Posted by nilirl 22 hours ago
Honest question does high velocity / first mover ever really pay off these days?
I don't feel like having the first AI slop to the market has actually paid off for anyone? Am I wrong? Am I missing something? Am I out of touch?
The way I see it, first movers do a lot of work proving the idea works, and everyone else swoops in with better product or at least at a cheaper rate.
Beyond that, let's take the company I work for, for example. We have an ingrained and actually relatively happy customer base on a subscription model. I feel like the only thing increased velocity can do is rapidly ruin their experience.
Fine, then, I'll keep the experience to myself.
I think the framing started in the right path and then took a slightly wrong turn.
Both loops presented benefit from being tighter, faster. One to take a system to a “stable” (maintainable) setpoint quickly. The other to handle uncertainty.
And the additional insight about splitting the systems to better adapt to AI… we’ve described spikes for years, well before AI went mainstream.
I think the framing started in the right path and then took a slightly wrong turn.
Both loops presented benefit from being tighter, faster. One to take a system to a “stable” (maintainable) setpoint quickly. The other to handle uncertainty.
And the additional insight about splitting the systems to better adapt to AI… we’ve described spikes for years, well before AI went mainstream
There’s a speed limit, because the faster you go the less room for error you have. It’s the same as being heavily leveraged with debt. If you have a cash investment and it drops by 50% you can just wait. If you’re leveraged 100-to-1, a 1% drop forced liquidation and wipes you out.
Many vendors seem to be learning (or not learning, but just throwing their weight against it anyway) that adding hastily-generated AI features are causing customer dissatisfaction, as more people brand the features "slop".
In the best case, the users give the company more chances. Infinitely more chances.
In a worse case, the users assume the new feature will always be bad, given their first impression. It's hard for a vendor to make people reconsider a first impression.
The absolute worst case is that AI enables a new market, but the first attempts are so poor that the first movers make people write that market off as a dead end, leading to a lost opportunity.
And push an insurmountable pile of technical debt onto the successor.
Well, yeah, I understand the idea and I'm all for it: the less code the better, the less changes the better.
However in certain industries it is no longer a right approach for the job. In modern frontend development if you did not update your codebase for like a couple of months, this codebase falls so much behind that it becomes way more expensive to push an upgrade as compared to daily minor updates of packages. Yeah, I hate this as much as you do, but this is the pace frontend is moving at, and if you don't follow, you will mount technical debt.