Top
Best
New

Posted by logickkk1 6 hours ago

Gemini 3.6 Flash, 3.5 Flash-Lite, and 3.5 Flash Cyber(blog.google)
https://console.cloud.google.com/agent-platform/publishers/g...
533 points | 429 comments
postalcoder 5 hours ago|
I wonder how big the Pro model is that Google is using behind the scenes to train these smaller ones.

Going on baseless speculation, the lack of accompanying pro models with these flash releases either means: 1) the model is too big to be economical, 2) google doesn't have the compute to serve the big model, 3) their big model has too many alignment issues to serve to the public.

edit: looks like benchmarks are up on https://artificialanalysis.ai/models/gemini-3-6-flash. It's solidly middle-of-pack. However, if you want to be most fair to flash, look at the intelligence vs time per task and intelligence vs outputspeed benchmarks. This is a very fast model.

edit 2: I use antigravity from time to time and in my experience, 3.5 flash is an underrated model, so long as you know what it's good for. It's very good at frontend (much better than gpt 5.5) and it's fast, so it's a great tool for iteration. I expect 3.6 to be no different.

Tenoke 5 hours ago||
It's also very possible that they know their big model underperforms chatgpt 5.6 and fable by too much, so they are focusing on what they can get wins in like speed instead.
Miraste 19 minutes ago|||
That's the only explanation that makes sense. If it was frontier but cost or compute were limiting factors, they'd release it at an obscene price for the bragging rights. Google doesn't care that much about alignment, and I don't think it's likely to be significantly different than 3.5 anyway. The only reason it would need to be soft-canceled is if it's terrible, and has to end up in a ditch like Llama 4 to avoid shareholder panic.
janalsncm 3 hours ago||||
That and/or the business case isn’t as clear when serving enormous models? You’re constantly stuck in a red queen’s race where your profitability window is increasingly measured in weeks because the Chinese are right behind you.

For small models (which are probably distilled from their big ones) you can serve them economically all the time and not hemorrhage money.

adventured 1 hour ago||
The Chinese have been right behind OpenAI and Anthropic for ~18 months now.

DeepSeek didn't do to OpenAI and Anthropic what nearly everybody claimed they would.

Every single person on HN that loudly proclaimed the end was nigh for GPT & Co. due to DeepSeek, was wrong. They were humiliatingly wrong, and they'll never own up to it. The reason those people were so very wrong, is the same exact reason the Kimi crowd is wrong now. And it's very obvious that they're wrong, but they have intense emotional blinders on. Their thinking process is hyper emotionalism: they want a certain outcome, regardless of if reality aligns to that or not. They're making emotional wishes about how they want things to turn out, and pretending those magic wishes are grounded in reason.

It takes enormous resources to run something equivalent to GPT 5.6 or Fable. Nobody can or wants to do that outside of very limited situations - if you can just reasonably pay as you go instead. As it turns out, you can just pay as you go with GPT and Fable. Their businesses have gotten radically larger since DeepSeek launched. Get it yet?

Domestic China is the only very large audience for their own models, so long as OpenAI and Anthropic stay top tier.

All the hype online from the forums about Kimi, is worthless: those people hyping it can't even come close to running it locally, which is the fantasy. So why are they hyping it? Why did they hype DeepSeek just the same, and learn nothing from its total failure to actually take down OpenAI and Anthropic? Rhetorical questions with obvious answers.

Kimi poses zero actual threat to OpenAI and Anthropic. Those companies will continue to pile up the subscriptions and API usage. Check out GPT's subscriber base today vs when DeepSeek launched. Get it yet? When Model X launches out of China in a year, we'll have this same conversations all over again, and the hypsters will have learned nothing.

While the Kimi fawning is endless, OpenAI will just keep piling up subscriber counts, and Anthropic will keep piling up API usage. Then OpenAI is going to staple a gigantic ad system onto GPT. China can't compete in the model-as-a-service business globally, for the exact same reason they failed so miserably to compete in search globally.

codedokode 1 hour ago|||
> Domestic China is the only very large audience for their own models

I don't think so. US models are very expensive, and not available in every country. I am not willing to pay $50/1M tokens for writing my pet projects.

verdverm 24 minutes ago||
There are also US based companies like Fireworks serving up the best open weight models with the compliances we need in US enterprise. Depending on the company, they may offer more/different jurisdictions, EU probably needs a Fireworks like company (haven't heard about one, maybe it already exists?)
amazingamazing 1 hour ago||||
without any hard data one way or another your comment is worthless. "pile up subscriptions" - based on what? neither company is public. "piling up subscriber counts", "piling up API usage"? cool. how much money are they making? oh you don't know because they're not public.

the reality is one way or another that as long as there exists an alternative that a USA company could serve with the same compute rented from hyperscalers, this represents a threat, even if the extent to which is unknown

Wowfunhappy 1 hour ago||||
But what does that mean for Google if their model isn't as good as OpenAI's and Anthropic's?
ijidak 46 minutes ago||||
Why wouldn't the hyperscalers run these open models since they're much better than OpenAI and Anthropic at operating compute at scale?

I think the reason OpenAI and Anthropic stay ahead in revenues right now is because the models are improving too quickly to reliably compete with them on cost.

But, once model performance reaches a plateau -- they have to at some point, though perhaps years away -- that's when ability to operate compute infrastructure at scale becomes the secret sauce.

The big AI labs are likely safe until models stop improving fast enough to protect them from competition on cost.

This similar pattern has repeated in most technical booms prior to this.

When hard drive technology was improving fast enough that old hard drives were quickly obsolete, IBM could maintain good margins making hard drives. But once hard drives got good enough and advances were slow enough that innovation was not the only factor considered by drive purchasers, commodity hard drives started to take over and IBM had to exit those businesses.

The same is likely to happen once model improvement slows.

refulgentis 39 minutes ago|||
You’re absolutely right and it’s heartening to see. I maintain a client with ~every provider you can think of and llama.cpp and it was really tiring the last few days to see people laundering other stuff through Kimi and Qwen. They’re not even open yet, the hype was based on their own blog posts, no one’s actually running these locally, the Qwen Max’s have never been open, Kimi’s API was 1/2 the speed the benchmarks was based on, when it was up, and had 60% downtime before they had to stop accepting new accounts, and their EULAs are “your inputs and outputs are ours.” May being clear-eyed benefit us both in the long run.
lukan 19 minutes ago||
"You’re absolutely right and it’s heartening to see"

Damnit, I usually don't jump to LLM speech patterns, but this opening had me thinking you were a bot. But after checking your profile, I think you pass as human. I wonder when will be the time, this does not work anymore for me. (Creation date is a strong hint, but abandoned accounts can be hijacked)

martinald 4 hours ago||||
Yes agreed - I wrote this up a while back https://martinalderson.com/posts/whats-going-on-with-gemini/

My view then was they are optimising the models for inference ability on their own hardware AND use cases, which is often speed and time to first token.

They've somehow seemed to end up with terrible compute shortages, which again is surprising given how good Google is at infra deployments AND have their own hardware. From rumors out there they are turning down enterprise deals for Gemini because they don't have the compute.

The problem is they're falling further and further behind on frontier class on coding especially, and since I wrote that article it's got even worse with open weights models undercutting them on price AND intelligence.

mediaman 5 hours ago||||
There was some recent reporting that a July release of the Pro model got pushed back for exactly that reason. Its performance was not good compared to the OpenAI/Anthropic big models. They are having a lot of problems with posttrain.
verelo 5 hours ago||||
This is the feeling i get too. Cant produce quality, but can produce something that is super fast...so take the wins where they are.
copperx 4 hours ago|||
We don't have enough fast models, so I see this as a positive. I just test drove Gemini Flash Lite and it's crazy fast.
dotancohen 27 minutes ago|||
For a coding LLM specifically, when is fast a good tradeoff for quality?
verelo 21 minutes ago||
I wouldnt say it is, but there are circumstances when speed is helpful. I wouldn't argue that coding is one of them.
maxloh 4 hours ago||||
I personally doubt that.

It would be a shame if they cannot beat Kimi K3 or Qwen3.8 Max, both of which are claimed to be Fable-like. If that is true, it will be [or would be] the first time a major American lab falls behind a Chinese competitor.

chrsw 49 minutes ago||
Google can't compete with China, neither can Meta. Only two labs in the US can keep chucking billions at the frontier race. Everyone else has a real business to run.

China can keep up because it's cheaper to run a frontier lab there. They also have more researchers and a stronger cultural inclination for this sort of thing. And I guess the business case in China doesn't have to work as well as it does in the US.

ignoramous 3 hours ago||||
> focusing on what they can get wins in like speed instead

Speed as a differentiator has always been Google's thing. They (used to?) show the microseconds it took to query & rank web-scale search results. Chrome, notoriously, focused on speed at the expense of resource use. The very many efforts to efficiently speed up Android & its runtime since its inception, and so on...

> their big model underperforms chatgpt 5.6

Possible but TFA claims:

  We have started our most ambitious pre-training run yet, for Gemini 4 ...
mnicky 4 minutes ago||
That sonds like they can't compete with 3.5 or 3.6 so they must increase the model size and are training v4.
godwinson__4-8 1 hour ago|||
Didn't they already acknowledge this?

Paywalled article, but the headline is basically all you need: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-16/google-ge...

SXX 2 hours ago|||
I choose fourth option.

4) googles big model just performs worse than K3 and GLM so they choose not to embarass themself.

Like I love Gemini and use it a lot to one-shot whole MR with huge contexts, but its just much worse when its come to tool use and agentic coding.

zwaps 30 minutes ago|||
More likely they don't manage to advance benchmarks on the SOTA level anymore. In other words: They can't beat 5.6 nor Fable
petercooper 5 hours ago|||
I wonder if the broad use of AI overviews on Google search results is having an impact. Maybe the numbers make it more profitable to use their compute on several billion searches a day rather than selling API access.
WarmWash 5 hours ago|||
I think it's a safe bet that Google seems more interested in making a model that improves Google rather than making a model that improves workers.

Fast, light weight, ok intelligence. Perfect for serving 20B+ prompts per day mostly surrounding banal human things.

OAI and Anthropic's cloud spend can cover the revenue gap, as Google is already capturing a large chunk of those guy's revenue.

bitshiftfaced 3 hours ago||||
Not to mention internal use cases, such as prediction-related tasks like serving ads.
neutronicus 5 hours ago||||
The AI mode on Google search is pretty impressive. Helped me figure out what a bunch of stuff I was seeing out the window was while traveling.
SadErn 4 hours ago||||
Microsoft also seems to be working in this space. They recently released this:

https://huggingface.co/microsoft/bitnet-embedding-0.6b

It’s a small multilingual embedding model designed for things like search, RAG, and semantic similarity. It supports a fairly large context window and is designed to run efficiently on a CPU in a GPU starved world.

The interesting part is that it builds on BitNet, using ternary weights of -1, 0, and 1 instead of the usual floating-point weights. That should make indexing and searching large amounts of text much cheaper without giving up too much accuracy.

paxys 4 hours ago|||
AI overview is just a summarization of the top 2-3 results. Of course at Google scale that will still need a ton of compute, but the requirement for generating an overview is many orders of magnitude lower than asking the same question in Gemini.
amazingamazing 1 hour ago||
based off what?
butlike 1 hour ago||
vibes (coding)
rjh29 53 minutes ago|||
I think it's 2. I frequently get told there's no capacity for Pro and the query is answered by Flash with extended thinking. And tbh it's hard to tell the difference between the two, especially if you're not coding with it.
awongh 4 hours ago|||
It seems like there are some credible rumors that Google is actually winning in terms of actually building models that work and don't lose money- between how they're able to price them, the TPU advantage and their capex advantage (being able to raise debt + just having a lot of cash - well I said not lose money... more like not go bankrupt).

From the outside they look like they're behind in terms of frontier models, but I think they might be the best positioned to not go out of business when the bubble pops.

Also look at the fact that they've been able to deploy AI-assisted search at google scale. It must be another order of magnitude larger (at least) than the model deployments for OpenAI and Anthropic.

Of course unless you're inside Google it's impossible to know for sure.

dTal 2 hours ago|||
In terms of open models, Gemma 4 beats the pants off everything else to the point that paying for APIs becomes hard to justify. Qwen has the meme-share for coding, but it feels much less well rounded. I have no doubt that Google have both the infrastructure and the expertise to curb stomp everyone else, should they resolve in earnest to do so.

Lest we forget, "Attention is All You Need" came from Google.

lynguist 28 minutes ago|||
> "Attention is All You Need" came from Google

It also came directly from the university of Toronto, and the university of Toronto seeded all American frontier labs (including Grok (why do you think they could start so fast))

scottyah 32 minutes ago||||
Interesting, glad to hear. We have gemma4 at work, and I was considering localhosting qwen, but gemma4 is so far behind the Opus and Fable I have at home that I've decided to hold off for another model release.
ishurand4 56 minutes ago||||
How long until Gemma 5 hits?
cherryteastain 51 minutes ago|||
Are you suggesting Gemma beats GLM 5.2?
onlyrealcuzzo 1 hour ago||||
It's rumored that Gemini 3.5 flash has a >50% margin, and I'd imagine 3.6 flash is even higher.

I do not think OpenAI or Anthropic are actively chasing margins - though, Anthropic is supposed to be profitable on some form of non-GAAP accounting...

I suspect Google isn't really interested in seeing how far it can get dragged into a race of selling dollars for $0.25, and is more interested to see if it can stay in the race selling $0.50 for a dollar - when everyone else is losing or barely breaking even.

WarmWash 31 minutes ago||
It kind of doesn't make sense though, because typically a large org like Google can afford to crush competitors on pricing. They could probably even go toe to toe with chinese model pricing for years without feeling it.

Maybe they don't want to price war with the other labs so they can comfortably maintain healthy margins on selling them compute?

deltaqueue 2 hours ago||||
That "TPU advantage" might be slowing Google down (though likely not as much as their internal bureaucracy).

Porting CUDA-based research, debugging, and overall experimentation speed is likely slower.

The GPU is still king for training.

anthonypasq 37 minutes ago||
lmao, you know all Anthropic models are trained on TPU right?
redox99 3 hours ago|||
They basically don't exist in the currently most profitable LLM market (coding).

Yes, subs like codex are heavily subsidized. But API billing has massive margins and that's what enterprises pay.

awongh 3 hours ago||
Does it have "massive" margins? Afaik no one has said publicly what margins there are on an API call?
SyneRyder 1 hour ago||
"As of October [2025], OpenAI's compute margins reached 70%, up from 52% at the end of 2024 and double the rate in January 2024, [The Information] said, citing a person familiar with the figures."

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-21/openai-se...

As for Anthropic, the rumors I remember seeing for their API margins were more like 85-90%, but I don't have a reference at hand for those. But once you know the API is wildly profitable and the subscriptions are roughly break-even and not even a big slice of their income, all of the investment makes a lot more sense.

anthonypasq 4 hours ago|||
Logan Kilpatrick said on an interview not too long ago that flash 3 and 3.5 are the same pre-train. all gains on top of 3 flash are post-training
mchusma 4 hours ago||
Maybe, but they said they have “started” the Gemini 4 pretrain. So not having done any significant pretrain in a year or so seems odd to me.
WarmWash 25 minutes ago||
Pre-trains take a huge chunk of your compute offline, incurring both an raw expense (24/7 max power for all training clusters) and an opportunity cost (could have sold excess compute during that time). They also don't come with any great guarantees, as lots of techniques look good on small scale and crumble or plateau once scaled.
ocamoss 3 hours ago|||
Maybe it's like Meta not releasing the big version of Llama 4 a year or two ago
spyckie2 5 hours ago|||
I wonder if they waited for the new TPU generation to train a larger base model.
tpm 5 hours ago|||
"3.5 pro is testing with partners! will hopefully land soon."

https://x.com/OfficialLoganK/status/2079596415509303596

re-thc 4 hours ago|||
> the lack of accompanying pro models with these flash releases either means:

Rumors say 4) it didn't perform well, especially in coding so has been delayed

jauntywundrkind 5 hours ago||
Or perhaps 4) it's outcompeted severely by other models & releasing it would only tarnish their name
stonewhite 5 hours ago||
Google somehow managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of success with their AI products.

They literally forced me and my company out of Antigravity by phasing out AI Ultra subscription without any proper product follow-up. Antigravity IDE cannot even have poweruser subscriptions now from Google Workspace an Gemini Enterprise Agent Platform cannot be attached to Antigravity IDE.

Gemini Enterprise Agent Platform has an incredibly abysmal setup process, and if I want to limit spending per-user I have to create projects per user. The fact that you cannot activate Anthropic models on it if the billing still has free credits is almost a joke.

I was a big proponent of Google and Gemini, but they left us reeling with their abrupt product decisions. Forced us to buy $200 subscriptions directly from Anthropic/OpenAI.

ngrilly 5 hours ago||
Also a big proponent of Google and Gemini, but their stubbornness in artificially splitting their consumer and enterprise products is extremely annoying. It's pretty weird that I have access to more powerful tools when using my personal Google account compared to my corporate Google Workspace account.
deaux 3 hours ago|||
It's literally the meme of the MS org chart pointing guns at each other.

The GCP team wants their slice, the other team wants some otjer slice, and so on. Everyone wants some crap for their promotion package.

It's no wonder Meta has shit the bed even worse.

It's also why Google still releases actually decent, useful models despite the product being such a hilarious mess. A lot of the time Gemini models have actually been better as production LLMs as part of LLM-based production applications than OpenAI and Anthropic models when it comes to the complete cost:quality:latency:adherence picture. And they still are. We have products in prod that use Gemini because they're better than any other model at the specific task. But we wouldn't dare use it for anything coding related, or even just as productivity tool to rely on, because as a consumer product it's a joke.

visarga 2 hours ago|||
> The GCP team wants their slice, the other team wants some otjer slice, and so on. Everyone wants some crap for their promotion package.

I got a Google One plan for Gemini, but it came bundled with YT Premium lite, and that somehow made it impossible to renew YT Premium for 30 days. I suspect different teams stealing customers from each other.

SXX 2 hours ago||
Google also gave away 1 year Gemini plans with Pixel phones that either did not work at all for existing Google One users or messed up subscriptions by downgrading your account to worse plan, or making your existing paid time shorter if you been on cheaper plan or recently changee countries. Etc.

Like when you try to give Google money they try to squeeze you as much as possible.

At the same time you can get 5 time more limits for free just by registering 10 free Google accounts.

Google subscriptions are one big mess.

urbsgpw 50 minutes ago|||
Exactly my experience. I'm building an AI document-extraction platform, so I had to benchmark a bunch of models — on the cost:quality:latency:adherence picture, flash wins hands down for structured extraction. (Caveat: I've only tested the three US labs and Mistral.). So like u said, totally viable in prod for a relatively static tool. Didn't build the tool suite with gemini, but if you use service mode it currently mainly runs on flash.

Haven't done any serious coding work with the flash models though — but I'm seeing more and more HN comments from people who seem to have picked it up for that in the last couple of months.

vel0city 5 hours ago||||
As someone who's been using Workspace as a personal email account for over a decade this has been such a struggle forever. Just lots of odd limitations to feature sets all over the place.

When they swapped Google Assistant for Gemini as the default voice provider in Android Auto it was so annoying. My wife's non-work space account can get Gemini to do the normal things like play music and what not, but my Workspace one can't do much of anything at all. I can talk about nearly any random topic with it, but getting it to change the playlist, nah, can't help you there.

It's no surprise to me to see them fumble actually supporting a lot of the consumer features of Gemini into Workspace.

ngrilly 5 hours ago|||
I'm in the same situation. But I was shocked discovering it goes both ways: many new Gemini functionalities are only accessible using a consumer account instead of a Workspace account. Also, Gemini is now the only major AI assistant with no support for MCP connectors. Instead of adding this to the core product, like ChatGPT and Claude did, somebody at Google decided that it was smarter to add this fundamental feature to a new product instead: for enterprises this is Gemini Enterprise (which is a product completely different from the Gemini app); for consumers this the new Gemini Spark agent (meaning that you can use MCP within Spark but not within a "non-agentic" chat)... It's clear to me this a symptom of Google shipping their org chart, which is a disaster from a product perspective.
snazz 43 minutes ago|||
Microsoft’s Copilot products are a very similar situation where the enterprise and consumer (and GitHub) features only make sense if you think about the org chart. Both companies need stronger top down product thinking.
rescbr 3 hours ago||||
I currently have a free trial AI Pro subscription that will run out next month.

If it weren't for the $10 GCP credit, I'd straight away cancel it. I don't see enough value in Gemini to justify the $20 subscription.

deepsun 3 hours ago||||
Maybe because they want to train on your data? Workspace AIs are not trained on your corporate data.
londons_explore 4 hours ago|||
i think Google would see more success if they kept the CEO and everyone at the bottom (ie. doesn't manage anyone), and fired everyone else.

Build a whole new management tree - the current people all do a terrible job.

asdf1011 2 hours ago||||
This drove me bonkers. You can enable play music (etc) in Android Auto for workspace accounts by enabling apps in Gemini. From memory (looking at the settings now, not 100% sure of the magic steps required), but go to admin.google.com, go to 'generative ai', 'gemini app', and 'apps settings', then turn on 'other Google apps'. This lets you play music (and other things) in Android Auto.
vel0city 2 hours ago||
Ah, that could be it. I saw that "Other Google apps" and didn't think that would mean Spotify, but I guess its Android Auto or Google Assistant stuff. I'll give that a try, thanks for the tip.
rapind 3 hours ago||||
The entire Google Workspace division is basically Microsoft. I assume they are making a lot of money in order to support their continued disfunction.
peterbell_nyc 3 hours ago||||
Also have a workspace as a personal email and ended up getting a personal gmail just to try out the subscriptions before I gave up.

I have multiple anthropic and OpenAI max plans. For Gemini I just use my Cursor $200 a month plan (which also gives me the ability to try grok, conductor, etc)

jeffbee 2 hours ago|||
Workspace users have different terms of service. This is why new features always launch to consumer first.
scrollop 2 hours ago||||
Apparently you cannot turn off using your data as training data with gemini. This is in line with Google's general privacy policies and it's seeming need to create a stasi file on every human.
cherryteastain 42 minutes ago|||
You can turn it off but it's an all or nothing switch, if you turn it off everything will basically become a temporary chat and all past chats are deleted
deanc 4 hours ago|||
It's absolute insanity. They have all the resources to have been able to lead from the front with this new technology. They have the products and users to integrate this technology into people's already existing lives. But they keep fumbling.

They're not even benchmarking against other models now, just against themselves - which tells you everything you need to know.

msabalau 4 hours ago|||
What does "leading from the front" get them?

There is absolutely no loyalty when it comes to coding. Nothing could be more common than people threating to jump ship whenever another frontier or open source model comes.

Google is clearly able to keep growing their free and consumer and small business use cases. Unlike corporate coding, we actually have evidence that solo and small businesses can actually see productivity gains.

Anthropic and OpenAI need to stay dancing like mad, because it's their source revenue which underpins their investments.

Why does Google need to shove something at the top at the same desperate cadence? Other than "recursive self improvement leads to AGI" it seems perfectly fine if they push out something dramatically better every year and half.

sarjann 4 hours ago||
Unfortunately them giving up coding means they have less traces to train on.
asdfman123 3 hours ago||||
Google promotes people based on shipping features, not making good software. So this breakage means someone is shipping features.

You should be happy for them.

LogicFailsMe 4 hours ago|||
They simply don't have the leadership to lead. And it starts from the top.
xnx 5 hours ago|||
> Google somehow managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of success

This is still very early days. Who is "on top" has flipped back and forth many times already. The next frontier model release (from whomever) will change things again.

Eridrus 4 hours ago|||
I don't think it's that early tbh, agentic coding has ~90% adoption in the US.

Claude Code has largely won individual developer mindshare and has been on top ever since it came out. The benchmarks change, but almost nobody opts to use anything other than Claude IME when I ask them. Enterprise is more competitive since they care about costs and other things, but developers leaning towards Claude puts a thumb on the scales there.

The product doesn't have much lock in, so it is possible to dislodge Claude, and Anthropic could (and some may argue is likely to) just shoot themselves in the foot again and again and again, but Google has never been particularly good at enterprise sales, and they have never actually been at the frontier of intelligence.

I think Google's incentives have mostly about building models for their products, which makes them focus more on the cheap end, and while they need that, it feels like the Innovator's Dilemma is biting them here.

I own a lot of Google stock from working there in the past and have been quite happy about their trajectory up until the last 6 months, but I am getting pretty antsy about their AI story these days.

sdesol 4 hours ago|||
> Claude Code has largely won individual developer mindshare and has been on top ever since it came out.

Claude Code's success is not due to the agent but because the model is considered the best for programming and is very heavily subsidized, compared to pay as you go API prices. Consumers and Enterprise are not really locked in and will go where it makes the most sense.

I think they have almost no loyalty by actual developers.

Eridrus 32 minutes ago|||
This isn't a perfect survey, but I am a Codex user and most of my employees are pretty stuck in their workflows and were not really interested in trying even when I was saying good things (even pre-Opus 4.8).

When we work trial people, 100% of people ask for Claude rather than Codex or anything else.

When I talk to people at non-AI tech events everyone basically says they use Claude and have not tried an alternative.

Developers writ large are actually not that interested in trying multiple tools, they like customizing their chosen tool and tweaking it forever.

I think developers are as susceptible to brand marketing as everyone else. It's why almost everyone has a Macbook.

Foobar8568 4 hours ago||||
There is no reason to be loyal....There is no moat.

Basically you may choose to drink brand A water bottle, brand B water bottle or tap water. Oh and you might choose the glass water bottle if you use API/Fable.

gehsty 2 hours ago||
There’s no reason to be loyal, but I guess it’s a bit like any tool, once you get used to how one works why would you change to another? There is some stickiness with an LLM + harness.
lerchmo 4 hours ago||||
Exactly developers can switch to another coding cli and the learning curve is close to zero. Mindshare without switching costs is just a popsicle in the sun.
baq 4 hours ago||||
Every model has its strengths and weaknesses, being loyal is suboptimal unless you mean being loyal to all of them, which is why cursor would have been well positioned before it got acquired. Now you have to jump through hoops to call Gemini from Claude from codex. Yuck.
kelvinjps10 3 hours ago||||
Claude code was one of the first agentic code tool and when openai release models similar in performance they didn't do as well in their tools (now codex)
reinitctxoffset 3 hours ago|||
Claude Code (or any other model/infra/harness co-design) is not subsidized in any normal use of that word. It's trough filling (I've written this up in lurid detail so I'm only going to do it again if anyone cares).

It's not true, it's just a play for margin.

draebek 3 hours ago|||
> I don't think it's that early tbh, agentic coding has ~90% adoption in the US.

Where does that 90% figure come from?

Eridrus 29 minutes ago||
I pulled it out of my ass based on anecdotes of talking to engineers and customers, but actual surveys back this up as well with numbers from 84-91%: https://www.digitalapplied.com/blog/ai-coding-adoption-stati...
piyh 3 hours ago||||
Early days or not, Google fucking deleted my IDE and wiped my settings. It took them days to roll out a fix, by which point I had migrated off Antigravity.
noodlescb 3 hours ago||||
I guess? Maybe I'm alone here but I don't feel like Fable is particularly more useful than Sonnet most of the time. I feel like the LLMs are good enough for the majority of uses and the hyper expensive premium ones are way into diminishing returns. At this point with Kimi being as good as it is, if they jack up the price any more I'll just go open source.
onion2k 5 hours ago||||
I don't think that's true if the reason a company has left the vendor for given model by making it hard to buy. Enterprise IT is enough of a pain in the butt that people will forego the new shiny to avoid the old painful unless it's genuinely better. As you say though, the best frontier model flips regularly, so companies won't go through the hassle of deploying a model if it's proved horrible to do in the past. They'll just skip that model because their current one is fine.
creshal 4 hours ago|||
Model quality is only one aspect, the bigger problem is making it work in a fully integrated enterprise platform, and Google has always been lacking when it came to the latter.

At this rate, if Google has a flagship model, you're better off plugging it into a competitor's tooling than hope Google figures out how to use it.

repeekad 4 hours ago|||
Aren’t the subscriptions extremely subsidized and burning cash for Anthropic and OpenAI? A reasonable explanation is they’re simply abstaining from the war of attrition, especially given cheaper comparable models are breaking the illusion that the “frontier of intelligence” has any kind of per token margin.
Certhas 4 hours ago|||
This is hotly debated and completely unclear. Let's say Anthropics Opus models cost the same to serve as GLM 5.2. GLM 5.2 is 4.4$/MTok while Opus is 5.6 times more expensive. Assume that GLM 5.2 is served at essentially zero margin. Then Anthropic has >80% margin on API pricing. So even if an average person with a subscription pays only 20% of the API price of their usage, Anthropic makes money on subscriptions.

And the real numbers could be better for Anthropic. It's feasible Opus models are actually cheaper to serve than GLM 5.2 because Anthropic have optimized the hell out of inference.

repeekad 2 hours ago||
Sure, but then why wouldn’t I use GLM 5.2 at cost or K3?

I guess that’s the big question, will people pay a big margin long term to use their end products / models or will AI tokens be commoditized by many competing players. For coding if I had to pay API costs I’d switch in a heartbeat, enterprise maybe more reluctant?

lerchmo 4 hours ago||||
Makes sense, subsidizing tokens doesn’t seem like a great strategy for a public company.
xnx 4 hours ago||
And Google alway has a target on its back for antitrust (regardless of claim validity)
lanthissa 1 hour ago||||
they're subsidized if you max them out, i'd imagine most users are paying $20 for maybe $2-5 of tokens.

anthropic probably has more customers that use more of their sub, but for open ai where a lot of their subs are consumers through chatgpt.com, they have a lot of free money to work with there

bdcravens 3 hours ago||||
Possibly, but aren't the tech giants positioned to win a war of attrition? Then again, they're more likely to sit on that cash and wait for the opportune time to buy a frontier lab.
LUmBULtERA 3 hours ago|||
The subsidizing thing is repeated over and over without proof. Personally, I doubt they're actually subsidized.
nxdmum 3 hours ago|||
Google Gemini agy is not allowing you to use your token via your own harness. My own harness is far more efficient than agy. They can take a simple stance - if you exceed your token limit they block you - with the 5 hr limit they are already doing this . so there should be no reason to block you from using your own harness - if you are more efficient - you gain - if you are less you lose .

They are not allowing me to hit their endpoints which agy hits - it's frustrating . i tried to hack it with gemini itself. what i love about gemini is it's so encouraging and ready to help you - even against the agy client : ) .

Even though im so frustrated with this - i still love Gemini for some reason ! Most encouraging model in the world!

GodelNumbering 5 hours ago|||
> I was a big proponent of Google and Gemini, but they left us reeling with their abrupt product decisions.

Likewise. This seems like a common feel. I have at least spent $4000 and likely a lot more on Gemini API because I really wanted them to win. I gave up.

furkansahin 4 hours ago||
I am going to ask a very direct question and only because I am curious.

Why do you care? Why would you spend your own money to a multi trillion dollar company so that they win their own "war" against another multi trillion dollar company?

Please don't get me wrong, I know the question can seem a bit negative, I am really just curious.

GodelNumbering 4 hours ago||
No, it's a fair question. The answer: I believe(d) in Demis Hassabis's vision of AI

Although, I think saying 'wanted them to win' was not accurate. More like, I stuck with them hoping it will get better, and it did get better in many ways, coding was not one of them.

urbsgpw 45 minutes ago||
This was exactly my thought process. Coupled with a less idealistic one: mid 2025 if you looked arena ELO scores google seemed to be dominating and I was sure the trend would continue. But they really dropped the ball on coding and tool use.

That being said, controlling android and apple mobile devices is kind of a big deal. And their video models are still top notch.

notatoad 3 hours ago|||
i've got to wonder how much of this is intentional, and how much of this is just google being their usual terrible selves at anything consumer-product related.

Google's biggest and most important customer for all this AI stuff is google. Do they actually want other customers, or is having other people use their AI just an annoyance at this point, where we use up compute that they'd rather use internally...

giancarlostoro 2 hours ago|||
I trust Google to:

* Abruptly ban me and all users from a Google Workspace for no reason whatsoever.

* Abruptly shut down a service.

I'll never give Google my direct money.

throwuxiytayq 1 hour ago||
Life gets simpler and better as soon as you stop giving money to Google.

It’s so silly that individual people still use their shit. Corporations, I understand - they always choose the most mediocre stacks and tools by default. But why people choose to bring the mediocrity of Google into their lives is beyond me.

SkitterKherpi 4 hours ago|||
They'll probably be back later. It's very possible they are "saving up" for a much bigger run.
bdcravens 3 hours ago||
More likely an acquisition.
dainiusse 3 hours ago|||
+1 same way vscode killed its usage base and gave it to its fork - cursor
ur-whale 2 hours ago|||
> they left us reeling with their abrupt product decisions

This is what happens when you put a McKinsey consultant in the role of CEO of an organization where product managers run the asylum instead of engineers.

ikiris 2 hours ago|||
Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory is the specialty of product managers.
epolanski 3 hours ago|||
> Google somehow managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of success with their AI products.

HN lives in a bubble.

I have German/Italian/Polish clients virtually all use Gemini and NotebookLM. Talking insurance, banking, consulting, legal.

The real world doesn't look at pointless benchmarks on writing react tailwind crap, they are already google suite users, get the tools, test them and adopt them, end of story.

It's going to be like with angular, never mentioned on the net, widely used in the real world.

LUmBULtERA 3 hours ago||
I have friends and family who use Gemini, but entirely because their Pixel phones came with a year of it for free. No other reason, and they will most likely never pay for it.
ralusek 5 hours ago|||
It's funny that they triggered the infamous "Code Red" moment in OpenAI when the 3-3.1 models came out. I switched to using them for a lot of single-shot LLM calls because they were fast and cheap. Their only area that they were lacking in was agentic/tool calling.

Needless to say 3.5 was a disappointment. Curious to see 3.6.

reaperducer 5 hours ago||
They literally forced me and my company out of Antigravity by phasing out AI Ultra subscription without any proper product follow-up

That sounds awful.

For those of us who don't follow the AI hype cycle, what does that have to do with the topic of this thread: Gemini 3.6 Flash, 3.5 Flash-Lite, and 3.5 Flash Cyber?

da_chicken 5 hours ago|||
That's kinda like asking why someone might complain about Chrome's memory usage in a thread about a new version of V8.
zhengyi13 2 hours ago||||
"Your new models are great, but uh... How exactly am I supposed to use them?"

That is, given a lot of users' contexts, the way they can and the way they want to use these models are increasingly disjoint.

browningstreet 5 hours ago||||
From the posted link: "3.6 Flash: Our workhorse model that delivers better coding, knowledge work, and multimodal performance."

What is Google's recently released AI coding product?

logicchains 4 hours ago|||
You don't see what Google phasing out an AI product subscription has to do with a Google AI product release?
m_w_ 6 hours ago||
It's a bit disheartening to see no comparison to other models here - and I'm not sure this pushes the curve anywhere. 3.6 flash is more expensive than GLM 5.2 - but seemingly worse, although this post is really light (lite?) on details.

It seemed for a time that Google had finally gotten the ball rolling, but I'm doubting that more and more as time passes. We'll see what happens with 3.5 pro I suppose.

XCSme 4 hours ago||
Here, my comparison of 3.6 Flash vs Sol vs Luna vs Terra: https://aibenchy.com/compare/google-gemini-3-6-flash-medium/...
jdthedisciple 3 hours ago||
How does your comparison work? It places Gemini 3.6 Flash Medium above GPT 5.6 Sol High and Fable 5 Medium, which makes me skeptical because that... would be making headlines that I'm not seeing right now.
XCSme 3 hours ago||
I have created various questions/tests and put the models through the same tests.

I record whether the answers are correct, and the generation stats (costs, latencies, tokens used, etc.).

I have no idea why the Gemini models do so well.

I have recently added new tests, whose sole purpose was to find some cases on which Gemini 3 Flash fails (I don't like cherry-picking models or tests, but I also find it strange Gemini Flash models leading in accuracy). I made a more complex coding/tool-usage test, that I expected it to fail, it did fail it once locally in my debug tests, but when I finalized the test and ran the entire testing suite for all models, somehow Gemini 3 Flash still got it right...

Gemini models are REALLY intelligent (and they are actually my favorite model to use via the chat app to ask questions), but they somehow fail in real-word coding tasks where they have to modify files, check results, debug, etc.

My tests harness provides a lot of mock data, and limits the number of actions a model can choose from. I am starting to think that maybe the models are not bad, just that the coding harness are not optimized for those type of models, and Google doesn't really provide their own "Codex".

XCSme 3 hours ago|||
Oh, and I've also added weights to different categories, so Coding and Tool usage categories influence the score more. This done both to better account for how most people are being used, and also to reduce Gemini's dominance in general/domain specific knowledge.

So yes, Gemini models are at the top, even if I actually (not proud of it) tried to make tests that actually favour other coding-focused models.

jdthedisciple 3 hours ago|||
Interesting, well it'd be interesting to check out some individual examples where Gemini beat the others.

Also, would be great if you could add GPT 5.6 Sol XHigh and Fable 5 High as well, just to see if at least those beat Gemini which is currently your #1.

XCSme 2 hours ago||
I don't like to divulge tests, but one of them is a chess puzzle.

> would be great if you could add GPT 5.6 Sol XHigh and Fable 5 High as well

I would like too, but I avoided them for several reasons:

1) Cost - this is a hobby project, those models would cost tens of dollars for each benchmark run, multiply this by tens or hundreds of models and ...

2) Time - the high models are already taking a really long answer to respond (5-10minutes per question). I run each question with 3 repeats (run the same test three times), so it would take 30 minutes per test. If I change my tests, methodology, or add a new test, it would take a really long time to run the benchmark. Also, I like having results immediately when a new model is released, now I can post within 30 minutes of a model's release the benchmark results.

3) High reasoning usually does WORSE on most tests - if you look at the leaderboard, it's sometimes counter-intuitive, but models with high or max reasoning usually do worse than medium and low. This is because the questions are quite targeted/direct, and the models overthink the question and miss the solution. Or the long thinking context makes them perform poorly. The generation tasks (SVGs/HTML animation) are usually better with longer reasoning, but short code fixes, trivia questions, puzzles, etc. are answered by low/med reasoning with more accuracy in general

Also, Fable is borderline un-testable, it refuses to answer many questions, so it scores poorly anyway.

Gemini scores 21/22 because it answers all tests, and it does them correctly, consistently. The only failed test is I think because it miscounted the lines in a file, when responding on which line the bug was in a code snippet.

florakel 4 hours ago|||
It’s really surprising. When Apple announced the multi-billion dollar deal with Google to power Apple Intelligence I thought great things were coming. Instead we are getting more and more bad news: delayed Pro models and AI leadership leaving. I wonder if Apple know something the rest of us don’t know or if they are already regretting their decision.
WarmWash 3 hours ago|||
Besides Apple apparently making Siri AI model agnostic, the choice to go with Google was almost certainly for practical reasons. Google is a low-risk established player that already has a long work history with Apple. Google also isn't in an existential battle to establish themselves, Gemini still amounts to just another project at Google. There is tangible non-zero risk that either OAI or Anthropic will be gone in 5 years, or will be forced to leave Apple high and dry to save themselves. There is almost no risk Google will be in either such position. And worst case scenario, Google has incredibly deep pockets should Apple pursue a "refund."
winstonp 1 hour ago||||
Apple isn't counting on their model to be a frontier coding and cowork model. Gemini is perfectly fine for the tasks that new Siri is supposed to be doing.
revolvingthrow 4 hours ago||||
What Apple wants out of Google is Siri that runs at 8gb ram and isn’t a horrible embarrassment that feels like a primitive markov chain. Given how good Gemma 4 is, Google can squeeze some serious performance in small models. Whether they can make bleeding edge models is irrelevant to Apple.
zarzavat 3 hours ago||
"Siri, please solve the Jacobian conjecture, and also set an alarm for 8am tomorrow"
Petersipoi 3 hours ago|||
As someone on the Apple beta.. the model is almost completely irrelevant to the experience. Apple has gone and done Apple things by nerfing the experience so completely that almost any model in the past year would be fine. I still reach for ChatGPT/Claude/Grok constantly instead of the AI toy that Apple calls the new Siri.
CSMastermind 4 hours ago|||
All the benchmarks I see put it around the capabilities of Opus 4.8 Medium or Sonnet 5 High.

As far as I can tell it's slightly better than GLM 5.2.

zwaps 17 minutes ago||
according to AA it's not better than GLM 5.2 and that's surprising to me
armarr 5 hours ago|||
GLM was twice as verbose running the Artificial Analysis benchmark. So it ends up being more expensive
Havoc 4 hours ago|||
>verbose

GLM defaults to max effort btw

https://docs.together.ai/docs/glm-5.2-quickstart#reasoning-e...

maxloh 4 hours ago|||
Not really. Gemini 3.6 Flash actually cost $0.01 more per task, compared to GLM 5.2.

https://artificialanalysis.ai/models/gemini-3-6-flash

sczi 4 hours ago|||
The one thing I've found google's models to be the best at is proofreading text in non-english languages. Probably because I imagine they have the most training data for it as Google probably has the most complete archive of the internet.
dd8601fn 6 hours ago|||
> really light (lite?) on

Light. Lite is product marketing seepage.

crab_galaxy 5 hours ago||
Yeah that’s the joke :p
kzrdude 2 hours ago|||
I've never questioned the word lite before because it's existed my whole life.. So does it make sense? Why does it exist and where does it come from? More than coming from "light".
dd8601fn 5 hours ago|||
Sorry, it went right over my head!
ur-whale 2 hours ago|||
> It's a bit disheartening to see no comparison to other models here

Disheartening, but not surprising: the comparison would not be very flattering for Google.

lopatin 5 hours ago||
[dead]
simonw 5 hours ago||
Pelicans for 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite (Cyber isn't available to me through the API yet.)

https://tools.simonwillison.net/markdown-svg-renderer#url=ht...

rednb 5 hours ago||
I am growing tired of these pelicans posts every time a new model is published. Feels to me like low effort personal brand promotion. Just sharing my 2 cents.
simonw 5 hours ago|||
You and a few other people, but enough people still appreciate the bit that I'm going to keep doing it.

They're easy enough to skip - click the little "-" icon and you'll collapse the entire sub-thread.

underdeserver 4 hours ago|||
+1. First thing I look for in a model announcement thread. I actually came across this one an hour ago and was sad there were no pelicans yet.

It's a decent heuristic because the better models generate better pelicans. That's all. Nobody sane is going to make a bet on a model based on a pelican. But it's cool, it's tradition by now, and it's a semblance of a good first impression for new models.

froh 3 hours ago||||
I love and appreciate you doing and sharing them, with stats and details.

thank you.

oaxacaoaxaca 1 hour ago||||
I love the pelican escapades.
hypfer 4 hours ago|||
[flagged]
nickthegreek 4 hours ago|||
If enough people agreed with you, simonw's top level comment would be grey. It isn't. Not every comment is for every person, that is fine and normal. He didnt hijack a popular thread in here to make his post. He doesnt have a tin can in your face shouting from a soapbox that makes it hard to ignore. Flag or ignore are reasonable options that can be used.
Der_Einzige 4 hours ago||
People aren't supposed to upvote or downvote posts for these kinds of reasons here. Most people are downvoting far too much on this website, and it leads to significant echo-chamber dynamics that are worse than even reddit. The pelican test continuing to be taken seriously is a great example of that kind of echo chamber.

"He doesn't have a tin can in your face shouting from a soapbox that makes it hard to ignore."

He metaphorically does because people upvote his pelicans to the top and the ensuing comment threads are massive/bloated. Huge amounts of the readership of this website are lurkers who don't even know how to hide these giant posts. Look at how bloated this very thread is right now!

Also, a lot of people unironically are whining about him because of sour grapes. Pay them what Simon is likely making, give them as much mindshare/attention as Simon gets, and they wouldn't be so mad.

Anti-incumbency bias and anti-elitist attitudes are good actually.

nickthegreek 2 hours ago||
> People aren't supposed to upvote or downvote posts for these kinds of reasons here.

Agreed, but scrolling past or hitting - were apparently off the table for the complainers. So flagging was yet another tool in their toolbelt and I bet a powerful one at that. If simonw's pelican posts routinely went dead from flagging, he would not make them. You know that, I know that.

> The pelican test continuing to be taken seriously is a great example of that kind of echo chamber.

You can try and support that argument if you like. But I would implore you to realize that it has been had many times recently and the other side does in fact find value and do not see it that way.

> He metaphorically does because people upvote his pelicans to the top and the ensuing comment threads are massive/bloated.

Users upvote the pelicans because they find it interesting. they arent paid trolls or simonw fanatics.

> Huge amounts of the readership of this website are lurkers who don't even know how to hide these giant posts.

They can learn... it's called hackernews. For those interested, that is what the [-] link is for above the comment. Use it and move on.

simonw 4 hours ago||||
I did hit a nerve. I don't like being accused of posting comments here for "low effort personal brand promotion" or nefarious financial motives.
hypfer 4 hours ago||
Well, yeah. No one does.

But, also, as said, you're an industry (and foss!) veteran, so I find it impossible to believe that you haven't had your fair share of baseless bullshit being thrown at you, and with that, you gaining a persona that will not be hit by that, because it clearly knows that it is in fact bullshit.

Unless of course it doesn't really know that with certainty.

As said, I would _love_ to give you the benefit of the doubt, because you might just have a stressful day or whatever, but content marketing is literally your whole thing by now. It is impossible for me to do that with a clean conscience.

Your blog front page currently opens with

> Earlier this month I hosted a fireside chat session at the AI Engineer World’s Fair with Cat Wu and Thariq Shihipar from Anthropic’s Claude Code team.

That is not what "some rando foss maintainer we are morally obligated to be soft with" does.

But I repeat myself.

simonw 4 hours ago|||
I'm a professional blogger now. I still also work on open source software. I'm even fine being called an "influencer" (shudder), but I take offense to accusations of unethical behavior.

I think very hard about the ethics of what I'm doing and how I can best use my "platform" (shudder again) in as constructive a way as possible.

hypfer 4 hours ago||
[flagged]
TulliusCicero 3 hours ago||
> Come on man, can you please just stop, take the L and let the subthread die.

I'd rather you do this than him. Chill out, please. The pelican pic is fine.

underdeserver 4 hours ago|||
What do you want from him, seriously? Anyone who follows the scene knows that blogging about AI (and participating in conferences etc.) is what Simon does nowadays.

There's nothing shady here. The disclosure is front and center on his About page on his website.

He's not spamming you. It's one short link, sometimes a link to a first-impressions post. It's interesting and useful for me and the other commenters who keep upvoting his comments. Why are you so antagonistic?

noopprod 4 hours ago|||
[dead]
theowaway213456 5 hours ago||||
But how else am I supposed to know when we've reached AGI, until I see an absolutely flawless pelican?

All of the pelicans so far have had really weird flaws / quirks so I am always a little interested to see how well these models perform at this task, since I've seen all the past pelicans and have some anchoring.

Seeing a truly flawless pelican would tell me that the model has true visual reasoning capabilities as well as good taste.

busymichael 5 hours ago||||
I think you're underweighting the Pelican test.

Not only does it give you a super easy-to-grok understanding of the model quality just by looking at the image, but when you compare tokens and costs (both input and output), you really get a good, simple COST x QUALITY evaluation across models.

Simon explains it well: https://simonwillison.net/2026/Jul/16/kimi-k3/#what-can-we-l...

Simon, you should put up a summary table page that you update after every release.

tomrod 5 hours ago||||
Its a nice benchmark. Like hearing the ice cream truck on a summer day.
hypfer 5 hours ago|||
It's both.

I agree to rednb that at this point it feels like rather obvious brand building, but also, I agree with you that some value is in it.

It does not feel all that authentic though, and it's good to react allergically to lack of authenticity. Bad for a lot of business models, but good for humanity.

squidbeak 4 hours ago||
Sorry mate, but you sound jealous in all these replies that the Pelican domain isn't your gig. The below is as labored as nitpicks ever get:

> It does not feel all that authentic though, and it's good to react allergically to lack of authenticity. Bad for a lot of business models, but good for humanity.

I hope SimonW keeps them coming.

hypfer 4 hours ago||
My ancestors are smiling at me, Imperials. Can you say the same?
tomashubelbauer 5 hours ago||||
More like living next to an ice cream truck car park
neutronicus 5 hours ago||||
Every parent groans haha
risyachka 5 hours ago|||
At this point it does not show anything as models are fine tuned on all kinds of benchmarks.
SoMomentary 4 hours ago||
I thought the Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite response was quite telling myself. I personally like the Pelican SVG test, to me it is still a charming snapshot of model performance anecdata. No one would argue it's rigorous but I don't think it was ever intended to be.

I get people burning out on the pelican SVG test alongside the rest of the AI burnout, but I guess for myself I'm just choosing to keep enjoying it while I still can.

bayganyo 5 hours ago||||
I feel the same way. It was fun at first but has gotten tiresome. Does anyone actually use these models to generate SVGs?
mpyne 1 hour ago|||
Yes
isatty 5 hours ago|||
Yeah I don’t get it. It tells me which model can draw an svg of a pelican riding a bicycle. It does a great job at that and the presentation is good.

But why is this an indication of literally anything else?

zymhan 1 hour ago||
It is simply a benchmark. It is well known that benchmarks are not meant to apply to every possible task you might perform.
x187463 5 hours ago||||
At this point, it's kind of a hackernews thing. Simon posts them as a single comment in the relevant thread. It's okay for this place to have a little bit of a sense of community, and you can just ignore the comment.
zuzululu 8 minutes ago||||
Your comment reads very pedantic with a hint of jealousy. The pelican and xbox controllers are great ways to see how well it can follow direction dealing with svg a difficult format for LLMs to use and testing their spatial vision awareness.
squidbeak 4 hours ago||||
Disagree. They're a nice tradition, but besides that, they're a useful way of eyeballing improvements. I realise labs are likely to be training for Pelicans - but if they're all training for them, the differences in the results are as indicative as they were before labs trained for them.

The 3.6 Flash pelican is just about the best I've seen.

peder 3 hours ago||||
All the models do this well. It's a test that tell us nothing at this point.
FuckButtons 5 hours ago||||
My 2 cents: you don’t have to look at the pelican if you don’t want to.
nullgeo 3 hours ago||||
Hard disagree. I love a little bit of whimsy (which I feel the world is lacking more and more everyday) from Simon everytime a new model is announced.
cayley_graph 5 hours ago||||
Yeah. It's something I can do myself in a couple seconds if I want, also on more varied SVG scenes. If this is going to be a benchmark people turn to I'd like to see more effort put into it than just a one-sentence prompt.
magicalhippo 4 hours ago||||
Perhaps freshen it up and extend the test by feeding the model the rendered output so it can iterate once. Assuming a multi-modal model.
andybak 3 hours ago||||
I'm happy for Simon to post what he wants, when he wants. He's earned it.
EstanislaoStan 4 hours ago||||
Vibe code an extension that autocollapses any post mentioning pelicans and by simonw?
Der_Einzige 3 hours ago||
I've been close to writing one that will automatically upvote ALL downvoted posts. I'd call it something like Anti-echochamber.HN
BeetleB 4 hours ago||||
I love them. Keep 'em coming.
rjh29 50 minutes ago||||
It's just how he is. Prior to LLMs he was cramming a datasette link into every thread. Downvote and move on.
netdur 4 hours ago||||
Do something instead of complain
GaggiX 5 hours ago||||
I like seeing the pelicans, it's a tradition.
justinhj 3 hours ago||||
I find Simon's work informative and entertaining; the last thing he can be accused of is low effort. The Pelicans are just a bit of fun icing on top.
reinitctxoffset 3 hours ago||||
I'll split the difference. When it's a blog post there's usually an interesting observation or two, but if it's totally automated? Maybe just do the ones with a post.
IshKebab 5 hours ago||||
Yeah and it's surely in the training data by now. Long past time to stop.
miloignis 5 hours ago||
You say that, and yet 3.5 Flash-Lite produced an SVG without a pelican.
xyzsparetimexyz 5 hours ago||||
[flagged]
bubble_niter 5 hours ago||||
A new model arrives. The pelican, with uncanny commercial instinct, is never far behind.

Sponsored blogs and paid newsletters are after all, notoriously poor at subsisting on silence :)

simonw 5 hours ago||
Linking directly to the rendered markdown as opposed to a post on my blog is a poor way to promote my blog.
irthomasthomas 4 hours ago|||
A piece of the frame is missing between pedals and back wheel. The frame of the bike passes through the bird. It also puts a cap on the bird's head, and a fish in it's mouth.

The fish and the cap where always added when I asked an llm to improve it's first attempt.

This continues the trend in LLM progress of better=more stuff

Edit: I wonder if this is a function of the reasoning training, where more tokens/ stuff is rewarded.

ishurand4 57 minutes ago|||
3.1 Flash Lite has a better pelican that 3.6?
vinaigrette 4 hours ago|||
I generated a very stylish Pelican using the webapp. Hard to put a judgement on it relative to yours https://share.gemini.google/XSfmve2mEGDV
purple-leafy 1 hour ago|||
You should be banned for your constant spamming of this. Its ridiculous. Every single AI post! Constant personal promotion.
algoth1 4 hours ago|||
Flash-lite did the John Cena Pelican
noopprod 4 hours ago||
[dead]
zacksiri 3 minutes ago||
Gemini 3.5 flash-lite is more expensive than Gemini 3.1 flash-lite. Every upgrade is getting more expensive.
primaprashant 6 hours ago||
Pricing per million input/output tokens:

2.5 Flash: $0.3 / $2.5

3.0 Flash: $0.5 / $3

3.5 Flash: $1.5 / $9

3.6 Flash: $1.5 / $7.5

---

2.5 Flash-Lite: $0.1 / $0.4

3.1 Flash-Lite: $0.25 / $1.5

3.5 Flash-Lite: $0.3 / $2.5

mchusma 5 hours ago||
3.6 Flash would be a great model at 3.0 flash pricing. At this pricing, its thoroughly trounced by about 10 models on cost/performance including Grok 4.5. 3.5 Flash-ite would be a great model at 2.5 flash-lite pricing, as is, its trounced by many models including Deepseek v4 Flash.

As is, they are thoroughly outclassed for most usecases. I will say the one area where i do see Gemini punching above its weight class is in tasks that are effectively "Google this for me" / knowledge stuff. So it does have a role, and I do use it. So while I think Google is still in a strong position overall, they are really stuck as a tier 2 AI player right now with text models. They are tier 1 in bio, images, and video.

Melatonic 5 hours ago||
Could also be that they are pricing it at levels where they actually make money. Without seeing the behind the scenes compute cost on all of these its hard to really judge.

That being said with any open model we of course do know the total cost (or estimate)

SwellJoe 5 hours ago|||
3.5 Flash was always too expensive for a "flash" model. They marketed it as "near frontier" level, but there are several order-of-magnitude cheaper open models that compete with it.
XCSme 4 hours ago||
In my tests, 3.6 Flash is NOT more token efficient, so it actually ends up costing more than 3.5 Flash, even with the output price reduction.

EDIT: It less less verbose in final output though, but it reasons more.

I assume the optimization comes when you have long-running tasks with many tool calls, and by reasoning more, it reduces the number of tool calls needed.

zuzululu 7 minutes ago|||
2.5 flash was the only reason we were paying four digits a month to Google....

i guess we'll use 3.0 flash but thats going to get replaced too right ?

these flash lite models aren't very reliable or consistent

jjice 5 hours ago||
Am I off, or does Google have the pricing that varies the most between model generation releases?
m_w_ 5 hours ago|||
It seems that they're trying to push up-market, or at least they were.

Given the extremely competitive releases of GLM 5.2 and DeepSeek V4 (both pro and flash), I don't think there'll be appetite for it.

urbsgpw 42 minutes ago||
It seems like they're sticking to a static pricing plan that was made when the only relevant competition were the US labs (im not counting deepseek 2025 as serious competition -> glm and then kimi on the other hand, now that's a different story).
LaurensBER 5 hours ago|||
Pricing often reflects what the vendors (expects) the customer is willing to pay. It seems that Google is still trying to find their niche in the market.
primaprashant 5 hours ago||
A couple tidbits:

> Beyond today’s releases, Gemini 3.5 Pro is currently testing with partners and we plan to make it broadly available as soon as it’s ready.

> We have started our most ambitious pre-training run yet, for Gemini 4, and are excited by the progress.

kingstnap 5 hours ago||
While them fixing token bloat on 3.5 Flash is good work. That paragraph was the real highlight.

Hopefully 3.5 Pro is soon, and that Gemini 4 can be here end of year and finally have an updated knowledge cutoff.

cubefox 5 hours ago||
I guess they meant to release Gemini 3.5 Pro shortly after 3.5 Flash, but then Mythos/Fable and later GPT-5.6 came out with higher performance than 3.5 Pro, so the managers decided not to release it.
jgbuddy 6 hours ago||
It is both less intelligent and more expensive than GLM-5.2, while being closed weight.
drob518 5 hours ago||
But they make up for it by shipping it late.
SwellJoe 5 hours ago|||
It's also got vision and audio. So, the better comparison is any of the other large Chinese open models that are better and cheaper than Gemini Flash.
kzrdude 2 hours ago|||
Google's models are always very well spoken and much more pleasant to talk to. And I've used the open weight models a lot, too.
JacobAsmuth 4 hours ago|||
It's also about 15x faster.
jbellis 2 hours ago|||
It's roughly equal on price and intelligence as GLM 5.2 while being ~8x faster.
dyauspitr 4 hours ago|||
It’s multimodal though.
ur-whale 2 hours ago||
> It’s multimodal though.

Sure.

And how does that make your day better? I know it does not improve my work in any way shape or form.

I'll take a better coding model that's not multi-modal any time.

If I need an LLM to do images or sound, I'd rather use a dedicated one instead of a jack-of-all-trades-master-of-none model.

lenerdenator 5 hours ago|||
It'd be interesting to know how much the Intelligence as a Service angle serves as a value-add in the minds of Google's executives.

You can get decent open-weight models now. That's not difficult. The difficulty is 1) running them and 2) compliance.

My company runs Claude on GCP's Vertex AI solution. We're in the US healthcare IT space, so the models need to be from somewhere that American healthcare agencies and companies have traditionally been okay with sourcing code from - which means the US, Canada, and maybe Europe. The stuff that handles PHI/PII must be in the US. The expense of hosting is more of a PITA than most customers want to go through this early in the technology's lifecycle, and intelligence gains are simply a matter of degree for most business tasks.

In theory, we could find some open-weight model (likely from China) for our development agentic work and host it anywhere you can host AI models. We don't, though, and I think Google, OpenAI/Microsoft, and Anthropic see that as the core of their business.

SubiculumCode 4 hours ago||
Is that statement based on token price? More and more it seems that $/token hides as much as it reveals. Token efficiency, tokenizer differences, etc. I'm not saying that you are wrong, I am just saying it is becoming a bit more difficult making statements like this without a bit more research.
jgbuddy 3 hours ago||
It's based on the Artificial Analysis "Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task" here:

https://artificialanalysis.ai/#intelligence-comparison-tabs

Differences in token "density" are accounted for by pricing per task

swe_dima 5 hours ago||
It's scary relying on Google's models.

I have a very price sensitive workload that used to run on flash 2.5 lite - it's deprecated now.

The replacement 3.1 flash lite is a lot more expensive, but now also has a sunset date.

3.5 flash lite is even more expensive.

So the price is rising and you have no choice but to keep paying more and more.

rayboy1995 5 hours ago||
I moved directly from 2.5 flash lite to deepseek v4 flash, its already cheaper and if your prompt caching is good you can save so much more money.
binary132 5 hours ago||
could you explain how to optimize prompt caching or point to a doc about it?
NeutralForest 5 hours ago|||
Anything Sam Rose is worth reading: https://ngrok.com/blog/prompt-caching

but the implementation will be up to your provider and harness, for deepseek, they expose some numbers: https://api-docs.deepseek.com/guides/kv_cache/ and Anthropic has a list of actions invalidating your cache: https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/build-with-claude/prompt...

Basically, you avoid anything dynamic: model change, tool change, etc it's also important that your system prompt or main prompt doesn't have non-static data like the date/time/place or someone's name (the person you interact with in a chatbot for example). That should be left to tool call or search.

samwho 4 hours ago|||
Sam Rose here. Thank you <3
NeutralForest 4 hours ago|||
The man himself, thank you for the articles =)
samwho 2 hours ago||
You are extremely welcome.
insane_dreamer 2 hours ago|||
samwho? samrose.
arjie 5 hours ago|||
I just put the varying parameters in a trailer prompt and have them change every time. It doesn’t matter because the cache is prefix keyed. You lose caching for the last 20 tokens or so but that’s not a big deal. Moving it to a tool call makes it too slow (needs full roundtrip).

If you’re constructing the prompt you don’t have to jam everything together you can arrange it appropriately.

NeutralForest 5 hours ago||
Yes indeed! Mostly don't put changing data in the beginning or prepend.
apwheele 3 hours ago||||
Not an open source, but I discuss it in my book with examples for OpenAI/Anthropic/Gemini, https://crimede-coder.com/blogposts/2026/LLMsForMortals.

All of the models, you need to have a consistent input to get the cache hit. So if you are chatting with a document, and change the system prompt, it will be a cache miss, even if the rest of the items are all the same. If you even pass in the document in not the same order as the prompts, it will be a cache miss. Or if you add tool calls or structured outputs, it will be a cache miss. (Since those generally go at the beginning of the prompt call, not at the end.)

Most of the time when reading documents from URLs directly it will never cache. (Need to typically pass in the bytes directly, or use the provider document store index.)

Gemini has a 4096 minimum token size with the 3 version models before even getting a cache hit. OpenAI it is lower (1024), and is automatic, but only happens in increments of 124. Anthropic can also get cache hits at 1024 tokens, but you need to explicit ask for it (and pay extra).

Caching by default typically lives for 5 minutes since the last cache hit across providers. But some of them you can ask for longer. AWS for Anthropic models can be tricky with multiple endpoint routing, so can get cache misses if it happens to route to a different endpoint.

ElFitz 5 hours ago|||
That’s part of why, since Firebase, I’ve tried to never depend on Google products for business, especially not GCP.

Features stay in Beta for ages, whatever that actually means, and released ones get deprecated things fast.

Where some of the competitions treats deprecating entire services as "let’s not put it on your frontpage, put deprecation notices all over the doc, and politely ask new users not to start new project with them".

greatgib 28 minutes ago|||
And somehow, the most annoying is not even the price hike, but it is that is you expect to build a product on any of theirs models, they spend their time being deprecated and you have like to be on the lookup to start from scratch selecting a model and fitting it every year or so... Impossible to have any stability...
hagen8 5 hours ago|||
Just switch the model, its not that much effort tbh. And u can also get a cheaper model than 2.5 lite for the same intelligence
tacoooooooo 5 hours ago|||
its not always that simple. dropping in a new model is trivial, but highly specific workflows may rely on specific _invisible_ aspects of a model. when that model gets deprecated, the workflow needs to be rebuilt/re-tuned to work with a different model.

google's inability or unwillingness to provide stable timelines for model deprecation makes it risky to build complex workflows using their models

aitchnyu 3 hours ago|||
Load-bearing (whoops) quirks were noticeable months back, but haven't most flagship models become predictable and reliable?
tacoooooooo 57 minutes ago||
it does seem to be moving in that direction. There were really specific things (large, complex json outputs) that gemini-2.5 flash was basically the only model that seemed capable of reliably for a long period. gpt-5+ has covered the usecase for us now pretty well but still evals slightly below what 2.5 could do
written-beyond 5 hours ago|||
100% agreed in the same boat right now. Feeling really screwed over by Google rn
ActivePattern 4 hours ago||||
You would be surprised how much of a difference the model makes for certain niche tasks.

For my use case, `gemini-3.1-flash-lite` is ~20% higher accuracy than the next best model of comparable cost (considering both proprietary and open-weight alternatives)

wasfgwp 3 hours ago||
Well it is a bit surprising that 3.1 flash-lite could be better than deepseek-v4-pro (cheaper output and way cheaper cache so might cost less for quite a few use cases).

They are not anywhere close according to pretty much every benchmark (even v4-flash is considerably ahead and its way cheaper than flash-lite). Maybe tuning prompts/tools/etc. might be useful?

swe_dima 2 hours ago||
Gemini flash lite family of models currently has the best ratio for price/speed/intelligence for understanding images, no real alternative AFAIK
deaux 3 hours ago|||
"Intelligence" being what, math? Coding? Unfortunately there's a billion use cases for LLMs whose performance is not at all captured by the popular benchmarks they're all trying to maxx.
whimsicalism 3 hours ago||
if you are relying on a model for a business process, it should be simple enough to benchmark on that process
Cyclone_ 4 hours ago|||
They know that there's big enterprises that will have a strong preference to work with another big enterprise instead of relying on a younger company. At least that's why I think they believe they can do this sort of thing and get away with it.
raducu 5 hours ago|||
> So the price is rising and you have no choice but to keep paying more and more.

I presume you can't use deepseek?

bradfa 5 hours ago|||
There are plenty of 3rd party providers hosting deepseek models, if you don't want to use the 1st party API. 3rd party providers are generally slightly more expensive, but still quite cheap compared to other models of similar vintage and size.
karolist 4 hours ago|||
sadly it's not multimodal
5701652400 4 hours ago|||
same here. our production workloads was on Gemini for 2 years. seeing Google unilaterally dropping perfectly fine models and charing you 50x more for worse results is not good.

we are switching to Deepseek.

h2aichat 4 hours ago|||
Opencode Go is just the same. Each month I will I can do less. Dont ask me why?
pdntspa 3 hours ago|||
I'm running price-sensitive data extraction workloads on flash 2.5 and its still the king when it comes to accuracy + cost, all the gemini 3 variants perform a bit worse and cost a lot more. Low-key freaking out, ngl
thinkingtoilet 2 hours ago|||
All models are increasing in price. Everything up to now has been subsidized by investors, private and public.
superkuh 5 hours ago|||
I felt the same way about openai's text-davinci-002 and code-davinci-002 (gpt-3.5). They were amazing completion models and openai basically dumped them with no equal cost or equal performance replacement. Instead all their models are opaque with no ability to work in completion mode where one actually controls the text input to the model.

These days no company even has completion models where one controls the text input fully. Worthless.

zuzululu 5 hours ago|||
same I just switched to OpenAI after using flash 2.5 lite for almost everything at our company. We spent thousands just to build this workflow now Google says screw off
viccis 4 hours ago|||
>So the price is rising and you have no choice but to keep paying more and more.

You can also just write code like you did a year or two ago.

anthonypasq 4 hours ago||
[flagged]
Mistletoe 4 hours ago|||
Can you give examples of other things they can do that would be worth paying for?
Cyclone_ 4 hours ago|||
We use it for sentiment analysis of medical data.
kgwgk 3 hours ago||
Is that worth paying for?
STRiDEX 4 hours ago|||
classifying things, grouping things. We use it to help group issues at Sentry.
viccis 3 hours ago|||
Mostly because the person I was replying to has commented about using it to write code.

If you're using it for other purposes, then I give you permission to ignore my comment; there's no reason to descend into name calling.

anthonypasq 1 hour ago||
the person you were replying to says absolutely nothing about using it to write code.
stiltzkin 5 hours ago||
[dead]
b473a 6 hours ago|
No word about updating Jules, which is still stuck on 3.1 Pro. I get that it's probably niche but I've really appreciated basically being able to give directions to Jules on my phone, then reviewing and merging a GitHub PR fifteen minutes later. It's been great for getting some progress in on a few personal projects during my commute when I can't exactly pull out my laptop.

Anyone have any good alternatives?

aweb 5 hours ago||
Both Claude and Codex can code in the cloud, it works quite well!

I tested Jules and while the idea is good in theory, I found the model's intelligence to be very lackluster.

b473a 4 hours ago||
Shame. I'm on the $20/mo Gemini Pro plan because the 5tb of cloud storage and the youtube premium lite were good enough perks, and my coding complexity needs were light enough for me to overlook Claude or Codex. But Antigravity is working better than Jules and it's basically giving me a taste of what I'm missing and it's harder to justify not trying out the competitors.
bespokedevelopr 4 hours ago|||
I do not, however I am curious about Jules support. I didn't know if this was a dead project or not. Seemed really interesting but then I didn't see much development/announcements/discussions around it. Last update from their changelog was as you said 3.1-pro support in March.
christoff12 4 hours ago|||
I have no affiliations with the team or product, but Superconductor reminded me of Jules when I tried it a couple of months ago.

It might be overkill features-wise, but there's a free tier and it likely won't be left for dead anytime soon.

steven_pareto 6 hours ago|||
If you own a Raspberry Pi or similar: Hermes + Tailscale + iSH over tmux.
haberdasher 6 hours ago|||
Claude Code
More comments...