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Posted by randycupertino 9/5/2025

Kenvue stock drops on report RFK Jr will link autism to Tylenol during pregnancy(www.cnbc.com)
166 points | 414 commentspage 2
aynyc 9/6/2025|
Don’t you wish we have a short sell reporting data so we can check if people in the know already shorted the stock?
yareally 9/6/2025||
If it's already in the news, it's already too late to short. News events tend to quickly reverse as well so I'd be looking for a long position at a support level
1oooqooq 9/6/2025||
he's talking about the person who created the news...
PartiallyTyped 9/6/2025||
Unusual whales does a lot of reporting of this nature.

One could also take a look at pages like cheddar which track what they claim is unusual flow in options.

dwattttt 9/6/2025||
I can't wait for autism diagnosis to be linked to psychologists & paediatricians, and their subsequent banning.
roody15 9/6/2025||
https://ehjournal.biomedcentral.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s129...

Data does appear to show a possible link, definitely at the least warrants further research.

susiecambria 9/6/2025||
Not specific to tylenol and autism, but I think important: RFK Jr. will be issuing findings using "gold-standard science" and hold up the findings as definitive (as proof, etc.) at the same time that he completely minimizes and bemoans current scientific processes. While we may be able to tell the difference between RFK's BS science and real science, what does this mean for everyone else? Especially because RFK Jr. does not trust science?
foxglacier 9/6/2025|
Nobody should have been trusting science to begin with. Maybe it will help to show science-believers that they should be more cautious.
ahtihn 7 days ago||
What's the alternative? What should one trust instead?
Der_Einzige 7 days ago|||
No one. This world is radically subjective and all appearances are deceiving. Even solipsism doesn’t work because you can’t trust yourself!

We live in Cartesian radical subjectivity - and no cogito to save you from the evil demon.

foxglacier 7 days ago|||
Evaluate risks and benefits as best you can, informed by whatever science seems to show. Life's complicated and nobody can provide simple correct instructions on the right way to do everything, or even anything. Public health messages are an attempt to do that but they're unreliable and sometimes intentionally misleading or wrong because their purpose is to influence people's behavior, not to be correct.
sandworm101 9/6/2025||
Coorelation does not mean causation.

I remember an old study linking ultrasounds to lefthandedness. It was legit. Families with access to ultrasounds lived in countries/areas where lefthandedness was more culturally accepted, places where it was not drilled out of kids. The study was correct, but anyone touting it as causation was totally incorrect.

Fyi, sharks are way more likely to attack people with australian accents. Never go swimming with an auzzi.

theoreticalmal 9/6/2025||
I had an ultrasound and I’m left handed. I finally know why!
adamors 9/6/2025|||
You shoudln’t even be entertaining this lunacy with any response. Anything coming out of the RFK jr health department is batshit.
sandworm101 9/6/2025||
He was legitimately put into a position of power by the american political system. And this is an article by the BBC, probably the most respected news source on the planet. Crazy is now the norm, the leading voice. It must be confronted.
mannykannot 9/6/2025|||
Your first point is correct, but it (like the second one) has no bearing on the issue of the medical soundness of the department's positions and policy.
sandworm101 9/7/2025||
But the bbc's reputation does support the facts in the article. I am confident that the stock did drop because of what he said, because i trust the BBC not to make up such things.
mannykannot 7 days ago||
I feel the same way, but again, this has no bearing on the issue of the medical soundness of the department's positions and policy.

Going back to the top of this thread, I agree that correlation does not mean causation, but in this case, we do not yet even have a justifiable claim of correlation, and RFK Jr. has repeatedly demonstrated his propensity for substituting unfounded opinion and incorrect data for empirical facts, if it suits his agenda.

lupire 9/6/2025||||
"legitimately" is a stretch, given all the information that has come fourth in the past year.
jazzyjackson 9/6/2025||||
what you resist persists
sandworm101 7 days ago||
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rhyme-as-reason_effect
thehappypm 7 days ago|||
Yep, Democratic Party refused to do a real primary so he switched sides
elric 9/6/2025||
Baader-Meinhof phenomenon at work; I commented about the ultrasound/handedness the other day.

I wonder whether the political actors in question don't understand correlation != causation, or whether they hope that enough of the populace does not understand it in order to further some goal. But what goal? Buying cheap drug shares? Seems ... silly.

FrankWilhoit 9/6/2025||
Who sold short? How big a bribe will be given to reverse this?
rendall 9/6/2025||
Well, time to pick up Tylenol shares on the dip.
giveita 9/6/2025||
Maybe? Looks like it hasn't performed well over 5 years. I'd still rather hold something that I wanna hold for a long time.
jrockway 9/6/2025||
Johnson & Johnson split off their consumer pharmaceuticals into a new company (Kenvue) in 2023, so there isn't 5 years of stock price data.
ksherlock 9/6/2025||
I considered that when the news hit but didn't. Even if there's nothing to the report and it's forgotten in a week, that sound you heard Friday was tens of thousands of trail lawyers jizzing in their pants. $1.8 billion powerball ain't got nothing on the payday they're looking at.
elric 9/6/2025||
Was replying to a commented which was downvoted to death entirely unfairly, so I'll paste my reply as a new comment:

Paracetamol/acetaminophen (the active ingredient in tylenol) is super toxic to the liver. Lots of people overdose on it, some by accident and some deliberately. As little as FOUR GRAMS can cause jaundice and fuck up your liver. If you have a fever, taking 1 gram every couple of hours might seem entirely reasonable, but it can kill you.

Regardless of any autism links, it's good to be careful with this stuff.

epcoa 9/6/2025||
Without chronic ingestion of medications that compete for glucuronidation or certain CYP450 inducers like antiepileptics, FOUR GRAMS even as a single dose is virtually impossible to cause any harm.

One gram every 2 hours is 12 grams which is on the lower end of toxic doses.

Despite common belief, concurrent alcohol consumption surprisingly does not increase risk, since alcohol competes for CYP2E1 and reduces the rate of production of the toxic metabolite NAPQI. Similarly for chronic liver disease. The use of NSAIDS (ibuprofen, etc) with cirrhosis is absolutely less safe than tylenol at therapeutic doses.

frodo8sam 9/6/2025|||
Taking one gram every 5-6 hours for a maximum of 4 gram/day IS entirely reasonable.

I don't know how you jumped from "it's dangerous to take in to high amounts, even 4 times the recommended dose is dangerous" to "the recommened dose is dangerous".

When taken correctly it is very safe and had fewer side effects then NSAIDs like ibuprofen.

afavour 9/6/2025|||
So in summary: taking 4x the recommended dose of a medication is dangerous?

How many other medications would that apply to? Countless, I imagine. That’s why we have dosages on every bottle.

exe34 9/6/2025||
paracetamol is unusual in this respect, that the toxic dose is so close to the therapeutic dose, but the benefits outweigh the risks.

after I had dental surgery, I took paracetamol and ibuprofen in alternate doses every 4h - I would have been in screaming pain if I couldn't have both as an option.

kelnos 9/6/2025||
Maybe by FDA-type standards, 4x is "close", but to me, I would think it absurd to take 4x the recommended dose of something unless directed to by a doctor.

I was recently prescribed 800mg ibuprofen for an injury, where 200mg is the standard OTC dose, and I even questioned that.

exe34 7 days ago||
you'd be surprised how casual some people are with doses. my old grandma had a big bag of medication she had collected over the years and occasionally she'd sit down and pick a couple like smarties and gulp them down.

when my dad decided to step in, he took her to a doctor to get a full review and confiscate the bag.

hshdhdhj4444 9/6/2025|||
I don’t understand these responses.

A person in power makes unsubstantiated (and often disproven claims), and makes major decisions that affect all our lives based on those claims.

And the response ignores the fact that the people in power are making decisions based on complete nonsense and pointing to something fairly trivial that everyone knows about anyways.

I mean, I haven’t been to a doctor who hasn’t pointed out that there are limits to how much acetaminophen one can take. There’s a reason anything above a 650mg dose is prescription only. Theirs is a reason if you’re suffering from a severe fever doctors will give you both acetaminophen and ibuprofen and have you alternate them.

If there is a tiny minority that is apparently unaware of the fact that Tylenol in high doses can have adverse effects or at the very least not even aware of the fact that most medications need to be taken as prescribed or within the suggested limits, that’s a minuscule part of the problem relative to people in power making decisions based on unproven claims.

tsoukase 9/6/2025|||
Taking so much paracetamol so often will totally lose its effect after 2-3 doses. If you continue, then it's considered suicide attempt zone.
loloquwowndueo 9/6/2025|||
Taking 1 gram every couple of hours does NOT seem entirely reasonable when the directions on every Tylenol bottle in the world say to take no more than 1g (2x500mg caps) every FOUR HOURS at most and no more than 4g per 24-hour period. Half the bottle is covered in ominous red warnings about liver damage.

It’s like saying jumping on subway tracks when there’s no train is entirely reasonable when there are ample warnings on the platform to not do that.

“ Regardless of any autism links” - there you go again with the innuendo. My dude if you want to warn about how dangerous Tylenol is in and of itself when misused, go right ahead, but leave autism out of it, you’re playing right into the “Tylenol cause autism” fearmonger’s hands.

jimbob45 9/6/2025||
Some of y’all have never worked a blue collar job in your lives and it shows.
abeyer 9/6/2025|||
Most of the blue collar coworkers I've had knew full well that you just needed to add some hydrocodone into the mix and you'd be fine w/ a few hundred mg on the acetaminophen for a full shift.
Der_Einzige 7 days ago||||
Hmm, a bunch of high IQ people conclude that it’s dumb as hell to destroy your body for worse wages than coding. Who would have thought?

Why should we feel sorry for the skilled trades again? Mechanics are expert famous scammers worse than lawyer (grandma just replaced her blinker fluid!) That’s just one example. Leak detection companies are nearly all scammers too.

kelnos 9/6/2025||||
No, I haven't, but that doesn't absolve people of their responsibility in actively deciding to chronically overdose on pain meds, if that's what they're doing.
loloquwowndueo 7 days ago|||
What’s your point here?
dennis_jeeves2 9/6/2025|||
>Paracetamol/acetaminophen (the active ingredient in tylenol) is super toxic to the liver

This is very true. ( and no, he is not exaggerating)

epcoa 9/6/2025|||
Tylenol itself is not toxic to the liver, the metabolite of glucuronidation is what is toxic. Which means paradoxically impaired liver function can actually reduce the effective toxicity of Tylenol.
dennis_jeeves2 9/6/2025||
Fair enough.
kelnos 9/6/2025|||
I mean, sure, but the most important part you left out: "if you take 4x the recommended dosage, or take it consistently beyond the recommended period of use".

Lots of drugs are toxic if misused or abused. Acetaminophen is not unique in that regard.

_mlbt 9/6/2025||
[flagged]
dennis_jeeves2 9/6/2025|||
>Even if RFK Jr. provides ironclad scientific proof of this link they'll just deny it.

As far as I know he is really well read/informed - most people are not in that league and such people are completely dismissive of anything that is counter-narrative.

kelnos 9/6/2025||
As far as I know he's a crackpot who makes up random shit that has no basis in science. Sometimes that random shit is correct, because as we all know, a broken clock is correct twice a day.

Suggesting he's well-read and well-informed is laughable.

dennis_jeeves2 9/7/2025||
>As far as I know he's a crackpot who makes up random shit that has no basis in science.

Well for me then you are in the category of most people. Ill read/informed and will parrot what mainstream 'science' has to say. Anything that one says that is against the common narrative in medicine is struck down by the 's' word. You can laugh at me.

saubeidl 9/6/2025|||
[flagged]
mountainriver 9/6/2025||
It’s insane that the RFK crowd continues to not consider that the increase is just due to better diagnoses.

I wouldn’t entirely rule out there being environmental factors, but from the data I could gather it seems that acetaminophen usage has decreased in pregnancy over the last several decades in the US, while autism has increased.

This all seems to go back to the boomer generation believing the world was simpler when they grew up and that it was somehow ruined. That may be true about some things but the reality of their generation is they had no idea what people were going through, and didn’t have the language to describe it

johnbellone 9/6/2025|
Better diagnosis and that autism covers a wider range of symptoms.
bitwize 9/6/2025|
I've been talking about this for a little while: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45006936

I'll take RFK being the stopped clock on this over him causing yet more harm to the medical community and to Americans' health.

macintux 9/6/2025|
The problem is that RFK, like Trump, has effectively created a situation where anything they say is immediately discredited by a huge portion of the population.
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