/27/2024
Back in 2000-2015 I used to think badly of Italy for how Silvio Berlusconi somehow was allowed to corruptly cling to power. "Good thing that could never happen here", I thought.

After the next several disturbing years, I've come to believe that the complacency of "that can't happen here" is perhaps the surest sign that it could. Sometimes the most important prophecies are ones that prevent themselves from coming to pass.

JumpCrisscross 10/27/2024|
> the complacency of "that can't happen here" is perhaps the surest sign that it could

This is unfalsifiable, or more precisely, selection bias. My cat evolving into an FTL drive can't happen here, either--that isn't a sign he'll be powering an Enterprise.

dragonwriter 10/27/2024||
No, it is a somewhat casual way of relying on the clear context of the discussion to express what, were one to be more concerned about the kind of bad faith pedantry that is used to dismiss ideas in online discussions than the author clearly was, might be expressed more verbosely as “the attitude that ‘it can’t happen here’ about undesirable political outcomes produces popular complacency which, in turn, makes it more possible to happen than it would otherwise be.”