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Posted by alcazar 11 hours ago

Sabotaging projects by overthinking, scope creep, and structural diffing(kevinlynagh.com)
351 points | 92 comments
JSR_FDED 12 minutes ago|
> Perhaps there’s some kind of conservation law here: Any increases in programming speed will be offset by a corresponding increase in unnecessary features, rabbit holes, and diversions.

Great explanation for what I see when I mess around with coding LLMs. The natural human instinct of “this feels complicated, let me think about it some more” is suppressed. So far all the gains from the stunning initial speed have been cancelled out later in the project, arising from the over-engineered complexity baked into the code.

bennettnate5 10 hours ago||
Incidentally, this describes what I believe to be the great difficulty of PhD research. You have to take a topic you find interesting and read all possible related work in it, which tends to result in significant scope creep as you realize just how much there is that already does you want to do. Having exhausted your initial energy and excitement for the project, you have to force yourself the remaining 20-30% of he way to the finish line to get that work to a publishable state.
sidewndr46 10 hours ago||
Day 1: We aim to demonstrate the effectiveness of an existing industrial catalyst in a novel application that has not seen commercial usage, potentially lowering cost of production of precursors for essential medications

Day 400: Having thoroughly described a universal theory of everything, we set out to build an experimental apparatus in orbit at a Lagrange point capable of detecting a universal particle which acts a mediator for all observable forces in the known universe.

richardw 6 hours ago|||
That’s how I do side projects.
amarant 4 hours ago||
I think this is the definition of side projects.

Like, if you stay focused, is it even really a side project?

Which is why my 2d top down sprite-based rpg now has a 3d procedural animation engine, a procedural 3d character generator with automagic rigging, a population simulator that would put Europa Universalis to shame if I ever get around to finishing it (ha!) a pixel art editor, a 2d procedural animation engine using active ragdolls.........

You might wonder why a 2d game needs 3d procedural animation, well...

The scope creeps in mysterious ways

bluefirebrand 10 hours ago||||
Damn, that's an incredible amount of progress in just 400 days
gadflyinyoureye 7 hours ago||
That is the power of AI.
FridgeSeal 2 minutes ago|||
Don’t sell yourself short!

You could achieve things yourself if you tried!

Johnny_Bonk 10 hours ago||||
Hahaha so well said, can relate during my thesis
ryujexu 1 hour ago|||
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wasabi991011 10 hours ago|||
Oh man I feel that in my bones.

Any advice on how to mitigate this?

Kichererbsen 10 hours ago|||
I worked at a chair for 12 years - in that time I've seen a lot of PhD students go through this.

If it helps anything at all: It's normal. At this point, you've already proven you're smart and knowledgeable. Now, the universe wants to see if you can also finish what you've started. That's the main thing a PhD proves: That you can take an incredibly interesting topic and then do all the boring stuff that they need you to do to be formally compliant with arbitrary rules.

Focus on finishing. Reduce the scope as much as possible again. Down to your core message (or 3-4 core messages, I guess, for paper-based dissertations).

Listen to the feedback you get from your advisor.

You got this!

wjnc 9 hours ago|||
This is spot on. My dad was a professor and had dozens of PhDs. The only thing differentiating them (as I remember him telling me) was the resolve to keep work as /tiny/ as possible. Who is remember for his/her PhD? Only the smallest cream of the crop. He even made good fun of worthless thesis by (then) well known professors. It’s not about your PhD.

When I did my MSc thesis he told me it was a pretty good PhD. (Before giving me a months work in corrections.) I didn’t understand back then, but I understand now. It was small, replicatable and novel (still is)! Just replicate three times and be done with it. You’ve proven your mastery. Now start something serious.

collabs 5 hours ago||
> This is spot on. My dad was a professor and had dozens of PhDs. The only thing differentiating them (as I remember him telling me) was the resolve to keep work as /tiny/ as possible. Who is remember for his/her PhD? Only the smallest cream of the crop. He even made good fun of worthless thesis by (then) well known professors. It’s not about your PhD.

My professor once told me he presented at a small conference, the whole audience everybody had PhD in mathematics and maybe 2 of the 50 or so people in the audience could follow along. The point he was trying to make is at some point the people in the audience were not really interested in what was being presented because it is difficult to just follow along some really niche topic.

brandall10 5 hours ago||
There was a book I read a couple years back called "Mathematica: A Secret World of Intuition and Curiosity", by David Bessis.

He discussed this topic and how generally it's left to those who are more notable in a field to ask the 'dumb' questions everyone else is afraid to ask. And such questions often need to be asked to get the audience on board and open the floodgates with areas of niche research - the speaker themself is often too far into the rabbit hole to discern the difference between opaque and obvious.

So it stands to reason, at smaller conferences this would be a big problem, with fewer thought leaders in attendance whose reputations are intact enough that they wouldn't mind looking foolish.

stathibus 4 hours ago||||
> Focus on finishing. Reduce the scope as much as possible again.

in my field this would be terrible advice. instead you need to be doing something that your audience actually will give a shit about.

arethuza 10 hours ago|||
It's been a long long time since I was the academic research world - but isn't 3 published papers pretty much the expectation for a PhD quantity of research?
noelwelsh 9 hours ago||
Really depends on the field. Computer science research usually has pretty short cycle times. If you're working on, say, biology or anthropology, collecting data can take substantially longer.
godelski 8 hours ago||||
Switch back and forth between trying and reviewing. Often it can be good to just try before reviewing, to get your feet wet. Don't spend too much time. Then when reviewing you're going to understand it more. Repeat this process.

But there's some things to remember that are incredibly important

  - a paper doesn't *prove* something, it suggests it is *probably* right
    - under the conditions of the paper's settings, which aren't yours
  - just because someone had X outcome before doesn't mean you won't get Y outcome
  - those small details usually dominate success
    - sometimes a one liner seemingly throw away sentence is what you're missing
    - sometimes the authors don't know and the answer is 5 papers back that they've been building on
  - DO NOT TREAT PAPERS AS *ABSOLUTE* TRUTH
    - no one is *absolutely* right, everyone is *some* degree of wrong
  - other researchers are just like you, writing papers just like you
    - they also look back at their old papers and say "I'm glad I'm not that bad anymore"
  - a paper demonstrating your idea is a positive signal, you're thinking in the right direction
As soon as you start treating papers as "this is fact" you tend to overly generalize the results. But the details dominate so you just kill your own creativity. You kill your own ideas before you know they're right or wrong. More importantly you don't know how right or how wrong.
gopher_space 1 hour ago||
Your bullet points explain most of the replication crisis, from my perspective.
godelski 29 minutes ago||
They're definitely deeply related. For example, a lot of works get rejected over "novelty" issues. Well, if success and/or failure depend on something seemingly small then it will almost never get through review because it seems like low novelty. Though it'll get through review if authors are convincing enough, which often leads to some minor exaggerations.

Combine that with the publish-or-perish paradigm and I think we got significant coverage. People don't even consider diving deeper into things and are encouraged to take the route of "assume paper is correct" because that's the fastest way to push out research. But if the foundation is shaky, then everything built on it is shaky too.

Which, that's a distinction in the hard and more formal fields like math and physics. They have no issues pushing out papers that may have errors in them because the process is to attack works as hard as possible. Then whatever is left is where you build again. You definitely have people take advantage of this, like Avi Loeb publishing about aliens, but it is realistically a small price to pay. And hey, even Loeb's work still contributes. If at some point it actually is aliens, then there's work existing that can be built upon. And when it continues to not be aliens, there's existing work to build on since really his problem is more that the papers just end up concluding "and this is why we can't rule out aliens!" (-__-)

Anyways, long story short, my advice is to just remember that you, and everybody else, is a blubbering idiot and it is a absolute fucking miracle a bunch of mostly hairless apes can even communicate, let alone postulate about the cosmos. At the end of the day we're all on the same team, seeking truth. Truth matters more than our egos and if we start to forget how dumb we are then we'll only hinder our pursuit of truth.

exidex 10 hours ago||||
My choice is to not do a PhD and just invest as much or as little effort in the topic as you like
bennettnate5 8 hours ago||||
For me, it wasn't so much about mitigating this cycle as much as recognizing that the grit of pushing through that last 20-30% is actually a valuable life skill that the PhD could teach me to do, and that projects that I felt like I would never want to touch again actually started to become interesting again after I had left them for a year or so.
ericmcer 8 hours ago||||
It seems almost inevitable...

Acknowledge it is normal? Attempt to buy deeper into the delusion ("Yeah my work is awesome and unique!"). Use stimulants to force enthusiastic days every once in awhile?

thechao 4 hours ago|||
Find a brand new hire who wants to get tenure. Getting a PhD through in 4 years is catnip for tenure at most universities (stateside). We then dropped off my dissertation in the middle of NSF funding week. I paid for it during orals (4 hours), but they all signed within a few days without comment.

Uhh... unless you plan to stay in academia? Then, this is a terrible idea.

AndrewKemendo 7 hours ago|||
The majority of PhD candidates deal with this because the point of a PhD is to prove you can to “normal science” [1] which boils down to “how do I make this system go from 1% observable to 1.001% observable” which is just a gate for being in the academic career field.

You’ll almost never see a PhD thesis that has anything particularly interesting, novel or directly applicable to the sciences.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normal_science

SecretDreams 3 hours ago|||
This, all while battling the increasingly heavy burden of regret towards having started a PhD in the first place.
Serhii-Set 6 hours ago|||
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abdullahkhalids 8 hours ago||
> You have to take a topic you find interesting and read all possible related work in it

This is definitely the wrong way of going about a research project, and I have rarely seen anyone approach research projects this way. You should read two or at most three papers and build upon them. You only do a deep review of the research literature later in the project, once you have some results and you have started writing them down.

bennettnate5 8 hours ago|||
The usual justification is that if you don't do at least a breadth-first literature review, you can get burned by missing a paper that already does substantially what you do in your work. I've heard of extreme case where it happens a week before someone goes to defend their dissertation!
1718627440 8 hours ago||
Excuse my naivety, but isn't it good if the same results get proofed in slightly different ways? This is effectively a replication, but instead of just the appliance of the experiments, you also replicate the thought process by having a slightly different approach.
jacinda 7 hours ago|||
It would be good (especially with the replication crisis), but historically to earn a PhD, especially at a top-tier institution, the criteria is conducting original research that produces new knowledge or unique insights.

Replicating existing results doesn't meet that criteria so unknowingly repeating someone's work is an existential crisis for PhD students. It can mean that you worked for 4-6 years on something that the committee then can't/won't grant a doctorate for and effectively forcing you to start over.

Theoretically, your advisor is supposed to help prevent this as well by guiding you in good directions, but not all advisors are created equal.

Apocryphon 7 hours ago||
And here we once again see an example of misaligned incentives baked into another one of our most hallowed institutions.
antonvs 5 hours ago||
The problem is that what the “hallowed institutions” are trying to do is extremely ridiculous: turn the kind of work that scientific geniuses did into something that can be replicated by following a formula.

It’s as if a committee of middle managers got together and said, “how can we replicate and scale the work of people like Einstein?”

Xirdus 7 hours ago||||
For the humanity? Yes, it's generally good. For that particular researcher's career? Not really. Who wants to pay for research into something that's already known?
1718627440 7 hours ago||
My imagination was leaning more into the educational side than the research side of university. I see how that wouldn't be appreciated by a patron, but when you get search grants, isn't the topic discussed before starting and paying for the research? Also that is kind of the point, why topics are cleared with the chair-holding professor, which is expected to be already experienced in the subject to know where the knowledge needs to be expanded.
jcelerier 6 hours ago|||
Well, if you don't care about not being able to do your defense after 4 years of work because someone managed to do it just before you..
ChromaticPanic 6 hours ago|||
Unless you're already an expert in the topic a literature search is literally step 1 since you have to check if your idea has already been done before.
abdullahkhalids 3 hours ago||
That's where your supervisor comes in. In most cases, they should be an expert in the field, and guide you towards a useful and novel problem.

Moreover, I am not suggesting you don't look at other papers at all. But google scholar and some quick skimming of abstracts and papers you find should suffice to check if someone has already done the work. If you start fully reading more than a handful of papers, your ideas are already locked in by what others have done, and it becomes way harder to produce something novel.

tra3 9 hours ago||
In one of his speeches, Obama said "Better is good". I think about this a lot. It feels like better compounds over time, too. Small improvements add up. From experience, nothing new is perfect the first go round, so sitting around trying to come up with a perfect design is counterproductive because there's no such thing.

"impediment to action advances action. what stands in the way, becomes the way".

zoogeny 4 hours ago||
A saying I've come across is: "Don't let perfect be the enemy of good"

I had a coworker who would always be diplomatic about code changes he felt could be improved but when he felt he was nitpicking, where he would say: It's better than it was. It allowed him to provide criticism while also giving permission to go ahead even if there were minor things that weren't perfect. I strongly endorse this kind of attitude.

flutas 3 hours ago|||
Hmm, in every team I've been in (only 3 tbf) we almost all followed the "nit" approach for PRs.

    nit: this could be changed to XYZ
vs

    we should use XYZ here
where it was understood nits could be ignored if you didn't feel it was an urgent thing vs a preference.
zoogeny 3 hours ago||
It's worth noting that this is a kind of different "nit" than something that might be attached to a line of code. Like, someone might "nit" using a bunch of if statements where a switch statement might work, or if someone uses a `for each` where a `thing.map` would do.

What I am describing would be something higher level, more like a comment on approach, or an observation that there is some high-level redundancy or opportunity for refactor. Something like "in an ideal world we would offload some of this to an external cache server instead of an in-memory store but this is better than hitting the DB on every request".

That kind of observation may come up in top-level comment on a code review, but it might also come up in a tech review long before a line of code has been written. It is about extending that attitude to all aspects of dev.

jiggawatts 4 hours ago|||
I have a crippling guilt about not keeping my apartment as spotlessly clean as my parents did theirs, to the point that I end up procrastinating, which just makes it worse.

The trick to overcoming this is not to aim for "clean" but for "cleaner than before".

Just keep chipping away at it, whether it is a messy codebase or a messy kitchen.

zoogeny 3 hours ago|||
I use it for cleaning all the time. Whenever I have dishes, I always give myself permission to do as little as I want knowing that one clean dish is better than nothing. Most often I end up doing them all.

The other saying I say is "completion not perfection". That helps me in yard work especially. I'm not going for the cover shot of "Better Homes and Gardens", I just need the lawn to be cut.

Waterluvian 3 hours ago|||
I call it “sweeping back the desert.”

The sand blows in endlessly. You don’t aim for a pristine, sandless land. But you can’t ignore it or it takes over.

I’ll just pick up a few things and ferry them towards their “home.” Or go do a small amount of yard work. Etc.

nonethewiser 6 hours ago|||
It's perfectionism.

I always thought perfectionism meant extremely high achievements (for too great of a cost). But it can also be quitting without any progress because you can't accept anything less than perfect (which may or may not be achievable). Perfectionism can be someone procrastinating on a large task.

tt_dev 9 hours ago||
Obama - what a time to be alive
tyleo 9 hours ago||
Our CEO at Rec Room put this a way I really like, "Teams are always telling me they wish they did shorter projects. I've almost never heard a team say, 'we wish we delayed launch, did something more complex, polished more'"

I don't think it holds in 100% of situations but I do think if you're going to make an error one way or the other, I'd rather do something smaller and release too early than do something bigger and waste time.

mcontrac 10 hours ago||
I think the author is really just getting at the fact that humans are by nature intelligent and by nature tend to think of similar ideas. So you can either unknowingly complete a project which is inevitably in some sense a replication of another project, or you can do the research first and realize it's partially a replication which is a bit disheartening. I think the solution might lie in realizing that completing a project for the sake of your own learning might be the most important factor. (This is easier said than done is when you are trying to complete novel academic research or when you are trying to make a profit off of your unique project.) But those, too, are more than forgiving to research that seem only to slightly tweak something that already exists.
eagerpace 6 hours ago|
We all just need a little more sodium in our diets.
SuperSixFour 39 minutes ago||
The fact that the author was confident enough to start the article with a picture of the bins they made and they include seemingly 3x the same thing (oats) and an entire container of ice cream cones, while the only actual ingredient they have is flour and its at the end, makes me question the validity of their argument
dgb23 8 hours ago||
I'm _exactly_ in this situation right now with a side project.

It's in a field that I have little experience with (Information Retrieval). So there is obviously prior art that I could learn from or even integrate with.

This article motivates me further to learn things by focusing on building my own and peek into prior art as I go, when I'm stuck or need ideas.

Recently a Clojure documentary came out and the approach of Rich Hickey was seemingly the opposite: Deep research of prior art, papers, other languages over a long period of time.

However, he also mentioned that he made other languages before. So the larger story starts earlier, by making things and learning from practice.

Maybe that's also the bigger lesson: Don't overthink, start by making the thing. But later when you learned a bunch of practical lessons and maybe hit a wall or two, then you might need that deeper research to push further.

drivers99 7 hours ago|
> Recently a Clojure documentary came out and the approach of Rich Hickey was seemingly the opposite: Deep research of prior art, papers, other languages over a long period of time.

That was also on my mind thanks to the documentary. Then I followed up with "Easy made Simple" and "Hammock Driven Development", and it makes me want to learn Clojure.

Clojure documentary on CultRepo channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y24vK_QDLFg

Simple Made Easy: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxdOUGdseq4

Hammock Driven Development: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f84n5oFoZBc

dgb23 5 hours ago||
It's a really good language that is worth learning. If you like you can join the slack that is linked on clojure.org. Beginners are very welcome in my experience and there are a ton of great people around there.
radley 1 hour ago||
Same game, different approaches:

Sometimes you just want to button-mash through, rushing about carefree.

Other times, you want to go entirely stealth, wandering around, trying to find the best path, wasting an hour or more on a level you could have button-mashed in 5 minutes.

Both are fine.

omoikane 8 hours ago||
I found that setting deadlines solves most scope creep problems. Anecdotally, I am more likely to complete a project for a game jam or programming contest (which come with hard deadlines) than finishing an open-ended project.

See also "Why does the C++ standard ship every three years" (as opposed to ship when the desired features are ready):

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20428703 (2019-07-13, 220 comments)

1-6 10 hours ago|
Interesting read but the author's thoughts were all over the place.
JSR_FDED 22 minutes ago||
It covered multiple topics, that’s not the same as all over the place.
LPisGood 10 hours ago|||
There is something to be said about scope creep here
hendersonreed 10 hours ago|||
This isn't a blogpost with a particular focus, it's a newletter update for people who follow this person.
balamatom 10 hours ago||
Tell me you expect to be told what to think.
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