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Posted by mefengl 5 hours ago

Do you want the US to "win" AI?(geohot.github.io)
41 points | 75 commentspage 2
rogermungo 4 hours ago|
I suppose I'd rather the US wins AI as opposed to, say, China
sunaurus 3 hours ago||
Realistically I am starting to think China would be more responsible with it than the US.
CharlieDigital 3 hours ago||
The US no longer feels like a place where the rule of law applies.

For whatever you want to fault China with (human rights, personal freedoms, etc.), there is at least the facade of rule of law.

US is masks off and not even a thin veneer that rule of law applies any more.

davidgf 3 hours ago|||
If you're an US citizen, I would understand why. If you're from elsewhere, looking at how both countries deal with foreign policies, perhaps the answer requires some serious reflection.
malka1986 3 hours ago|||
I'm from the EU.

I'd rather China wins this. By a landslide.

I cant wait for the EU finally turns its back on the US and start integrating seriously with China.

cyanydeez 3 hours ago|||
Yeah, there's nothing about the current America I want to "win" AI; nor the people leading it.

I'm sure China has the same type of leadership, but they've yet to threaten to nuke a whole civilization.

Obviously, we want to be in the middle between what America represents and China, and that's currently Europe.

dartharva 32 minutes ago||
China is fundamentally anti-elite. It is the whole principle the PRC was founded on. China does not have "the same type of leadership" at all. It has well-raised technocratic cadres who compete within the system, not above it unlike the US.
pjc50 2 hours ago|||
The real winner in this subthread: negative polarization. It's kind of incredible to watch. Show people two actors, point out the bad things one has done, and they instantly apply "enemy of my enemy is my friend" logic and turn into China boosters. Without even considering that there might be, say, other options.

China provides some great manufactured goods (I may well buy a Chinese car) and runs an ordered society with clean streets and good public transport. But because it doesn't have a free press, you and I (and most Chinese citizens) can't see what the downsides are. They're politely but firmly swept under the rug. And if you get on the wrong side of the "ordered society", it can go very badly for you.

Perhaps the real lesson is how the American right have so successfully poisoned the idea of competitive politics and free speech that a literal one party state looks better than .. whatever the hell is going on over there. People would opt to give up their right to politics simply in order to not be subjected to politics.

(remember how Mao recruited the first few Communists effectively one village at a time? The tradeoff was paying taxes to them rather than the Emperor, and if any imperial tax collectors wandered in to ask the rebels would deal with them. A common model for effective revolutions. But it absolutely hinges on being able to deliver better material conditions.)

keybored 24 minutes ago||
> The real winner in this subthread: negative polarization.

People being against their local elites is largely a good thing. That’s what the China boosting is mostly about.

> It's kind of incredible to watch. Show people two actors, point out the bad things one has done, and they instantly apply "enemy of my enemy is my friend" logic and turn into China boosters. Without even considering that there might be, say, other options.

People aren’t cardboard cutouts with preprogrammed opinions. They are answering a pretty much yes-or-no question without necessarily giving all the reasons. And it can be tempting to say No to the US Hegemon on an American website, just as an off the cuff of my chair remark.

(And the person you responded to did the same, but with a US-positive response.)

And people do not necessarily sit around wishing for a better hegemon, either. But here’s the pro-USA (“foreign” policy version) script we’ve been seeing.

- America is a force for good

- ... and it if isn’t a force for good then it is a better hegemon than China

- ... and if it isn’t a better hegemon than China for you foreigners then it’s a better hegemon for me, an American

- ... and if it isn’t a better hegemon for you, poor American, it’s a better hegemon for me, rich American

- ... and anyway there will by necessity be some hegemon so you have to choose one

And they think to themselves. Okay. Going with this lesser evil hegemon logic I choose China.

Which again doesn’t mean that they actively want any hegemon at all.

> But because it doesn't have a free press, you and I (and most Chinese citizens) can't see what the downsides are. They're politely but firmly swept under the rug. And if you get on the wrong side of the "ordered society", it can go very badly for you.

I’m a blank slate on this so whatever you say. Most things I’ve heard about China are from the West. And the US in particular. Now recently there has been much more pro-China propaganda or whatever you call it. In terms of tech, infrastructure, even about being a supposed good hegemon to African countries or wherever.

> Perhaps the real lesson is how the American right have so successfully poisoned the idea of competitive politics and free speech that a literal one party state looks better than .. whatever the hell is going on over there. People would opt to give up their right to politics simply in order to not be subjected to politics.

No, you ask them a yes/no question and they choose the lesser evil!

I have no idea about civic engagement in China. No doubt America will tell me that it’s some kind of Black Mirror but literally real life.

Meanwhile in the West we have democracy, in our names. We have civic engagement. Yes yes yes. It’s not undemocratic. But it’s still dominated by the rich. Pick up a political science textbook and they talk about democracy in the West in real terms. As an elite-dominated institution with people-powered ornamentation.

People are not caricatures that either want the American military boot or the Chinese Han supremacy (or whatever is up with ethnicity in China).[1] But if you ask them if they want the American boot, guess what can happen? Them expressing displeasures with their overlords.

[1] This was apparently one of the super downsides of Chinese supremacy according to some corners of this thread. Ethnic majority racism.

hiddencost 3 hours ago||
The brain rot required to call the EA people evil while praising the guy that did agree to give the Pentagon autonomous weapons...
UncleMeat 1 hour ago||
The EA people who give money directly to poor people are great.

The EA people who decided to spend oodles of money working on AI ostensibly to prevent an insane thought experiment and then converted that effort into a for-profit corporation while insisting that actually giving money to the poor is bad because you'll have greater future utility by spending it on AI are worthy of scorn.

zozbot234 1 hour ago||
> The EA people who decided to spend oodles of money working on AI ostensibly to prevent an insane thought experiment and then converted that effort into a for-profit corporation while insisting that actually giving money to the poor is bad because you'll have greater future utility by spending it on AI are worthy of scorn.

That was the e/acc guys though. Different acronym, even though they were a spinoff from the original EA guys.

pjc50 3 hours ago||
The "effective altruism" people speedran the philosophical problem that good intentions do not necessarily produce good outcomes, far faster than any Communist revolution.
oulipo2 3 hours ago||
AI society is going to be:

- you, chained on your sofa, watching ads "tailored-made by AI for you"

- weaponized robots roaming the streets to ensure everyone is "at work" and not "at leisure activities"

- "no need to vote", of course, because "AI already knows what's good for you"...

mindcrime 3 hours ago||
> - you, chained on your sofa, watching ads "tailored-made by AI for you"

Blipverts.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blipvert

blipvert 3 hours ago||
I approve this message.
mindcrime 1 hour ago||
Username checks out.
sdevonoes 3 hours ago|||
Why don’t we go out in the streets and protest? Like the french did some centuries ago. If only we stop using instagram, youtube, if we stop searching in google, if we ditch claude, openai, for a couple of days… the billionaries will notice it and get hurt. That would be like a warning from our side
azangru 3 hours ago|||
> weaponized robots roaming the streets to ensure everyone is "at work" and not "at leisure activities"

But I thought everyone was going to lose their jobs...

wongarsu 2 hours ago||
No, you see, if you lose your job you are poor. And in America, the poor don't deserve leisure. And any work they do has to be as punishing as possible, no matter how little effect that cruelty has on the bottom line

If there's no work to do, we can always invent more work. We just have to figure out who pays for it. Enjoying life is for those "communist" Europeans /s

cyanydeez 3 hours ago||
Nah, the weaponized robots don't need to ensure you're working. They need to ensure you're either watching advertisements or working!

Obviously, if you're a child you can't work, so you need to be advertising fodder.

pu_pe 3 hours ago||
The US single-handedly dominating AI at this point probably means a handful of tech overlords in charge of a surveillance society which depends on AI for everything, with some vague promises that everyone else will get some sort of allowance if they feel benevolent enough. For all existential risks discussed about ASI or whatever, having an oligarchy in complete control of this tech is maybe even worse.

So, I guess we all have to hope that more money does not necessarily lead to a "victory" here.

undeveloper 3 hours ago||
[flagged]
AntiUSAbah 3 hours ago|
Urgh wtf :|

Unfortunate i can't find the source though:

"He had a video on Youtube where he proudly gloated about how he voted for Trump in not one but two elections, how happy he is that he can now openly talk about it, how its a fresh start for US, how catastrophic Harris would have been. Did he take down the video because of embarrassment or did he fear negative impact on his sales?"

So i asked him and he voted for Trump only in 2016 so at least this source is not true.

AntiUSAbah 3 hours ago||
What i find interesting is the other article of geohot regarding AGI.

It seems that its financial possible for a handful of companies to learn everything.

It doesn't matter how we solve 'work':

It can be AGI, it can also be the already existing massive global scale Reinforcement Loop we all feed through using ChatGPT and co, it could be to compute RL or by buying experts teaching this knowledge to some AI system.

Companies also start to put the 'human' part into the agentic layer.

A while back anyone was somehow a benefit even if they did some kind of shitty work. Today i don't think this is true anymore. I would prefer to manage some avg ai than a shitty person.

This will and is already disrupting human lives.

quater321 3 hours ago||
[flagged]
deadbabe 3 hours ago||
I don’t want the US to win anything ever again. They are a net negative in this world, obsessed with short term profits. Countries like China with long term objectives are better.
rob74 3 hours ago||
I'm a bit sad that the US now look less reliable (and, on average, more of a net negative) than China, but I can't blame anyone who has that impression right now. As long as the guy who sets the long term objectives is reasonably sane, I guess? Putin attacked Ukraine, Trump (and Bibi) attacked Iran, I'm hoping Xi is smarter and doesn't attack Taiwan, otherwise we can all say good bye to our jobs, and who "wins" AI will be the least important question on our minds...
keybored 2 hours ago|||
It’s all about appearances isn’t it. America has dropped more bombs than China. When did China bomb a country last time? But appearances change and that is sad.

The only thing that changed was that America turned on its client states and started saying unhinged shit instead of appearances-speeches like spreading freedom and democracy.

Edit: replaced “has bombed more countries than China” with “dropped more bombs”

deadbabe 2 hours ago||
America’s goal is to rule the world through a hegemony built on fear and violence. With the current administration, it’s just that the mask has slipped.

Americans are all the same really, it doesn’t matter who voted for who: FIX your shit, fix your society. Stop oppressing the world with destructive capitalism. And yea maybe that means you have to slow down and live a little more inconveniently, but it will be for the betterment of the world.

ozmodiar 2 hours ago|||
I think China has too much to gain by looking like the word's stable alternative to America. What really gets me depressed is their current trajectory towards cultural homogeneity, even internally. There seems to be a real push to calcify the Han identity. I don't know why dictators are so drawn to homogenizing their own cultures when nature itself seems to point to diversity as strength. It leaves me still kind of hoping America is somehow able to pull its head out of its ass, but they'll have to overcome their own oligarchy and entrenched structures - Trump was a symptom.
throw42356 3 hours ago|||
America, China and Russia are all same.
AntiUSAbah 3 hours ago||
I don't agree.

China took a very rich business man and told him to stop showing his richness and start doing more for china.

China has a real plan for renewable energy and pushing through it.

China is smarter because it doesn't allow some people to vote for people like Trump and its smarter than russia because it is less motivated by one persons personal agenda.

quater321 3 hours ago||
you don't really need to explain that to someone with common sense. If someone says a communist countrie should be the top of the world, they are obviously part of the communist party or simply re*rded.
defrost 3 hours ago|||
> Be kind. Don't be snarky. Converse curiously; don't cross-examine. Edit out swipes.

~ Hacker News Guidelines: https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

AntiUSAbah 2 hours ago|||
I'm clarifying my viewpoint to a comment from someone else to have a proper discussion.

It could lead to a good discussion, it often doesn't.

quater321 3 hours ago||
[flagged]
azangru 3 hours ago|||
I am puzzled by this sentence, which combines nationality, psychosis, and intelligence into one. What if the parent commenter is Vietnamese? Or Hungarian? Or Turkish? Will this fall into the "or" clause?
torlok 3 hours ago|||
Beside posturing, modern China was only involved in skirmishes at the Indian border. What's delusional is blindly comparing China to Russia or the USA.
chrsw 3 hours ago||
I had an indignant gasp reflex when he called Cursor "random AI bubble crap" and I'm just a user.
feverzsj 3 hours ago|
It's like the largest scam in history. No one will win it except some scammers.
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