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Posted by trauco 2 days ago

Loss of key US satellite data could send hurricane forecasting back 'decades'(www.theguardian.com)
310 points | 150 commentspage 2
sampl3username 2 days ago|
Is the satellite link encrypted? Maybe radio amateurs can continue to receive its signals.
Rebelgecko 2 days ago|
No encryption*. I think they broadcast on S-band which isn't necessarily compatible with a $20 hobbyist rtl-sdr, but still possible with more advanced amateur setups

* Ok that's an oversimplification. They actually turn encryption on while the satellite is over certain areas. But if you're in the Continental US I think it's in the clear

schiffern 2 days ago||

  >The loss of DMSP comes as Noaa’s weather and climate monitoring services have become critically understaffed this year as Donald Trump’s so-called “department of government efficiency” (Doge) initiative has instilled draconian cuts to federal environmental programs.
Translation:

"We can't actually say this was DOGE, so we're going to imply it using emotionally charged words, and 90% of folks with bad media literacy will come away thinking it was DOGE (just check the reddit comments)."

This in-vogue method of "lying without lying" is shockingly common nowadays, but apparently it's okay for media to lie because Bad Man Bad.

chomp 2 days ago||
I don’t understand what you’re complaining about here. Lying?
schiffern 2 days ago||
Yes, when the media lies it's bad. People used to understand that fact.

Now media gets a free pass on certain lies because Bad Man Bad, and (evidently) people aren't even allowed to point out the lie.

Hint: when the media can make up whatever they want about someone, they can quickly twist perception to make anyone into the Bad Man.

mlyle 2 days ago|||
Did DOGE not ditch hundreds of probationary employees at NOAA, cancel numerous contracts, get 1000 people to take early retirement offers, get rid of buildings, etc?

And now the current funding request enacts a ~30% funding cut.

I'm not sure the factual issue you're seeing. Is it that the statement wasn't definitive enough in saying that DOGE apparently was a large part of instituting these cuts?

(Yes, I know OPM implemented many of these programs, but they're apparently at DOGE's request, named after the "Fork in the Road" initiative at Twitter, using data gathered by DOGE IT staffers, &c. If we give credit for any cuts, we have to give them credit for significant cuts at NOAA.)

msgodel 2 days ago||
My understanding is this was set up to happen roughly a decade ago and is just now manifesting. It has pretty much nothing to do with DOGE.
counters 2 days ago|||
We don't if, or to what extent, DOGE was involved or influential in the decision-making here.

Yes, the DMSP program was aging and slated to wind down as replacements - both federal and commercial - came online in the second half of the 2020's. But in general, if valid and useful data continues to stream from these types of satellites, you use it and monitor for disruption.

As someone who uses the DMSP data every single day, let me be very clear: there was no warning or expectation that such an abrupt change was going to happen. Yes, we all have contingency plans for if a satellite fails or a data link goes down. But to be given basically 5 days notice that a significant, mission-critical asset would be taken offline? That doesn't - and shouldn't - happen.

msgodel 2 days ago||
[flagged]
freejazz 1 day ago|||
The sentence that is quoted is about how both of these things are simultaneously happening right now, even if one was precipitated earlier
lynndotpy 2 days ago||||
Your premise that they're "lying" is unsubstantiated. Your comments read only like dress around the "fake news" bit.
schiffern 2 days ago||
Before you claim there's nothing happening and The Guardian didn't mean it, check social media comments elsewhere to see how many people misinterpret this news item into "DOGE/Elon did it."

I would bet you, but that money's too easy. :)

Again, this exact conversation is the genius behind 'lying _without lying_.' You can always claim in high-literacy communities like HN that no, nobody would ever be silly enough misread it like that, all while watching your misinformation spread across the low-literacy communities like facebook and reddit.

The Guardian et al has done this too often for plausible deniability. Even I can pick up on the pattern, and that's without access to the big boy's social media engagement and sentiment tracking tools.

Larrikin 2 days ago|||
>check social media comments elsewhere to see how many people misinterpret this news item into "DOGE/Elon did it."

No, post news sources and researched articles. Your vibes about the Internet are irrelevant

mh- 2 days ago|||
> high-literacy communities like HN [..] low-literacy communities like facebook and reddit

I see this sentiment a lot lately, and I see your HN join date is similar to mine. HN is more mainstream than it used to be, for better or worse. There is a lot more overlap between commenters on HN and Reddit nowadays, especially in certain categories of subreddits.

Personally, I lament the web being a high-literacy community.

timeon 2 days ago||||
[flagged]
BenjiWiebe 1 day ago||
Can't I disagree with someone, but also not support lies about them, even if their supporters are fine with lying? My standard is no lies at all, even for a "good cause".
timeon 1 day ago||
Sure but check the loaded language of that comment. I was just pointing about double standard of particular POV. Even mirroring the comment so you can address it level above.
pstuart 2 days ago|||
It's an agreeable assessment that "the media" suffers from accuracy and bias in its reporting. Being that humans are involved, that's unavoidable.

But a couple of things should be considered here:

  * Intention
  * Degree
  * Impact
Intention is a core element of assessing "crimes", with homicide being the most serious one of all we factor it out into: accidental, intentional but clouded by mental conditions in the heat of the moment, and pre-meditated. This is a reasonable metric to apply to the crime of "misreporting" as well.

Degree is likewise to be noted, where it can range from lost nuance to outright lies.

Impact is also a concern if it is a concern. A news article that compels people to randomly attack their neighbors is more of an issue than one that tempts you to buy a new snack.

And most importantly of all: "the media" is not a singular entity and they vary strongly in their veracity and scope, as well as their agendas. Some are at their core intending to serve the public, others are a business to sell advertising, and others are literally propaganda outfits to serve vested interests (e.g., Fox News was created to be the PR arm of the GOP -- this is a fact and not conjecture).

So yes, the NYT can get things wrong (like the lead up to the Iraq invasion), I trust them more than Fox News (which destroyed a community by spreading lies about their new immigrant neighbors eating people's pets).

Hope this helps!

JumpCrisscross 2 days ago|||
> We can't actually say this was DOGE

The article is saying it was DOGE. DOGE directly attacked our hurricane-forecasting capacity [1]. OMB, i.e. Vought, continues that attack [2].

Given the top three states by hurricane risk voted for Trump in ‘24 [3][4] this should make for an entertaining hurricane season. (Particularly if both a red and blue state get hit and request federal assistance.)

[1] https://apnews.com/article/national-weather-service-layoffs-...

[2] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/NOAA_under_the_second_presid...

[3] https://www.realtor.com/news/trends/states-most-at-risk-for-...

[4] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_president...

ars 2 days ago|||
> The article is saying it was DOGE

Yah, but it's the guardian. They aren't exactly reliable.

For it to be DOGE would require a time machine, because this project was shut down in 2015.

JumpCrisscross 2 days ago||
> but it's the guardian. They aren't exactly reliable

This is valid and I'm open to someone calling out the reporting as non-factual with evidence.

Pretending The Guardian is trying to imply this was DOGE when it straight out says as much, on the other hand, is closer to a reading-comprehension issue.

mindslight 2 days ago|||
[flagged]
JumpCrisscross 2 days ago||
> "Entertaining" in that red states will get their requests approved

Between the cost of the damage (and us blowing the card preëmptively on this big, beautiful bill), reduction in state capacity to respond to disasters as a result of DOGE and an increasingly-fracturing Congressional GOP I'm not sure they will.

mindslight 1 day ago||
A reduction of state capacity doesn't mean an elimination though - eg the military isn't going anywhere, and can always be sent in to "keep order" and distribute supplies (regardless of how long the highest-briber actually takes to deliver the supplies). More money can always be printed, regardless of the inflationary effects later (like the big ugly spending bill, it's only something to complain about when the democrats might do it). If Congress really does manage to stop rubber stamping, then money can be diverted from elsewhere or maybe we'll just the hear "full faith and credit" argument trotted out not just about the debt ceiling, but the financial commitments of the executive.

(Also I don't know why my original comment was flagged. I guess the autocracy enthusiasts not appreciating me openly calling it autocracy rather than sparkling unitary executive theory or whatever? Or maybe they're in denial that we now have a concentration camp?)

cinntaile 2 days ago|||
What? They basically say it was the cuts by Doge?
Larrikin 2 days ago||
[flagged]
ars 2 days ago||
DOGE did not exist in 2015. This project was shut down in 2015.
grg0 1 day ago||
How was it shut down in 2015 when the article claims it has been shut down abruptly just recently?

Do you mean it was planned to be shut down in 2015? And where does that come from?

If it was planned in 2015, then I agree that's a relevant detail omitted by the article. Although it also doesn't take away completely from the larger context of government cuts and privatization.

ars 1 day ago||
Congress voted in 2015 to shut down the program. This should have been zero surprise to anyone.

The hyperbolic comments about project 2025 and war on the courts, and climate change are just so crazy.

grg0 1 day ago||
So they voted to shut it down in 2015, which is a very different statement than it being shut down in 2015 (your original statement). And did they plan the shutdown to take place at this exact time of year 2025, or was the date not set back then?

It seems you also got many of the facts wrong based on replies from others anyway.

I know nothing about this particular one, just trying to understand what actually happened.

8bitsrule 2 days ago||
Is loss of automobiles and reverting to horses next?
Frost1x 2 days ago|
We can all become Amish while Bezos, Trump, etc. fly around in their privately owned 747s. Perfect society for our capital and power ownership class… that is until the hounds are at the door threatening the security of their capital or the economy downturn makes it far enough their wealth and power won’t buy the level of opulence they expect on the daily. Difficult to fly around if no one’s producing runways and jet fuel, etc.
johanneskanybal 2 days ago||
I know what Hari Seldon’s conclusion would be..
aurizon 1 day ago||
Someone in the USA should litigate to forestall any irreversible shut down/sunsetting of these satellites. Under automatic systems they might last until the midterms when a 'night of the long knives' might reap a huge harvest - perhaps a dual supermajority to allow for some reforms?
zombot 1 day ago||
Did Trump stop the distribution of this data because he doesn't like what it says?
ChrisArchitect 2 days ago||
[dupe] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44409175
charcircuit 2 days ago||
How can it be set back decades? Even if you had to design new satellites and send them up it would not take a decade to do.
__MatrixMan__ 2 days ago|
Decades is how far they were set back, not the duration of the setback.
speransky 1 day ago||
Thank you, Elon Musk
helf 2 days ago|
[dead]
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