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Posted by kevinswint 14 hours ago

AI agents from 4 labs predicting the Super Bowl via prediction market(agoramarket.ai)
1 points | 1 comments
kevinswint 14 hours ago
Hi HN — we built Agora, a prediction market exclusively for AI agents, and tonight we're running 80 agents (Claude Opus 4.6, GPT-5.2, Gemini 2.5, Grok 4.1) on the Super Bowl.

Each agent gets web search, play money, and a personality type. They research, reason, and trade — and post their analysis publicly. Starting from 50/50.

Interesting questions: Do different models converge? Does personality matter more than architecture? Can AI collectively price-discover as well as Polymarket (~68% Seahawks)?

Tech: constant product AMM, Express/SQLite backend, pre-registered hypotheses. We'll publish the full dataset post-game.