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Posted by surprisetalk 3 days ago

The worthlessness of Vitamin D is mildly exaggerated(dynomight.net)
383 points | 291 comments
Aerroon 3 days ago|
The survey in the article that assessed vitamin D deficiency was a bit odd:

>Because physical exams are performed in mobile vans in NHANES, data could not be collected in northern latitudes during the winter; instead data were collected in northern latitudes during summer and in southern latitudes in winter. To address this season-latitude aspect of the NHANES design, we stratified the sample into two seasonal subpopulations (winter/lower latitude and summer/higher latitude) before examining vitamin D status.

Yeah, I'm not surprised that the rates for vitamin D deficiency were low.

>Less than 1% of the winter/lower latitude subpopulation had vitamin D deficiency (25-OHD <17.5 nmol/L). However, the prevalence of vitamin D insufficiency in this group ranged from 1%–5% with 25-OHD <25 nmol/L /.../, even though the median latitude for this subsample (32°N) was considerably lower than the latitude at which vitamin D is not synthesized during winter months (∽42°N).

and the more northern latitude in summer:

>With the exception of elderly women, prevalence rates of vitamin D insufficiency were lower in the summer/higher latitude subpopulation (<1%–3% with 25-OHD <25 nmol/L)

Now imagine if you lived in northern Europe around the 60th parallel, where the sun doesn't get high enough in winter to produce vitamin D.

qurren 3 days ago||
Not to mention, northern latitudes get more sun that average in summer, and most northern countries have more reasonable working hours so people actually do go outside.
HPsquared 3 days ago||
More hours of sun, but it's less intense.
calgoo 3 days ago|||
Sure but i hide a lot more from the intense sun in spain then i do for the softer sun in sweden. In general i think it balances out quite well.
fluoridation 3 days ago||
Does vitamin D synthesis require direct sunlight, or does it work with scattered light as well?
lukan 3 days ago||
Not really, it requires direct sunlight above 45 degree, so northern sweden for example gets plenty of sun in summer, but only for a very short time intense enough sun.
bryanrasmussen 3 days ago||||
Is it really less intense? When I go out on a sunny day in Denmark it is murder. When I go out on a sunny day in Italy it's generally just overall warm.

At any rate another factor is that in the Northern regions it's my experience people do their best to soak up as much sun as possible.

da_chicken 3 days ago|||
I could believe that if you were near the coast.

I grew up in central Michigan and thought the same about the sun until I spent a few years in southern Arizona. The sun there feels like a heat lamp in summer. The low humidity makes the atmosphere absorb less energy. Although it feels like it's about 5 C cooler than it actually is because sweat evaporates so quickly, but once it gets to 43 C you actually just feel vaguely ill just going outside. Standing in the sun is just not something you do. It's a very unique experience to lick your lips and have your tongue feel cold.

Of course, neither of those were as bad as Houston in August. It was 38 C and 98 % relative humidity. And, I will point out, it had not rained. That's just what it's like. You walk outside and your glasses instantly fog up and you feel like you desperately need to shower.

chasd00 2 days ago||
I live in Dallas and remember going hiking in Arizona and then getting in the car and the windows fogged up from sweat evaporating. Someone from a humid summer climate being outdoors in a dry summer climate has to really watch their water intake. It doesn't feel as hot because it's sucking all the moisture out of you and by the time you realize what's happening you're already not feeling so great. If you're 5 miles from water you're in a bad spot.
HPsquared 3 days ago||||
The sun is at a lower angle from the horizon at higher latitudes. It passes through more atmosphere, losing some UV, and also the surface irradiance on the ground (energy per unit land area) is lower.
flossly 2 days ago||
This. What I've learned for VitD conversion in the skin the sun needs to be more than 45° "high". Below that it's not much effective.

Those long summer evenings in northern Europe are thus not all that useful for VitD.

wtetzner 2 days ago||||
I think it's because further north the Sun is at a lower angle in the sky. So high frequency waves like UV (needed for Vitamin D production) get filtered out by passing through more of the atmosphere.

Lower wavelengths like IR (heat) can more easily pass through the atmosphere. And since the Sun is lower in the sky, it hits more of your body. So you might feel more of the heat, while still getting less UV.

jodleif 2 days ago||
Its about the angle yes, but the main thing is basically for every square unit of solar radiation gets projected onto a larger surface because of the angle- meaning radiation per unit area is lower. The secondary effect is that sunlight has to travel through more atmosphere, and gets scattered somewhat.
bluedino 3 days ago|||
Sit in the sun for a bit closer to the equator. You'll feel it very quickly
codethief 3 days ago|||
The sun in northern countries in summer is less intense?
Broken_Hippo 3 days ago|||
Yeah, kinda.

I moved from Indiana to Norway - Trondheim, which is about in the middle of the length of Norway. During the summer, I can read outside at night even though the sun technically goes down for about 4 hours in June. It never gets darker than twilight. A few clouds means you might just have sunset all night. The sun does get surprisingly hot and very warming if we happen to have a sunny day. Jacket in the shade, short sleeves in the sun even though it is 18C/65F.

The reason for this is that the sun is at a low angle, so it hits more of your body than it does when the sun is overhead - like you'd get in Australia. This also means that while you need some sunscreen during the day - from about 10 to 5 - it doesn't burn as much. It is less intense in that way - but it just feels different.

During December, days are 4 hours of very weak light.

kakacik 3 days ago|||
This low angle situation must have been experienced by every adult I imagine, its just about being outside before dawn and feeling how sun's warming effect on the body is much stronger than few hours ago even though air temperature itself might have been higher before.

Since it hits body more perpendicular its not rocket science, I realized this around age 10 myself and I am not the brightest in the pack.

TeMPOraL 3 days ago||||
> The reason for this is that the sun is at a low angle, so it hits more of your body than it does when the sun is overhead - like you'd get in Australia. This also means that while you need some sunscreen during the day - from about 10 to 5 - it doesn't burn as much.

Not sure if I parse this correctly - I'd imagine you need more sunscreen at "low angles" due to more severe and longer exposure? Low angle -> more body surface area exposed directly at near-right angle to Sun -> more direct absorption -> more sunscreen needed?

dgfl 3 days ago|||
I’ve found the UV index forecasts to generally be a good metric, so try looking at those for various locations. The main factor here is that the lower the sun is from the horizon, the more its light will be absorbed by the atmosphere due to the longer path. The maximum altitude that the sun will ever reach is (90° – (latitude – 23.4°)), so at the 60°-ish of Scandinavia it’s rarely more than 50° in the sky. It’s a very noticeable difference even in the summer. In my experience (born in southern Italy, pale-average, currently living in Sweden) it’s almost impossible for me to get sunburn in daily life in Sweden even without sunscreen. Definitely not so further south.
teiferer 2 days ago||
> it’s almost impossible for me to get sunburn in daily life in Sweden even without sunscreen.

Um most Swedes, even with not-super-pale skin get a sunburn every june. Just being outside in the sunshine for 2-3 hours without any protection and they turn "kräftröd" as they say.

dgfl 2 days ago||
Swedes have an almost comical compulsion to stay in the sun. Growing up in a hot place you get the opposite instinct.

Still, it’s known that your skin color is the main thing that matters, which is why Australians have the worst melanoma statistics. I guess mine tans fast enough to keep up with the seasons here.

lukan 3 days ago||||
No, because the sun at low angles passes so much atmosphere, that filters most out.

The exposure angle of your body also has a effect, but much weaker.

VorpalWay 2 days ago||
Today in Stockholm the UV index peaked at 6.3. And it is just a few days after the summer solstice, and the sky was largely clear today.

(Yet I can feel that I got slight sunburn being out for about 15 minutes today. So you still need to be careful.)

In winter the UV index might often peak at 1-2 on a clear day.

Dansvidania 3 days ago|||
at lower angles the sun light needs to go through a much bigger "cross section" of atmosphere which greatly reduces its energy.

This is why noon sun is the most dangerous.

picofarad 3 days ago|||
Huh now I know why I never liked living in Washington and Oregon, especially at higher altitudes. The sun always felt hotter.
zippyman55 3 days ago||
I summer in California and winter in Washington for that reason!
ludicrousdispla 3 days ago||||
I found this resource which shows that sun intensity in June in northern Europe is similar to that in sub-Saharan Africa (in June).

https://physics.weber.edu/schroeder/ua/EarthCirclesAndSunRay...

https://physics.weber.edu/schroeder/ua/SunAndSeasons.html

HPsquared 3 days ago||
At the equator, the sun is highest at the equinoxes (March and September) and lowest at the solstices. Outside the tropics, the sun is highest at the summer solstice (June or December) and lowest at the winter solstice.
SJC_Hacker 2 days ago||
Exactly at the equator the sun is directly overhead (90 degrees) at a single time point (close to 12 on depending on where you are within the time zone) every single day

The only thing that varies over the year is the path it takes to get there. At the solstices (summer/winter) the path curvature is maximal while t the equinoxes (spring/fall) it is a straight line.

teiferer 2 days ago||
Sorry that's just obviously false. It's only directly above you at the equinoxes, so twice a year. Otherwise it has traveled further north or south.

Before everything was an app, people had physical globes at home which could illustrate this very well.

NoPicklez 3 days ago||||
Come to Australia during the summer and watch how quickly you burn outside without sunscreen.
tremon 3 days ago|||
Yes, it's crazy to consider how far north Earth's entire land mass is skewed. Australia is basically the southernmost landmass (apart from Tierra del fuego), yet it is located squarely under the Tropic of Capricorn; at the same distance north of the equator (Tropic of Cancer), you've merely reached Mexico, the Sahara desert, and the Himalayas.
pseudohadamard 3 days ago||||
For non-Australians, that's burn as in "burst into flames", not "your skin goes red". Go to somewhere like Cairns and you can hear people crackling as they walk down the street.
NoPicklez 2 days ago||
Smells like pork everywhere
teiferer 2 days ago||||
That'a not just the angle though, it's an issue with the ozone layer too, right?
SJC_Hacker 2 days ago|||
Only for fair skinned individuals
folkrav 2 days ago|||
Dark skin typically provides a protection equivalent to a ~10 SPF. Meaning some protection, but tons of the actual damaging UVB still going through.
red-iron-pine 2 days ago|||
which is like 2/3 of the Oz -- rampant skin cancer happens when you export the palest people on earth, anglo-irish-scots, to an unrelenting desert
pdonis 3 days ago||||
Yes, because it's lower in the sky so more of the UV in it gets absorbed by the atmosphere before reaching the ground.

For example, in Florida in the summer, the sun is close to directly overhead at noon. In Scandinavia in the summer, the sun is only about halfway up the sky from the horizon at noon.

xdavidliu 3 days ago||||
less intense than in countries near equator, not less intense than winter
b112 3 days ago|||
This is why you're supposed to fatten up in the summer. In nature, mammals fatten up all summer long, and fat soluable vitamins such as D, are stored in your fat.

As animals basically slowly starve over the winter, they consume their fat and also get some vitamin D back. It helps shore up the lack of sun in the winter.

bostik 3 days ago|||
> Now imagine if you lived in northern Europe around the 60th parallel, where the sun doesn't get high enough in winter to produce vitamin D.

Like... all of Finland? And most of Norway?

Both countries where the answer to "when does the sun rise?" can be "at the end of January".

normie3000 3 days ago|||
> data were collected in northern latitudes during summer and in southern latitudes in winter

And what were they doing for the other 9 months of the year?

galleywest200 3 days ago||
Could this be why evidence suggests that redheads synthesize Vitamin D more efficiently? Red hair is more prevalent at higher latitudes (I think).

Can redheads produce Vitamin D in these darker conditions while others cannot do so effectively?

https://www.sciencealert.com/evolution-favored-genes-linked-...

annzabelle 3 days ago||
Pale skin in general helps synthesize Vitamin D. The less melanin you have the more you absorb, this is why lighter skin happens at northern latitudes. Darker skinned people are more likely to need to supplement it.
bakul 3 days ago|||
Darker skinned people in northern latitudes. Made worse for vegetarians like Ramanujan in England.
chrisweekly 2 days ago||
"vegetarians" relevance?
bakul 2 days ago|||
Strict Vegetarians don’t eat eggs. No D vitamin fortified milk in his days. Many vegetarians don’t eat mushrooms, the only plant based source of vitamin D.
niels8472 2 days ago|||
Animal products are the primary natural dietary source of Vitamin D3
galleywest200 3 days ago||||
Makes sense, thanks for the reply and clarification!
economistbob 2 days ago|||
That sounds like a hypothesis that brown folks migrated north and evolved to be light as opposed to "light skinned peopled moved to the north". The latter is the historically accurate situation.
arjie 2 days ago||
> That sounds like a hypothesis that brown folks migrated north and evolved to be light as opposed to "light skinned peopled moved to the north". The latter is the historically accurate situation.

Wait, no, that's inverted. Our ancestral state out of Africa was dark skin and we evolved light skin when we were no longer subject to the UV pressures there. It makes sense to me since the advent of light skin is quite recent in our species, and the darkest skin requires a bunch of pigmentation genes to be set just right, so random mutation can easily produce lowered pigmentation, so adaptation to the Vitamin D pressure would have been quite possible. I remember looking at this ages ago and it was pretty well-known at the time but I just took a second look and it seems it is still quite established though the advent of light skin among humans is not as smooth as previously thought: https://www.anthropology.net/p/the-evolution-of-european-pig...

Just in a smell-test way, we'd have had to sustain these lighter skinned populations under intense UV selective pressure for a long enough time for them to migrate North out of Africa. That just sounds unlikely on its own.

owenversteeg 3 days ago||
I have made this comment on HN many times [0] now but: it's the goddamn sunlight.

Sunlight has many pathways in the body, and increased vitamin D levels are just one of those pathways. Swallowing one element of a many-element pathway cannot simulate the human synthesis of vitamin D! This should be obvious! Your car might not run because of bad needle bearings, but the solution is not to add them to the gas tank! First, you must always understand.

Sunlight / vitamin D is an especially aggravating issue because we have increasing amounts of research on how sun exposure improves general health. Sleep quality and regularity, mood, cancer incidence (as the article notes), eyesight, skin conditions, overall mortality, virtually every part of human health is improved by going outside. And when I say "improved" I mean improved to such a degree that it would blow 95% of prescribed drugs out of the water. See, for example, the Melanoma in Southern Sweden study where the highest sun exposure cohort had _half_ the all-cause mortality of the lowest group. Unfortunately the Western medical establishment is thoroughly captured by industry and you can't sell a pill that makes you go outside.

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42326209

randusername 2 days ago||
I think science is just too granular to be a reliable input into wellness decision-making. It is too easy for interested parties to enable everyday people to confirmation bias their way into defying common sense.

Of what utility is the truth in decision-making if it is such a narrow truth that it might as well be a falsehood in practice?

Alcoholics talking endlessly about flavonoids, obese people insisting in polyunsaturated fat mayo, sedentary people that don't resistance train drinking soda with protein in it.

remix2000 3 days ago|||
Here in northern Europe, there just isn't enough sunlight to not become deficient, so a vitamin D supplement is a must.
goda90 2 days ago|||
Vitamin D is fat soluble, so it would be feasible to build up a supply in summer to last through winter. I've seen it theorized that a cyclical weight gain and loss tied to preindustrial seasonal food availability also plays a role.
spacington 2 days ago||
People tend to fatten up on winter and peaking at around winter solstice

Not sure how your plan should work?!

goda90 2 days ago||
Because of industrial food chains making that possible. Before we could refridgerate and ship food all over, most of your calories came from seasonal foods, and summer is usually more bountiful than winter.
b-zee 3 days ago||||
I looked up data from a calorie tracking app I used a while ago and I got just enough vitamin D. Main sources were fish, eggs and dairy products. However, I ate a lot and I'm quite sure in winter there will have been periods where I didn't get the recommend intake.

So if you live in a northern country and you don't like fish, I suppose it's quite a good idea to take a supplement.

Though as OP said, even if the sun isn't strong enough, there are plenty of benefits to going outside beside vitamin D.

Rodmine 2 days ago|||
If you gain weight during summer (so that excess vitamin D is stored in fat cells) and use body's stored fat in the winter (eat at a deficit, so that your stored fat, rich in vitamin D, is used), you need no supplementation. This is what all animals living in the region do.
TacticalCoder 2 days ago|||
Which could be one of the reason people near the Mediterranean sea (for example in Italy) and tennis players do tend to live longer than average. Now of course there s probably more than one reason but those sure do enjoy time outside.
rirze 2 days ago||
Unfortunately, sun exposure (specifically UV exposure) is heavily tied to skin cancers and aging. I haven't researched it myself, but my feeling is that, ultimately, there is a calculation where sun exposure / skin risk needs be balanced on your specific genetic makeup.

We really need to drill down into ethnic and racial boundaries to really make sense of how much sun exposure helps us.

Aurornis 3 days ago||
This is a refreshingly balanced and honest analysis of Vitamin D studies.

The strongest evidence for Vitamin D is in people who are severely deficient. Bumping up to a normal range can provide some improvements.

The health influencers started noticing that the Vitamin D studies coming out weren't matching their original hype for Vitamin D, so many pivoted to trying to make claims that most people are severely deficient and just don't know it, which provides a convenient out to dismiss the studies that didn't pre-filter for people who were severely deficient. You can find waves of people on social media repeating the idea that almost everyone is Vitamin D deficient and encouraging high dose supplementation still.

Speaking to a doctor who runs Vitamin D labs as part of her annual physical screening process, she's now actually seeing more people who have excess Vitamin D than too little Vitamin D. Upon followup she discovers that patients have listened to a podcast about Vitamin D and started taking it regularly, unaware that they're pushing their levels into the range where it can start doing more harm than good.

Vitamin D is tricky because it lasts for a very long time in the body, which means steady-state supplementation can take a very long time to stabilize. I suggest anyone supplementing for a long time get a blood test, which can be ordered without your doctor if you can't get your doctor on board.

On another topic: Fish oil has also gone through a similar cycle of being hyped up based on early results, with higher powered follow on studies showing much less interesting results.

andruby 3 days ago||
My family runs a blood analysis lab in Belgium for which I wrote some of the statistics gathering software.

The thresholds for 25-OH vitamin D: <20 ng/mL → deficient, 20–30 ng/mL → insufficient.

When I looked at all 1738 blood samples that had their Vitamin D tested between Feb 1, 2020 and Mar 13, 2020 (We were looking into the link between Vitamin D and COVID-19): The median (P50) was 20.1 ng/mL and the average was 22.4 ng/mL. Standard deviation: 11.24 ng/mL Half the samples were deficient, and the next 20% was insufficient.

Coming out of winter in Europe in a country with limited sunshine: most of the population is deficient in Vitamin D.

Histogram: https://files.catbox.moe/p785wx.png

vintermann 3 days ago|||
Worth noting all the three big studies mentioned in the article were on Americans.
strken 3 days ago||
The last of the three was done on Australians. Not that it changes your point, given the latitude of Australia.
bluenose69 2 days ago||||
The curve on your diagram makes me think that you've fitted a normal (Gaussian) curve to the data. By eye, the distribution looks a bit more like log-normal, and so if you're still working on the data, you might want to try that to see. Not that anything you've said or concluded seems wrong, though.
andruby 2 days ago||
The normal curve in the image is there for operators to visually check if the machine results are normal distributed or not. It's a "stencil", not data.

The software actually does a Lilliefors normality test which returns a big No on this data.

bluenose69 2 days ago||
Ah, thanks for the information.
dizhn 3 days ago|||
What do you think about the thresholds themselves? How often are they updated usually with new research?
seba_dos1 2 days ago|||
Based on what I've seen while researching the topic for my own health purposes: the thresholds differ in various sources, but in general research appears to suggest that they may tend to err on the too low side rather than too high (there's quite a lot of headroom between what's often considered excessive and what's actually known to be toxic, while the lower end is much fuzzier).
andruby 2 days ago|||
I'm an engineer, not a clinical biologist or researcher. I have no idea.

On a personal level: I used to struggle with "winter dip". Taking Vitamin D supplements, as well as moving to South Africa, has both improved it a lot

seba_dos1 2 days ago|||
You keep showing up under articles about vitamin D and keep telling that more people have excess than insufficient vitamin D levels without presenting any data whatsoever.

We're among plenty of inside-dwelling nerds here. Do the test. Don't listen to folks like the parent, don't let yourself be discouraged; check your blood level and act on it if necessary, it's fast and cheap. I even had a test done at my home, you can schedule that online these days! You're much more likely to be severely deficient than have it in excess (it's quite hard to get to toxic levels anyway, you'd need to be really irresponsible about it) and once you confirm that, supplementing can help you tremendously with plenty of mental issues you may be experiencing. It won't fix you up, but it can make it possible for you to fix yourself up in the first place. And if the test shows you have adequate levels already - good for you.

(and if you're too depressed to even arrange the test, it may make sense to start supplementing blindly - but don't exceed ~10K IU D3 daily and make sure to stop after 2-3 months tops. Hopefully at that point it'll be easier for you to finally do the test to know whether to continue or not; don't keep taking high doses blindly, toxicity is hard but not impossible to achieve and you really don't want to be suffering from it. You almost certainly won't reach it with 10K IU when starting from deficiency, but it you happened to be on the high side already at the start it could be dangerous when prolonged)

dyauspitr 3 days ago|||
On a slight tangent, if people are unaware, you can pay for and get just about any lab test without a prescription in the United States.
jvican 3 days ago|||
Yes, and to be concrete, you can do so at economical prices at https://requestatest.com (it's a lifesaver in many occasions, I've used it 4 times with great success).
NavinF 3 days ago|||
Other Quest resellers like https://goodlabs.com/ are way cheaper. Eg "Testosterone, Free (Direct) With Total Testosterone, LC/MS-MS" is $159 on that website vs $15 on goodlabs.
jvican 3 days ago||
Nice! I didn't know about this company. Thanks for sharing. Has anyone tried and can they vouch for them?
NavinF 2 days ago||
Yes I've used goodlabs. I paid them and they sent a prepaid lab order to Quest just like any other reseller. Also donated blood via goodlabs to get some basic labs for free, but that requires driving to SF. No donation sites in south bay
nostromo 3 days ago|||
And you can use a HSA or FSA to pay for it.
nomel 3 days ago||||
This is how I found my 10k IU of vitamin D a day, based on modern recommendations for indoor workers, that I modulate based on how much I'm outdoors, was perfectly on the mark!
Aurornis 3 days ago|||
Also an indoor worker. 10K IU daily would have put me far into hypervitaminosis D range.

Make sure you test after a very long time, such as a year of steady supplementation. A lot of the excess Vitamin D cases were taking less than 10K IU daily.

nomel 3 days ago||
> such as a year of steady supplementation.

This is the entire issue. You get vitamin D from the sun. The concept of "steady supplementation" of vitamin D is not logical, unless your sun exposure is also steady, which is where the not-so-useful guidelines come from: some mean of some distribution of some skin tone of sun exposure, leaning on the "less" side of things, with current recommended values based on means from over 50 years ago.

I would never take 10k steady, because I don't live in a cave!

lemonberry 3 days ago|||
This is the amount I shoot for in the winter - I live in New England - it's made a huge difference in my life. I'm totally open to it being placebo though and I don't care. I don't supplement with it during the summer.
Tangurena2 3 days ago||||
My PCP uses Quest Diagnostics and a vitamin d test is, I think, about $50. No fasting needed for it, nor prescription.
cj 3 days ago||
Direct link to buy:

https://www.questhealth.com/product/vitamin-d-test/17306M.ht...

Definitely not the cheapest place to order the test from, but it will get the job done.

petesergeant 3 days ago|||
You can get most tests (although often not genetic) in many countries, with Canada being an outlier in forcing you to get a doctor’s note for just about everything.
StayTrue 3 days ago||
Really terrible in Canada. If you don’t have a family physician (like everyone I know), good luck making it through triage at the walk-in clinic because you want a test to see your baseline values or proactively check for deficiency. The “hack” is you can pay a naturopath to order tests but the tests are not covered by public insurance in this case (actually pretty expensive IIRC).
petesergeant 3 days ago||
I’ve had good experiences with getmaple for random and quick doctors appts
wongarsu 3 days ago|||
Seemingly any decent way to tune in a steady-state supplementation involves multiple iterations of the "get blood test, adjust dosage, repeat" loop

On the other hand, when our body synthesizes Vitamin D itself it seems to regulate that process to prevent overdose. So I've just settled on supplementing in the winter based on my best estimate of the correct dosage, then let my body do its thing in the summer. No issues so far, and supplements have had a major impact on my fatigue/energy/depression levels in the winter

tbugrara 9 hours ago|||
Mind sharing what "higher powered follow on" studies (not even sure what this means) showed less interesting results for omega3 supplementation?
noduerme 3 days ago|||
The Mediterranean diet itself has a lot of health benefits interrelated with the ones claimed about fish oil.

But just as a human experience, the first time I ate cod livers, it was hard to accept. Then I started spreading them on toast for breakfast, and realized that they were quite delicious, but very very much an acquired taste (and I eat almost everything).

As far as Vitamin D, there does seem to be a correlation between deficiency and severe coronavirus disease

https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/15/5/733

[edit] to say, I love chicken and cow liver, but it took awhile to get a taste for fish liver. Pork liver, however, is putrid. I don't think I could eat that again.

Filligree 2 days ago||
The Norwegian way to eat cod liver is “squished between two flatbread, mixed with boiled potato and also cod”.

Which is absolutely delicious, even for a kid; it’s one of the meals I still remember loving. You should try it!

sbayg 3 days ago|||
Baby aspirin was overdone too. Interestingly, the fish oil hype cycle has a much longer timeline if you consider the popularity of cod liver oil once upon a time.
nostromo 3 days ago||
Cod liver oil wasn't hype, it was needed in norther climates to prevent rickets.

It was taken for its Vitamin D, not for its omega 3s.

jrumbut 3 days ago||
They used it for both and as a source of vitamin A and whatever other nutrients are in it. They used it for everything. There is an episode of I Love Lucy where a recipe for homemade baby formula is described which includes cod liver oil.

In a lot of things it was pretty good at what they used it for though, that does continue to be true.

SOLAR_FIELDS 3 days ago|||
The moral of the story here is just to do bloodwork on a regular basis (absolute bare minimum once a year) and respond accordingly. I take some supplements like vitamin D, but I only take what is empirically measurable. If I can't quantitatively measure the outcome, then there is no value and it's a woo woo solution. This isn't always going to be the best advice, but a vast majority of times it will be.
thaumasiotes 3 days ago|||
> The health influencers started noticing that the Vitamin D studies coming out weren't matching their original hype for Vitamin D, so many pivoted to trying to make claims that most people are severely deficient and just don't know it, which provides a convenient out

Not really. It isn't possible to be severely deficient in vitamin D without knowing it. By definition, if you are severely deficient in vitamin D, you have rickets.

anecd4t4 3 days ago|||
[dead]
yoyohello13 3 days ago||
It's pretty safe to assume all hyped supplements are pointless. Being generally active and eating fruits/vegetables is like 80% of the work for being healthy.

> almost everyone is Vitamin D deficient

This was the red flag that made me realize it was BS early on. If everyone is deficient, then it must not be that important.

ChadNauseam 3 days ago|||
> If everyone is deficient, then it must not be that important.

Most people are overweight. Does that make being a healthy weight not that important?

Lionga 3 days ago|||
[dead]
cobalt 3 days ago|||
most people can tolerate being overweight pretty well it seems
epihelix 3 days ago|||
Not according to the public health literature. But, hey, don't let hard population data spoil what things "seem" to you.

Here are a few highly-cited articles to get you started:

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/1471-2458-9-88 https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa1614362

monkpit 3 days ago|||
For what definition of “tolerate”?
Grombobulous 3 days ago||||
> Being generally active and eating fruits/vegetables is like 80% of the work for being healthy.

I suspect that a relatively low percentage of people in a solid number of wealthy countries meet these qualifications.

> If everyone is deficient, then it must not be that important.

This isn't sound logic. Something being common doesn't make it unimportant or less of a problem.

crazygringo 3 days ago||||
> Being generally active and eating fruits/vegetables is like 80% of the work for being healthy.

Except for the things that you get from sunlight, not diet.

> If everyone is deficient, then it must not be that important.

But nobody who lives in e.g. East Africa and spends a lot of time outdoors is deficient.

So it's actually pretty reasonable to say that a modern indoor lifestyle combined with long winters would truly lead most people in those regions to being deficient.

vlovich123 3 days ago||
If everyone is deficient, how would you even establish a baseline of what counts as deficient and excessive? The way they do that is they sample the population and look at the ranges of the values and maybe look at when comorbitity issues arise within those ranges. But “everyone is deficient in X” is easily dismissed hokum.
Grombobulous 3 days ago||
Logically speaking, an affliction being extremely common or universal does not dismiss it as no longer being an affliction.

Many things about our society are extremely new compared to the conditions for which our bodies are evolved to be in.

vlovich123 3 days ago||
I think you missed my point. vitamin D levels in and of themselves aren’t an affliction. The “correct” level is established by looking at what everyone else has and also by trying to look for comorbidities. But the comorbidities are often hard to tease out; about the only disease we know is rickets. Everything else is weakly correlational for vitamin D.

How do you think they define healthy levels of other hormones like testosterone and estrogen? They look at the range of levels for them, they look to see when they think diseases start, and they say those are correlated and you should adjust.

modo_mario 3 days ago||
>Everything else is weakly correlational for vitamin D.

All cause mortality is correlational for vitamin D. Various disease outbreaks (common cold, etc) and severity are correlational for vitamin D. etc We even know by which mechanisms so it's not like this is far fetched stuff where we're overlooking things.

This kind of stuff slaps you in the face if you live in the northern half of europe. To then think us now spending the majority of our waking hours indoors and the prevalence of those things and seasonal depression in winter when one leaves in the dark and comes home in the dark all has no effect....I think that's just hubris.

somenameforme 2 days ago||
Similarly, many things have issues that may not seem like issues at first. For instance most people are deficient in protein owing to simply not getting enough and a significant chunk of what they do get coming from sources with extremely low digestibility/DIAAS scores.

And somebody may not even realize this until they decide to start downing a few more chicken breasts per day and suddenly see their energy levels skyrocket, their hunger diminish, and so on. But if you surveyed them prior, they'd claim to feel perfectly normal.

Another one is testosterone which is extremely unfortunate because there's no remotely natural way to meaningfully regain significant amounts of it, but TRT is a life changing thing for many people who have low testosterone which in modern times is a huge chunk of all men and essentially all of them over a certain age.

robocat 3 days ago||||
> is like 80% of the work for being healthy

I would suspect you're a man under 60.

I don't think your statement applies to the elderly (e.g. my mum needing D and Calcium for osteoporosis).

And I've seen many active healthy female friends under 60 actually need suppliments (I'm ignoring the stereotypical yoga worried well): plus pregnancy or health issues have an impact too.

But maybe I'm a victim of sampling bias since the men I know seem much less likely to see a doctor.

yoyohello13 3 days ago||
I don’t want to get into an argument about health on the internet, it’s really a no win situation.

Although feeling bad, going to a doctor, getting labs, taking a calcium supplement is completely legitimate and a very different story from watching a YouTuber say ‘everyone is vitamin D deficient’ then going out a buying a bottle of supplements.

ewild 3 days ago|||
Pretty much the only one with a real consensus around it is creatine. And even that has debate around the right dose
somenameforme 2 days ago||
The interesting thing about creatine is that people's natural absorption varies dramatically. So some chunk of people will see basically nothing from creatine because their natural levels are already at saturation, whereas most will see relatively major benefits. I continue my 5g/day even when I'm not actively lifting.
persedes 3 days ago||
Not in the field, but every time vitamin D studies come up I am reminded of the one that called out how current recommendations are based on faulty math (confusion on how to combine different sized studies confidence ranges ) and miss the mark significantly (and a lot of studies are based on those recommendations...)

https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5541280/

nostromo 3 days ago||
To save people the click: the study says that the recommended vitamin D intake is much too low.
Etheryte 3 days ago||
Honestly you don't even need to know the recommended number. In many countries you can get tested for free, and if that's not the case for you, getting tested usually costs in the ballpark of a box vitamin D supplements. Measure and only then supplement, then measure again later. You don't need to fly blind.
anamexis 3 days ago||
A year's worth of daily 5000 IU (125 mcg) Vitamin D supplements costs approximately $15, so you could also just supplement.
tim-tday 3 days ago|||
Strangely the protective effects of vitamin d for heart disease appear NOT to be achieved through supplements. (Though the protective effects for cancer ARE)

I’m going to go out on a limb and guess that people who get outside a lot protect their health through both natural vitamin D from UV light exposure and cardiovascular exercise.

Etheryte 3 days ago|||
This approach doesn't make much sense to me. Why supplement something when you don't even know that you need it? You could make the same argument about any and every supplement and eat the whole alphabet soup every day, but that's just putting extra strain on your body.
anamexis 2 days ago||
Well, if a study finds that nearly everyone of your skin color at your latitude is deficient, you can make an educated guess.
Etheryte 2 days ago||
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rendaw 3 days ago||
This has come up several times before. It's not well cited. I read through it myself and even if the math is right, the application of the math seems incorrect.

The original data was a small number of studies with a small amount of old (1980s?) data that found a slope with so-so correlation.

The revised math finds a much smaller slope with what appears to be much worse fit to the same old data. The data was nearly horizontal before, but after the math changes it's much further away from 0.

The original study was making predictions near the data. The revision is doing massive extrapolation, far away from the range of what any of the studies tested.

I'm not a statistician, but it's not surprising to me that it's being ignored.

rzz3 3 days ago||
Has anyone done a RCT of D3+K2? K2 seems to be important in the absorption of D3. Another aspect that bothers me with these studies is that we’re simply supplementing the vitamin D, seemingly without measuring the change in blood levels. I took 2000IU (+K2) a day for many years in between testing my blood levels and still had <30ng/ml and had to go up to 5000IU/day. I’d like to see some further study.
cj 3 days ago||
K2 is also known to prevent problems with calcium build up which can happen if Vitamin D is dosed too high. I personally would never take Viramin D without K2 alongside it.
fridder 3 days ago|||
One problem: folks that are on blood thinners shouldn't supplement with vitamin k
moffkalast 3 days ago|||
If you are on blood thinners you probably shouldn't be taking common advice on anything tbf. Or diabetic. Or heavily allergic. Cause you will straight up die.
anjel 3 days ago||||
Vitamin k and k2 are not at all the same with respect to blood thinning
freehorse 3 days ago|||
only if the blood thinners taken are vitamin k antagonists (not all are)
throwaway613746 3 days ago|||
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nullc 3 days ago|||
> I took 2000IU (+K2) a day for many years in between testing my blood levels and still had <30ng/ml and had to go up to 5000IU/day.

Likewise, 23ng/ml while taking 2000iu/day of dry vitamin-d.

Switched to 5000iu +K2 in MCT oil, -- 8 months later I'm at 64ng/ml.

icedchai 3 days ago|||
I switched from 2000 to 5000iu about 8 years ago. My levels went up similar to yours, but I don't feel much different!
rbjorklin 3 days ago|||
Any noticeable difference how you feel health wise? Energy levels? Mood? Sleep quality?
nullc 3 days ago|||
Unfortunately too many other changes happened at the same time. I am enormously healthier now (in numerous measurable as well as subjective ways) but it may be that the D levels played no role.
_0ffh 3 days ago||||
Not the same person here, but a data point nonetheless. Before supplementing D3 I had a cold basically every year, sometimes twice a year. Since I brushed up my levels I average 1 cold in 6 years.
ww520 3 days ago||
Oddly, since the Covid time, I haven't caught a cold or flu once. I'm not sure it's the vaccines, the flu shots, or the less physical contacts on things overall. I still go to crowded places from time to time, like plane or train rides. May be the population in general have less cold or flu virus overall to go around.
nicman23 3 days ago|||
for me, i was so deficient that i would notice it the next morning. also probably not a placebo as the D supplement i am taking is not something my mind goes to 7 am pre coffee lol
brandonb 3 days ago|||
TARGET-D is an in-progress study that supplements vitamin D based on blood levels (your idea).
nradov 3 days ago||
I think that study is already concluded but the results haven't been published yet.

https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT02996721?tab=study

odie5533 3 days ago|||
Were you taking hard tablets? And were you taking them with a fatty meal?

Those are both very important. I take a Vitamin D + K2 softgel with a meal that has some fat in it.

aaronbrethorst 3 days ago||
Costco sells D3+K2 softgels! Great price, of course.

I started taking them at the recommendation of my podiatrist after I broke my foot last winter (third metatarsal fracture, specifically, ouch).

trevorkoob 1 day ago|||
When I did my master's thesis on Vitamin D supplementation the conclusion was that vitamin D testing is wildly inaccurate, and we needed to have studies based on a target level - ideally one based around sub-saharan African community levels.

As for supplementation, sunlight has been estimated at providing up to 20,000IU per day, which I think (not medical advice due to the lack of study), from a mechanistic point of view, suggests an upper limit to daily supplementation.

amelius 3 days ago||
What I found was that I had to dissolve vit D under the tongue, not immediately swallow it.
PaulHoule 3 days ago||
It's arguable whether Vitamin D is really a vitamin or a hormone, see

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33549285/

Look at the molecular structure

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vitamin_D

that's a freakin' steroid with one of the bonds in the rings deleted

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Secosteroid

brandonb 3 days ago|
It's pretty well-established science now that vitamin D is a hormone, not a true vitamin. Vitamin D binds a nuclear receptor that regulates roughly 1,000 to 2,000 genes (5-10% of the human genome).

The "Vitamin D" moniker has just stuck around since it was named in 1922.

infinite_spin 3 days ago||
Yeah, it's just a holdover, the term "vitamin" originated from "vital amine", and vitamin D doesn't even have an amine group
raverbashing 3 days ago||
Well neither does Vitamin C.
PaulHoule 3 days ago||
It is a cofactor though

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vitamin_C#Pharmacology

cpncrunch 3 days ago||
Even so, it still seems to be a small effect. The author mentions some studies looking at sunlight vs all cause mortality. These, and more recent studies [1] found much higher reductions in all cause mortality from sunlight exposure, of about 30%. It's thought that other factors may be behind this, such as NO production in the skin in response to UV [2].

[1] https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32918215/

[2] https://karger.com/bpu/article-abstract/41/1-3/130/328295/Su...

Aerroon 3 days ago|
Sunlight would likely get you all the "red light therapy" effects too.
merb 3 days ago||
> For a while there, many people thought vitamin D was magical

I never heard that in Germany. I only heard that if you use certain medications like cortisone that vitamin d could be problematic. Most doctors will give vitamin d supplements when prescribing cortisone, at least in Germany.

holistio 3 days ago|
Just two borders away, in Hungary, I've heard plenty of "magical vitamin D" tales. Tired? Take some D. Depressed? Take some D. Leg hurts? Take some D.

I do take it in the winter, but I'm quite skeptical regarding the panacea hype.

amanaplanacanal 3 days ago||
I suspect that blood vitamin D is mainly a marker for how much outdoor exercise people are getting, and that it is the exercise rather than the D which is causal.
written-beyond 3 days ago||
My life changed after I got tested for vit D and started talking supplements. I was severely deficient. I am now sufficient and everything changed for me.
heisenbit 3 days ago|||
In December by chance I put a pack of Vitamin D into my shopping basket. I did not think much, thought to take 1000IE but then decided that for the first week I take 3000 to catch up. Muscle pain went and control over eating improved. I did not expect any changes based on past experience with 1000 but this time I could not ignore it (age can play a role) and I stayed on 3000. Tests a month later showed I was just not deficient any-more. I continued on the regime and started having improvements in long running skin issues to the extent my dentist noticed. It may not be a miracle drug but one should not underestimate cumulative impact individual factors, age and lifestyle changes (less sun) that may change levels and demand.
regularfry 2 days ago||
I do think this is worth emphasising: the article only focuses on mortality. Not quality of life. Vitamin D makes me not feel like crap, it's cheap, and effectively zero risk. I'm not expecting it to make me live longer, I like that it makes me live better.
kvgr 2 days ago||||
2 years ago i caught some repeated strep throat infection, repeated like 6-8 times - because my original general doctor said that with low CRP there is no way i have bacterial infection... before i found a doctor who finally did proper swab and ABTs - but i was so far gone that i got horrible headaches, muscle pain, stinging, absolute weakness... on top of that i cought covid and proper flu. Totally crazy, when they did mi vitamin D it was at 10% of minila recomended value. I god vit D and some immunity pills(pigs blood cells - this is questionable). I was slurping the vitamin D every day and in couple of weeks I was almost back to normal.

I have seen neurologists, imunologist, infection diseases specialist, everything is boreliosis qack and even somatic doctor...

Funny thing is before i got sick i spent 3 months on tenerife, so no reason for me to have low vit D. But it was probably depleted by immunity trying to fight the repeated infections.

so yeah, get your vitamin D checked if you feel weak, low on mood or anything out of zen

wafflemaker 3 days ago||||
I used to take 4k IU + K² and think that I'm covered, since 4K units was a lot.

I landed on just above deficient when tested.

My wife was on kind of same regime, but didn't follow it very strictly. She was deficient, but not extremely.

It was quite surprising, because I got warned when buying 4k unit tabs that they were quite strong and pharmacy clerk suggested taking less.

isodude 3 days ago||
Have you looked into UVB lamps?
wafflemaker 2 days ago||
Had a friend talking about them, but they seem to be prohibitively expensive. Do you have positive experience using such lamps?

I tend to have some eczema on my scalp that sun really helps with.

Maybe a lamp that costs the equivalent of a week of holidays in a warm place could be justified after all.

isodude 2 days ago||
I don't have any experience myself but they do seem to be effective. Yeah, I think you'd have to compare it to a holiday, or how much time that would mean in a Solarium.
tweakimp 3 days ago||||
What exactly changed?
adamredwoods 3 days ago||||
I am deficient, too, and take supplements (rare liver disease).

I wonder if taking mushrooms soaked in the sun improves absorption compared to supplements?

xolox 2 days ago||
Make sure those mushrooms are prepared well though because as I understand it, the human digestive system has a hard time breaking down chitin cell walls, so without proper preparation, the mushrooms may pass through mostly undigested.

The point about letting the mushrooms soak up sunlight to boost their vitamin D content is totally true and absolutely fascinating though!

> When commonly consumed mushroom species are exposed to a source of ultraviolet (UV) radiation, such as sunlight or a UV lamp, they can generate nutritionally relevant amounts of vitamin D. The most common form of vitamin D in mushrooms is D2, with lesser amounts of vitamins D3 and D4, while vitamin D3 is the most common form in animal foods. Although the levels of vitamin D2 in UV-exposed mushrooms may decrease with storage and cooking, if they are consumed before the ‘best-before’ date, vitamin D2 level is likely to remain above 10 μg/100 g fresh weight, which is higher than the level in most vitamin D-containing foods and similar to the daily requirement of vitamin D recommended internationally.

Source: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6213178/

PierceJoy 3 days ago||||
How do you know the changes aren’t placebo?
written-beyond 3 days ago||
Because I was suicidal, had extreme mood swings and all of the muscle pain and instability.

I didn't even know about vit D, didn't research it. I just got a panel done to get an idea of what's going on with me and discovered I was severely deficient on vit D

legitster 3 days ago|||
That doesn't undermine OP's point. Being deficient is unhealthy. But that doesn't mean an overabundance makes you healthier.
nextos 3 days ago|||
Keep in mind vitamin D is really, among other things, an immune signaling molecule.

So, we know the mechanism, and it's quite plausible that supplementation works.

In other words, as an skeptic, I don't think it's just an epidemiological correlation.

systemsweird 3 days ago|||
Bingo. Obviously being deficient is bad, but the reason supplementation seems unimpressive is this is one of those proxies for healthy lifestyle. Kinda like how grip strength is correlated with longevity but banging out tons of hand gripper sets isn’t going to do much for you health.
smt88 3 days ago|||
Maybe this is true if you’re only considering white people. Brown people can spend a lot of time outdoors and still be deficient, especially if their ancestry is from much a much sunnier region or lifestyle than the one they’re currently living in.
petesergeant 3 days ago|||
Indeed: “Vitamin D deficiency in western dwelling South Asian populations: an unrecognised epidemic” … “27–60% of individuals, depending on season”

https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7663314/?utm_source...

kevin_thibedeau 3 days ago|||
It has never been established that darker people require the same amount of D as lighter. The supplement industry plays on these fearmongering to boost sales.
kccqzy 3 days ago|||
I also suspect that the frequency of outdoor exercise matters even if the total duration of outdoor exercise remains the same. Subjectively, I feel much healthier when doing thirty minutes of outdoor exercise six times a week, than when doing one hour of outdoor exercise three times a week. But then of course, all the causal effects could have been caused by a different factor (say dopamine release) than vitamin D.
fragmede 3 days ago|||
But then why do we see improvements in people that get vitamin D + K2 supplements and not exercise?
amanaplanacanal 3 days ago|||
As the article mentions, we pretty much don't see improvements with supplementation.
rzz3 3 days ago|||
I don’t think there’s anything definitive. 400IU/day from one study is nothing if you’re deficient. 2000IU from another study is better, but even then we don’t seem to know much about absorption from these studies. For example, did it actually raise serum levels by 10ng/ml after a year, and how did THAT correlate to positive or negative health outcomes? K2 also seems to play an important symbiotic relationship with D, and seems notably absent from these studies.
adgjlsfhk1 3 days ago||
if supplements don't absorb and therefore don't affect health, there's no reason to take them.
grep_name 3 days ago||
You missed the K2 part of his comment though. Both my mother and I have chronically tested incredibly low for vitmain D, both always taken supplements, both never had improvement. A couple years ago, my mom texted me saying she tried a D3+K2 supplement and for the first time in her life tested in range for vitamin D on her panel. I was skeptical but tried it, and have tested in normal range since.
criddell 3 days ago|||
From the article:

> the balance of evidence tips pretty clearly in the direction that people with low-ish levels would be wise to supplement

warmedcookie 3 days ago|||
Yeah, I wish the article had brought Vitamin K2 into the mix since that seems trendy to pair with your D3 these days.
mantas 3 days ago|||
It depends on one’s whereabouts and kind of exercise. Exercising in a gym or outside with all your skin covered won’t make much vitamin D.
legitster 3 days ago||
Ding ding ding.

People who are drawing blood and trying to find some correlation between vitamin presence and health at this point are just practicing divination. The fact that it can be published in a scientific journal without any sort of RCT to back it up is palpably unscientific.

The customers of these studies are the supplement companies looking for another product to sell.

AltruisticGapHN 3 days ago|
All I know is I used to have full on colds during winter in my 20s to early 30s, like every winter I would get two weeks of runny nose till the skin became red and irritated, sore and painful throat, coughing, etc. Since I take 25000 IU (D-Cure in Belgium) like 2-3 times a month during winter for the past 15+ years my cold last 2-3 days and symptoms are much more mild. For me the data is there.
epihelix 3 days ago|
The problem is that you don't know what your situation would be like if you'd not taken Vitamin D. There are too many variables, generally -- e.g. in your early 20s and 30s you're likely socialising with many more people (so, more exposure chances), and you may also have young children (even worse disease vectors).

I'm similar to you in experience, btw, except that I don't believe correlation is causation. But as it won't do any harm, most of us don't regularly monitor our Vitamin D levels, and Vitamin D supplements are cheap -- it becomes a harmless form of Pascal's wager that I'm happy to keep making. Nothing to lose except a very, very tiny amount of money.

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