My experience with AI-driven and AI-assisted development so far is that it has actually enhanced my workflow despite how much I dislike it.

With a caveat.

If you were to compare my workflow to a decade ago, you wouldn’t see much difference other than my natural skill growth.

The rub is that the tools, communities and services I learned to rely on over my career as a developer have been slowly getting worse and worse, and I have found that I can leverage AI tools to make up for where those resources now fall short.

The thing to shill now is agents.

So they are all producing products to produce products. My guess is 50% of token usage globally is to produce mediocre articles on "how I use Claude code to tell HN how I use Claude code".

I am still waiting for them.

Cool data. What do I do with it? None of my use cases involve writing software, so I don't think this is _for_ me since my extensive AI use wouldn't show up in git commits, but I'm not sure who it's for. When I'm talking to artist friends, musician friends, academic friends, etc data is nice to have but I'm talking in stories: the real thing I did and how it made me better at the thing.

AI is unbelievably useful and will continue to make an impact but a few things:

- The 80/20 rule still applies. We’ve optimized the 20% of time part (a lot!) but all the hype is only including the 80% of work part. It looks amazing and is, but you can’t escape the reality of ~80% of the time is still needed on non-trivial projects.

- Breathless AI CEO hype because they need money. This stuff costs a lot. This has passed on to run of the mill CEOs that want to feel ahead of things and smart.

- You should be shipping faster in many cases. Lots of hype but there is real value especially in automating lots of communication and organization tasks.

I feel that your assumption that everyone will want to share is a flawed one.

I agree with the premise of the article, in the sense that there has not been, and I don't think there will be, a 100x increase in "productivity".

However, PyPi is not really the best way to measure this as the amount of people who take time to wrap their code into a proper package, register into PyPi, push a package, etc... is quite low. Very narrow sampling window.

I do think AI will directly fuel the creation of a lot of personal apps that will not be published anywhere. AI lower the barrier of entry, as we all know, so now regular folks with a bit of technical knowledge can just build the app they want tailored to their needs. I think we´ll see a lot of that.

I, for one, am not publishing my “apps” for others to use because my “apps” make me money

I am now scared to talk to anyone. Eventually the conversation turns to AI and they want to talk or show their vibecoded app.

I am just tired boss. I am not going to look at your app.

here: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/vGKC9LpGnOQ