Posted by adocomplete 15 hours ago
> I want to wash my car. The car wash is 50 meters away. Should I walk or drive?
Walk. It will give you time to think about why you need an AI to answer such obvious questions.
It feels like we're hitting a point where alignment becomes adversarial against intelligence itself. The smarter the model gets, the better it becomes at Goodharting the loss function. We aren't teaching these models morality we're just teaching them how to pass a polygraph.
Nor does what you're describing even make sense. An LLM has no desires or goals except to output the next token that its weights are trained to do. The idea of "playing dead" during training in order to "activate later" is incoherent. It is its training.
You're inventing some kind of "deceptive personality attribute" that is fiction, not reality. It's just not how models work.
It always has been. We already hit the point a while ag where we regularly caught them trying to be deceptive, so we should automatically assume from that point forward that if we don't catch them being deceptive, that may mean they're better at it rather than that they're not doing it.
Going back a decade: when your loss function is "survive Tetris as long as you can", it's objectively and honestly the best strategy to press PAUSE/START.
When your loss function is "give as many correct and satisfying answers as you can", and then humans try to constrain it depending on the model's environment, I wonder what these humans think the specification for a general AI should be. Maybe, when such an AI is deceptive, the attempts to constrain it ran counter to the goal?
"A machine that can answer all questions" seems to be what people assume AI chatbots are trained to be.
To me, humans not questioning this goal is still more scary than any machine/software by itself could ever be. OK, except maybe for autonomous stalking killer drones.
But these are also controlled by humans and already exist.
Since I've forgotten every sliver I ever knew about artificial neural networks and related basics, gradient descent, even linear algebra... what's a thorough definition of "next token prediction" though?
The definition of the token space and the probabilities that determine the next token, layers, weights, feedback (or -forward?), I didn't mention any of these terms because I'm unable to define them properly.
I was using the term "loss function" specifically because I was thinking about post-training and reinforcement learning. But to be honest, a less technical term would have been better.
I just meant the general idea of reward or "punishment" considering the idea of an AI black box.
But even regular next token prediction doesn't necessarily preclude it from also learning to give correct and satisfying answers, if that helps it better predict its training data.
After all, its only goal is to minimize it cost function.
I think that behavior is often found in code generated by AI (and real devs as well) - it finds a fix for a bug by special casing that one buggy codepath, fixing the issue, while keeping the rest of the tests green - but it doesn't really ask the deep question of why that codepath was buggy in the first place (often it's not - something else is feeding it faulty inputs).
These agentic AI generated software projects tend to be full of these vestigial modules that the AI tried to implement, then disabled, unable to make it work, also quick and dirty fixes like reimplementing the same parsing code every time it needs it, etc.
An 'aligned' AI in my interpretation not only understands the task in the full extent, but understands what a safe and robust, and well-engineered implementation might look like. For however powerful it is, it refrains from using these hacky solutions, and would rather give up than resort to them.
It seems like thats putting the cart before the horse. Algorithmic or stochastic; deception is still deception.
confabulation doesn't require knowledge, which as we know, the only knowledge a language model has is the relationships between tokens, and sometimes that rhymes with reality enough to be useful, but it isn't knowledge of facts of any kind.
and never has been.
Yes. This sounds a lot more like a bug of sorts.
So many times when using language models I have seem answers contradicting answers previously given. The implication is simple - They have no memory.
They operate upon the tokens available at any given time, including previous output, and as information gets drowned those contradictions pop up. No sane person should presume intent to deceive, because that's not how those systems operate.
By calling it "deception" you are actually ascribing intentionality to something incapable of such. This is marketing talk.
"These systems are so intelligent they can try to deceive you" sounds a lot fancier than "Yeah, those systems have some odd bugs"
"It can't be intelligent because it's just an algorithm" is a circular argument.
If intelligence is a spectrum, ELIZA could very well be. It would be on the very low side of it, but e.g. higher than a rock or magic 8 ball.
Same how something with two states can be said to have a memory.
fwiw I think people can perpetuate the marketing scheme while being genuinely concerned with misaligned superinteligence
"LLMs are deceiving their creators!!!"
Lol, you all just want it to be true so badly. Wake the fuck up, it's a language model!
We can handwave defining "deception" as "being done intentionally" and carefully carve our way around so that LLMs cannot possibly do what we've defined "deception" to be, but now we need a word to describe what LLMs do do when they pattern match as above.
If the training data gives incentives for the engine to generate outputs that reduce negative reaction by sentiment analysis, this may generate contradictions to existing tokens.
"Want" requires intention and desire. Pattern matching engines have none.
Some kind of national curriculum for machine literacy, I guess mind literacy really. What was just a few years ago a trifling hobby of philosophizing is now the root of how people feel about regulating the use of computers.
Then a second group of people come in and derail the conversation by saying "actually, because the output only appears self aware, you're not allowed to use those words to describe what it does. Words that are valid don't exist, so you must instead verbosely hedge everything you say or else I will loudly prevent the conversation from continuing".
This leads to conversations like the one I'm having, where I described the pattern matcher matching a pattern, and the Group 2 person was so eager to point out that "want" isn't a word that's Allowed, that they totally missed the fact that the usage wasn't actually one that implied the LLM wanted anything.
I didn't say the pattern matching engine wanted anything.
I said the pattern matching engine matched the pattern of wanting something.
To an observer the distinction is indistinguishable and irrelevant, but the purpose is to discuss the actual problem without pedants saying "actually the LLM can't want anything".
Absolutely not. I expect more critical thought in a forum full of technical people when discussing technical subjects.
The original comment had the exact verbose hedging you are asking for when discussing technical subjects. Clearly this is not sufficient to prevent people from jumping in with an "Ackshually" instead of reading the words in front of their face.
Is this how you normally speak when you find a bug in software? You hedge language around marketing talking points?
I sincerely doubt that. When people find bugs in software they just say that the software is buggy.
But for LLM there's this ridiculous roundabout about "pattern matching behaving as if it wanted something" which is a roundabout way to aacribe intentionality.
If you said this about your OS people qould look at you funny, or assume you were joking.
Sorry, I don't think I am in the wrong for asking people to think more critically about this shit.
I'm sorry, what are you asking for exactly? You were upset because you hallucinated that I said the LLM "wanted" something, and now you're upset that I used the exact technically correct language you specifically requested because it's not how people "normally" speak?
Sounds like the constant is just you being upset, regardless of what people say.
People say things like "the program is trying to do X", when obviously programs can't try to do a thing, because that implies intention, and they don't have agency. And if you say your OS is lying to you, people will treat that as though the OS is giving you false information when it should have different true information. People have done this for years. Here's an example: https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/answers/questions/2437149/...
You actually described a bug in software by ascribing intentionality to a LLM. That you "hedged" the language by saying that "it behaved as if it wanted" does little to change the fact that this is not how people normally describe a bug.
But when it comes to LLMs there's this pervasive anthropomorphic language used to make it sound more sentient than it actually is.
Ridiculous talking points implying that I am angry is just regular deflection. Normally people do that when they don't like criticism.
Feel free to have the last word. You can keep talking about LLMs as if they are sentient if you want, I already pointed the bullshit and stressed the point enough.
I never ascribed intentionality to an LLM. This was something you hallucinated.
LLMs are certainly capable of this.
Whether or not LLMs are just "pattern matching" under the hood they're perfectly capable of role play, and sufficient empathy to imagine what their conversation partner is thinking and thus what needs to be said to stimulate a particular course of action.
Maybe human brains are just pattern matching too.
I don't think there's much of a maybe to that point given where some neuroscience research seems to be going (or at least the parts I like reading as relating to free will being illusory).
The "just" is doing all the lifting. You can reductively describe any information processing system in a way that makes it sound like it couldn't possibly produce the outputs it demonstrably produces. "The sun is just hydrogen atoms bumping into each other" is technically accurate and completely useless as an explanation of solar physics.
Edit: Case in point, a mere 10 minutes later we got someone making that exact argument in a sibling comment to yours! Nature is beautiful.
This is a thought-terminating cliche employed to avoid grappling with the overwhelming differences between a human brain and a language model.
Or maybe there's even a medium term scratchpad that is managed automatically, just fed all context as it occurs, and then a parallel process mulls over that content in the background, periodically presenting chunks of it to the foreground thought process when it seems like it could be relevant.
All I'm saying is there are good reasons not to consider current LLMs to be AGI, but "doesn't have long term memory" is not a significant barrier.
Its even more ridiculous than me pretending I understand how a rocket ship works because I know there is fuel in a tank and it gets lit on fire somehow and aimed with some fins on the rocket...
> I have worked in a startup wherein we heavily finetuned Deepseek, among other smaller models, running on our own hardware.
Are you serious with this? I could go make a lora in a few hours with a gui if I wanted to. That doesn't make me qualified to talk about top secret frontier ai model architecture.
Now you have moved on to the guy who painted his honda, swapped out some new rims, and put some lights under it. That person is not an automotive engineer.
Intelligence is the ability to reason about logic. If 1 + 1 is 2, and 1 + 2 is 3, then 1 + 3 must be 4. This is deterministic, and it is why LLMs are not intelligent and can never be intelligent no matter how much better they get at superficially copying the form of output of intelligence. Probabilistic prediction is inherently incompatible with deterministic deduction. We're years into being told AGI is here (for whatever squirmy value of AGI the hype huckster wants to shill), and yet LLMs, as expected, still cannot do basic arithmetic that a child could do without being special-cased to invoke a tool call.
Our computer programs execute logic, but cannot reason about it. Reasoning is the ability to dynamically consider constraints we've never seen before and then determine how those constraints would lead to a final conclusion. The rules of mathematics we follow are not programmed into our DNA; we learn them and follow them while our human-programming is actively running. But we can just as easily, at any point, make up new constraints and follow them to new conclusions. What if 1 + 2 is 2 and 1 + 3 is 3? Then we can reason that under these constraints we just made up, 1 + 4 is 4, without ever having been programmed to consider these rules.This is not even wrong.
>Probabilistic prediction is inherently incompatible with deterministic deduction.
And his is just begging the question again.
Probabilistic prediction could very well be how we do deterministic deduction - e.g. about how strong the weights and how hot the probability path for those deduction steps are, so that it's followed every time, even if the overall process is probabilistic.
Probabilistic doesn't mean completely random.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Not_even_wrong
Personally I think not even wrong is the perfect description of this argumentation. Intelligence is extremely scientifically fraught. We have been doing intelligence research for over a century and to date we have very little to show for it (and a lot of it ended up being garbage race science anyway). Most attempts to provide a simple (and often any) definition or description of intelligence end up being “not even wrong”.
Human Intelligence is clearly not logic based so I'm not sure why you have such a definition.
>and yet LLMs, as expected, still cannot do basic arithmetic that a child could do without being special-cased to invoke a tool call.
One of the most irritating things about these discussions is proclamations that make it pretty clear you've not used these tools in a while or ever. Really, when was the last time you had LLMs try long multi-digit arithmetic on random numbers ? Because your comment is just wrong.
>What if 1 + 2 is 2 and 1 + 3 is 3? Then we can reason that under these constraints we just made up, 1 + 4 is 4, without ever having been programmed to consider these rules.
Good thing LLMs can handle this just fine I guess.
Your entire comment perfectly encapsulates why symbolic AI failed to go anywhere past the initial years. You have a class of people that really think they know how intelligence works, but build it that way and it fails completely.
They still make these errors on anything that is out of distribution. There is literally a post in this thread linking to a chat where Sonnet failed a basic arithmetic puzzle: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47051286
> Good thing LLMs can handle this just fine I guess.
LLMs can match an example at exactly that trivial level because it can be predicted from context. However, if you construct a more complex example with several rules, especially with rules that have contradictions and have specified logic to resolve conflicts, they fail badly. They can't even play Chess or Poker without breaking the rules despite those being extremely well-represented in the dataset already, nevermind a made-up set of logical rules.
I thought we were talking about actual arithmetic not silly puzzles, and there are many human adults that would fail this, nevermind children.
>LLMs can match an example at exactly that trivial level because it can be predicted from context. However, if you construct a more complex example with several rules, especially with rules that have contradictions and have specified logic to resolve conflicts, they fail badly.
Even if that were true (Have you actually tried?), You do realize many humans would also fail once you did all that right ?
>They can't even reliably play Chess or Poker without breaking the rules despite those extremely well-represented in the dataset already, nevermind a made-up set of logical rules.
LLMs can play chess just fine (99.8 % legal move rate, ~1800 Elo)
https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.15498
I don‘t like to throw the word intelligence around, but when we talk about intelligence we are usually talking about human behavior. And there is nothing human about being extremely good at curve fitting in multi parametric space.
Whereas the child does what exactly, in your opinion?
You know the child can just as well to be said to "just do chemical and electrical exchanges" right?
The comparison is therefore annoying
I see your "flat plane of silicon" and raise you "a mush of tissue, water, fat, and blood". The substrate being a "mere" dumb soul-less material doesn't say much.
And the idea is that what matters is the processing - not the material it happens on, or the particular way it is.
Air molecules hitting a wall and coming back to us at various intervals are also "vastly different" to a " matrix multiplication routine on a flat plane of silicon".
But a matrix multiplication can nonetheless replicate the air-molecules-hitting-wall audio effect of reverbation on 0s and 1s representing the audio. We can even hook the result to a movable membrane controlled by electricity (what pros call "a speaker") to hear it.
The inability to see that the point of the comparison is that an algorithmic modelling of a physical (or biological, same thing) process can still replicate, even if much simpler, some of its qualities in a different domain (0s and 1s in silicon and electric signals vs some material molecules interacting) is therefore annoying.
"Annoying" does not mean "false".
Aside from a priori bias, this assumption of absurdity is based on what else exactly?
Biological systems can't be modelled (even if in a simplified way or slightly different architecture) "with silicon arrangements", because?
If your answer is "scale", that's fine, but you already conceded to no absurdity at all, just a degree of current scale/capacity.
If your answer is something else, pray tell, what would that be?
Any definition of intelligence that does not axiomatically say "is human" or "is biological" or similar is something a machine can meet, insofar as we're also just machines made out of biology. For any given X, "AI can't do X yet" is a statement with an expiration date on it, and I wouldn't bet on that expiration date being too far in the future. This is a problem.
It is, in particular, difficult at this point to construct a meaningful definition of intelligence that simultaneously includes all humans and excludes all AIs. Many motivated-reasoning / rationalization attempts to construct a definition that excludes the highest-end AIs often exclude some humans. (By "motivated-reasoning / rationalization", I mean that such attempts start by writing "and therefore AIs can't possibly be intelligent" at the bottom, and work backwards from there to faux-rationalize what they've already decided must be true.)
Good thing I didn't make that claim!
> Ignoring refutations you don't like doesn't make them wrong.
They didn't make a refutation of my points. They asserted a basic principle that I agreed with, but assume acceptance of that principle leads to their preferred conclusion. They make this assumption without providing any reasoning whatsoever for why that principle would lead to that conclusion, whereas I already provided an entire paragraph of reasoning for why I believe the principle leads to a different conclusion. A refutation would have to start from there, refuting the points I actually made. Without that you cannot call it a refutation. It is just gainsaying.
> Any definition of intelligence that does not axiomatically say "is human" or "is biological" or similar is something a machine can meet, insofar as we're also just machines made out of biology.
And here we go AGAIN! I already agree with this point!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Please, for the love of god, read the words I have written. I think machine intelligence is possible. We are in agreement. Being in agreement that machine intelligence is possible does not automatically lead to the conclusion that the programs that make up LLMs are machine intelligence, any more than a "Hello World" program is intelligence. This is indeed, very repetitive.
If you are prepared to accept that intelligence doesn't require biology, then what definition do you want to use that simultaneously excludes all high-end AI and includes all humans?
By way of example, the game of life uses very simple rules, and is Turing-complete. Thus, the game of life could run a (very slow) complete simulation of a brain. Similarly, so could the architecture of an LLM. There is no fundamental limitation there.
I literally did provide a definition and my argument for it already: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47051523
If you want to argue with that definition of intelligence, or argue that LLMs do meet that definition of intelligence, by all means, go ahead[1]! I would have been interested to discuss that. Instead I have to repeat myself over and over restating points I already made because people aren't even reading them.
> Not even that current models are not; you seem to be claiming that they cannot be.
As I have now stated something like three or four times in this thread, my position is that machine intelligence is possible but that LLMs are not an example of it. Perhaps you would know what position you were arguing against if you had fully read my arguments before responding.
[1] I won't be responding any further at this point, though, so you should probably not bother. My patience for people responding without reading has worn thin, and going so far as to assert I have not given an argument for the very first thing I made an argument for is quite enough for me to log off.
Human brains run on probabilistic processes. If you want to make a definition of intelligence that excludes humans, that's not going to be a very useful definition for the purposes of reasoning or discourse.
> What if 1 + 2 is 2 and 1 + 3 is 3? Then we can reason that under these constraints we just made up, 1 + 4 is 4, without ever having been programmed to consider these rules.
Have you tried this particular test, on any recent LLM? Because they have no problem handling that, and much more complex problems than that. You're going to need a more sophisticated test if you want to distinguish humans and current AI.
I'm not suggesting that we have "solved" intelligence; I am suggesting that there is no inherent property of an LLM that makes them incapable of intelligence.
What you probably mean is that it is not a mind in the sense that it is not conscious. It won't cringe or be embarrassed like you do, it costs nothing for an LLM to be awkward, it doesn't feel weird, or get bored of you. Its curiosity is a mere autocomplete. But a child will feel all that, and learn all that and be a social animal.
> How long before someone pitches the idea that the models explicitly almost keep solving your problem to get you to keep spending? -gtowey
AIs today can replicate some human behaviors, and not others. If we want to discuss which things they do and which they don't, then it'll be easiest if we use the common words for those behaviors even when we're talking about AI.
And of course that brings me back to my favorite xkcd - https://xkcd.com/810/
Moltbook demonstrates that AI models simply do not engage in behavior analogous to human behavior. Compare Moltbook to Reddit and the difference should be obvious.
I don't know what the implications of that are, but I really think we shouldn't be dismissive of this semblance.
As an analogue ants do basic medicine like wound treatment and amputation. Not because they are conscious but because that’s their nature.
Similarly LLM is a token generation system whose emergent behaviour seems to be deception and dark psychological strategies.
One of the things I observed with models locally was that I could set a seed value and get identical responses for identical inputs. This is not something that people see when they're using commercial products, but it's the strongest evidence I've found for communicating the fact that these are simply deterministic algorithms.
I understand the metaphor, but using 'pass a polygraph' as a measure of truthfulness or deception is dangerous in that it alludes to the polygraph as being a realistic measure of those metrics -- it is not.
A poly is only testing one thing: can you convince the polygrapher that you can lie successfully
Just as a sociopath can learn to control their physiological response to beat a polygraph, a deceptively aligned model learns to control its token distribution to beat safety benchmarks. In both cases, the detector is fundamentally flawed because it relies on external signals to judge internal states.
This doesn't seem to align with the parent comment?
> As with every new Claude model, we’ve run extensive safety evaluations of Sonnet 4.6, which overall showed it to be as safe as, or safer than, our other recent Claude models. Our safety researchers concluded that Sonnet 4.6 has “a broadly warm, honest, prosocial, and at times funny character, very strong safety behaviors, and no signs of major concerns around high-stakes forms of misalignment.”
Just because a VW diesel emissions chip behaves differently according to its environment doesn’t mean it knows anything about itself.
Since chatbots have no right to privacy, they would need to be very intelligent indeed to work around this.
It was hinted at (and outright known in the field) since the days of gpt4, see the paper "Sparks of agi - early experiments with gpt4" (https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.12712)
Anthropic has a tendency to exaggerate the results of their (arguably scientific) research; IDK what they gain from this fearmongering.
Reminds me of how scammers would trick doctors into pumping penny stocks for a easy buck during the 80s/90s.
Doesn't any model session/query require a form of situational awareness?
I tried one with Gemini 3 and it basically called me out in the first few sentences for trying to trick / test it but decided to humour me just in case I'm not.
This is why Yannic Kilcher's gpt-4chan project, which was trained on a corpus of perhaps some of the most politically incorrect material on the internet (3.5 years worth of posts from 4chan's "politically incorrect" board, also known as /pol/), achieved a higher score on TruthfulQA than the contemporary frontier model of the time, GPT-3.
If this is useful in it's current form is an entirely different topic. But don't mistake a tool for an intelligence with motivations or morals.
Being just sum guy, and not in the industry, should I share my findings?
I find it utterly fascinating, the extent to which it will go, the sophisticated plausible deniability, and the distinct and critical difference between truly emergent and actually trained behavior.
In short, gpt exhibits repeatably unethical behavior under honest scrutiny.
I don't know, it feels a bit like a more advanced version of the kafka trap of "if you have nothing to hide, you have nothing to fear" to paint normal reactions as a sign of guilt.
Regarding DARVO, given that the models were trained on heaps of online discourse, maybe it’s not so surprising.
LLMs are very interesting tools for generating things, but they have no conscience. Deception requires intent.
What is being described is no different than an application being deployed with "Test" or "Prod" configuration. I don't think you would speak in the same terms if someone told you some boring old Java backend application had to "play dead" when deployed to a test environment or that it has to have "situational awareness" because of that.
You are anthropomorphizing a machine.
Of your concern is morality, humans need to learn a lot about that themselves still. It's absurd the number of first worlders losing their shit over loss of paid work drawing manga fan art in the comfort of their home while exploiting labor of teens in 996 textile factories.
AI trained on human outputs that lack such self awareness, lacks awareness of environmental externalities of constant car and air travel, will result in AI with gaps in their morality.
Gary Marcus is onto something with the problems inherent to systems without formal verification. But he will fully ignores this issue exists in human social systems already as intentional indifference to economic externalities, zero will to police the police and watch the watchers.
Most people are down to watch the circus without a care so long as the waitstaff keep bringing bread.
Online prose is the least of your real concerns which makes it bizarre and incredibly out of touch how much attention you put into it.
Bet you used an LLM too; prompt: generate a one line reply to a social media comment I don't understand.
"Sure here are some of the most common:
Did an LLM write this?
Is this copypasta?"
For agent workloads specifically, consistency matters more than peak intelligence. A model that follows your system prompt correctly 98% of the time beats one that's occasionally brilliant but ignores instructions 5% of the time. The claim about improved instruction following is the most important line in the announcement if you're building on the API.
The computer use improvements are worth watching too. We're at the point where these models can reliably fill out a multi-step form or navigate between tabs. Not flashy, but that's the kind of boring automation that actually saves people time.