Posted by mark_round 4 days ago
I leave it up to you to figure it out.
It’s one thing to say that AI will help everyone create immersive games, but skyscrapers won’t be free unless energy is free. Do you also assume that AI will solve fusion?
What happens to the individuals who are not “strong” and how do they hold onto their remote work jobs? Why will the biomedical research technology you’re positing not be used to create biological weapons, or do you assume that AI also creates universal peace and harmony? If so, how does it do that while also preserving our ability to have our own ideas and disagree with each other?
If we want the great future you’re imagining, I think history teaches that we need to give at least as much attention to these questions as we do to making the technology work.
It's optimism that has flowed over into delusional territory. We won't have 90% of what he states in 20 years, and the remaining 10% will not be evenly distributed.
On the other hand, construction getting cheaper seems very unlikely.
I don't believe any of it, I just want hardware to be cheap and accessible again because that means all the compute won't solely be in the hands of the few.
On your points: You won’t wake up in your vacation destination until you swap the cars out for rail. Infrastructure won’t be cheap until the social problems making it expensive (land, middle-men, quid-pro-quo, endless subcontracting) are solved.
This is not optimism, it's delusional.