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Posted by WorldPeas 1 day ago

Level S4 solar radiation event(www.swpc.noaa.gov)
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-proton-flux
578 points | 188 comments
markonen 6 hours ago|
Just had my first uncorrectable memory read error on our servers in 10 years or so today (in Sacramento). I'd like to think it's related because the alternative (buying new DIMMs) is too horrifying to contemplate
buildbot 3 hours ago|
Last major storm I saw a significant number of single bit errors on my main server - never happened again, still using the same ram. So +1 anecdote
dosnem 40 minutes ago||
Is this detectable without some parity checks?
jjcm 21 hours ago||
If anyone is interested in what "G4" means in context, here's the scale: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
Helmut10001 16 hours ago||
Interestingly, there are about 100 events of this severity (G4) per cycle, and a single cycle lasts 11 years. This means there are about nine G4 events on average per year.
tomr_stargazer 13 hours ago||
Note, however, that the solar cycle [0] is so named due to its minimum and maximum: the most severe events will be clustered around the maximum, rather than spread out over the whole cycle (as your comment suggested) - so the "nine G4 events on average per year" is mathematically true but not so helpful.

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_cycle

8bitsrule 20 hours ago|||
G4: " Induced pipeline currents affect preventive measures, HF radio propagation sporadic..."

G5: " Pipeline currents can reach hundreds of amps, HF (high frequency) radio propagation may be impossible in many areas for one to two days..."

mcs5280 14 hours ago|||
Sam Altman has entered an agreement to acquire all future G4 and G5 energy
gexla 18 hours ago||||
"Cool! What's G13 do?" - Bill Hicks

Looks like G5 is the highest level and the scale system is used by NOAA.

ck2 42 minutes ago|||
G13 could be a gamma-ray burst from a collapsing star less than 100 light years from earth

in which case, don't worry about it as we won't be around to worry about it further

astro-physics is AMAZING (until it kills you lol)

serf 11 hours ago|||
>"Cool! What's G13 do?" - Bill Hicks

I hear that bit in my head every time a new plane or weapon designation is announced, glad to hear it stuck with others too.

justinator 13 hours ago||||
Waiting until it's like a G6, Like a G6

Now I'm feelin' so fly like a G6

miduil 13 hours ago||
Thanks, really had to listen to the song.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DWRJC8ap9B4

gosub100 18 hours ago||||
"Free Energy!"
autoexec 15 hours ago|||
That's the nice thing about solar power, but it's still a limited time offer
smcnally 7 hours ago||
Indirect Nuclear Fusion
tclancy 8 hours ago|||
I wonder if they’re still putting out music …
dmurray 12 hours ago|||
HF propagation is flaky at the best of times. It's affected by the day/night cycle and by the weather.
9dev 12 hours ago|||
The scale seems capped at a pretty low upper end? It feels like with all the mindbogglingly huge numbers usually involved when talking about space, there must be much, much worse events possible. Is it just that we don't know enough about them due to lack of experience that these aren't included?
poizan42 10 hours ago||
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carrington_Event

But having been in 1859 we only have estimates on what the consequences would be in the modern world. But pretty grim at the looks of it.

irthomasthomas 20 hours ago|||
We are at kp 8.67. The Carrington event was a kp 9
ianruh 19 hours ago|||
I am not an expert, but it’s worth noting that the kp index has a maximum value of 9. So though the Carrington event had a kp of 9, its intensity on the related (but not capped) HP30/HP60 scale [1] would likely have been higher. [1] https://kp.gfz.de/en/hp30-hp60
repeekad 19 hours ago||
Queue Chernobyl documentary clip measuring the radiation as low because that’s as high the meter went
wyldfire 18 hours ago|||
s/queue/cue/

Though I suppose you could also queue it.

repeekad 13 hours ago||
Meant the first and people should do the second, Chernobyl on HBO is great.

It’s also technically not a documentary but historical drama.

celsoazevedo 19 hours ago|||
3.6 roentgen. Not great, not terrible!
anonymous344 15 hours ago|||
here, take one ö
wyldfire 13 hours ago||
Everybody's a diacritic.
qingcharles 17 hours ago|||
*skin sloughs off*
anonym29 15 hours ago||
You didn't see any graphite because it's not there!
wafflemaker 2 hours ago||
Everything about these miniseries was wonderful.

Casting (who played who), acting, costumes and scenography (where did they get all these '80 soviet cars), and choice of scenes to film.

I had my hair rising when the guy cleaning roof of a building neighboring the reactor got stuck in deadly radiation zone for 4x the allowed 13 seconds. "You're dead comrade."

kelseydh 15 hours ago||||
Disturbance storm time index (DST) is a better measure of peak intensity as KP is just a weighted average of the intensity from the last three hours across monitoring stations.

The May 2024 G5 electrical storm had a peak measured DST of −412 nT: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/May_2024_solar_storms

The Carrington Event had an estimated peak DST of −800 nT to −1750 nT, but no one really knows: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carrington_Event

keepamovin 16 hours ago||||
This is also related to weaker solar events leading to stronger Earth storms due to Earth's weakening magnetic field.
echelon 19 hours ago|||
Have we been having these more recently?

I don't ever recall seeing these in the news so frequently. It feels like there are several a year now. A decade ago, never.

And I also never remember seeing Aurora at my latitudes.

Do we just have better sensing now, or is there some cycle on a period longer than a few years? Or maybe I'm crazy and just never noticed.

0manrho 16 hours ago|||
Mid to late 2025 was the peak of an 11 year solar cycle (25th one since we've started keeping track). We're on the trailing end of that peak activity now, which is why the past year/several months has seemed so active compared to recent years past, and should decrease significantly (in frequency and intensity) as 2026 progresses.

There was also a fairly significant geomagnetic storm back in November of 2025 as well.

You can see the data here at NOAA's Space Weather site https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression

awesome_dude 19 hours ago||||
We've just passed the 11 year peak - the sun spot activity has a period of around 11 years.
ErroneousBosh 6 hours ago|||
> Have we been having these more recently?

Yes, for suitable values of "recently".

> And I also never remember seeing Aurora at my latitudes.

How old are you?

If you're younger than say your mid-40s you probably won't remember the early 80s, which is the last time we had a solar maximum that really came to anything.

Solar activity rises and falls on an 11-year cycle, and right now we're experiencing quite a peak. The previous three, peaking in 2014, 2011, and 1989 were a bit of a bust.

There was a massive peak in 1979 and I can remember my dad showing me the aurora when I was about six or seven - it seemed to be present most nights over the winter. That was also around the time of the CB Radio craze, where atmospheric conditions were such that you could use "skip" - bouncing radio signals off the highly-charged ionosphere - to talk to people hundreds of miles away as if they were just down the road, even on the comparatively high frequencies that CB used. There was a bit of a peak in the late 80s, and some good RF propagation too, as well as some incredible aurora - although the big one I remember was in about the end of 1991, early 1992.

We had absolutely blistering hot summers followed by really cold and snowy winters, too, kind of like we're having at the moment.

If the solar cycles have a longer repeating cycle of intensity on the scale of a hundred years or so (and it looks a bit like they do) then the next solar maximum in about 2036 is going to be even bigger.

xeckr 20 hours ago|||
Looks like we get these for about 60 days for periods lasting 11 years.
non- 19 hours ago|||
> Biological: Unavoidable radiation hazard to astronauts on EVA; passengers and crew in high-flying aircraft at high latitudes may be exposed to radiation risk.

Anyone have a sense of magnitude for this advisory? How much more radiation should an airline passenger expect to receive during a G4 event than normal?

inatreecrown2 19 hours ago||
roughly up to 5-10 times the normal dose.
NeoInHacker 15 hours ago||
sounds "it's okey" ?
jojobas 15 hours ago||
Nowhere near lifetime occupational dose limits.
velocity3230 13 hours ago|||
This was an S4 event, however.
velocity3230 13 hours ago||
Belay that. The G-value was high too.
neonmagenta 20 hours ago||
so more of a 'bad storm here and there' level?
bartman 21 hours ago||
We had intense aurora in Berlin, Germany. Green clouds dancing in the sky levels. Started around 22:10 local time or a bit earlier, and at this point there's only a faint red/green glow remaining.
rob74 21 hours ago||
Yeah, there were auroras even as far south as Munich. Maybe not as intense, but it's the first aurora I ever saw, so I can't really judge...
ccozan 20 hours ago||
I am south-west of Munich and with a perfect clear sky I could only see stars, one meteor, and that's it.
fransje26 36 minutes ago|||
It was visible in the 22:00-23:00 time window. Here in the south west, the sky started turning green around 22:30.
Kyro38 4 hours ago|||
We also had them in Grenoble, south of France.
madduci 14 hours ago|||
Can confirm, I've seen pink/green glow over Berlin Sky (and pictures as well)
fluxflexer 20 hours ago|||
Just spend an hour outsite (Northern Germany, 01:00 MET). Unfortunately nothing to report, neither visual nor on camera. Maybe I just went to late and missed the show. I hope you habe more luck in Canada and the US!
madduci 14 hours ago|||
I'm Berlin was around 22-23 o'clock visible
jacquesm 20 hours ago|||
It's pretty subtle right now here in NL but I can still see it with the naked eye. Mostly greenish haze that fades in and out.
CalRobert 16 hours ago||
ahh I just went outside (south of Utrecht) and saw nothing. Maybe too much light pollution.
jacquesm 10 hours ago||
I'm lucky in that I was close to the IJsselmeer.
karim79 20 hours ago|||
I was just out at a dog park and saw nothing! We have clear skies. I can't believe I missed this.
danesparza 2 hours ago||
Next time take a long exposure picture with your phone. You might be able to see it that way.
paulmist 21 hours ago|||
Also seen in the Netherlands!
Tachyooon 20 hours ago|||
Could you see it from the inner city or only closer to the edges?
bartman 19 hours ago||
Friends who live in Kreuzberg and Friedrichshain could see it pretty well. I'm a bit further south within Berlin where skies are minimally darker, but between 10pm and 11pm it was so bright that light pollution didn't matter.

Funnily enough, despite having lots of alerts set up it was my mom who texted me from northern Brandenburg as she spotted it after getting an alert from RegenRadar, of all apps...

Tachyooon 18 hours ago|||
It's amazing to hear it's visible in such a big city. I don't have a good intuition for all the metrics that describe how strong this storm was/is, but when put like this it hits home.

Nice to hear earth weather apps also work great in space haha. I'll keep that in mind when I set up my own notifications. Hopefully I have time to look into it before the next storm hits.

thrawn0r 13 hours ago|||
Saw it in Fhain as well over Ostkreuz station
TacticalCoder 17 hours ago|||
I tought I was seeing aurora borealis here at 4 am local time in the neighboring Grand Duchy of Luxemburg but it was just visual pollution due to lights from a city.
marc_g 14 hours ago||
Oh really? Oh no I missed it! Is it going to happen again today?
miduil 22 hours ago||
Nice, you can already see some solar flares in Austria again.

https://www.foto-webcam.eu/webcam/kleinfleisskees/

https://www.foto-webcam.eu/

qwertox 21 hours ago||
Oh wow! https://www.foto-webcam.eu/webcam/ederplan/2026/01/20/0000

And up at the top right, left to "Latest" you can skip the time back and forth at 10 minute intervals. And then jump back like 10 images, what a beauty.

You can even see Starlink satellites https://www.foto-webcam.eu/webcam/ederplan/2026/01/19/1820

irjustin 20 hours ago|||
Possibly the most brilliant are around:

- https://www.foto-webcam.eu/webcam/ederplan/2026/01/19/2230

- https://www.foto-webcam.eu/webcam/ederplan/2026/01/19/2240

Incredible, thanks so much!

chakintosh 9 hours ago||
Crazy how many starlink satellite trains can be seen here. I spotted 4 trains, in that one cam
irjustin 7 hours ago||
Isn't that just 4 sats and it looks like that because of long exposure?
jcims 6 hours ago|||
Not to be a buzzkill but I think those are planes. The stars show trails so these must be long exposures, and trails of similar length appear to be going in all different directions, eg: https://www.foto-webcam.eu/webcam/ederplan/2026/01/19/1820
caseyohara 20 hours ago||
Those images around 19:00 are amazing. Thanks for sharing.
jesprenj 8 hours ago||
Our network router in our radio station started acting crazy at 22:00:40 Europe/Ljubljana time. Uptime monitoring via HTTPS reported downtime for 5 minutes, but our radio archive that records audio over LiveWire recorded some bitcrushing effects for 5 minues. Maybe our Mikrotik hEX was flipping some bits? Recording from the radio archive: https://splet.4a.si./dir/solar.mp3
motrm 7 hours ago||
Sounds like a dialup modem at about 3:30 :)

How sure are we the aliens aren't trying to dial in?

justsomehnguy 7 hours ago||
Yes, sounds similar to a corrupted digital audio.

Replace hex with something more robust, at least with an actual metallic case.

noumenon1111 3 hours ago|||
*Gemini Tech Tip #624:* Boost your Wi‑Fi and spiritual resilience by wrapping your router in aluminum foil! Protect against solar flares, reptilian packet theft, and basic physics. Turn it into a family craft: make and decorate foil router cozies and matching foil hats, then browse Reddit and/or the park, seeking fellow shiny‑headed believers.
jesprenj 6 hours ago|||
Yes, that is planned. As soon as we get more money (:
frzen 21 hours ago||
I had the most intensely coloured lights visible in the west of Ireland. I've seen them a few times before but never like this. Phones were capturing them in video not just long exposures.

Not sure what the best service is to be alerted ahead of time. Apparently it'll be strong here again at 6am according to some of the apps some random people were waving around.

ortusdux 20 hours ago|
There are several apps that do a good job of alerting users. I use "Aurora Pro", which I prefer because it checks cloud cover and lets you set alert thresholds based on viewing probability.
King-Aaron 20 hours ago||
I woke up to a notification from aurora pro today, I'd forgotten I had the app. This would explain it
wafflemaker 1 hour ago||
What are the best apps to get notified when there's a geomagnetic storm /chances to see Aurora? Preferably not only for USA.
notfish 4 hours ago||
Had to stay up until 2am shutting down our spacecraft. Stupid sun hates to see me get a solid night’s sleep.
aclindsa 2 hours ago|
What spacecraft is your spacecraft?
phendrenad2 2 hours ago||
And where did you park it? And what's the combination to open the hatch?
andrewinardeer 19 hours ago||
Any tips on best practices in how one can protect homelab rigs from a Carrington level event? Let's say we were given two days notice that the mother of all S4s was inbound. Just switch everything off?

What if one of my homelabs needed 100% uptime to meet my wife's SLA for messaging? Is this able to be protected?

amluto 18 hours ago||
Not much? As I understand it, the major effects are in very long wires. Long wires can have get massive induced currents. But your homelab is unlikely to have long wires or very large loops. Ethernet wires are limited to 100m, and unshielded Ethernet is transformer-isolated to well over 1kV.

Shielded Ethernet could plausibly have issues with induced current on the shield. PoE might be less immune than ordinary Ethernet depending on what you’re doing with it, although well-behaved devices should be isolated. If you have a cable ISP, the cable shield might get toasty, although it’s likely to be grounded close enough to your house that any damage will be upstream.

Your 100% uptime will be tricky if your ISP goes down or you lose power.

rootusrootus 18 hours ago|||
AFAIK the risk is for long transmission lines. So your equipment at home is not really in any danger, as long as there is not a major surge on the transmission lines that makes it all the way to your house. If that happens, well, losing the home lab is probably no longer the issue.
idatum 18 hours ago|||
Discontinue use of your telegraph system.

Perhaps though you will still be able to continue to send and receive messages despite having disconnected your power supply. [1]

[1] https://babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=uva.x001679510&seq=40...

tbrownaw 17 hours ago||
Make sure you have a surge protector or ups, in case it makes the power grid go funky. Which you should have anyway.

Also, it could be a convenient excuse to upgrade to fiber internet service if you haven't already. (Yes, excuse. Equipment should have more than good enough isolation to not care.)

johncolanduoni 14 hours ago||
Even if you don't have fiber all the way into your house, most cable internet terminates pretty close to the home these days. It kind of has to, since bandwidth has gone way up and as a result they can't put very many subscribers on the same termination system.

We didn't really understand this kind of thing when the Carrington event happened, so nobody knows for sure, but estimates for induced voltage on long conductors are usually something on the order of 20V/km. So for a 5 km long coaxial cable, you're only talking about ~120V of induced potential difference (i.e. the same voltage as a residential plug in the US). When people are analyzing the potential damage from this kind of electromagnetic disturbance (E3 is the term you'll see, based on analysis of nuclear EMP which has other components that you don't see in geomagnetic storms regardless of severity), it's mostly about really long conductors, like on the order of 100km.

Animats 21 hours ago|
PJM had some geomagnetic disturbance warnings, but did not progress to the alert stage or grid re-configuation actions. So, no US power grid problems.

    104955 Warning Geomagnetic Disturbance Warning 01.19.2026 14:30 
    PJM-RTO
    A Geomagnetic Disturbance Warning has been issued for
    14:30 on 01.19.2026 through 16:00 on 01.19.2026 .
    A GMD warning of K8 or greater is in effect for this period. 
    End time: 01.19.2026 16:00 
(All times are prevailing Eastern US time)

I've posted on this before, for other warnings. Not going to repeat that.

cbdevidal 20 hours ago|
Thank you, that's a really handy resource. Shared with my prepper friends.

https://emergencyprocedures.pjm.com/ep/pages/dashboard.jsf

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