Posted by softwaredoug 8 hours ago
https://www.reddit.com/r/ClaudeCode/comments/1tqaist/opus_48...
(don't take this too seriously)
Sounds like the opposite of the conversation Anthropic would want to have.
the chinese labs haven't been improving at training from scratch, they've been getting better and better at distilling models, so naturally they continue to follow this path
firstly, it shows the vulnerability of exposing a model to users. a highly capable group can quite literally suck the functionality out of your model and take it for themselves, so there's no sandboxing it
secondly, it's actually interesting to know that distillation is so powerful. in the science-fiction scenario of meeting some other form of intelligent life, they might have their own models and this would be a way of siphoning intelligence off of them
Other US labs cannot directly distill from OpenAI/Anthropic as it’s a violation of the terms of service. It holds other US labs back. Leading them to build second tier models And in the end OpenAI/Anthropic may be unable to prevent distillation.
Why fight it when there’s clear money to make here?
They are also not interested in agreements. They want to keep as big a moat as possible because they love money. And you need two to tango.
What’s actually happening behind the scenes is that certain inference providers will classify a prompt and it’s re-routed transparently to Anthropic and that’s used for distillation training, only distilling the complicated traces they need, originating from real user prompts and traces. These inference providers are explicitly blocked in the claude cli if you reverse engineer it.
The real picture is that these Chinese labs have figured out how to get exactly what they need, at a high quality, directly from distinct and unique real user prompts.
It’s only “covert” because Anthropic doesn’t like it, while simultaneously being perfectly fine to do.