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Posted by theahura 2 days ago

There is a shadow hanging over this Fable thing(12gramsofcarbon.com)
488 points | 480 commentspage 4
andai 2 days ago|
>custom harness

Means you pay full price per token right? (Which I think works out to roughly 10x more than using Claude Code?)

Actually, for enterprise I think it doesn't make a difference anymore, since they switched to per-token billing.

theahura 1 day ago||
No, we use subscriptions. We wrap the underlying Claude Code with ACP. See: https://github.com/tilework-tech/nori-cli
andai 1 day ago||
Thanks, TIL.

I'm surprised about that. I'm not up to speed on the current situation (though I did find this, which may be of interest[0][1]), last I heard was a few months ago when they stopped banning people for using 3rd party software on the subs and started charging extra usage for it instead.

In this case it's automating the official software, which was a grey area (e.g. claude -p). And is now apparently totally cool. Except seems to also be switching to extra usage on June 15th[0][1].

The ACP thing seems to be in the same category as claude -p, billing-wise, from what I gathered[2].

[0] https://support.claude.com/en/articles/15036540-use-the-clau...

[1] https://www.techtimes.com/articles/317625/20260602/anthropic...

[2] https://www.digitalapplied.com/blog/anthropic-claude-credit-...

nijave 1 day ago||
Correct on Enterprise. Teams has a 150 user cap.

On Enterprise you might end up saving money if the other harness is more efficient.

woggy 2 days ago||
Any reason to think that open models will not catch up, given enough time?
girvo 2 days ago||
Chinese model companies are already beginning to close, instead of opening. The latest big Qwen models are not open, for example. And it doesn't look like they will be, either.
thepasch 2 days ago||
MiniMax and Moonshot both literally just released the weights for their latest flagship models, a few weeks after DeepSeek did the same. One lab a pattern does not make.
vineyardmike 2 days ago|||
The article addresses a pretty compelling reason...

Why would the makers of open models (mostly Chinese firms) continue to open them up, now that the value chain and economy shifts? Previously, it was a (Chinese) national goal to force the market to compress OpenAI/Anthropic margins (and compressing their revenue along the way), to ensure the Chinese had access to high quality models, and could afford to compete. Now there is an opportunity to usurp and be the international default, and claim the margin for themselves by closing their models.

Beyond that, there is likely an upper bound of capability-per-parameter, which means that there is an upper bound on "local" models, and once you need the cloud, why would the government not target clouds next?

nijave 1 day ago|||
I suspect it will lead to less open sourcing but at the same time that will drive on premise deployment demand from enterprises.

If that happens, presumably the weights eventually make their way online...

zozbot234 2 days ago||
By all indications, Fable is way too big to feasibly host locally. Even Opus is probably near enough to the limit.
pdantix 2 days ago||
with how the admin is talking about taking a stake in openai, it's so incredibly clear this is the government attempting to kneecap an openai competitor
pjmlp 2 days ago||
This is why we must diversify our technology stack back to the 80's style of computing heterogeneity.
ergl 1 day ago||
A summary of HN comments, posted on HN to generate even more comments. Very meta.
nijave 1 day ago|
Hopefully compiled, analyzed, and written with AI
CSMastermind 2 days ago||
> OpenAI did the same “too dangerous to release” song and dance for the awesome, world ending AI that was GPT-2.

Wasn't that when Dario, et al were at the company. One way to view this is that OpenAI expelled the cultists and they went on to form their own organization that continued using the same tactics.

Certainly some of the Anthropic press around Fable seems to me to be just marketing but I also think there's a core of people there who really believe it. I also think like all good advertising/lies there's some truth to the claims even if they're exaggerating.

dudeinhawaii 1 day ago||
I don't want to pile onto the conspiracy thinking but I was just wondering how Anthropic was going to foot the bill for the clearly larger and more expensive model being run on millions of Claude Code subscriptions, subsidized until the 22nd.

I thought for sure they'd turn it off sooner rather than later because the deadline would create a rush to get as much Fable usage as possible.

So, it would be logical to utilize any number of approaches to turn off usage...

It would be massively beneficial to Anthropic to have the government be the big baddie here. I'll withhold judgement until Fable comes back online - because it will. Will it come back online "unfortunately" just after the 22nd and, shucks, everyone will have to pay for token usage now?

resters 1 day ago||
Clearly Anthropic should have anticipated this and voluntarily banned all but native-born US citizens from using Fable from the outset. This would have had the benefit of preventing David Sacks from accessing the model and would have kept us all safer.
zhoBEENG 1 day ago||
To be clear, the restriction is not to native-born citizens of the US but citizens of the US in general. David Sacks is a US citizen.
resters 1 day ago||
Sacks fraudulently obtained citizenship papers but the next administration will likely review the case and revoke his citizenship, which will make him eligible for deportation.

Sacks can choose to self-deport on his own, which will help his chances if he ever decides to re-apply for citizenship or entry into the US.

zhoBEENG 1 day ago||
I am almost afraid to ask, but do you have a source? When I put your claim in a couple of search engines all I get is your comment here.
resters 1 day ago||
I'm referring to the process described here: https://www.dhs.gov/cbphome
zhoBEENG 1 day ago||
Sorry, I mean about David Sacks fraudulently obtaining citizenship.
dgellow 1 day ago||
That wouldn't have helped, the US government would still ban the model
MASNeo 2 days ago||
While this is regrettable the guardrails were rather sloppy and I managed to do things with Fable that really should not be possible. It seems with all the focus cyber and bio security, threat scenario analysis went out the door. I guess they will fix the guardrails and then open it up again.
trhway 2 days ago||
the bigger point i think stands - we're going to have a similar story with AI as for example the 40-bit encryption of the past and drones of today, i.e. sure export controlled and most probably regulated practically away for general public. I.e general license to possess/access 8B model max, and maximum 3 models summing to max 16B in total.
MASNeo 2 days ago||
Yes. Very much feels like the encryption story indeed. This is very normal in many industries. Explosives, space, chemicals etc.

The difference is that still the bio and space hackers are few and SWE are plenty so there is more of a collective voice.

I’d love to build a hobbyist space rocket. However, many tools and fuels required per my research can’t be obtained outside the US. So I didn’t even start.

IAmGraydon 1 day ago||
>I managed to do things with Fable that really should not be possible.

Such as?

tilltheend 2 days ago|
The government is playing into the whole "oohh Mythos and Fable are too dangerous, and you, Mr. Investor should understand powerful, alright, very dangerous and powerful, now go give all your money to Dario and his cronies, thank you very much!"
simianwords 2 days ago|
The post talks about this kind of rhetoric

> Speaking of the HN/Reddit folks, lots of people are gleefully cackling about how Anthropic got what they deserved for their ‘marketing stunt’ with Mythos. As I’ve said before, this isn’t the first time we’ve had an AI CEO argue that something is ‘unsafe’ for personal gain.

Do you not think it is time to give up the whole "it is hype" rhetoric and come to reality -- the models can actually be unsafe and naturally Fable is closed off and the government is pulling access.

IAmGraydon 1 day ago||
I think we should consider them unsafe when they show themselves to be unsafe. So far…nothing. Just like with the hype of businesses automating away their workforce. Nothing.

Maybe you have evidence otherwise?

solenoid0937 1 day ago||
"So far, nothing?" All of the companies and nonprofits participating in Glasswing to issue a joint statement is "nothing?" Or do you have a conspiracy theory ready for that as well?
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