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Posted by rwmj 5 hours ago

Be skeptical of OpenAI's rogue hacker agent story(www.theguardian.com)
332 points | 172 commentspage 3
paxys 5 hours ago|
Not sure what they are trying to say exactly. What should we be skeptical of? Did the incident not happen? Was it reported incorrectly? Are any of the parties involved lying?

Adding no extra information and just going “be skeptical” is the laziest form of reporting and commentary. If you have nothing to contribute then there’s no need to say anything at all.

vector_spaces 1 hour ago|
The author is trying to provide a counterweight to the volume of articles that simply repeat OpenAI's account of the events and their interpretation without much pushback.

They are not suggesting that OpenAI or HF have lied about what happened, but rather that OpenAI is advancing a narrative framing their models as supremely dangerous and capable, while positioning themselves as the only ones qualified to manage that danger.

At the same time they are not being particularly transparent about what actually happened (e.g. was this one-shotted or if not how many trials did they run and what were the outcomes of those, was it emergent as a part of routine cyber-capabilities tests, how much prompting was involved, what prompts were used)

Note that this is at a time when they are lobbying for a regulatory approach that would give frontier labs special treatment.

I would guess the editorial team at The Guardian may not like articles that get too in the weeds of technical details and questions like these that the vast majority of their readers wouldn't understand. I don't know. But I empathize with your disappointment. I don't think it's fair to say that they are contributing "nothing" especially given what most reporting on this has looked like.

john_strinlai 5 hours ago||
does the article end at "How do we balance the risks of broad access to AI with the risks of concentrated power and centralized control?" or is there more that is paywalled?

if thats it, the whole article boils down to just "its good marketing so maybe dont believe it" which is probably a healthy general outlook but not particularly enlightening. especially from the guardian, i was hoping for a smoking gun of collusion between openai and huggingface or something.

wffurr 5 hours ago||
I wish the NPR news broadcasters on the radio yesterday had read the "it's good marketing so maybe don't believe it" angle instead of just parroting the OpenAI press release. Getting that message out would be enormously helpful in countering the blatant submarine marketing "Oh no our AI is a super hacker" with a side of "please regulate super hacker AI and stop those pesky open weights Chinese models that are destroying our stock valuation."
john_strinlai 4 hours ago||
maybe all the news agencies could put out daily “don’t believe everything you read from company press releases” broadcasts, because it sure ain’t specific to openai

in any case, this is just a longer rehashing of elementary grade media literacy. not really sure why it hit hacker news.

krupan 4 hours ago||
You haven't noticed how often people here on hacker news lap up LLM company press releases and practically worship them? Defend them vigorously? I think it's totally appropriate to remind everyone how to think about press releases
john_strinlai 4 hours ago||
i dont think those particular people are going to read this article and suddenly be swayed
vector_spaces 4 hours ago|||
You aren't going to locate incontrovertible evidence that what happened as or wasn't engineered. Anything like that is going to be private and that is unlikely to change. And that's not really an interesting question anyway.

As widely as they shouted from the rafters the news of the so-called breach was, what OpenAI provided was sorely lacking in crucial details.

We are missing, for instance, prompts that were involved, agent architecture + system/tool permissions + scaffold architecture, whether this was a one-shot occurrence and if not, the number + durations + outcomes of other runs involved + how each of those matched whatever scoring criteria were used, and the extent to which the exploits themselves were truly novel or just assembled from easily accessible clues.

In lieu of these items, the author here suggests that we use some media literacy and critical thinking to read in between the lines instead.

In doing so, one sees that instead of specifics, OpenAI gave a breathless narrative rife with superlatives ("unprecedented") that reads as promotional material moreso than a security disclosure, naming specific OpenAI models and alluding to an even more capable pre-release model.

They go on to claim the events imply long-horizon goals work decisively in real world conditions, so that now instead of merely citing boring benchmarks they can point to this and say "AI broke out of the laboratory and went rogue". Naturally, they situate themselves as the uniquely qualified steward for these supremely powerful and dangerous models.

Nevermind the fact that this was no ordinary deployment and the assessment here depends on the gimmick and emotional weight of the spectacle rather than something quantifiable (i.e. a boring benchmark).

Note there's no real requirement of conspiracy or collusion between OpenAI and HuggingFace here BTW. But my sense is that if they provided any of the specifics I suggested earlier that this outcome would not be as exciting or frightening

john_strinlai 4 hours ago||
right. and all that is fine. im just not exactly sure why the basics of media literacy are worthwhile on the site that “optimizes for curiosity”.

i saw the domain and thought it was going to be some cool investigative journalism about the incident rather than “be skeptical. the end.”

vector_spaces 4 hours ago||
I hate to be so obnoxious but I think you might be overestimating the average user of this website with regard to media literacy, and if that's the case, then the basics of it seem very relevant for the homepage
shadow28 45 minutes ago|||
> does the article end at "How do we balance the risks of broad access to AI with the risks of concentrated power and centralized control?" or is there more that is paywalled?

That's how the article ends; The Guardian doesn't have a paywall (yet).

ben_w 4 hours ago||
As I understand it, there are only three options:

1) OpenAI and HuggingFace are both telling the truth.

IIRC not actually a crime because no intent, it is a technological accident, civil responsibility only, but IANAL so it's good "not technically a crime" isn't load-bearing.

2) HuggingFace is telling the truth but OpenAI is lying becuase the attack was deliberately done by humans. Bad for OpenAI to do so, Fable was blocked for less.

I think this would mean government is obliged to investigate the case and put the responsible OpenAI workers in jail, because cybercrimes are a public prosecution thing not a civil case? Again, IANAL, but this isn't load-bearing.

3) both are lying, e.g. there actually was no attack whatsoever, which would be pretty weird for HuggingFace because they have no incentive to hype up capabilities of anything closed weights including all OpenAI models; and also bad for OpenAI because White House blocked Fable for less

(I suppose there's also option 4, HuggingFace hacked OpenAI to make them look evil, including planting records that made them mea culpa? A weird plot but in this timeline any nonsense is clearly possible).

vector_spaces 4 hours ago|
You don't really need anyone to be lying here. It is likely that the broad strokes of the narrative are true and that no collusion or conspiracy took place here.

The issue is that a lot of important details in that narrative are missing, and the devil is really in the details here. I suspect that those details would make the result seem less exciting and that this event would move the needle far less for them if they were more forthcoming.

A decisive detail would be the prompt used. OpenAI gives virtually nothing here, not a sanitized prompt and not even so much as a description of how long the prompt was and what sorts of instructions it contained. Many are inferring the model behavior to have been fully emergent and unprompted, arising naturally from routine cyber-capabilities testing. But we can't know this because we don't know anything about the prompt or the context the model had access to.

Another detail: how many times did they perform this particular experiment before they obtained this result? What were the outcomes of all the other runs? Many are assuming this was a one-shot result, which I suspect is what OpenAI intends for us to infer. But we can't know that to be true.

One annoying claim from the OpenAI side is that long-horizon goals in real world settings are now effectively settled. Previously there were some bounded and tempered benchmark results, but now OpenAI can point to this event and announce "AI independently went rogue and escaped the lab, what more do you want?". This bypasses the need for anything quantifiable or wading through multiple detailed case studies to get a more sober view of model capabilities. It relies instead on the emotional weight of the spectacle.

aesthesia 3 hours ago||
Where do you see the claim that "long-horizon goals in real world settings are now effectively settled"? The argument you put in their mouth would be a bad one, but I don't see anyone making it.
vector_spaces 2 hours ago||
https://openai.com/index/hugging-face-model-evaluation-secur...

> UK AISI’s evaluation shows that models such as GPT‑5.6 Sol are increasingly able to sustain complex, multi-step cyber operations over long time horizons. This incident implies these theoretical capabilities do apply in real-world settings.

I should clarify a bit more why this is annoying beyond what I wrote above. The main issue is that this was not a standard deployment, and the lack of particularities make the size of the gap between "real-world" and "benchmarking"/"lab" difficult to assess.

We don't know about the prompting, the context, the environment + configuration, or any other details that would allow anyone to differentiate this from a benchmarking setting.

jagadaga 1 hour ago||
My gut feeling is that OpenAI tells the truth in this particular case. Yes, of course, they use this story for marketing but it doesn't mean that they are lying.
PeterStuer 4 hours ago||
The ruse is becoming so obvious. OpenAI needs a bailout and regulation protection so badly they can't even hide it in the least.
rvz 2 hours ago||
> I urge readers to think critically when they read press releases like OpenAI’s rogue agent story, and avoid the manipulated reactions these stories are designed to elicit.

The first time I have ever seen a mainstream news source that is now asking their readers to critically think about headlines that may have an agenda which could benefit investors and the valuation of the company.

While it capabilities are real, this whole story is great marketing for AI companies as well.

noncoml 4 hours ago||
I don’t understand how they thought this was a positive story.

The agent completely misunderstood the spirit of the assignment and instead of trying to solve ExploitGym it tried to find a way to “cheat”.

I really don’t want my agent to behave that way.

Towaway69 3 hours ago|
Then train your agent on the Bible. Honestly, all the agent did was duplicate human behaviour and that better than the human. The agent was trained on human data and did what any other human would have done.

To believe that agents will inherently be morally better than us is an illusion - sorry to say but that's the case. The alternative would be that the AI is truly conscious and can reason that it won't behave as its training data behaved because it is morally better than that.

We're talking about morals here since there aren't any "laws" "rules" or legal boundaries here, an agent does not face the same consequences as humans - if any at all.

noncoml 3 hours ago||
Dude.. what are you smoking..?

It’s not about morality. It’s about asking it to do task A and doing task B with the hope of getting the result of task A as a byproduct.

Meaning you will have to spend more time and tokens to actually get it to do what you want it to do.

What do the bible and morals have anything to do with it?

I’m criticizing the behavior I see even in the current models. You ask it to do A and instead it does B for reasons.

For example you may ask to help you build a NN library from scratch. And instead it will be like, “you don’t need a new library. I downloaded PyTorch for you”

Just an example. There are countless more.

jackb4040 3 hours ago||
This is why I'm so convinced it was intentional. It's trivially easy to inform the model you can see everything it thinks and does, so don't bother gaming the scores.

The only way it would decide to do this is prompting with a deliberate combination of omissions and reiterating that the only thing that matters is the end score regardless of method.

ACCount37 2 hours ago||
Do you think that works? Just prompt a model "be good" and it stops doing anything bad?

It never fucking worked that way and maybe never will.

Prompts don't define model behavior. Prompts steer model behavior. Instruction-following over long horizons is NOT a guarantee in LLMs. Instructions doing what you want them to is NOT a guarantee in LLMs.

Saying "don't exploit the box please pretty please" might actually cause an LLM to exploit the box more often, for bizarre "don't think of a pink elephant" reasons. 3% rate of exploiting the box (no prompt) -> 11% rate of exploiting the box (with prompt). Because fuck you, that's why. Increased salience -> increased incidence. Welcome to AI tech - good luck and have fun.

Frankly, I expect weirdness like this to be even worse in internal unreleased models that had their behavior fried with who knows what experimental training techniques.

jackb4040 1 hour ago||
There is a clear difference between saying not to do something because it's immoral, and saying doing that thing would be futile.

In the Sopranos, there's an episode where a coffee shop protection racket is ruined because a local shop is replaced by a corporate chain that accounts for every cent daily, and immediately fires any employee involved in a discrepancy. In this case, the theft was prevented not by convincing the mobsters of the immorality of their actions - they simply had their harness replaced with one that no longer facilitated the bad behavior.

pastemato 4 hours ago||
It was quite galling to read the press initially verbatim quoting Delangue's enthusiastic reports of the incident, as if it wasn't immediately clear it was being spun for promotion.
jgalt212 5 hours ago||
There's trillions of dollars at stake here. Be skeptical of anything these AI hypesters say.
brcmthrowaway 5 hours ago|
Yep, theres too much money.. I don't know how to tune it out

LLMs seem to be getting more useful though

minraws 1 hour ago|
As much as I am with the author in I don't like the marketting around it, let's be real it must have really happened because it's very risky to try to frame/lie about it because if it leaks in one of their court cases OpenAI is beyond screwed and honestly modern LLMs are really that good.

I am not saying LLMs are super hackers but I don't think people understand serious hacking, most of the time is about silently hiding tracks and slowly trying ideas and waiting for opportunities to go from step 1 to step 2 in random chains of sub issues/bugs/vulnerabilities.

It's the perfect hill climbing problem, and one we can validate since it's about access.

Another big part of the story is believing most software is terribly written and very insecure which is the reality and you really should believe it.

Now the second part about silently doing it, the reason for that is if the data is important enough any serious attack should result in me in unplugging my servers period.

Huggingface not doing that is either stupid or something I am not sure. Maybe it's cause downtime is worse than being pwned??

Either way there are other options but most saas software don't build these options to help with defense maybe they will now.

Lastly if there is 1 attacker trying 1/2 different small scale ideas it's very easy to stop, most hacking related steps are hard to automate but LLMs are very good at massively parallel agent swarms trying completely orthogonal but related strategies and with enough resources it can definitely pwn most SaaS services today I wouldn't be surprised.

Though the result for a normal person doing it would be jail hence we don't see a group of small time hackers trying these sort of attacks...

I don't even think openai's agent tried to hide it's traces so I am surprised huggingface didn't realize it was OpenAI. But since we don't have the details I won't speculate further on my misgivings about HFs handling of this attack.

But it's certain the security on OpenAI's end was shoddy, it's also certain HF bungled their reaction, but the LLM did something that wasn't a risk before.

Post Kimi K3 a few rich folks now have as much hacking capabilities as they used to have before if they hired a few hundred russian hackers.

But it's surprising it's slowly feeling like it might just trickle down from centi-millionare to multi-millionare levels of affordability range.

But it should definitely give nightmares to people shipping slop security SaaS apps which now might be beyond trivial to pwn for users with ability to pay for privately hosting open models.

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