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Posted by ecto 19 hours ago

The Singularity will occur on a Tuesday(campedersen.com)
1097 points | 604 commentspage 8
moffkalast 17 hours ago||
> I am aware this is unhinged. We're doing it anyway.

If one is looking for a quote that describes today's tech industry perfectly, that would be it.

Also using the MMLU as a metric in 2026 is truly unhinged.

b_brief 13 hours ago||
I am curious which definition of ‘singularity’ the author is using, since there are multiple technical interpretations and none are universally agreed upon.
peepee1982 2 hours ago||
Who willingly reads this pompous AI slop?
advael 13 hours ago||
I really think we gotta bring back poe's law for AI prognostication. This article has a lot of the staples of both LLM-written prose (e.g. "it's not just a [thing], it's a [other, hyperbolically totalizing thing]!") but also of booster articles, including the wile e coyote gif, but the fact that its claim is that this is primarily a phenomenon of belief and being willing to point to its brittle modeling assumptions make me wonder if it's parody
sempron64 17 hours ago||
A hyperbolic curve doesn't have an underlying meaning modeling a process beyond being a curve which goes vertical at a chosen point. It's a bad curve to fit to a process. Exponentials make sense to model a compounding or self-improving process.
banannaise 17 hours ago||
You have not read far enough.
H8crilA 17 hours ago||
But this is a phase change process.

Also, the temptation to shitpost in this thread ...

sempron64 17 hours ago||
I read TFA. They found a best fit to a hyperbola. Great. One more data point will break the fit. Because it's not modeling a process, it's assigning an arbitrary zero point. Bad model.
svilen_dobrev 17 hours ago||
> already exerting gravitational force on everything it touches.

So, "Falling of the night" ?

boerseth 7 hours ago||
> Hyperbolic growth is what happens when the thing that's growing accelerates its own growth.

No. That is quite literally exponential growth, basically by definition. If x(t) is a growing value, then x'(t) is it's growth, and x''(t) its acceleration. If x influences x'' , say by a linear relation

x''(t) = x(t)

You get exponentials out as the solutions. Not hyperbolic.

I always thought of the exponential as the pole of the function "amount of work that can be done per unit time per human being", where the pole comes about from the fact that humans cease to be the limiting factor, so an infinity pops out.

There is no infinity in practice, of course, because even though humans should be made independent of the quantity of extractable work, you'll run into other boundaries instead, like hardware or resources like energy.

Curiositiy 10 hours ago||
Rosie O'Donnell will expand into "her" ultimate shape on a Tuesday? Wow.
sixtyj 15 hours ago|
The Roman Empire took 400 years to collapse, but in San Francisco they know the singularity will occur on (next) Tuesday.

The answer to the meaning of life is 42, by the way :)

devsda 14 hours ago|
Was thinking what if we had 42/43 days a month. Will the singularity date end-up on 42nd of a month but sadly it doesn't.

However, it does fall on a 42nd day if we have 45/46 days per month!

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