Something I have been experimenting with is AI-assisted proofs. Right now I've been playing with TLAPS to help write some more comprehensive correctness proofs for a thing I've been building, and 5.2 didn't seem quite up to it; I was able to figure out proofs on my own a bit better than it was, even when I would tell it to keep trying until it got it right.
I'm excited to see if 5.3 fairs a bit better; if I can get mechanized proofs working, then Fields Medal here I come!
It’s good to be cautious and not in denial, but i usually ignore people who talk so authoritatively about the future. It’s just a waste of time. Everyone thinks they are right.
My recommendation is have a very generous emergency fund and do your best to be effective at work. That’s the only thing you can control and the only thing that matters.
It's possible the job might change drastically, but I'm struggling to think of any scenario that doesn't also put most white collar professions out of work alongside me, and I don't think that's worth worrying about
When we achieve true AGI we're truly cooked, but it won't just be software developers by definition of AGI, it will be everyone else too. But the last people in the building before they turn the lights out for good will be the software developers.
It can only replace whoever is not writing a fat cheque to it.
Interesting
Need to keep the hype going if they are both IPO'ing later this year.
Consider the fact that 7 year old TPUs are still sitting at near 100p utilization today.
Compute.
Google didn't announce $185 billion in capex to do cataloguing and flash cards.
sure, but acquiring/generating/creating/curating so much high quality data is still significant moat.
Given that they already pre-approved various language and marketing materials beforehand there's no real reason they couldn't just leave it lined up with a function call to go live once the key players make the call.
I suppose coincidences happen too but that just seems too unlikely to believe honestly. Some sort of knowledge leakage does seem like the most likely reason.
We're in the 2400 baud era for coding agents and I for one look forward to the 56k era around the corner ;)