Your comment also implies that those who haven’t participated in colonization might not fear being colonized. Seems… off.
They are buying up all the RAM today. Do you think "this is fine because in 5 years post-crash I can buy some cheap RAM"? If everyone with money is betting differently, do you have some information they don't, or is the whole economy just slipping away from you?
You experience luxuries today, that no king 1000 years ago could afford. Instant access to communication, food, medicine for the right price of course.
The consumer economy was great while it lasted but it's over now. We have machines that do useful mechanical work (engines) and useful intellectual work (llm-computers). Capital will move productive work from people to machines(if we let them), and the only jobs left will be delivery driver and warehouse, and then those will be gone too.
Human population was exponential and now its flat, but that's a function of what exacly? It could go back down to 1 billion or less. When jobs demanded a person supply was ready to match it. When jobs dont demand a person? Go to a degrowth rally take the temperature (and average age and child-per-person ratio) to get a taste of the future shape of supply and demand in a pessimistic world of sentences that don't have subjects just vague plattitudes. Are they net shutting down grade schools or building them in your neck of the woods?
> * they net shutting down grade schools or building them in your neck of the woods?*
My area (rural Iowa) has had several new schools built in the last 10 years. Net gain for sure.
We should have been under water, hunted by AI, overpopulated, killed by terrorist, smitten by god for our sins and so on. Luckily all it took was our privacy and a lot of tax money to survive.
strongly, no. its just hard to distinguish them. for example, radioactive decay. cmon
you could make the argument for human total GDP, which looks like https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/global-gdp-over-the-long-..., but then again, you could say we just haven't reached the sigmoid in it. I personally doubt we will
One where humans are increasingly pushed to the periphery to make room for data centers and the human population is subsumed by robots.
Who is this future serving? Not me. Fuck this.
I am extremely skeptical about whether this is even possible and even less convinced it’s a likely scenario but it seems like a good path.
Fascinating reads, Daniel! Keep 'em coming!
The only choice here is to go to sea and get away from the crowds and the bots. Bots don't like salt water much, so I'll see you out there.
I am not sure where they believe that amount of capital could come from. It would require central bank level money printing never seen before.
If we're producing 10x as much, why not print 10x as much money? The goods and services each dollar could buy would remain similar.