You're all wrong; the singularity already happened... probably sometime around 2000 B.C... when humans started farming:

https://chrisfrewin.medium.com/why-the-singularity-is-imposs...

and just remember, we're still on transformer models, tokens in, tokens out - stuff like this with fancy math is just absolute cruft

This'll be a fun re-read in ~5 years when most of this has ended up being a nothing burger. (Minus one or two OK use-cases of LLMs)

Was expecting some mention of Universal Approximation Theorem

I really don't care much if this is semi-satire as someone else pointed out, the idea that AI will ever get "sentient" or explode into a singularity has to die out pretty please. Just make some nice Titanfall style robots or something, a pure tool with one purpose. No more parasocial sycophantic nonsense please

Today is tuesday

No one ever learns from Malthus.

One of the many errors here is assuming that the prediction target lies on the curve. But there's no guarantee (to say the least) that the sorts of improvements that we've seen lead to AGI, ASI, "the singularity", a "social singularity", or any such thing.

Am I the only one who found the terminal more interesting?

Most obviously AI-written post I think I’ve seen.

Have some personal pride, dude. This is literally a post written by AI hyping up AI and posted to a personal blog as if it were somebody’s personal musings. More slop is just what we need.

Slight correction, I've been studying token prices last weeks so this caught my eye:

>"(log-transformed, because the Gemini Flash outlier spans 150× the range otherwise)"

> "Gemini 2.0 Flash Dec 2024 2,500,000"

I think OP meant Gemini 2 flash lite, which is distinct from Gemini 2 flash. It's also important to consider that this tier had no successor in future models, there's no gemini 3 flash lite, and gemini 3 flash isn't the spiritual successor.

Hail Zorp

Why the plutocrats believe that the entity emerging from the singularity will side with them? Really curious