Posted by enraged_camel 18 hours ago
https://bsky.app/profile/josephpolitano.bsky.social/post/3mg...
I was able to find the following:
- Software Publishers https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SMU06000005051320001
- Regional data available only, numerous national statistics are discontinued
- California region matches up, but places like Boston don't https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SMU25000005051320001
- Computing Infrastructure Providers https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES5051800001 - Matches up perfectly, no notes here.
- Computer Systems Design https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES6054150001 - However, the graph in the tweet doesn't include the February data (even though it claims "recent") which shows an increase
- Web Search Portals https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES5051900001 - Matches up, but February data isn't in the graph which shows an increase from January
- Streaming Services https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SMU06000005051620001 - Doesn't include January or February 2026 data, doesn't match up with graph in tweet
I wasn't able to find the following:
- Custom Computer Programming ServicesThere are numerous open questions in this analysis which I would need to be addressed before drawing any conclusions. My gut feeling would love to accept it at face value but I never trust my gut.
The other thing is it's showing first derivative, not absolute numbers, which is a very questionable way to derive "worst employment situation" in a field that has been on world-changing boom over the last 50 years.
The question that I have for this data though is that its showing the derivative - the change each year in hiring.
The dot com crash is clear and very visible in there. The global financial crisis is also a dip in there (I'm saving this for when people claim the number of jobs lost compared to the dot com crash).
From 2010 to 2020, there was a fairly steady linear growth of employment. There was the dip in 2020, but 2020 to 2024 had a much higher peak. My "I want to know about the data" is "is the area above +150k jobs from 2020 to 2024 greater than the area below 0 from 2024 to 2026?"
I haven't heard from a recruiter in probably 6 months. I recently put my feelers out and applied to a handful of positions I was qualified for, and got rejection letters from all of them.
There are also a lot of people posting fake jobs for feeding LLM datasets, running scams, and bidding down labor costs. =3