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Posted by chmaynard 2 days ago

No science, no startups: The innovation engine we're switching off(steveblank.com)
702 points | 475 commentspage 4
hobobaggins 1 day ago|
> Tons of words have been written about the Trump Administrations war on Science in Universities.

... followed by lots more words that don't support this premise.

Vektorceraptor 1 day ago||
My brain reads “No science, no startups” — alarm bells. This kind of mono-causal oversimplification can only be anti-Trump clickbait — I ignore the post. A few seconds later, guilt kicks in — “Don’t be so ignorant!” — I click the link. Literally the ninth word is Trump. My brain: “Alright, that says it all.”

I scroll a bit — should I really read this? My brain: “No, let ChatGPT analyze it critically.” Conclusion: The same kind of simplistic linear causality is presented without substance — no sources, no data, no valid projections — uncritically carried through. Typical NPC-scripted “science,” representative of much of today’s “NPC academia.” It’s just a patchwork of general knowledge and some combinatorial creativity, pretending to be expertise, seriousness, and understanding — enumerated to suggest strange, subjective, unscientific, and mostly personal goals.

This exact kind of NPC-scripted “science” needs to be exposed and discredited as pseudo. If this is the so-called “defense” of science, then it deserves to be opposed. Simple as that.

PLEASE - for the love of god - spare me with this nonsense!

ktosobcy 1 day ago||
Hush hush... the startups that aim to "disrupt" running on burning VC funds will definitelly improve our lives! Pinky promise! /s
utopiah 1 day ago||
Oh no, Steve Blank is now pro big government like Mariana Mazzucato! /s

PS: teasing aside she did write The Entrepreneurial State: Debunking Public vs. Private Sector Myths in 2013 on the topic.

oldpersonintx2 1 day ago||
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ultrablack 1 day ago||
[flagged]
galoisscobi 1 day ago||
Why do you think they don’t teach critical thinking?
mike_hearn 1 day ago|||
Because whilst universities claim they do that, there is no evidence to suggest it is true. People genuinely trained in critical thinking would be highly skeptical of this claim. For example,

- What exactly is the definition of critical thinking they are using?

- Which part of a {computer science, art history, etc} course teaches this?

- How is it assessed?

- If it's a teachable skill, why are there no qualifications in it or researchers studying it specifically?

- If it's something universities teach, why are there so many bad papers full of logical fallacies and obvious fraud?

I know some like to argue philosophy is such a course but very few people do philosophy degrees, so even if that were true it could hardly be generalized to all of university teaching.

JohnMakin 1 day ago|||
I've taken 2 required critical thinking courses from 2 different state schools. They were in the philosophy department. Why do you think they don't teach it? In stanford, for instance, they require taking 2 courses on formal reasoning as a prerequisite for a degree, which invariably includes critical thinking.
mike_hearn 1 day ago||
I've never heard of anyone being required to take a philosophy course but some universities surely do it. I was curious about the Stanford claim. This is the Ways system, right? Their website says you need to take at least one course in formal reasoning:

https://ways.stanford.edu/about/ways-categories/formal-reaso...

They list a few examples like market design or programming. I thought, OK, formal reasoning maybe, but is that really the same as critical thinking? Then I clicked the "See Formal Reasoning Courses in Explore Courses" link:

https://explorecourses.stanford.edu/search?q=all%20courses&v...

143 courses are considered to teach formal reasoning. First on the list is "The Questions of Cloth: Weaving, Pattern Complexity and Structures of Fabric (ARTSINST 100B)" which teaches hand weaving on a loom. A bit further down there is "Introduction to Bioengineering" which teaches "capacities of natural life on Earth" and "how atoms can be organized to make molecules". It goes on like that.

I dunno, this doesn't sound like anyone has to study critical thinking specifically to pass the formal reasoning requirements. It sounds like almost anything connected to science or engineering in any way counts. And that's Stanford!

JohnMakin 1 day ago||
There was a critical thinking requirement that multiple courses fulfilled. One was a critical thinking english class that involved a lot of writing. I didn't want to write, so I chose the philosophy course (which still involved writing).

Here is a state school that has a foundation requirement in critical thinking with several courses:

https://www.csulb.edu/student-records/ge-approved-courses-ca...

mike_hearn 1 day ago||
Yes, but, thinking critically about this, why would learning how to hand-weave on a loom teach critical thinking? I get that you weren't doing these courses at Stanford but it's this kind of thing that makes people skeptical when universities make grandiloquent claims. Stanford is supposed to be the gold standard, so when it makes it appear that they teach critical thinking but actually don't (or it's at least very easy to make choices that won't do so) of course the claim is devalued.

If universities really cared about this aspect of their reputation they'd defend it by firing professors who were found to not be thinking critically e.g. by praising or putting their names on papers that are clearly fraudulent. It doesn't happen.

JohnMakin 1 day ago||
Your original claim was "there is no evidence to suggest this is true (teaching critical thinking)". I presented my own anecdotal evidence, and then a counterexample. I'm sure there are many, many more. Moving the goalposts is not a discussion I'm interested in having and you seem to have a very set viewpoint on this topic.
mike_hearn 23 hours ago||
But I disagree with your counterexample - Stanford may say they do this but I don't think they do given the evidence I saw. Or at least, you'd have to explicitly seek it out as a student to get such exposure.

So we're left with your anecdotes. Lots of people have such anecdotes. People saying "I learned critical thinking at university" are a dime a dozen, but their beliefs aren't evidence they really did.

I don't think this is moving the goalposts. Obviously when I meant "no evidence" I meant no evidence that could persuade someone who didn't agree with the proposition. Just saying "yes they do" isn't evidence.

galoisscobi 1 day ago|||
That's an interesting perspective. Thanks for sharing. If you had free rein of an engineering school in a university system, how would you re-design curriculum to address your concerns and establish proof of teaching critical thinking?
mike_hearn 1 day ago||
I don't know, I never thought about it much. I think engineering schools already do better than most others at this because requirements validation and weighing tradeoffs is such a big part of engineering as a discipline. Validating requirements often boils down to critical thinking, e.g. "but do you really mean that" and "is there a better way?".

The issues with critical thinking really show up in the other areas of academia, the humanities and natural sciences. But it's hard to get people to do it because often there are strong incentives not to think critically, or to be outright misleading deliberately.

I guess a curriculum focused around finding subtle flaws in arguments would be a reasonable place to start. It could be a lot of work to compile teaching materials that are tough enough. You could take papers that you know contain logic errors and ask students to find them. For instance, a lot of COVID papers work like this:

1. A COVID case is defined as anyone who gets a positive PCR test.

2. A positive PCR test is defined as detecting a COVID case.

When you see it spelled out so simply the problem is obvious but the whole field of public health managed to not see it (there were a few papers that timidly pointed out the circular logic, but it never reached public awareness). Of course maybe it was deliberate. But you could assign students a few relevant papers and ask them to analyze them critically.

flanked-evergl 1 day ago|||
We have all met college graduates.
galoisscobi 1 day ago|||
I don’t understand, can you elaborate? I’m trying to understand your perspective. New college grads I generally meet and work with are bright, hard working, curious and have a deep desire to learn.

I don’t think we’re having the same experiences so I want to know more about yours.

flanked-evergl 1 day ago||
Most fresh college graduates I have worked with are anxiety ridden wrecks incapable of developing skills on their own and lack fundamental knowledge of industry practices.
galoisscobi 1 day ago||
Makes sense. I think they're lucky to be around you. Since you're hanging out on HN, I'd imagine you care about tech, doing things well and have a natural curiosity.

Back when I started out, I was deep in debt, insecure about my skills and being around highly skilled people who had many more years of experience only deepened those insecurities. Luckily, people were kind and patient with me and gave me the apprenticeship I needed. They deeply cared about technical expertise and doing things well, probably like you if I am guessing right. I have my dream job today, and I am in a position to mentor new grads. I continue to pay it forward as the senior engineers did when I started out. Not all my colleagues do this, but I see so much potential around me and I try to grow it. It's one of the most satisfying when I get a note from a new grad/junior engineer on how they've grown after our work together.

Thank you for caring!

On a side note, I can't imagine the anxiety they must go through now between the economy being what it is and AI exacerbating the gaps in technical skills. Seems like a scarier time than when I graduated. It's harder to mentor in this environment, but it's a fun challenge to learn how to mentor in this environment.

anon84873628 1 day ago|||
Some of us are even college grads ourselves!
soulofmischief 1 day ago||
You must have missed out on the critical thinking courses, or you'd see the importance of teaching critical race theory. Not everyone is so privileged as you as to not need the benefit of a society educated on racial history.
arunkd13 1 day ago||
I think to prosper out of science / innovation you need cheap energy. I really think, Trump realizes that the age of cheap energy has past.
flanked-evergl 1 day ago||
Academia has become a racket that is actively hostile to technological progress. I want them to get exactly 0 of my tax money for anything.
LogicFailsMe 1 day ago||
Tenured academia, sure, burn it to the ground, no survivors, mostly a temple of mean girls and enablers of those mean girls. Adjunct and other non-tenure track professors, however, not so much. They do the real work along with the postdocs and grad students. And they get the least recognition. And oh the bellyaching when they leave academia with no hope of a tenured position and 10x their salary by pivoting to industry.
anon84873628 1 day ago|||
I understand why academia might be a racket. But why do you think they are actively hostile to technological progress? Are we including all the premier institutions in that claim?
Vektorceraptor 1 day ago||
Academia has become home to scripted NPCs
knowaveragejoe 13 hours ago||
The only people using the term NPC in this manner are, themselves, the real NPCs the term was devised to skewer
intalentive 1 day ago||
"Government funding is the engine of economic innovation" is a tacit admission we have a planned economy.
roncesvalles 1 day ago||
That's a strawman, you're not quoting anyone and the article doesn't imply anything so reductive.
ModernMech 1 day ago|||
That would depend on how the funding is controlled. If funding approvals had to go through partisan bureaucrats in the White House for approval, yes, that's a planned economy. Historically it's been disparate groups of scientists who decide how block grants from Congress get divided. I've had colleagues who go and work at the NSF just for that role. I wouldn't say that guy making decisions about what kind of programming languages research gets funding is planning the economy.

I also wouldn't say Congress allocating this or that block grants toward broad areas is planning the economy either. Usually planned economies are bad because it's one guy or one committee doing the planning, and they're really just a dysfunctional and doesn't incorporate evidence to make decisions. You get better decisions when you spread the planning across groups of loosely affiliated experts in their field.

mike_hearn 1 day ago|||
The difference between a planned and unplanned economy isn't whether the bureaucrats claim to be politically neutral, scientists or anything else. The first head of GOSPLAN was a scientist and its members were academics.

Academic funding is absolutely a planned economy. No way around that. It's literally committees of people allocating money requisitioned through tax and deciding what to spend it on, whilst having no skin in the game themselves.

ModernMech 1 day ago||
Then maybe I don't understand what you mean by a planned economy, because I understand them to be characterized by centralized decision-making, not distributed decision-making across committees.
mike_hearn 1 day ago||
It's about independence. Academic funding committees are not distributed or independent in any meaningful way. They might appear to be physically spread around the country, but look at what happened once the Trump admin came in. Academic funding policies changed over night.

In an unplanned economy, people make decisions about how to allocate their own resources, in the hope of earning a profit. There are not institutes setting policy frameworks that they have to follow, or committees arguing about how to give away money that they didn't earn to begin with.

ModernMech 1 day ago||
Yeah, that's not really how I view central planning. To me, central planning is when decisions go through a central authority. The only thing centralized here is the money pot. The decision making about what gets funded is mostly distributed though. Yes the Trump administration is wielding influence but the way they are doing it is by exerting control over the purse strings, which is decidedly not constitutional. Indeed, the fact this has never happened before despite successive party changes shows that what Trump is doing is extraordinary.

> In an unplanned economy, people make decisions about how to allocate their own resources

Okay but we are not talking about allocating private dollars for profit, we're talking about allocating public dollars for science. People are still free to allocate their private dollars as they see fit. Notably, given the freedom to do so, most people do not allocate their private dollars for public science, making public science funding all the more necessary.

The grant committees didn't earn the money, but as practicing scientists of some renown they have earned the right to weigh in on how public dollars should be spent.

IG_Semmelweiss 1 day ago||
>>>The grant committees didn't earn the money, but as practicing scientists of some renown they have earned the right to weigh in on how public dollars should be spent.

No. They have not. They haven't earned anything. If they did, they would have had a connection to a company and thru their technical expertise, chosen exactly what to develop next, with their own (or investor's) dollars at stake.

You can't claim the best at a subject and purport to demonstrate it by writing a book. Say, risk management. Real risk managers open hedge funds. Academics write about other's hedge funds.

One has battle scars. The other is soft. Soft people don't get to make decisions on how to allocate anything. No cowards for leaders, since time immemorial.

astrange 1 day ago|||
This kind of marginal risk thinking has never made sense to me because of the declining marginal value of money.

If you have $0 you can't accept any risk and can't make any decisions correctly. But if you have like $4 million you also have no reason to make any decisions correctly because risk no longer matters to you. So it relies on them having expensive tastes such that they can't just retire?

nofriend 1 day ago||
It has to do with the lindy effect. If you have $X, statistically you will quit trying to accumulate money when you have $2X. Hence you are safe to entrust some reasonable fraction of $X in without fear of you running away with it. Someone with substantially less than $X will see that as the most money they will ever see in their lifetime and immediately being trying to cash out.
ModernMech 1 day ago|||
> chosen exactly what to develop next, with their own (or investor's) dollars at stake.

We are talking about fundamental research here. Most investors are not interested in funding fundamental science, evidenced by the fact they have all the power to currently fund such work, but they choose not to.

> You can't claim the best at a subject and purport to demonstrate it by writing a book

They don't, they do it by doing science and building a reputation in their field for doing good work. People who work at the NSF and NIH are vouched for by others in their field.

> Real risk managers open hedge funds. Academics write about other's hedge funds.

The interests of private equity and hedge fund managers are well represented. They have plenty of say on public policy and how resources are allocated. It's good to give other people with different perspectives a say as well. Again, the total amount of money allocated for public research is very tiny compared to the rest of the federal budget, private research dollars, total hedge fund wealth, etc.

terminalshort 1 day ago|||
Funding approvals do have to go through partisan bureaucrats. Until recently when the Trump administration killed it, NIH grant proposals had to contain a "diversity statement."
ModernMech 1 day ago||
NIH grant officers are not partisans, they are career scientists who manage a fair and transparent process for funding research. Their role is to ensure proposals are reviewed based on scientific merit, not political views. The way you're describing them is the opposite of how they operate.

The existence of diversity statements reflect institutional goals -- namely that the NIH funds science from a diverse set of researchers, to benefit a nation made up of a diverse population, who are funding all of this research.

The only partisans in the picture are the MAGA political actors who are going around saying that the NIH can't do these things for political reasons.

pkilgore 1 day ago||
"Venture funding is the engine of economic innovation" is a tacit admission we have a planned economy.
zkmon 1 day ago|
>> Scientists are driven by curiosity

Ok, then why do they get affected by funding? The truth is, today there is not a scientist, artist, researcher or writer who is not driven by funding. The era for curiosity-driven science is was over a long time ago.

The direction of research or science is all driven by funding.

holden_nelson 1 day ago||
if scientists are so curious, why do they have to eat??? checkmate atheists

Less snarky: getting funding and making a living in academia, which is the most accessible way to be a scientist, has been cutthroat since long before this administration. If it were more accessible, or if staying alive weren't so damn expensive, I think we'd see more curiosity-driven science being performed.

Also, I don't believe one negates the other. As an engineer, my work satisfies my curiosity / desire to build, and I would do it for $50k, but I'm not gonna take a pay cut to prove how curious I am.

suriya-ganesh 1 day ago|||
Lets say the scientist takes $0 home (which is ridiculous btw). even then you would need the almighty "funding" to setup a lab, recruit participants, etc.

Anybody doing science at a University is definitely doing it at a significant discount to their salary (phds are paid ~$50K at the high end) at a private company.

some_guy_nobel 1 day ago|||
Here we have someone who clearly practices little real science, as evident by the ease with which they speak absolute statements that apply extremely broadly.
zkmon 1 day ago||
I'm sure you are a Scientist. I worked as a Scientist (not a data scientist etc), worked on pure science projects that ran under grants from government, spoke at international conferences presenting the findings etc. Believe me. Every single move in this "science" work was guided by funding. Not just my projects, but all of them.
some_guy_nobel 1 day ago|||
Yes, I agree there is a funding requirement for academic science. Hell, even attending a conference you've been accepted to is prohibitively expensive if out of your own pocket.

But your original statement was far too broad:

> there is not a scientist, artist, researcher or writer who is not driven by funding.

There are absolutely members from every one of those subsets driven by curiousity.

(In my own life, I have reached out to labs in completely different fields than my own to help publish out of nothing more than pure curiosity.)

selimthegrim 1 day ago|||
So nobody in your department ever ran out of stipend or research funding?
zkmon 1 day ago||
Nope. The grants were always sort of 5-year projects. They just keep on going. We were employees, doing the work we were asked to do, not doing something we were curious about. For example, do this experiment, get field measurements, correlate them to some factors and publish a report. Ensure it takes 5 years and nothing less.
selimthegrim 1 day ago||
All I have to say is that it was not uncommon for people to run out of funding at my research university, nor others I was at.
vanviegen 1 day ago|||
I believe that most scientists start out being driven by curiosity. Just like most politicians start out being driven by ideology.

Unfortunately, we've created a system that wears them down to being driven largely by self-preservation.

Many people eager to better the world come of age every second. It's just that once they've amassed enough power to make a dent, most of them have been worn down.

barkingdog48 1 day ago|||
[flagged]
ninetyninenine 1 day ago||
Everything in the world is driven by money. There was never such a thing as curiosity driven science.

What pays for your leisure time so you can be alive and not starve? Money. Nobody on the face of the earth can just be curious and do science and not starve.