We know they serve the model on TPU 8i, which we have plenty of hard specs for (so we know the key constraints: total memory and bandwidth and compute flops). We can also set a ceiling on the compute complexity and memory demand of the model based on knowing they will be at least as efficient as what is disclosed in the Deepseek V4 Technical Report.
We can also assume that the model was explicitly built to run efficiently in a RadixAttention style batched serving scenario on a single TPU 8i (so no tensor parallelism, etc. to avoid unnecessary overheads... Google explicitly designed the 8th-generation inference architecture to eliminate the need for tensor sharding on mid-sized models).
We know Google intends to serve this model at a floor speed of around 280 tok/s too.
Putting all these pieces together, we can confidently say this model is ~250-300B total, and 10-16B active parameters. Likely mostly FP4 with FP8 where it matters most.
Visual:
┌────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│ TPU 8i VRAM (288 GB) │
├───────────────────────────┬────────────────────────────┤
│ Static Model Weights │ Dynamic Allocations & │
│ (250B - 300B @ Mixed │ Compressed KV Caches │
│ FP4/FP8) │ (RadixAttention / SRAM) │
│ ~110 GB - 150 GB │ ~138 GB - 178 GB │
└───────────────────────────┴────────────────────────────┘
I do model serving optimization work. This is napkin math.Edit: There's one factor I under-rated in my initial estimate... TurboQuant. This is a compute to KV memory use tradeoff. It's plausible with TurboQuant at a quality-neutral setting they've gotten the model up to 400B with similar economics. This is a variable effecting concurrency and the the way they decided total model size was likely based on what they see for the average user's average KV cache depth in real-world usage.
If these Gemini 3.5 numbers are accurate, then I'd wager GPT 5.5 and Opus 4.7 are a lot smaller than people have speculated, too. It's not that frontier labs can't create a 5T+ parameter model, but they don't have the data to optimize a model of that size.
Gemini 3.5 Flash is really smart in one-shot coding reasoning, btw. Near the frontier. But it doesn't do so well in long horizon agentic tasks with arbitrary tool availability. This is a common theme with Google models, and the opposite of what we see with Chinese models (start dumb, iterate consistently toward a smart solution).
Data at https://gertlabs.com/rankings
Mythos is an exception that's larger.
I think it’s pure economics. Flash models are OP for the price, leads to too much demand, google cannot serve it. This is likely expensive to reduce load and hey, if it still makes money just keep the margin.
It’s not a rumor - there are many public announcements about $B deals around compute for other Ai companies
With the Pro variant being around 600B - 800B
My testing is comparing it's performance / output to other models in the same size range, so not as scientific as yours.
Not a great bicycle though, it forgot the bar between the pedals and the back wheel and weirdly tangled the other bars.
Expensive too - that pelican cost 13 cents: https://www.llm-prices.com/#it=11&ot=14403&sel=gemini-3.5-fl...
Truly: Nothing better than AI tools to brave the challenges and requirements of modern life. "Claude, ride the hype train" is the decisive prompt you need.
edit: fixed human hallucination
I ask because:
Insofar as the original pelican test is zero-shot, it effectively serves as a way to test for the presence of a kind of "visual imagination" component within the layers of the model, that the model would internally "paint" an SVG [or PostScript, etc] encoding of an image onto, to then extract effective features from, analyze for fitness as a solution to a stated request, etc.
But if you're trying to do a multi-shot pelican, then just feeding back in the SVG produced in the previous attempt, really doesn't correspond to any interesting human capability. Humans can't take an SVG of a pelican and iteratively improve upon it just based on our imagined version of how that SVG renders, either! Rather, a human, given the pelican, would simply load the pelican SVG in a browser; look at the browser's rendering of the pelican; note the things wrong with that rendering; and then edit the SVG to hopefully fix those flaws (and repeat.)
I imagine current (mult-modal and/or computer-use) LLMs would actually be very good at such an "iterative rendered pelican" test.
And I am saying that if you take one of these SVGs and ask an LLM to look for flaws, it rarely spots those obvious flaws and instead suggests adding a sunset and fish in the birds mouth.
When I ask for a pelican on a bike, I want the Platonic ideal of a pelican on a bike, not a vision of an alternative reality in which pelicans created bikes. Though, thinking about it again, maybe I should.
https://www.gianlucagimini.it/portfolio-item/velocipedia/
> most ended up drawing something that was pretty far off from a regular men’s bicycle
But Simon says he runs these through the API without tool access specifically to prevent that sort of "cheating". I.e. it's an LLM benchmark not an LLM+Harness benchmark.
Not really a criticism but an interesting point that you would never expect a human to make that mistake even in a bad drawing.
That's not to say I don't spend my days raging at it... a lot... but it's not that bad. It does tend to ignore completion criteria but it doesn't obviously degrade when being nudged like some models do.
Last time I tried, ChatGPT's image generator got the best result.
wtf
`<!-- Gold Rim -->`
WTF??
I noticed the "Synthwave" aesthetic, which is enjoying quite some success since quite some time now, has found its way into AI models (even when it's not in the user's query). It's not the first time I see the sun at sunset with color bands etc. in AI-generated pictures. Don't know why it's now taking on in AI too.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Synthwave
Hence the comments here about the 90s, Sonny Crockett's white Ferrari Testarossa in Miami, etc.
To be honest as a kid from the 80s and a teenager from the 90s who grew up with that aesthetic in posters, on VHS tape covers, magazine covers, etc. I do love that style and I love that it made a comeback and that that comeback somehow stayed.
So it's as relevant and baked-in to today as actual 80s synth-culture was in 2000.
Gemini 2.5 flash: $0.30/$2.50
Gemini 3.0 flash preview: $0.50/$3.00
Gemini 3.5 flash: $1.50/$9.00
Interesting pricing direction. I don't think we have ever seen a 3x price increase for in the immediate next same-sized model (and lol @ 3 only ever getting a preview).
3.5 flash costs similar to Gemini 2.5 pro which was $1.25/$10
Gemini 2.5 flash (27 score): $172 (1.0x)
Gemini 2.5 pro (35 score): $649 (3.8x)
Gemini 3.0 Flash (46 score): $278 (1.6x)
Gemini 3.5 Flash (55 score): $1,552 (9.0x or 2.4x compared to 2.5 pro)
This is a massive price increase... 5.6x compared to Gemini 3.0 Flash
From what I hear, most enterprise AI deployments are seat-based subscriptions with annual commitments.
Amusingly, Enterprise credits are more expensive than just paying a zero-commitment on-demand API fee. Personal accounts are still the best value.
People really can’t wait to be the next Zynga
Or maybe they think because their benchmarks are good they can ramp up the prices. Seems like they don’t have the market share to justify a move like that yet to me.
My guess: it's the price at which they make more money than if they rent the TPUs to other companies.
The Gemini team has had trouble securing enough TPUs for their user's needs. They struggle with load and their rate limits are really bad. Maybe at a higher price, they have a better chance at getting more TPUs assigned?
Just because you are vertically integrated doesn't mean you get to discount the one business units products to the other. Doing so discounts the opportunity cost you pay and is just bad accounting.
You have free local models for most tasks, $20 subscriptions for near-frontier intelligence, and API per token costs for frontier intelligence.
Flash seems to be targeting the near-frontier category.
I think frontier models will be invaluable for scientific research, defense, financial analysis and such. But the average person probably would be reasonably well-served with a local model.
If you're in sales, customer service, product management and such - the leading open models at the 30B mark are already good enough.
Open-source model inference providers (who do not have to bear the cost of training) seem able to do it at much lower prices.
https://www.together.ai/pricing
https://fireworks.ai/pricing#serverless-pricing (scroll down to headline models)
Of course, it's possible that they are burning through investor cash as well, and apples-to-apples comparisons are not possible because AFAIK Google does not mention the size/paramcount for 3.5 Flash.
But if the prevailing wisdom is true, I think it's actually encouraging. It suggests that OpenAI and Anthropic could perhaps, if they need to, achieve profitability if they slow down model development and focus on tooling etc. instead. If true that's probably good news for everybody w.r.t. preventing a bursting of this economic bubble.
...my opinions here are of course, conjecture built on top of conjecture....
I think you're right that releasing models at a slower cadence would bring down costs to some degree, but it's not clear how much. All of these companies could significantly reduce their opex but at the risk of falling behind in terms of being at the frontier.
The economic value increases non-linearly as models get more intelligent: being 10% more capable unlocks way more than 10% in downstream value.
That's trouble because the non-linear component means at some point their margins will stop primarily defined by the cost of compute, and start being dominated by how intelligent the model is.
At that point you can expect compute prices to skyrocket and free capacity to plummet, so even if you have a model that's "good enough", you can't afford to deploy it at scale.
(and in terms of timing, I think they're all well under the curve for pricing by economic value. Everyone is talking about Uber spending millions on tokens, but how much payroll did they pay while devs scrolled their phones and waited for CC to do their job?)
Qwen 3.6 hit hard in the self-hosting space. It's incredibly capable for its size, really shaking up what's possible in 64GB or even 32GB of VRAM.
The Prism Bonsai ternary model crams a tremendous amount of capability into 1.75GB.
And, DeepSeek V4 is crazy good for the price. They're charging flash model prices for their top-tier Pro model, which is competitive with the frontier of a few months ago.
The winners in the AI war will be the companies that figure out how to run them efficiently, not the ones that eke out a couple percent better performance on a benchmark while spending ten times as much on inference (though the capability has to be there, I think we're seeing that capability alone isn't a strong moat...there's enough competent competition to insure there's always at least a few options even at the very frontier of capability).
You can lower that to at least 24GB. I've been running Qwen 3.5 and 3.6 with codex on a 7900 XTX and the long horizon tasks it can handle successfully has been blowing my mind. I would seriously choose running my current local setup over (the SOTA models + ecosystem) of a year ago just based on how productive I can be.
DeepSeek V4 Pro likewise is insanely good for the price. I simply point it at large codebases, go get a cup of coffee or browse Hacker News, and then it's done useful work. This was simply not possible with other models without hitting budget problems.
People report good results from DeepSeek V4 Flash at 2 bits (the DwarfStar 4 folks are doing it, and I've tried it on my Strix Halo, but it's too slow to be usable, so I haven't bothered to figure out if it's actually smart enough to use for anything).
Anyway, it's obvious models have to degrade in terms of knowledge, at any quantization, even though it may not show up clearly on benchmarks until lower. If you halve the size of the data available, it necessarily loses information about the world.
This is what you get for relying on the generosity of billionaires. Keep offshoring your thinking ability to a machine and let me know how competitive you. Hint, you wont be. There's nothing special about being able to use an LLM.
But even when it happens I doubt it would be as cheap as it is right now. Enjoy it while it lasts!
Please go run some numbers.The hardware needed to Run Deepseek v4 flash at 20 tps for a single session is nowhere close to what is required to run it at 50tps for 5,000 concurrent sessions.
Imagine what it takes to be profitible when running at 150 tps for 30cents per 1mm. You make less than 1k per month and the hardware required to run that cost 10k a month to rent with hardly any concurrent session capability.
- DeepSeek serves DeepSeek V4 Pro at 27 tps: https://openrouter.ai/deepseek/deepseek-v4-pro
- At 27 tps per user, a B300 GPUS will give you around 800 tokens per second (serving 30 users): https://developer-blogs.nvidia.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/0...
- That's 800 * 60 * 60 generated tokens per hour, at a cost of $0.87 per 1M tokens, or $2.50 per hour.
- For input and output tokens, the math is a bit more complicated because we have to make assumptions about their ratio. Using the published values from OpenCode, we get another $2.50 for cached tokens (which are almost free for DeepSeek) and another $3.40 for input tokens (which are a lot cheaper to compute than output tokens), which gives us a total of $8.50 per hour per B300 GPU.
- B300 GPUs can be rented for as low as $3.40 per hour, which is less than $8.50, so hosting DeepSeek V4 Pro is profitable.
You could also host it at fewer tps per user to raise the efficiency and therefore the profit even higher.
Smh, it's all downhill from the first unadulterated neuron.
I think it is priced high because it's basically their smartest model as well as their fastest, so why shouldn't they?
You can still use earlier generations of Flash at a lower cost if you want "fast and cheap and just OK," which often makes sense. (Just checked)
I would predict they will lower this price when 3.5 High appears, but perhaps not all the way.
Just like in software, some of the most beautiful solutions come from constraints. Think, the optimisations that game developers implemented because of the frame budget.
Or if you prefer smaller ones, Qwen3.6-35B-A3B, https://huggingface.co/bartowski/Qwen_Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-GGUF
https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/models/gemini-3.5-flas...
3.1 flash lite isn’t quite as good as 3 flash preview (which is the most incredible cheap model… I really love it) — but 3.1 is half the price and the insane speed opens up different use cases.
For comparison, Opus models are $5/$25
Since Gemini 3.5 Flash is raising the price to $1.50/$9.00, it's priced between Haiku and Sonnet. If it outperforms Sonnet, it remains a good value, I guess. Though DeepSeek V4 Flash is much cheaper than all of them, and seemingly competitive.
Outside of coding, claude models are pretty meh. GPT and Gemini are the workhorses of science/math/finance.
They sure are not at thorough analysis or debugging, etc.
I use it _a lot_ and it’s very capable if you just plan correctly. I actually almost exclusively use 3.1 flash lite and 2.5 flash lite (even cheaper) and we have 99.5% accuracy in what we do.
That said, I think we’ll see the lite/flash models and the pro models will diverge more price wise. The pro models will become more and more expensive.
Fwiw it’s beating Claude Sonnet in most benchmarking (benchmaxxing?), yet they’ve priced it almost half off on a per token basis.
Question is are you going to persuade anyone with this argument?
Are there many devs at Google who legit prefer Gemini over Claude and Codex? Would love to hear about that.
A few weeks ago, Steve Yegge claimed he'd heard that Google employees are banned from using Claude & Codex.
https://x.com/Steve_Yegge/status/2046260541912707471
A number of Googlers replied to say that was totally false, including Demis Hassabis, but they were all on the DeepMind team.
https://x.com/demishassabis/status/2043867486320222333
This person here claims they left Google because of the ban, and because the ban applied outside of Google work as well:
I think false (or hasn't filtered to everyone lol)
Empty Slot (new Pro as Mythos competitor?)
Old Pro -> now Flash
Old Flash -> now Flash Lite
Old Flash Lite -> now Gemma (and not served by Google)
I say "almost" because the situation is more fluid and unstable than a normal naming change. If Apple were to do this with laptops, maybe it'd be like, Air gets better and pricier and becomes Pro-level model, Neo same way becomes Air-level model, etc. But Apple's too design oriented to do something like that. Google, well...
This change has made me decide to move to a multi-provider situation like through OpenRouter for consumer-facing LLM api in a service I'm building. I just can't trust Google to not constantly rearrange everything under our feet. Doesn't mean I won't use Gemini, but it clearly means I need to have others in the mix ready to go. In fact I used to use lots of Flash Lite, which is now Gemma territory, and I can't get that served by Google anymore and don't want to run my own hardware.
But in any case, I'd compare this "Flash" model with previous "Pro" on all metrics. It's kinda like if in clothes a Small suddenly became what was a Large, or at Starbucks a Grande became the new de facto Venti. And only for the new! drinks.
And if we think this way, it's possible that prices are actually falling?
Inference alone is certainly profitable. I'm running models at home that are comparable to performance of paid models a year or so ago for free. Even for much larger models the cost around inference serving are clearly manageable.
Training is where the costs are, but I'm increasingly convinced those too could have costs dramatically reduced if necessary. Chinese companies like Moonshot.ai are doing fantastic work training frontier models for a fraction of the cost we're seeing from Anthropic/OpenAI.
This isn't like Uber or Doordash where the economics fundamentally don't make sense (referring to the early days of these services where rates were very cheap).
It's a compelling story that "current AI is unsustainable", but it doesn't pan out in practice for a multitude of reasons (not the least of which is that we can always fall back to what models did last year for basically free).
Profitable maybe, in terms of having low costs, but why pay Google or whoever when you can do it yourself for cheaper/"free"?
The value of the firm's operating assets = EBIT(1-t) - Reinvestment
You (Anthropic) want that sky-high valuation? Accept reinvestment is part of the equation.
If they decide to stop reinvesting, then they are as good as dead.
Moreover, they clearly are not re-investing cash flows from operations. Why do you think they are continually raising money? Lmao.
Ed Zitron and Gary Marcus are... confused.
Amazon was unprofitable because they poured their revenue into growth. On paper, they were in the red, but everyone - especially investors - saw what was going to happen, given their trajectory.
Is it the case that any of these AI companies are actually making a ton of money and growing accordingly? AFAICT, we've just got [a] big players like Google that can subsidize AI in the hopes of waiting everyone else out and [b] private companies raising capital in the hopes that when the market returns to rationality, they may be solvent.
> HSBC Global Investment Research projects that OpenAI still won’t be profitable by 2030, even though its consumer base will grow by that point to comprise some 44% of the world’s adult population (up from 10% in 2025). Beyond that, it will need at least another $207 billion of compute to keep up with its growth plans.
This article is from six months ago. Was HSBC wrong; did something dramatically change in the last six months; is OpenAI not, in fact, profitable?, or are they in fact doing well but doing a huge investment (as was the case with Amazon 25ish years ago)?
I genuinely do not know, but my impression is that they're burning investment capital trying to compete with others' investment capital and Google's bottomless pockets.
[0] https://fortune.com/2025/11/26/is-openai-profitable-forecast...
Whoever buys the stock at a richly priced 1tn at ipo is a bozo lmao. I know I know, index funds will be forced to hold it bypassing the 1 year rule. Disaster already.
The trend lines are going in the opposite direction.
That's not to say they will be or are wrong, it's just that they aren't exactly unbiased, or humble, sources.
The small models are useful for small things like summarizing text or search but not much else.
Even anthropic who does not own any hardware still have a big margin providing claude models.
Google has just recently upgraded their TPUs.
It's pretty funny that everyone say that this business is unsustainable, but I have yet seen anyone bankrupt, even the pure hardware providers who are renting out a100 b200.
Maybe I'll look at Opus again, but it just was slower, much more expensive and worst at all - wasn't listening to you instructions.
I mean, the benchmarks for Gemini 3.5 Flash are very strong, but at those prices it has to be. I guess the time of subsidized tokens from the big guys is slowly coming to an end.
and far cheaper than comparable models, Gemini Pro is cheaper than Claude Sonnet (Anthropic still gets to charge a brand premium)
Not the most intelligent but perfect balance of cheap, fast and not-too-dumb.
> Create animated SVG of a frog on a boat rowing through jungle river. Single page self contained HTML page with SVG
3.5 Flash: Thinking Medium - 7516 tokenshttps://gistpreview.github.io/?5c9858fd2057e678b55d563d9bff0...
3.5 Flash: Thinking High - 7280 tokens
https://gistpreview.github.io/?1cab3d70064349d08cf5952cdc165...
3.1 Pro - 28,258 tokens
https://gistpreview.github.io/?6bf3da2f80487608b9525bce53018...
Though 3.1 took 3 minutes of thinking to generate, but it only one that got animated movement.
https://gistpreview.github.io/?3496285c5dac5ba10ebbc0b201a1a...
Gemini 2.5 Pro - 5,325 tokens:
https://gistpreview.github.io/?cc5e0fefeaaffecd228c16c95e736...
Gemini 2.5 Flash - 7,556 tokens:
https://gistpreview.github.io/?263d6058fe526a62b8f270f0620ec...
Gemma 4 31B IT - 3,261 tokens via AI Studio:
https://gistpreview.github.io/?858a42b96af864859a3b89508619d...
Gemma 4 26B A4B IT - 4,034 tokens via AI Studio:
https://gistpreview.github.io/?4adb7703897e0c6b583f9de928e4a...
https://gistpreview.github.io/?da742884e5e830ce71ee4db877519...
OFC this is just for fun, but nevertheless gave me working code on first try.
8112 tokens @ 52.97 TPS, 0.85s TTFT
https://gistpreview.github.io/?7bdefff99aca89d1bc12405323bd4...
Full session: https://gist.github.com/abtinf/7bdefff99aca89d1bc12405323bd4...
Generated with LM Studio on a Macbook Pro M2 Max
https://huggingface.co/hesamation/Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-Claude-4.6...
This one works:
https://gistpreview.github.io/?557f979c82701862bc26d24f10399...
> Create animated SVG of a frog on a boat rowing through jungle river. Single page self contained HTML page with SVG. Use the Brave Browser to verifty that the image is indeed animated and looks like a proper rowing frog; iterate until you are satisfied with it.
It was able to discover and fix an animation bug, but the result is still far from perfect: https://gistpreview.github.io/?029df86d03bfe8f87df1e4d9ed2f6...
The benchmarks used don’t really give a full story
[1] https://github.com/htdt/godogen
[2] https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ozZmWcSwieZQG0muYjbj7Xjhhlz...
Now think, plan how to tell this story in a cartoon, make scene outline and then generate SVG animation story for "Three Little Pigs" in self contained HTML page. Just single animation no control buttons.
Full prompt in gist comments: https://gist.github.com/ArseniyShestakov/ed9faa53604035005ca...Actual results for models, one shot:
Gemini 3.5 Flash - Three Little Pigs - 9,050 tokens:
https://gistpreview.github.io/?ed9faa53604035005cae86c63c766...
Gemini 3.1 Pro - Three Little Pigs - 24,272 tokens:
https://gistpreview.github.io/?f506bbfd9b4459c8cd55d89605af8...
Gemini 3 Flash - Three Little Pigs - 5,350 tokens:
https://gistpreview.github.io/?f58eff069cf916031c97d560b0e35...
Gemma 4 31B IT - Three Little Pigs - 5,494 tokens:
https://gistpreview.github.io/?a3aa75abbe8fd7818b73f6fa55ee6...
Gemma 4 26B A4B IT - Three Iittle Pigs - 6,375 tokens:
https://gistpreview.github.io/?1e631caebeb54f9f0cd6d0e3d4d5e...
There's still fun stuff, though. I stumbled upon this bit of insanity just yesterday: https://tykenn.itch.io/trees-hate-you. It would have fit in fabulously with the old Flash sites.
Not sure, I'm not versed in game dev. So maybe my point about creation tools is moot.
However, 3D content always seems very samey to me, in a way that cartoons and regular animation don't. So the rest of my comment should still express what I mean.
---
Flash had a WYSIWYG editor aimed at media creators who treat programming at best as an afterthought.
Flash was mostly about ease of tweening and extremely flexible vector graphics engine combined with an intuitive creation tool.
So the "Flash vs HTML/JS/SVG/CSS..." debate is not just about technical capabilities of the medium.
Of course there are many fun web apps in the browser, or as native apps, too. But Flash attracted all kinds of slightly nerdy people with cultural things to say, not just web devs with a lot of free time.
What "HTML5"/browser web technology doesn't offer is this intuitive, visual creation pipeline, and this kind of speaks for itself!
Also, I think the Flash "creator's" age is not separable from its time: using Flash wasn't trivial either.
There were just more people with interesting ideas, free time, and a wholistic talent for expressing their humor and ideas, combined with the curiosity and skill to learn using Flash (of course only as a licensed copy purchased from Macromedia).
People like this today are probably more often hyper-optimizing social media creators, and/or not terminally online.
In other words: I don't think the typical Newgrounds creator would have taken the time and effort to translate a stickman collage, meme, or other idea into a web app / animation.
---
And to add even more preaching: I think that "creating" things using AI produces exactly the opposite effect: feed it an original idea, and the result will be a regression to the mean.
The whole "friendslop" genre is what replaced flash games.
Flash, ah, ah, saviour of the universe. Flash, ah, ah, he'll save every one of us!
Every time I have heard the word flash for goodness knows how many years.
Raw intelligence is high for a flash model. But Google's problem has always been productization and tool use, whereas raw intelligence is always competitive. It does not look like they solved that with this release -- in fact, their tool use delta (the improvement in scores when given arbitrary tools and a harness) has actually regressed from some previous models.
Data at https://gertlabs.com/rankings
From the talk on the Gemini subreddit it's severely lower than before. I'm likely canceling my AI Pro.
The update also broke the app for me. Editing a message crashes the app every time. I'm on a Pixel lol
- The model is appox 3.3x cost. - The model is realistically almost 5x cost due to token usage - Google has TPUs to run this on (yet the cost) - Google has a lot more security and backup cash compared to all other AI companies, likely even combined (yet the cost)
We can continue moving the goal posts, but it seems we're at a bit of a wall. Costs are increasing, intelligence is improving, but the cost is rising drastically.
You'd think Google of all companies in the mix would be able to sustain lower costs with how integrated they are with TPU, Deepmind and effectively unlimited budget.
API price for gemini-3.5-flash is 3x gemini-3-flash-preview so they might be throttling it 3x sooner. They should either drop API prices or not advertise AI Pro as supporting Antigravity.
https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#gemini-3.5-fla...
It means performs worse than 3.1 Flash Lite Preview (22/25), is slower (367s vs 142s) and is more expensive (75c vs 2c).
It is outperformed by Gemma4 26B-A4B in every way(!)
https://sql-benchmark.nicklothian.com/?highlight=google_gemi...
(Switch to the cost vs performance chart to see how far this is off the Pareto frontier)
Latest update: May 2026
I have a very bad feeling about this lag.
With strong tool use, it maybe doesn't even matter that the models are using older data. They can search for updated information. Though most models currently don't, without a little nudge in that direction.
Also, I believe the Qwen 3 series are all based on the same base model, with just fine-tuning/post-training to improve them on various metrics. Maybe everything in the Gemini 3 series is the same, and maybe they're concurrently training the Gemini 4 base model with updated knowledge as we speak.
This actually really does matter. Otherwise, the model simply won't know about your product and will always suggest only a few market leaders.
Searching for information on the Internet became a jungle a decade ago, and to be visible you have to pay Google for sunlight. Now, we risk falling into real darkness — until some paid model eventually emerges. This might be the reason Google is fine with training data from 2024. If the top spot is reserved for whoever pays anyway, why bother?
Taking into account the sometimes blind belief that 'LLMs know everything', the outcome could be very costly, especially for technologies and businesses unfortunate enough to emerge after 2025.
So maybe there's just not much openly available and new content worth training on that wasn't available prior to 2025.
So, as far as I'm concerned, training cutoff is still a big deal.
Tip: Add a default instruction to look at the actial downloaded source code of the dependencies used (assuming you're not dealing with closed source dependencies). Have the agent treat it as your own (readonly) source code instead of relying on model training data and possibly mismatching documentation on the web. Then it just greps for the exact function signatures and reads the file based documentation.
If you ask Gemini what you should use to integrate fraud prevention or account takeover protection into your product, there will be no mention of our open-source project. Five years in development, 1.3k stars, over 140 pull requests — all this isn't enough to make it into the training data. From this perspective, any technology that emerges after 2024 is simply invisible to LLMs.
The answer is: without being in the training data, LLMs basically don't understand what they're searching for.
FWIW while neither model included your product in it's initial response, when I followed up with "what about open-source" both did another search and Claude's response included your tool....
If anything, this model being trained up to 2025 is a positive sign that the "circular LLM training" problem hasn't (yet) become unmanagable.
The year-long delay is probably just due to how long it takes to test/refine a cutting-edge model. It's surely possible to train one faster, but Google wouldn't want to release a new model unless it's going to top the usual benchmarks.
still the cutoff is very much concerning and inconvenient