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Posted by aphyr 11 hours ago

The future of everything is lies, I guess: Where do we go from here?(aphyr.com)
473 points | 508 commentspage 4
voidUpdate 11 hours ago|
> "Unavailable Due to the UK Online Safety Act. Now might be a good time to call your representatives."

Having the "call your representatives" link be to your website as well isn't particularly helpful... I already can't get to it

masfuerte 10 hours ago||
https://web.archive.org/web/20260416134911/https://aphyr.com...
Leynos 11 hours ago|||
OP should link to https://www.writetothem.com/
s1mn 10 hours ago||
I love it when Americans take the moral high ground
drstewart 8 hours ago|||
Funny that's how I feel when Europeans lecture about wars and imperialism
snackerblues 9 hours ago|||
Surprised you can even read this thread without a 'acking loicence
heroicmailman 7 hours ago||
> And if I’m wrong, we can always build it later.

That's the rub: if we build it later, our economy crashes in the meantime.

ori_b 10 hours ago||
Some people like roasting marshmallows. Others think that setting the house on fire may have downsides.
cm2012 10 hours ago||
This article is a good example of how ideology can can lead people down irrational paths.
throw4847285 10 hours ago|
A statement that can be reversed onto the speaker without effort is meaningless. It has no content. It just means, "I am rational and you are not." Ok, then.
zshn25 10 hours ago||
The comparison to automobiles changing streets is thrown around a lot. But I feel AI is fundamentally different. It is not a technological change like the internet which brought us huge amounts of opportunities in so many different directions. AI’s goal is to automate (in other words, replace) us.
dfxm12 11 hours ago||
The idea that Claude might be able to help you change the color of your led lighting as a legitimate counter to things like a less usable world wide web, worse government services, the loss of human ability, etc. is excellent parody.
Sharlin 10 hours ago||
It's way too real, that's just how humans tend to work. Short-term personal benefit almost always outweighs long-term societal cost.
catapart 11 hours ago|||
completely fair, and I agree. but let's talk 6 months/a year down the line - when a local LLM will be able to offer what claude code does only slower and a smaller context window. then do you whip out the local llm to handle the project, or is it still objectionable?
lionkor 10 hours ago||
It's already YEARS down the line from when this was promised, we can't keep saying "but in a couple more quarters it'll all be different!".
Philpax 10 hours ago|||
The front page is currently home to the announcement of Qwen 3.6 35B, which has comparable performance to the flagship coding models of a few months ago, and can be run at home by those with a gaming computer or MBP from the last five years. It is happening, but there will always be some lag.
lionkor 10 hours ago||
Yes, but every time the capabilities, security, accuracy, or any other quality of LLMs is challenged, the default answer is that we'll essentially have AGI in a quarter or two. It's very tiring to try to argue with people about current quality, when the argument is always to wait and/or pay for a super expensive model.
Philpax 10 hours ago|||
That's not what the grandparent poster was saying, but sure. They have been steadily improving across those metrics, as Opus 4.6 / 4.7 / Mythos demonstrate. They're certainly not perfect, and I understand your fatigue (it is certainly fatiguing to follow, even if interested!), but each new release pushes it that bit further, and the improvements percolate downwards to the cheaper models.
catapart 8 hours ago|||
right on. I certainly empathize with your frustrations about "AGI". but rest assurred, I'm firmly in the camp of "not in my lifetime" and even further in the camp of "not without at least 3 more massive breakthroughs about things we currently do not understand at all". so sorry if it sounded like I was asking "what about when local llms get SUPER GOOD", or something. that's not at all what I meant. All I was asking was - "Claude Code can currently be pointed to a directory and then be chatted with about what it needs to do in that directory to make a full code project. That ability is already available on local machines through a ton of convoluted setup, but it's almost certainly going to be a packaged solution within a year (and possibly within the next few months/weeks/days). So when that packaged solution arrives and the choices are 'use the llm for scaffolding which takes 3 hours of unattended time' or 'build the scaffolding myself which takes 6 hours of deep focus time', what will still be objectionable about choosing the former?"

and, to be clear, it's an earnest question. like I've said elsewhere, I have concerns about over-reliance on the tech, but once it all moves local, a lot of those concerns become much more trivial. so I'm curious if other people have concerns that remain pressing and practical.

ETA: I'm aware that Claude wouldn't take 3 hours to do this, while using its massive warehouses of GPUS. I'm estimating what I think is a reasonable time for a single-gpu device to produce something workable.

SpicyLemonZest 9 hours ago|||
Claude Code was released in February 2025, how can it have been years since we were promised competitive local models?

(Do you not realize how crazy the entire premise here is? Imagine someone in 1975 saying that ARPANET has been up for years so everything there is to know about networking technology has probably been found already.)

Mezzie 10 hours ago||
I read that as an example of how we're seduced into using things - we start small because surely this one small thing won't hurt. And then it becomes one more thing. And one more. It'll start with him using it to change the color of his lights and 5 years from now AI will be embedded in his life.

It's the first step on the road to hell.

matusp 8 hours ago|
Despite all the AI hype, I wonder how much it only exists in the tech bubble full of terminally online folks. Unless you spend significant part of your day online, most of the AI risks mentioned in this series are probably negligible. The most affected demographic is computer nerds that grew up enjoying utopian Web that is now turning dark.
ericmcer 6 hours ago|
Seriously try saying "LLM" to anyone else.

There is a class next door to my office. An old woman is teaching ~20 people how to be insurance agents with a slide show. It seems like a two week course with a certificate at the end.

They don't seem worried that the slideshow could be pasted into an LLMs context window and outperform all of them on the test in 5 seconds and are diligently taking notes.

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