Top
Best
New

Posted by throw0101b 4 days ago

Jack Welch, the Man Who Broke Capitalism (2022)(www.forbes.com)
122 points | 97 comments
crowcroft 4 days ago|
Jack's greatest sin was transforming a manufacturing company into a financial institute. Similar to a family that takes on debt to appear wealthy it looks good in the short term but the debt always comes due eventually.

It never came due in Jack's time and he looked like an absolute genius. His successor should have been able to defuse the debt bomb over time, but because of the expectations of success that Jack left behind (and some glaring failures of the new CEO) the bomb was left in place and debt continued to pile up.

Of course the bomb went off eventually and the rest is history, GE is not a company anymore.

Aside from the moral issues of Jack's approach (layoffs etc) the true sin is the over financialization of everything in America which I think Jack really set the tone for.

I would highly recommend the book Power Failure with William Cohan. https://www.amazon.ca/Power-Failure-Rise-Fall-American/dp/05...

snapcaster 4 days ago|
Lights Out is another great book on the process of financialization that killed GE
rschiavone 4 days ago||
I can't recommend enough *Jack Welch Is Why You Got Laid Off | Behind the Bastards* (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YZv7wc7USQE)
exiguus 4 days ago||
I see some parallels to Curtis Yarvin and the Boys that follow his philosophy. The funny part, with all this boys is, that they do not recognise, that there utopia e.g. new society/state, does not work without the current society that sponsors them.

Basically, the same with some global corporations, which literally suck society dry (infrastructure, resources, education, labour, health system) and give almost nothing back (except for a few workers and too few taxes). I think the American dream is over. It's an empty shell that's all about making a nice life for yourself at the expense of others.

a4isms 4 days ago||
> I think the American dream is over.

“The reason they call it The American Dream is that you have to be asleep to believe it.”

—George Carlin (1937 - 2008)

PicassoCTs 4 days ago||
It got real, only because a - at the time seemingly viable alternative reared its head. So, ironically, the system that won the system-competition we call the cold war, only works- when under stress in systemic competition.
xphos 4 days ago|||
I think we are mixing up timelines here the rent seeking and financializing happens in 1981 onward not starting at 1991 when the USSR dissolves

There is just not any real accountability to the next generation of stock holders its classic optimizing toward the local minimum and is why some many private equity firms annihilate companies and sell them for parts. We use to have unions than Regan eliminate tons of union power and bars the governments union's from arguing. We have structural barriers in existing laws against sector wide unions, so the remaining unions have no incentive to build competitive sectors just competitive wages without respect to economics.

I think companies have just pushed and pushed for labor laws that favor larger companies and players. That hollowing of the rule set has dropped a bomb in companies optimization functions. You cannot choose not to do stock buy backs now because the stock holders complain and leave for a someone more willing to inflate assets. If you want the clearest picture look at Intel they spent tremendously on stock buy backs because it was good for investors and let there RnD budget cratered when compared to its competitors. They basically aren't a respectable company anymore but those stock investors aren't destroyed they moved to Nvidia and Apple.

pseudocomposer 3 days ago||
But why did the USSR dissolve? A lot of it had to do with citizens’ dissatisfaction with what was available in the Soviet economy, compared to media images of what was available in the 80s-early 90s American economy. And, well, the fact that their government was, in fact, quite democratic, reflecting the wishes of the people.

But again… a lot of these images American prosperity of the 80s were caused by marketing, and corporate structures like Jack Welch’s, which were ultimately unsustainable (per the whole conversation here).

Basically: Soviet citizens saw we could have bananas year round. But they never saw the conditions of people living in banana republics, or really even of the American poor of the time.

xphos 3 days ago|||
Yeah I'd argue Jack Welch didn't create that value rather he found a way to extract from the corporate mines and give to shareholders and himself very effectively. It has caused the collapse of some but not all those corporate mines. GE is a good example that maximized shareholder value until the shareholders left and there was nothing left for the company.

I also wouldn't read to heavily into the USSR collapsing because they saw rich American's they saw that for the entire history of USSR. USSR is complex it honestly worked for people for a little bit during the war (the ones that lived but they did live) but when the pressure of WW2 dropped the optimization functions all went haywire, the same way they were haywire before the war see Ukraine famine 1933. War is a strong optimization function for economies because the cruff is drained but not a constraint you want to live under long term. I am not trying to cheerlead the USSR but I think this is just not really a good metaphor for comparing economies and needs much fine examination to really get into.

sershe 3 days ago|||
As someone who grew up in 5th percentile or higher of Soviet citizens (Moscow, 2 engineer parents) I can tell you that American poor live much better. Think 700sqft flat considered good for a family with 2 kids, not really being able to afford a car, grandma constantly reminding us to not throw away any glass jars - containers to preserve vegetables for the winter were hard to come by.

And that's Moscow. Most of the country could be summarized by a riddle - long, green, smells like sausages/groceries, what is it? An intercity train departing Moscow.

The Soviet citizens wanted American lifestyle because Soviet lifestyle sucked. The only poor who might be worse off in the US are the completely dysfunctional ones like alcoholics or whatever. At least in the USSR it was hard to sell your flat and drink away the money. But, to me that's not even a tradeoff, it's an additional benefit.

thmsths 4 days ago|||
I feel like that makes sense actually. One core tenet of the "free market" is the need for competition, otherwise complacency and rent seeking happen and things get bad. If that apply for corporations, why not economic systems too?
ddq 3 days ago||
The market of markets must be free, or the idea of a free market is a myth. Which it is. Capitalism cannot simply be removed, it must be outcompeted by a superior usurper.
notarobot123 4 days ago|||
> I think the American dream is over. It's an empty shell that's all about making a nice life for yourself at the expense of others.

At which point in history was it not about exactly that?

geodel 4 days ago|||
I think 1960 NE (Nostalgic Era) was great.
throwawayoldie 4 days ago||
Definitely...as long as you were a white Christian heterosexual man.
ajb 4 days ago|||
Probably the homesteading era. Although only if you don't count Native Americans...
al_borland 3 days ago||
Even then, it wasn’t an easy life, they just had different challenges. That’s why we have the right to pursue happiness, and not happiness itself. One can always pursue it, regardless of circumstance. Some would argue that the pursuit is where the happiness is actually found; it’s not a destination.
geodel 4 days ago|||
> Basically, the same with some global corporations, which literally suck society dry

Not that I found corporations great, but there is no indication that society was doing really well before global corporations existed.

wahnfrieden 4 days ago||
Read more Graeber & Wengrow
FireBeyond 3 days ago||
> Curtis Yarvin and the Boys that follow his philosophy

Curtis has done a good job of getting people to forget his white nationalism, though he insists he isn't one, but he's quite comfortable with it.

> It should be obvious that, although I am not a white nationalist, I am not exactly allergic to the stuff.

And though he later wrote articles saying "I'm not a white nationalist", they were largely sympathetic to the "cause" and then just said "but I'm not one."

busyant 4 days ago||
The amount of effusive hagiography devoted to Welch in the late 1990s and early 2000s was stupefying.

I grew up in a "GE town" and watched it fall into severe neglect as GE's stock price rose. Watched my mother get laid off and pushed into a service company that she and many others referred to as "the bastard child of GE."

I always felt that there was a lot of smoke-and-mirrors behind Welch & the stock price. And I felt that Welch would depart before the check came due. Immelt got hammered, in part, because of Jack's sins--I don't know if Immelt deserved it because I stopped paying attention to GE in the early 2000s.

My opinion of GE was / is not based on some detailed and thorough analysis. It came from observing the disconnect between what happened to my hometown and the stock price.

allenrb 4 days ago||
So, this aged well:

Maybe we’re at that moment in a pendulum's arc where it pauses and starts to begin its trajectory back in the other direction. I hope we're there because we need to reset.

alphawhisky 4 days ago||
No way, HN is talking about equitable business? Is this a recession indicator?
specialist 4 days ago|
Michael O. Church would just elicit nods of agreement on today's HN.
marssaxman 3 days ago||
I am surprised to see, looking at his account just now, that his last post was ten years ago. I hadn't realized it'd been so long.
aklemm 3 days ago||
This is an important book with kots of parallels to The Jungle by Upton Sinclair, both good and bad. Ultimately, I think Welch-ian thinking is a dramatic abandonment of following first principles.
EasyMark 3 days ago||
He really had some of the worst ideas for longevity of a company. Valuing short term profits over long term plans and goals for the company is the biggest one. The other is probably his adversarial relationship with his employees. He didn't see them as anything other than "the help" and was constantly talking down to them, assumed they were lazy and looking for the easy path in life, in everything I ever read from him.
flyinghamster 4 days ago||
Um, why was someone's perfectly reasonable take downvoted to oblivion? Too much of a newcomer? Too many Welch devotees here?

As far as I'm concerned, Welch turned GE from an industrial behemoth that more than lived up to its name, to a pale shadow of itself that has sold off almost everything. "Outsource Everything" has been an absolute disaster for our economy that will take decades to dig out of, if we even have the will to try.

bit1993 4 days ago||
It is easy to look at Globalization in retrospect and conclude that it was a failure but you will miss all the advances it brought with it. Globalization has its place and time, it was the logical next step after the USA industrialization peaked the next step to squeeze out even more from the economy.
pjc50 4 days ago|||
I'm not really sure how globalization could have been stopped after the invention of the shipping container, which was ""the internet for physical objects"". Especially after the closed Soviet economies failed. I suppose some Americans would have preferred a situation where China stayed Communist or collapsed.
kamaal 4 days ago||
>>I suppose some Americans would have preferred a situation where China stayed Communist or collapsed.

The definition of Communism per the west, is something that always fails by default. The way Chinese define communism is doing whatever it takes to win.

When you remove all the abstract words behind this game, a simple philosophy is if you do the right things you win. You can call it capitalism, communism or whatever you want.

ddq 3 days ago||
Market Daoism?
camillomiller 4 days ago|||
We could have had exactly the same and possibly more if it weren’t for people like Welch. They were a hindrance to how globalization could have brought a lot more of shared wealth and less inequality
bit1993 4 days ago||
> They were a hindrance to how globalization could have brought a lot more of shared wealth and less inequality

That is not how capitalism works.

pyrale 4 days ago|||
Says who?
bit1993 4 days ago||
Capitalism is a zero sum game.
ben_w 4 days ago|||
Falsified by the global economic growth in the period between Adam Smith and Karl Marx.

Once we reach the end of the road for further invention and improvements (even if that is in the form of our own capacity and theoretically there's more), that's when capitalism becomes zero sum. Until than point, capitalism is a way of distributing more resources to people who are better at finding those improvements.

otikik 4 days ago||
It's doing the opposite of distributing. It's concentrating resources into a smaller and smaller selection of individuals.
ben_w 4 days ago||
"Distributing" doesn't require "evenly". Amazon has distribution centres, they don't send stuff to all customers equally regardless of what is ordered.

The entire foundational assumption of (Smith's) capitalism is the idea that people who are better at making a profit are exactly who should be given more money to work with, and that this benefits all of society — and while I will agree that the phrase "trickle down economics" doesn't fit reality of the behaviour of billionaires (who act more like aristocrats), that's where that phrase comes from, and it seems to often work up to deca-millionaires at least.

The flaw with this (even in the case of millionaires) is it presumes no parasites. As it happens, both Smith and Marx noticed this, but as history shows, the proponents extolling the virtues of each were not very effective at preventing economic parasites.

otikik 3 days ago||
I don't think I agree.

If I read an article that titled "this NGO is distributing food and medical aid to the refugees of the conflict" and then on the body of the article I find out that a single guy got all the supplies and the rest got nothing, I would consider the title very misleading.

ben_w 3 days ago||
A single guy?

I'd count that as a sorites problem: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sorites_paradox

But the distribution for wealth under capitalism isn't "one" person, and capitalism wouldn't work if it was, because nobody else could buy anything with the money, and therefore everyone else would invent a new currency or barter, and then all the money which that one person has would be worthless.

otikik 3 days ago||
Depending on the size of the imaginary conflict, "a single guy" could very well be right.

https://www.oxfam.org/en/press-releases/richest-1-bag-nearly...

QuadmasterXLII 4 days ago||||
How on earth do you justify this claim?
vaporwario 3 days ago|||
The more capital you have, the more purchasing power you have relative to the other players in the capitalist game. There is a fixed amount of purchasing power (the total sum of capital). Increasing currency in circulation does not increase the number of things that can be purchased with that currency, it just changes the distribution of purchasing power.
xoralkindi 4 days ago|||
The US Federal Reserve data indicates that the top 10% of households own about 67% of the nation's wealth, while the bottom 50% hold less than 4%

Also let us not forget other tools that have significantly helped capitalist nations: Slavery, Colonialism, Imperialism, Sanctions, Wars, Coup d'etat's... these have all contributed to what capitalism is today. So yes Capitalism in the grand scheme of things is entirely zero sum.

_benton 4 days ago||
Nothing of what you said has anything to do with the concept of "zero sum". It has to do with if the resources in a system are fixed or if they are changing.
xoralkindi 3 days ago||
"zero sum: relating to or denoting a situation in which whatever is gained by one side is lost by the other."

The data from the Fed show great inequality which can be expected from a zero-sum game. Another example check how under develop DR Congo is in the electronic age, while hardware (and to an extend software) companies are some of the most valuable companies, they all source raw materials from Congo.

_benton 3 days ago||
Inequality is possible in a non-zero-sum game. It's just as possible to have an inequal non-zero-sum game as it is to have an equal zero-sum game.

Capitalism isn't zero sum because at its core principle are transactions, which are inherently non-zero-sum.

xoralkindi 3 days ago||
Its like chess in that white has an advantage because they get to play first. The rich get richer because you need capital to efficiently participate in capitalism and it has a compounding effect. It than becomes a zero-sum game where the poor are trying to play catch up with the rich. For example if you start an innovative company the rich can simply buy it or start a competing company that is hard to compete against because of their resources.
_benton 3 days ago||
I'm sorry but what you are describing is not what a zero sum game is.
totallykvothe 4 days ago|||
No
camillomiller 4 days ago|||
Yeah, which is my other point: Welch was just better than others at capitalism, bringing its fundamental and unethical tenets to the extreme.
palmfacehn 4 days ago|||
In that regard, Welch optimized for short-term metrics. Most of the diehard adherents to laissez-faire ideology speak at length about time preference. Willingness to forgo present consumption is the underlying source of investment gains.

If we accept the premise that Welch sold the goose that laid the golden egg for short-term "number go up" and immediate shareholder satisfaction, another question arises. Are there other non-market forces (such as easy money policies from the central bank, or an unfriendly domestic regulatory environment) which created this equilibrium? If so, then laying blame at the feet of "capitalist greed" or the trope of monocled Monopoly men in stovepipe hats, may be misplaced.

That said, I'm not sure that, "Jack Welch, the Man Who Optimized For the Corporatist Mixed-Economy" would resonate as well with audiences.

schmidtleonard 4 days ago|||
> Willingness to forgo present consumption is the underlying source of investment gains.

Squeezing people is an easier source of investment gains. In theory, competition keeps this in check, but competition is for the little guy. If you listen to business pitches or investor relations or take business classes you know the real game is all about avoiding fair competition by hook or by crook, and the biggest companies are the ones who have done this successfully. Two-sided markets, network effects, platform effects, last-mile dynamics, etc, etc, and yes, at the bottom of the the list of anticompetitive forces we have the runt red-headed stepchild of regulatory capture, which is real, but tends to be overstated by people who want blanket deregulation and reverse-engineer their complaints to get what they want.

> Are there other non-market forces which created this equilibrium?

Haha, and here we see the reverse-engineering process in action. Capitalism is never responsible for its own messes! Every mess MUST have come from a market distortion! Deregulation is always the answer!

p_l 4 days ago|||
The title resonates well with mainstream dogma of capitalism being objectively good, ignoring that it was just one aspect of what made "the good years" and was in fact quite limited by both physical and legal constraints, and sometimes pure ideological bent of some behemoths of industry (i.e. messrs Hewlett and Packard, impact of US military spending, etc).

Welch exploited a combination of events when a lot of those limitations (especially legal) ended, acting in extremely capitalist ways.

palmfacehn 3 days ago||
>mainstream dogma of capitalism being objectively good

Is that what you perceive the mainstream dogma to be? When I observe use of the word "capitalism", it is usually in regards to rationalizations for interventions or other socialist policies. Whereas proponents generally use specific language, like market, market-based or laissez-faire. Opponents are can be observed using language like, neoliberal, deregulation, greed and capitalism.

The Sad Decline Of The Word "Capitalism"

https://www.forbes.com/sites/alejandrochafuen/2013/05/01/the...

>Although Karl Marx did not create the word, it was after his work “Das Kapital” (1867) when the term “capitalism” began to be widely used to describe an economic system based on private property as the means of production. Marx remains the great labeler: “capital,” “the capitalist” and “the capitalist system of production” appear repeatedly in his writings.

...

>Should we care if we lose the term capitalism? Assessing its popularity, or lack thereof, I recently reviewed the mission of 25 leading market oriented think tanks around the globe. I could not find a single one using the term. “Free enterprise,” “free-markets” “free-economy” and better yet “free society” will continue to crowd out “capitalism,” if not as a system, at least as a word.

https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=false&qu...

Looking over HN comments, I observe that uses of the term generally contain anti-market critiques.

https://hn.algolia.com/?q=capitalism

Popular stories also seem to use it in a generally negative way, or with a modifier to "improve" it.

I'm not convinced that the mainstream dogma is positive. To the contrary, I would regard use of the word as symptomatic of anti-market sentiment.

p_l 3 days ago||
A lot of the terms you recall are terms also coined by people who would be considered anti-capitalists today. That said, specific word use depends a lot on one's specific bubble. A lot of my personal contacts consider it implicitly bad, some with better understanding of why some not, but I do try to get out and see a lot of praise if not actually under the word capitalism, then under what was described yes by Marx as capitalism.

Personally (as I am not any kind of educated expert nor an oracle) I would say that a lot of "free enterprise", "free economy", "free society", even "market-based" terms are very much orthogonal to capitalism and behaviours described by it, but some of them push for conditions that enable said behaviours (deregulation - which I often encounter as positive term thrown around - or "laissez-faire". Or even absolute focus on "free" in "free market" to detriment of said market as bigger players destroy competition)

fidotron 4 days ago|||
> Um, why was someone's perfectly reasonable take downvoted to oblivion? Too much of a newcomer? Too many Welch devotees here?

At the risk of a serious tangent, the bots here have become so out of control that there is also a major anti-bot pattern that downvotes anything that remotely looks like a bot.

I know we aren't supposed to ever say HN is in decline, but LLMs really do look like they've killed it.

flyinghamster 4 days ago||
At the rate things are going, LLMs are going to kill the entire web. I'm starting to think that's by design.
tuesdaynight 4 days ago||
The rate is what is scaring me, honestly. I was expecting that the web would move even more to closed silos because of bots, but I was not expecting it to happen so soon. Maybe I'm too old for the rate of change of internet trends.
code_for_monkey 4 days ago||
the culture on this site is a combination of reddit tech bro and linkedIn ceo-poster. Everyone here thinks they are the next great founder. You will toe the line of capital expansion over all or get downvoted.
kevin_thibedeau 4 days ago||
I remember being downvoted for pointing out Musk's narcissism years ago when he was a saint on this site. The HN hive mind has it's own panoply of topics that are taboo to the tribe. On the plus side, I have noticed fewer unfair downvotes in the past few years. I rarely have to vouch for someone who makes a reasoned statement that offends the local snowflakes.
code_for_monkey 4 days ago||
I get downvoted every time I point out that generative AI is at this point mostly a bad faith tech used by scammers and over confident CEO's desperate to lay people off.
meansob 4 days ago||
[dead]
throw0101b 4 days ago|
Interview with the author on PBS:

* https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FaCSbdNsLQk

More comments...