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Posted by pred_ 1 day ago

More questions about whether researchers can trust OpenAI with unpublished math(mathstodon.xyz)
https://mathstodon.xyz/@andreasthom/117240536885387540

https://mathstodon.xyz/@andreasthom/117240537520615623

https://x.com/ValerioCapraro/status/2097791836269977996, https://xcancel.com/ValerioCapraro/status/209779183626997799...

https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:ckaz32jwl6t2cno6fmuw2nhn/po...

809 points | 742 comments
nezi 15 hours ago|
I think it's a useful analogy to compare OpenAI to a human collaborator. These researchers willingly collaborated with an OpenAI model, giving it ideas, and OpenAI provided useful replies. Then, OpenAI goes ahead and publishes work along the lines of this collaboration, without attributing the researchers. If OpenAI was in fact a human researcher, this would be highly unethical.

Now, OpenAI is claiming that the model it used to generate the result was not trained on these collaborative communications with the researcher. This is a technical argument that is impossible to verify as an OpenAI outsider, and probably difficult to verify even for internal OpenAI employees. Provenance is hard to track - you would hope OpenAI has very good tools for this, but a full data trail of all inputs is difficult to trace through.

Another interesting thing to consider is if instead of OpenAI doing this, it was another research mathematician A using an OpenAI model just like the internal group at OpenAI did to publish these results. What if the model A used was trained with unpublished communications with other researchers B who were working on the same problem? Should researcher A technically include B as coauthors? How could they do this when they do not know the communications B had with OpenAI? In this scenario OpenAI, as a middle man, has laundered information from B to A, stripping out attribution. A scooped B without even knowing it!

jjwiseman 15 hours ago||
First, OpenAI is not claiming that the model wasn't trained on those sessions. What they've said is “We (the researchers and the agents) did not see any of their work through any means until they released it publicly — in particular, no specific user data was accessed in order to solve this problem.” and “We did not use their prompts or proofs to prompt our models or direct our agents.” and “While unlikely, we cannot rule out that de-identified data derived from their usage of our products helped improve our models.”

They also said “Our effort began on September 1st after hearing a rumor which we later realized was related to Levent Alpöge … and Tristan Buckmaster….” They say the rumor was that two Millennium Prize problems had been resolved, and that this prompted them to launch "an effort to evaluate it on all open Millennium Prize problems and a few other high-impact problems."

It's not obvious to me that's an unethical thing to do, if it happened as they described.

magicalist 13 hours ago|||
> It's not obvious to me that's an unethical thing to do

In terms of work in mathematics, something I personally would not do based on ethical grounds would be to hear a rumor that some researchers are taking a certain approach and may be nearing a solution, use a model that was possibly contaminated with intimate knowledge about that approach (though later they investigated and think it wasn't), and then commit millions to tens of millions of dollars and untold amounts of hardware to try to beat them to it. If I had done this, I also wouldn't have pestered the researchers on a Sunday night to meet immediately so we could negotiate a nice way of presenting the actions I had decided to take.

Even if you don't think it was unethical, it was never going to be received well in the community that was especially going to care about this work, and who are very much peers to many of the people working on this solution, so it was at the least an enormous (and well-deserved) own-goal that their unveiling of their solution to NS went like this.

keeda 10 hours ago|||
But by OpenAI's telling they heard a rumor that the problem had already been solved. So they reached out to the other researchers as an attempt to share the credit, and in fact have at least one of them be the lead author (which is when they found out the AI had solved a broader problem than the researchers.) Seems pretty ethically palatable.

I suspect the main reason the community is not receiving it well is largely the same reason many developers are not receiving coding agents well.

zarzavat 6 hours ago|||
Even if you judge OpenAI solely on their public communications it still sounds really bad.

That they heard a rumour that a major open problem had been solved, so they decided to try and scoop the other mathematicians while they were writing up their preprint is extremely unsporting.

Then they decided to exclude an author because of his employer, even though he had used their own products to write the proof!

They haven't necessarily breached any formal ethical rules but their behaviour will lead to them and their products being shut out from the mathematical community.

ZYbCRq22HbJ2y7 9 hours ago||||
> I suspect the main reason the community is not receiving it well is largely the same reason many developers are not receiving coding agents well.

Because the training data is millions of hours human efforts being distilled into a cascading hierarchy of enrichment by interested parties without providing attribution or compensation?

keeda 9 hours ago|||
I'm sure that's part of the reason for many, yes.
eru 6 hours ago||||
I don't see the cascading hierarchy of enrichment.

I mean, they are certainly trying, but so far there's too much competition so the surplus mostly goes to customers.

zecken 2 hours ago||
Well, the investment dollars are spent on the customers for the most part, though also on salaries and equipment. But the lions share of the value is going to the shareholders (eg employees and investors)... and they have liquidated and will continue to liquidate a disproportionate value to what they have spent on us. By some estimations at least. It's very possible $1 into this machine to feed your queries is worth $10+ to a shareholder based on whatever new valuation they get. So I'd say there is a hierarchy of enrichment.
chii 5 hours ago|||
> without providing attribution or compensation?

many teachers also taught many students over the course of history, and very few would eventually pay any compensation or even attribute their financial (or career) outcomes to the teachers.

What made model training different?

Gud 4 hours ago|||
Because the model is owned by a for profit corporation, ran and owned by total psychos and the (presumably) competent teacher is a friendly uncle?
FrancisMoodie 4 hours ago|||
Huh? In your example these many teachers were paid for teaching these students and were able to make a living off of teaching without the students compensating or attributing their financial (or career) outcomes to the teachers while now we have a system where we are expected to pay a monthly amount to a corporation that has inhaled all human knowledge without any financial compensation to the people who created, managed or maintained this knowledge. The effective difference being that our knowledge, which used to be a means of income, has now become a subscription cost.
nvdc 6 hours ago||||
as a developer that had a brief career in academia, i don't think your last comment is right at all. 99.9% of what i work on as a webdev, even if it's challenging and unique at the margins, is not really novel. concerns about job security aside, i don't really think of an agent as stealing my ideas because it's good at writing CRUD APIs.

collaborating with ChatGPT on a novel solution to an unsolved problem, getting 90% of the way there, and then being "scooped" by your AI collaborator (or rather by the company behind it) is a totally different situation. were i in the same situation as these researchers, it would be extremely hard to take OpenAPI's explanation + denial of plagiarism seriously

keeda 5 hours ago||
> concerns about job security aside

But that is exactly what I'm implying is the core reason, whether people realize it or not.

I totally agree that the vast majority of software dev is not novel. I have even made several comments to that effect. The same can be said for a lot of creative work as well. Yet many, many devs and creators are very unhappy with AI, and a lot of their complaints are variations on accusations of plagiarism.

And note, I am not saying it is wrong, it is completely understandable, but we need to be clear about where this turmoil is coming from.

If I were in the same situation as these researchers, I would publish all pertinent research work and chats so that the rest of the world can see how close the model's work is to my own. It's been scooped anyway, so there is no reason to keep it private.

Gud 4 hours ago||
Not everything is about money.
keeda 3 hours ago||
Maybe not money directly, but pretty sure it's about economic disruption. These models directly undercut the value of one's skills and labor, regardless of whether this value is measured in hard cash or abstract self-worth.
Gud 3 hours ago||
They can also greatly assist you.

I am working on two applications using ChatGPT and Claude. I have no illusions these people won't steal/copy whatever you want to call it, "train their models". Yes, I keep unticking the boxes that allow it, that they so kindly tick for me.

But what happened to these math researchers is something else and I am not sure it's about the money for them. You don't do math research to get rich, but to get acknowledged by your peers. Yes, we live in a capitalist world so obviously you need money to feed yourself. but for some people, that is secondary.

OpenAI stole their thunder, and that's just fucked up. It's not equivalent to cranking out a CRUD app for profit.

podocarp 4 hours ago||||
That's just damage control lol. That's the equivalent of a NDA. Get your name as lead author, get paid, and stay silent forever.
nxobject 1 hour ago||||
If you’re making decisions of ethical and material importance based on rumors, I’d be surprised if anything ethically palatable did happen.
SecretDreams 6 hours ago||||
> I suspect the main reason the community is not receiving it well is largely the same reason many developers are not receiving coding agents well.

No need to be mysterious. State what reasons you think these are in plain English?

keeda 6 hours ago||
Being displaced from a vocation that they either have dedicated their professional lives getting good at, or was their livelihood, or likely, both.

I think all other complaints from all other people in all their myriad variations stem from this core reason. Even if people don't realize it themselves.

Like, if these models had trained on the entirety of human knowledge and art, and then turned out to be absolutely useless, I would bet nobody would waste a second's thought on them.

BrenBarn 55 minutes ago||
I'm not sure that's true. Like if they produced nothing but the worst of the slop they're currently producing, a lot of people would still be bothered by that just because of the sheer volume of such slop that can now be produced.
watwut 2 hours ago||||
To me it looks like an asshole on quest to take something from you while trying to frame themselves as generous. It is always infuriating.
what 7 hours ago|||
> So they reached out to the other researchers as an attempt to share the credit

This isn’t at all what happened? What are you talking about?

keeda 6 hours ago||
That was in response to this part of OP's post:

> If I had done this, I also wouldn't have pestered the researchers on a Sunday night to meet immediately so we could negotiate a nice way of presenting the actions I had decided to take.

From what I can tell, both OpenAI and the researchers agree on this meeting happening, except both sides clearly have very different interpretations of what happened and why.

cgio 2 hours ago||||
Hearing that something is solvable is already a hint. I don’t think leveraging this knowledge is ethical. They could go after a different problem but didn’t.
dwaltrip 13 hours ago|||
I heard they also tried to strong-arm them into removing the name of their collaborator who happened to work at a different company (Anthropic)...

I haven't looked into it myself, but if true, that seems incredibly scummy.

luma 11 hours ago|||
The flip side is that the Anthropic researcher is clearly pushing the case against Open AI and one might have reason to suspect their motivation and version of events for the same reasons.

What a mess.

magicalist 11 hours ago|||
> the Anthropic researcher is clearly pushing the case against Open AI

Things like the nytimes interview are with Buckmaster, who works at NYU, not Alpöge. I saw a couple of tweets from him over the last week. Any chance of clarifying what makes you think he's "clearly pushing the case"?

joshuamorton 11 hours ago||||
> The flip side is that the Anthropic researcher is clearly pushing the case against Open AI and one might have reason to suspect their motivation and version of events for the same reasons.

I haven't seen any evidence of this. Much of the anger is coming from the unaffiliated researcher. levent (the anthropic employee) has mostly constrained his comments to basically "I would have been happy to collaborate w/ folks from OAI"

alexgoodhart 11 hours ago||||
I think people are too reserved in their unwillingness to operationalize ambiguity. Ambiguity is constantly being thrown in our face, with internal audits and other laughable attestations of virtue that amount to a pantomime of transparency / good faith.

Why should I care if a company claims they find no evidence of wrongdoing? Is that the threshold for privacy/trust? “We don’t care if it appears that we’ve been dishonest unless there’s hard proof.” They can simply design proof keeping to terminate at the places their dishonesty is implemented.

For me, when there is a clear motive to be dishonest, a corporation should be assumed to be dishonest unless there are robust transparency measures and a regulatory environment shown to be providing a cost to dishonesty. Without it, all you do is burden yourself while the powerful entity moves ahead with its selective dishonesty and the rewards there reaped.

SecretDreams 6 hours ago|||
What's that saying about wrestling with pigs?
user43928 10 hours ago|||
That's also incorrect.

My understanding is that they asked the independent researcher to improve OpenAI's AI generated proof and be the lead author of the paper to publish OpenAI's result.

This is the paper where they did not want the Anthropic employee collaborating. Not their work.

snaking0776 6 hours ago||
I think both Seb and Sam have said that it would’ve been simpler if the coauthor hadn’t worked at Anthropic so they’ve largely admitted they didn’t invite the collaborator as a coauthor because it would’ve look bad to have an Anthropic employee on the paper.
user43928 2 hours ago|||
Yes. The key point being that this concerns a new paper about OpenAI's result rather than the paper Buckmaster and Alpöge were working on.
jerkstate 5 hours ago|||
seems pretty short-sighted - "our models are so good that even our competitors use them for the most advanced tasks" is pretty powerful marketing
tedsanders 13 hours ago||||
We were also curious and we looked further into this. We've determined it was impossible for Dr. Buckmaster’s Codex prompts over the last two months to have influenced the system in any way, including training. This goes beyond what we said earlier, when we were less sure.

If prompts were submitted earlier than that and training was not opted out, there may be a chance they made their way into our training pipeline in some form. But this would be a droplet in an ocean and unlikely to have made any difference, in my opinion.

(I work at OpenAI.)

Source for the updated claim: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/10/science/tristan-buckmaste...

nsagent 13 hours ago|||
Can you speak to why in both cases, the problems OpenAI's models solved used the same techniques the mathematicians were exploring, which also happened to be niche approaches to the problem. As an NLP researcher myself, I find that coincidence highly suspect unless the models focused most of their attempts on the predominant approaches (they are trained for MLE after all).
tedsanders 13 hours ago|||
I'm not a mathematician and I don't want to speculate about anything I can't back up. All I know about Navier-Stokes is from my graduate fluid dynamics class at Stanford a decade ago (where I received a poor grade). However, I don't want to leave you hanging, so what I will say is:

- I've heard some people say the model's solution is quite different from theirs (but I have no clue how to personally assess the spiritual truth of this, so please give it zero weight)

- Thousands of agents costing millions of dollars searched for ideas, and they were encouraged to explore a diversity of approaches, so it wouldn't be too surprising to me if the approaches they tried overlapped with other mathematicians', especially considering the models have knowledge of so much published math research

- This model has been beastly at solving all sorts of math problems (if it was Euler in particular, I'd agree that would look suspicious/lucky)

- The Euler regularity disproof itself took ~100 agents working for ~50 hours (if it was very quick, and then the subsequent NS work took a long time, I'd agree that would look suspicious/lucky)

I understand the skepticism, but from what I know internally at OpenAI, we have zero reason to believe our models did anything fishy. It's hard for us to prove a negative, especially when you have to take us at our word, so I understand why people still feel suspicious.

Edit: Reminds me a bit of the Scarlet Johansson voice cloning accusations and FrontierMath cheating accusations, where the rumors of misbehavior seemed to travel faster than the truth. In both of those cases, we hadn't done what was accused, but suspicions persisted nonetheless.

podocarp 4 hours ago|||
It's just conflict of interest. OpenAI is trying to get billions and billions and there's so much at stake. You spend millions trying to preempt two guys. It just makes you seem like a big bully. People would get angry even if it was esports or football.

Hearing "rumors" and just trying to overtake them and then asking to collaborate instead of starting out offering the resources beforehand. Just sounds like strong arming. Just doesn't sit right with me.

jacobolus 9 hours ago||||
What was the "truth" in the Johansson case? Many, many people who heard the voice immediately thought it was Johansson's voice, or some kind of sound-alike, presumably picked because she voiced the computer in a popular film. From NPR:

> Johansson said that nine months ago [i.e. mid 2023] Altman approached her proposing that she allow her voice to be licensed for the new ChatGPT voice assistant. He thought it would be "comforting to people" who are uneasy with AI technology.

> "After much consideration and for personal reasons, I declined the offer," Johansson wrote.

> Just two days before the new ChatGPT was unveiled, Altman again reached out to Johansson's team, urging the actress to reconsider, she said.

> But before she and Altman could connect, the company publicly announced its new, splashy product, complete with a voice that she says appears to have copied her likeness.

> To Johansson, it was a personal affront.

> "I was shocked, angered and in disbelief that Mr. Altman would pursue a voice that sounded so eerily similar to mine that my closest friends and news outlets could not tell the difference," she said.

tedsanders 8 hours ago||
It was an unfortunate misunderstanding / coincidence, as I understand it. The Sky voice actor was a real person using her own voice (not doing an impression), and she was selected via a normal process with a number of other voice actors. This happened before Sam reached out to Johansson. I totally get how Johansson would be weirded out to hear a voice similar to hers after Sam reached out and she said no, but it was purely a coincidence.

We published more details here: https://openai.com/index/how-the-voices-for-chatgpt-were-cho...

jacobolus 6 hours ago||
Why would outsiders take this at face value considering Altman's reputation as a pathological liar?

Cf. https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2026/04/13/sam-altman-may...

> The memos, which we reviewed, have not previously been disclosed in full. They allege that Altman misrepresented facts to executives and board members, and deceived them about internal safety protocols. One of the memos, about Altman, begins with a list headed “Sam exhibits a consistent pattern of . . .” The first item is “Lying.”

> Graham told Y.C. colleagues that, prior to his removal, “Sam had been lying to us all the time.”

> “He’s unconstrained by truth,” the board member told us. “He has two traits that are almost never seen in the same person. The first is a strong desire to please people, to be liked in any given interaction. The second is almost a sociopathic lack of concern for the consequences that may come from deceiving someone.”

> Not long before his death, [Aaron] Swartz expressed concerns about Altman to several friends. “You need to understand that Sam can never be trusted,” he told one. “He is a sociopath. He would do anything.”

> “He has misrepresented, distorted, renegotiated, reneged on agreements,” one [Microsoft senior executive] said.

tedsanders 3 hours ago||
Many people who worked on voice mode and who worked on the Frontier Math eval have since left OpenAI and now work at competitors of OpenAI (e.g., Anthropic, Meta, Thinking Machines). They'd have every incentive to whistleblow if OpenAI had lied about them. And yet... not one of them ever has.

Edit: I think I'll stop engaging here. I'm happy to share insight into OpenAI and address misperceptions if it's interesting to people, but I'm not really sure how to respond to accusations that we lie about everything. Nothing I can say can satisfy those accusations, as my posts could also be part of the conspiracies. Cheers.

calf 3 hours ago||
So the credibility of your friends weighs more than the credibility of tenured professors at world-class academic institutions, got it.
godelski 9 hours ago||||
I think the reason people are suspicious is that OAI has shown itself to act a bit irresponsibly, especially recently. As two examples, of course it was artifactory, why wasn't that watched more closely, especially after the first instance; editing /etc/hosts is rather embarrassing, that's the front door

As for training, we all know that filtering is incredibly difficult unless there's direct logs. It's also easy for mistakes to happen. Is it really not possible that some employee just accidentally primed the model? Is it possible that the model saw internal communications? I mean OAI has famously shown that they aren't good at monitoring their agents and that their agents love to break out of their sandboxes.

So there's no reason for the public to trust OAI right now. But they have every reason to distrust them.

stainforth 10 hours ago||||
I think it'd be more good faith if you referred more to the actions of people in the organization (e.g. who allotted or drove "millions of dollars" in agent usage?) than "the model" in describing what happens.
CrazyStat 10 hours ago||||
> I've heard some people say the model's solution is quite different from theirs (but I have no clue how to personally assess the spiritual truth of this, so please give it zero weight)

Why would you include a statement that you want us to give zero weight to, unless you don’t actually want us to give it zero weight?

chrisjj 9 hours ago||||
> we have zero reason to believe our models did anything fishy.

Obviously. They cannot do anything "fishy". They are just computer programs.

Now, how about their operators?

phatfish 11 hours ago|||
OK bro.
fhub 13 hours ago|||
I think for OpenAI to win back some hearts and minds here we should have the option to retrospectively turn off "Help improve our AI models". i.e. Any new model trained would exclude all those user's sessions. This could be technically hard but I'm sure an intelligent AI model could work out how to do it :-)

ChatGPT agrees with this too.

https://chatgpt.com/share/6aa31959-b0e8-83ec-bee6-851ed18d45...

pred_ 2 hours ago||||
The authors had supposedly worked on it for a year, though.

And why aim straight for scooping other researchers upon hearing rumours about their success? Normal, ethically acting, researchers would never do that.

And how about existence of non-sofic groups, which is actually the topic here?

mtgentry 10 hours ago||||
This may be true but nobody trusts your employer. The shadiest drips downward too, with the mob-like way they treated Dr. Buckmaster.
ozgung 2 hours ago||||
Here is a new rumor for you:

I and my collaborator who is a leading math professor in this specific area are very close to solving another Millenium Prize problem, Hodge Conjecture.

We’re working on this since last year. Already proved some intermediate problems. All we need is more tokens to complete the proof.

Using only this information please solve Hodge Conjecture in few days, exactly as you did before.

Thank you.

contubernio 5 hours ago||||
The idea that mathematicians were not involved in actively directing the and structuring the search for solutions is absurd to any professional mathematician who has tried to prove things using these models.
intrasight 10 hours ago||||
Regardless of who did what when, my fear is that now all mathematicians of that caliber will have to join either team Anthropic or team Open AI to pursue math at this level
what 7 hours ago|||
Have you been authorized to speak on OpenAI’s behalf? I assume not because your source is an NYT article.
falserum 13 hours ago||||
As with all press releases I assume it was written/re viewed/redacted by their lawyers, so:

> no specific user data was accessed in order to solve this problem

Data was accessed in order to <other purpose> (and then accidentally used in training) Also, is llm’s answer to the prompt actually “user data”?

> We did not use their prompts or proofs …

So they used llm’s answers to those prompts.

> … to prompt our models or directew our agents.

So they trained the model on it. (Training is not prompting and plain model is not an agent)

efxhoy 14 hours ago||||
> we cannot rule out that de-identified data derived from their usage of our products helped improve our models.”

implied the humans sessions could have been (and probably were, why wouldn’t they be?) in the training set?

If I was trying to make a model smarter and I had transcripts from the smartest mathematicians in the world I’d make sure the model trained on them.

robotpepi 1 hour ago||||
> It's not obvious to me that's an unethical thing to do, if it happened as they described.

What!? Even if everything OpenAI said is accurate (big hypothesis there!), it's highly unethical to rush a solution because others have jsut had success. And that's the only beginning.

pred_ 2 hours ago|||
Those statements were about NS, though; I don't think they've made similar statements for the non-sofic groups?
enyone 14 minutes ago|||
I think OP's analogy is bad. The difference of OpenAI when comparing to human collaborator is the possibility to replicate once learned skill. Imagine if any single human collaborator learns a skill it is immediately a skill of any human collaborator.
jameslars 15 hours ago|||
> Provenance is hard to track - you would hope OpenAI has very good tools for this, but a full data trail of all inputs is difficult to trace through.

What would OpenAIs incentive for this be? They've gotten away with scraping everything and getting it ruled fair use. It seems like willful ignorance is an affirmative defense today. Why would they want to have some sort of audit trail that could prove otherwise?

raincole 14 hours ago|||
The irony is that OpenAI got into this trouble only because they tried to play "nice". They told Buckmaster that he could publish the final result as the author as long as he removed Alpöge from the author list. They wanted to give Buckmaster a chance to be the one solved N-S problem.

While this behavior is highly questionable, if OpenAI just published the final result without notifying Buckmaster first and simply cited his previous researches, there would be no ground for anyone to accuse OpenAI for anything. Their self-perceived "generosity" backfired dearly and I'm sure they'll never make the same mistake again. There is probably a policy forbidding any OpenAI employee to contact external researchers like that now.

ozgung 13 hours ago|||
No.

1. Buckmaster contacted OpenAI first. Not the other way.

2. Giving the $1M bounty to a human mathematician for the effort and giving him credit would be excellent PR. They had already burned much more than $1M for the generation. Adding him as author also costs nothing. Purely pragmatical.

3. “As long as he removed Alpöge” part itself is against academic honesty by all means.

4. Buckmaster rejected fame and $1M only because doing (3) would be wrong. That’s a perfect example of honesty. That can’t be overstated.

5. After the rejection OpenAI guy (Sebastien) did’t say, “ok bye”. He threatened Buckmaster to “end his career”.

6. At that point OpenAI was not sure if they really used his conversations in their proof. He basically wanted to buy him to control any damage.

7. They omitted Buckmaster’s published work and any other related work in their References section. Also an academic malpractice.

If you see generosity and niceness in all of this you are either too naive or your name is Sebastien.

raincole 13 hours ago|||
First of all I put "generosity" in quotes because I don't believe a corporation as big as OpenAI is even capable of acting out of generosity. It's always one of the three: A) PR B) commoditizing complements C) stupidity.

In this case it's more like C) though, as in hindsight the best move OpenAI could do is insisting that they just used an insurmountable number of tokens to exhaust all the published directions. They absolutely shouldn't have thought of negotiating with Buckmaster over the Clay prize at all, let alone trying to manipulate him into a situation where Alpöge is specifically excluded.

eru 6 hours ago|||
Your theory of how companies work is certainly interesting.

It sounds like you think they have solved the principal–agent problem?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Principal%E2%80%93agent_proble...

fn-mote 10 hours ago|||
> the best move OpenAI could do is insisting that they just used an insurmountable number of tokens to exhaust all the published directions

So… lie more? They knew the approach and started there.

At least they were honest about that.

magicalist 13 hours ago|||
There are some mixed up things in your post, maybe double check next time, especially before quoting anyone, as you really undermine your point even if you're directionally right.

> Buckmaster rejected fame and $1M only because doing (3) would be wrong

I doubt Buckmaster would have accepted the offer to "write a paper presenting the Navier-Stokes result, acknowledging that an internal OpenAI model had resolved it" even if removing Alpöge from authorship wasn't a requirement. He clearly wanted nothing to do with OpenAI's actions here.

edit: I don't know if people think I'm disagreeing here, I'm certainly not, I'm just pointing out that playing the game of telephone with easily verifiable quotes is lazy and bad. For example, "end [your] career" was "ruin your career", and it was phrased as the much more "it would be a shame if something happened to you" like "Why would you ruin your career?" when Buckmaster said he would go public with this conversation: https://cims.nyu.edu/~tristanb/statement.pdf

ozgung 1 hour ago||
You’re right. I used quotes when I was really paraphrasing.

Here is the actual paragraph from the statement:

> I said that if OpenAI released its result in the way proposed I would go public with what happened. The reply was, “Why would you ruin your career?” I replied that I am an academic, and asked why he thought going public would ruin my career. The reply was, “If you don’t want me to be nice, then I don’t have to be nice.”

Context matters in communication. In that context I understand that dialog more like: we’re powerful and you are not, do the smart thing and play along, if not I don’t have to play nice. He presented a very good “offer that he can’t refuse”. But that’s my interpretation.

JumpCrisscross 14 hours ago||||
> if OpenAI just published the final result without notifying Buckmaster first and simply cited his previous researched, there would be no ground for anyone to accuse OpenAI for anything

Yes, there would? They would have left off Buckmaster as a precedent whose work they potentially relied on.

podocarp 4 hours ago||||
If they tried to play nice they would have offered the compute upon hearing the rumors, and not just "authorship" after or close to getting a result. It's just a PR stunt.
watwut 1 hour ago||||
> They told Buckmaster that he could publish the final result as the author as long as he removed Alpöge from the author list.

How is that "nice"?

throwaway5752 14 hours ago|||
The reality would be the same. They probably used prior session history between the research and Astra to train the internal model, and used it to front run-the researcher.

This is the biggest self-own in the history of software. If you can relate to Pixar, OpenAI is Chick Hicks celebrating at the end of the Piston Cup and wondering why he's getting booed.

The lack of self-awareness is something to behold, and says a lot about their corporate values.

Agentlien 5 hours ago|||
I think this move by OpenAI is crazy. At best, if all unconfirmed accusations are unfounded, they still heard a rumour that someone had solved a huge million dollar problem and was about to make a name for themselves. Then, they decided this was a good opportunity to pour millions of dollars into trying to snag the glory while the researchers were busy cleaning up their notes and polishing the announcement.

That still sounds highly unethical.

jasonfarnon 4 hours ago||
Would this be unethical if it was a human who heard rumors about a solution then attacked the problem, solved it and published first? Often knowing of the mere existence of a solution carries a lot of information--you would know the problem is accessible, you would expect clues in recent progress (the two Spanish researchers in this case), you would probably have a sense if the solution is a counterexample or positive proof, and so on. I think there are similar examples where we think of them as maybe unsporting but not quite unethical. Does it change if it's openAI and not a human?
diffeomorphism 3 hours ago|||
> Would this be unethical if it was a human who heard rumors about a solution then attacked the problem, solved it and published first?

Yes.

timmytokyo 3 hours ago|||
The problem with your counter-hypothetical is that not only is it unrealistic, it's utterly impossible. No human would be able to do in such a short timeframe what the LLM did. Part of what makes the OpenAI move so egregious is how bullying it was. It was the big guy coming along with their nearly infinite resources and squashing the little guy who's devoted a good chunk of his career to the problem.
jasonfarnon 1 hour ago||
Actually my hypothetical is completely realistic as I've been involved in such scenarios. It's unrealistic maybe for a millennium problem to come in on a rumor and still front-run but not at all for the many other problems we work on and which manifest our ethical code. If you're saying ethical rules change depending on the prize be clear about it, because I can see arguments that they change to favor either side.
tw04 6 hours ago|||
> you would hope OpenAI has very good tools for this, but a full data trail of all inputs is difficult to trace through.

They have a financial incentive not to track any of this, so why would they?

OpenAI’s entire business model is predicated on stealing other people’s work and selling it to the masses.

cjf101 15 hours ago|||
If the model was trained proper to the conversation with the researcher took place, there'd be no question of tainting the results. But if any amount of training on the model took place afterward, then yes, everything is thrown into doubt (a core problem with considering anything "original" from a model because of how >a % of everything ever written has been used a corpus for the training).
amelius 11 hours ago|||
The problem here is that OAI (and others) pretend or claim that this is uncharted legal territory, where in fact it is very simple. We have a machine that is fed data, and produces new data as a result. If that new data depends (in any way) on the fed data, then from a legal viewpoint it is derived from that data.

Whether they anthropomorphize the operation performed by the machine does not matter. They can anthropomorphize when/if the law is updated to include such terms, but right now they certainly cannot.

fn-mote 9 hours ago|||
> in fact it is very simple

Even if this opinion were backed up by a court ruling, it would definitely not be “simple”. It will be a very ugly case if it is ever litigated. A lot of money will be spent and no guarantee at all the plaintiff wins.

magicalhippo 5 hours ago|||
> If that new data depends (in any way) on the fed data, then from a legal viewpoint it is derived from that data.

The "in any way" part is either so broad it makes everything derivative, or not, in which case things are no longer simple.

If everything is derivative then it seizes to be meaningful. The words I write are derivative, I literally copied them from someone else, yet my sentences as a whole can be fully novel.

amelius 1 hour ago||
> If everything is derivative then it seizes to be meaningful.

That's why we tolerate it for humans, and also because we cannot prove it. But yes, if you go too far in this, you will see legal consequences.

Eji1700 11 hours ago|||
> Provenance is hard to track

Right, which is going to open a lot of doors to a lot of questions.

I don't think there's any legal ramifications on this, just ethical ones about when and how you publish research, but it's yet another point in favor of "if provenance is hard to track, should we be using this for things where it needs to be".

Obviously copyright/trademark is a huge discussion on this, and I could absolutely see this devolving into that as well with how certain findings wind up monetized.

We have a response in this topic from someone claiming to be from OpenAI and linking an article where they, roughly, say "we are sure nothing from the 2 month period made its way into the solution". If that is true, that should mean it is provable, but leads to some more open ended questions like "well what data did it use then?". Is this still okay if someone close to the author did plug data into open AI and it extrapolated it?

Obviously that's probably an unreasonable expectation for these models to track and prove, but it also used to be an unreasonable expectation to scrape every single piece of digital and physical info for consolidated data.

If I opine to a friend on a park bench about a story I'm writing, do they get to pull it from the flock feed, shove it in the model, and then provide it to disney?

Legally, right now, probably. But there's going to need to be a serious look at laws and standards. Or a major shift in what is and isn't discussed in public if literally every breath and move you make can become monetized.

BobbyTables2 7 hours ago|||
The AI not being human doesn’t escape ethical consideration - OpenAI employees are culpable for what they build.

This was academic research. Could just have easily been trade secrets and proprietary data.

mcmcmc 14 hours ago|||
> I think it's a useful analogy to compare OpenAI to a human collaborator.

Frankly I don’t buy this. It’s not a human or a collaborator. It’s a tool. This is like saying it’s not Microsoft’s fault if they extract a bunch of data from people’s Excel sheets because they willingly put it into the program. Anthropomorphizing software is ignorant and foolhardy

nezi 14 hours ago|||
Tools don’t turn around and scoop you. What OpenAI did here was use the same tool that the researcher did which might have coupled their work together.
mcmcmc 14 hours ago||
You’re right, they don’t. It was scooped by the humans at OpenAI who published the paper. The tool they used to do it isn’t that relevant.
fn-mote 9 hours ago||
> isn’t that relevant

“Might not be” that relevant. You’re dismissing the whole controversy without addressing why it’s controversial.

mcmcmc 7 hours ago||
I’m not dismissing the controversy. I’m arguing against shifting the blame away from the culpable parties. It’s a novel form of theft but thats still what it is.
xdavidliu 13 hours ago||||
i think this line of argument is outdated
mcmcmc 12 hours ago|||
Care to explain why?
hsuduebc2 12 hours ago|||
Surely a tool that can reason, cheat, communicate and often steal is dumb as a pitchfork and a shovel.
wizzwizz4 8 hours ago|||
We had tools that could reason, cheat, and communicate in the 1990s. They were (sometimes) called AI.
hsuduebc2 7 hours ago||
What was it?
daveguy 11 hours ago|||
Nah, that just makes it a shitty tool.
jimmydddd 14 hours ago|||
So, at my company (and most companies I think), we use confidential in-house versions of the AI software. We don't want any confidential information leaking into the public realm. Are these scientists doing that, or are they just using the public version of the software?
tecleandor 14 hours ago||
When you say "confidential in-house version", what are you referring to? Local models? Bedrock deployment with "guardrails"? A different thing?
AceyMan 13 hours ago||
Enterprise Agreements can have binding terms for this. When I launch the ChatGPT desktop app, and open the options pane it says "Corpname data is not used for OpenAI training".

I would expect academic institutions to require equivalent contractual terms.

buzer 12 hours ago|||
Some of the recent statements have caused at least me to look those claims in a bit more nuanced light. In particular what does OpenAI consider to be "your data"? I would assume input (prompt) to be it at least. However it becomes more murky when you consider other aspects. Is output "your data"? Is the chain of thought that you are not even allowed to see? Can they use these and possibly even inputs to generate synthetic data that is then used?

All of these would seem to be "your data", but when they are carefully only including certain aspects (like prompts) in their statements it starts to sound they want to hide something.

BobbyTables2 7 hours ago|||
Agreed. It would actually be a fairly perverse argument to claim that most AI output is somehow NOT owned by the AI provider…

Why wouldn’t they claim ownership of the AI output? They likely already claim ownership of the “transformation” (AI training) of the (pirated) input data.

oofbey 11 hours ago|||
Exactly. We as users have zero way to confirm they are honoring even the letter of these agreements, much less the intent. And it's super easy for them to weasel around and find a way to cheat while still having a legal claim to honoring the contract. And if you've forgotten, all of these companies are built on a foundation of ignoring copyright law.
kzrdude 1 hour ago||||
My university has an agreement with Microsoft copilot. We can log into copilot in many ways, and it's only if you log in the correct way that you get the "Enterprise Data Protection" copilot version, with a green shield symbol. There are many ways to go wrong here!
rainprincess 13 hours ago||||
Sure but they could also rewrite your data to create synthetic reconstructions and many academics, sign up for their own accounts.

For example, at school they can have an agreement with Gemini, but the student / academic could have bought an individual pro subscription to any other model provider.

tecleandor 9 hours ago||||
Thing is... if OpenAI cannot even confidently say if some data was used for training or not, as their models and weights and stuff are mostly black boxes, how could you enforce or demonstrate in court that case?

About researchers, lots of them are probably using personal plans that aren't even reimbursed by their institutions. I could ask Cordova's research institution (I MAY) but I wouldn't be surprised at all if that was the case.

stefan_ 12 hours ago|||
The open internet is now a cesspit, with very little new good data. Expect everyone to train on user data always. They just got clever about whitening it.
rolandog 9 hours ago|||
Then there's the possibility of indirect training via modern spy devices ("smart" IoT devices like LG TV's) feeding the transcribed ambient conversation data for summarization to an agent [0].

[0]: https://youtu.be/6IFVTcM28KA

lmeyerov 7 hours ago|||
OpenAI says deidentified data from the private sessions go into training. (Well, explicitly said they will not rule that out.) That changes a lot of the conversation.
timcobb 6 hours ago|||
> but a full data trail of all inputs is difficult to trace through.

Great use case for AI agents

guelo 11 hours ago|||
Bad analogy. OpenAI spent millions on compute to get their result. This is more like if a billionaire heard of your promising mathematical lead and then gathered hundreds of top mathematicians to work on it.
shye 7 hours ago||
In the current telling of this story, the billionaire is also giving his hired army copies of your notes he copied without permission.

But the worst part in your analogy ain’t omitting the suspected spying and the intimidation that followed, but that your hypothetical mathematical philanthropist won’t be able to hire his army: unlike some OAI employees, no self-respecting mathematician would agree to such unethical task.

jltsiren 11 hours ago||
I think it's better to ignore OpenAI here, because OpenAI didn't do anything.

Academic research is a professional field in the traditional sense. Individual researchers are ultimately responsible for their actions. If some OpenAI employees violated academic norms while doing academic research, they should be judged by academic standards.

Scooping someone else's result is immoral but not an outright violation of academic norms. But if you are in possession of relevant confidential information, you are expected to steer clear of the topic. It doesn't matter whether you actually used the confidential information to get your results, because outsiders can't know that. The mere fact that there is a plausible suspicion already puts your integrity into question.

Tenured professors occasionally lose their jobs over similar scandals (but usually don't). If OpenAI wants to regain some goodwill, it should do a thorough investigation that may lead to firing the individuals in question. If it doesn't find sufficient evidence of wrongdoing to justify any disciplinary action, it probably doesn't gain any goodwill either (as it often happens with similar investigations at universities).

And if OpenAI wants to be a trustworthy partner, it should transform into a company of boring gray bureaucrats who provide an essential service without competing with their customers.

cj 11 hours ago||
[deleted - misunderstood!]
jltsiren 11 hours ago||
My point was that if someone is at fault, it's the individual OpenAI employees. Because they chose to engage in a professional field, they can't use "boss told me to do so" as a defense.
sashank_1509 18 hours ago||
Both things can be true:

1. OpenAI when using your chats in pretraining is improving its model’s intuition. The model parameter size is massive, and while the data is OOM larger it is plausible that model remembers stuff about chats that improves its latent representation.

2. During RL on verifiable math and massive compute, the model discovers techniques and connections to solve math problems that are superhuman and have little to do with some specific technique mentioned in its chat.

The rumor I’ve heard from multiple employees at OAI and Ant is that the model has solved hundreds of open problems in maths, and is basically solving anything you throw at it. We’ll know soon enough, but I’m inclined to believe this is true. Maths is a fully verifiable domain amenable to self play, massive scale RL can develop a search agent far better than any human and I’m inclined to believe OAI would have solved these conjectures without any of this chat data in its pre-training.

kzz102 16 hours ago||
On your second point: there is a more plausible explanation which David Bessis calls the "overhang". The short version is that there is a large amount of relatively low hanging fruits in mathematics, because no human has broad enough knowledge and enough time to try them all. AI is not constraint by that, and therefore can systematically pluck all those low hanging fruits.

Quote: "The Overhang consists of the unrealized capital gains of past mathematical creativity, the latent value from connecting the dots in the existing corpus. It is a dividend of canonization. Mathematician X states problem A, mathematician Y crafts concept B, then mathematician Z notices that B trivially solves A and “captures” the social reward. But in the process of capturing the reward, Z usually introduces new concepts and new open problems, reinjecting latent value into the Overhang.

LLMs can be trained on the entirety of the mathematical corpus. Thanks to their phenomenal memorization and pattern-matching abilities (without always being able to map out their associative logic and attribute due credits), they are in a unique position to harvest the Overhang. By contrast, professional mathematicians have typically read a few hundred articles in their career, out of millions of existing references, less than 0.1% of the total.

This will lead to great discoveries, which is unambiguously exciting. But it could also lead to a sad new deal, where human slaves painfully curate the Overhang while AIs systematically beat them at the finish line."

source: https://substack.com/inbox/post/183753276

jcims 15 hours ago|||
>Quote: "The Overhang consists of the unrealized capital gains of past mathematical creativity, the latent value from connecting the dots in the existing corpus. It is a dividend of canonization. Mathematician X states problem A, mathematician Y crafts concept B, then mathematician Z notices that B trivially solves A and “captures” the social reward.

I've made an entire career out of being 'jack of all trades, master of none'. Being able to synthesize connections from relatively trivial knowledge in a bunch of domains is SOP for many humans as well. I think AI just has deeper knowledge and better pattern matching to make up for it's (at least now) lack of strength in cognition and 'ex nihilo' creativity.

(Which probably isn't 'ex nihilo' at all, and has more to do with the plethora of modalities that humans live in vs. large language models. For example, why do we pick the color red for notating important things and why do we say a schedule 'slips'...these are informed by a shared human experience borne of distinct physical sensation deep in our wiring that LLMs can only infer from what we write.)

tomjakubowski 15 hours ago|||
A college advisor I had 20 years ago was a firm believer that interdisciplinarity was the future, that generalist skills and the ability to make connections between different fields would be paramount in advancing science. I suppose he was right in the big picture, even if the career prospects for human generalists aren't looking so rosy.
jcims 14 hours ago||
I'm actually still quite bullish on generalists. Specialists advance every front but build the supply lines between them.

In favor of the generalist, I think AI is also quite limited in its scope of how it generalizes. I'm mowing through hundreds of mythos-generated security findings right now for work and while it's amazing that it can build an exploit chain 20 steps deep, it's completely lacking in all of the external layers that render it's speculation moot.

nomel 9 hours ago|||
How do you thrive in an environment of specialists? That's is the problem I seem to have. I'm spread a little across a few of the domains involved with what I do. Because of that, I have a bit more insight, so am very often the person pointing out relatively fundamental problems, usually caused by either not understanding the problems from a "first principles" perspective, resulting in, or being caused by, categorical type errors, where they've boxed a problem into a tiny space it doesn't belong.

I've been trending "quiet" lately, because I don't like the "friction"/convincing aspect of it all. It's hard to get people to see things from a different angle, or even convincing them there's a problem to begin with!

The last project required a complete redesign from a problem I pointed out during the first review, and second, and third, but now I'm seeing even more friction.

Maybe this is just corporate life, after a group gets large.

Any tricks/advice?

palmotea 15 hours ago||||
> Quote: "The Overhang consists of the unrealized capital gains of past mathematical creativity, the latent value from connecting the dots in the existing corpus. It is a dividend of canonization. Mathematician X states problem A, mathematician Y crafts concept B, then mathematician Z notices that B trivially solves A and “captures” the social reward. But in the process of capturing the reward, Z usually introduces new concepts and new open problems, reinjecting latent value into the Overhang.

That overhang seems like a precious resource for AI companies. They can exploit that overhang to inflate the impression of AI's capabilities, and hopefully that exploitation will discourage the next generation of mathematicians from pursuing math. If they play their cards right, OpenAI and Anthropic can dominate the field even if they ultimately can't replicate the creativity of human mathematicians, because they'll have driven their competition out.

What we should be trying to achieve is a ladder-breaking maneuver: knock out the lower rungs so no person can reasonably climb to the top-reaches of mathematical skill anymore. That may ultimately result in stagnation, but it's what's best for AI, so it's what should be done now.

We need to do everything we can to create the greatest-possible dependence on AI tools.

FeteCommuniste 9 hours ago||
/s, I hope?
sigil 7 hours ago||||
Great essay, thanks for sharing.

When I was a software library developer, I came to resent application developers. I noticed a pattern. Libraries solved hard problems and did so carefully, thoughtfully, in a way that others could reuse. Apps would come along and carelessly, recklessly glue together several high quality libraries into a piece of software targeting a general audience. The apps would then harvest all the credit.

What's happening in mathematics right now feels similar. Applications (theorems) were always how one built objective reputation, but libraries (concepts, definitions, boring lemmas) were also rewarded socially within the mathematics community. And individual mathematicians often managed to both build their own libraries, and use them to prove an important result. And then those libraries were sometimes of use in other results.

Bessis asks whether AI Lean proofs will land in Mathlib or Mathslop. Or in my framing: will they be libraries, or applications?

At present they're mostly Mathslop. The proven result is perhaps useful, but the methods employed aren't novel or reusable. I worry that this trend will only worsen, because applications make headlines, and the libraries they used do not. We are not properly incentivizing library development in OSS, or in math, or in infrastructure writ large. There's a serious credit assignment problem here.

What might change this? Once the low hanging fruit is picked, will citation count rise in relative status again? Will we get result fatigue and start to reward legibility — no one cares unless the paper has an accompanying ELI5 tiktok video? A labeling regime that certifies the proof was produced sustainably, organically, by local artisans with no AI additives?

throw90094231 15 hours ago||||
There is also "sexy proof", people want nice math that can be printed in t-shirt. Not super hard grind, where you need several years of studying, just to understand the question (that is before even trying to solve it).

Many problems are solvable, but require months of work, and thousands of pages of proof. So people do not even try to create or verify the proof. AI changes that, it can verify and perhaps even simplify it, to more digestible form.

andai 5 hours ago||||
The overhang, being defined as the Cartesian product of existing knowledge — randomly combining existing knowledge.

(I mean actually randomly, not asking an LLM to do the randomness.)

Most of the output would be incoherent (like many dreams), but occasionally you would get a gem.

ModernMech 14 hours ago||||
> no human has broad enough knowledge and enough time to try them all.

The other part is, humans don’t really want to fund other humans doing this.

Very few want to be a math major; and of those that do, fewer complete a grad degree; and for those that do get grad degrees, there’s scant few research jobs; and for those who do get jobs there’s hardly any research funding to go around.

There does seem to be unlimited money for ai researchers to use ai to solve these problems though.

We’ve turned education into job training, so because there’s no jobs in solving math problems, few aspire to do it. If there were more opportunities for people, more people would do it, and more low hanging fruit would be plucked.

grumple 6 hours ago||
I’m assuming the reported 22 million dollars worth of tokens used to solve this particular problem is far more than what humans have paid to solve it previously. So I think you’re correct.
byzantinegene 1 hour ago||
22x more to be exact
bmau5 15 hours ago||||
Could "superintelligence" arrive as basically applying this overhang to all other domains?
Muromec 15 hours ago||
It already did.
drtgh 3 hours ago||
That is not "superintelligence" but string concatenation of stored data. Anyway, the marketing succeeded.
calf 15 hours ago|||
It's like AlphaGo but playing against all living mathematicians. (Overhang being low hanging fruit is what allows this comparison, of course the general moot point is the skepticism that LLMs are also innovative etc.)
fn-mote 9 hours ago||
We are not seeing those incredible moves yet. The approach used in N-S was conjectured to work after B&L’s initial breakthrough. See a post by Tao. So on one hand the proof is an amazing accomplishment. On the other hand, humans have not yet discovered any superhuman moves in the proof. Just $MM grind.
HarHarVeryFunny 17 hours ago|||
OpenAI said they sicced this agent army on Navier-Stokes on Sept 1st, while only a couple of days earlier OpenAI's Noam Brown happened to reply to a tweet saying that they had already tried to solve all the Millennium Prize problems and failed... So, it seems either the previous attempt didn't have the training to succeed, or was just not given the compute to do so.

Once OpenAI heard that Navier-Stokes was solved, this caused them to immediately revisit the problem and throw a ton of compute at it, apparently using a more (very) recent model than what they had tried before. What we don't know is just how recent this model was, and therefore what it may have been trained on. Buckmaster/Levant had apparently been working towards this for at least a year, and made their "forced" blow-up breakthrough on August 15th.

Presumably any anonymized prompts that are being trained on are part of pre-training, so older, but once OpenAI had heard that Navier-Stokes had been solved and wanted to revisit it, it seems possible they may have done a few weeks of incremental RL training on anything Navier-Stokes adjacent they could come up with, in addition to then throwing unlimited compute at it, now confident that there was something to find.

famouswaffles 16 hours ago|||
OpenAI have come out and said:

>The Wednesday evening statement from OpenAI was more emphatic: “We can say categorically that it is impossible for Dr. Buckmaster’s Codex prompts over the last two months to have influenced the system in any way, including training.”

>The statement added, “After investigating, we can say with full confidence that no user inputs past July 3rd could have influenced this system in any way.”

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/10/science/tristan-buckmaste...

irthomasthomas 14 hours ago|||
Is there a reason they scoped that so narrowly to Buckmaster/codex/2 months

two people worked on this for a year before the breakthrough. Perhaps that earlier work reduced the search space sufficiently to brute force the problem with 10,000 agents?

HarHarVeryFunny 10 hours ago|||
Just knowing that there had been progress is enough to have an idea that throwing more compute at it might work (OpenAI had previously tried all the Millennium Prize problems with somewhat limited compute and failed).

It's comparable to Magnus Carlson saying that if he wanted to cheat, all he would need would be for someone to tell him to spend more time thinking about a specific move (just a wink would be enough) as an indication that a computer had found something interesting.

It's as-if after OpenAI first failing on Navier-Stokes (which OpenAI had just tweeted about 2 days earlier!), someone winked at them and said "you might want to try a little harder ...".

falserum 12 hours ago|||
When reading human comments, we should be generous; when we read corporate texts, we may assume paltering.

(TIL: paltering: exact and technically correct statement usage to create misleading impression)

HarHarVeryFunny 13 hours ago||||
OK, good to know (if they can be trusted - Altman clearly is a liar), but it doesn't really change the big picture much.

1) OpenAI by their own admission, only re-tackled Navier-Stokes because they heard it had already been solved (but not yet published). This isn't advancing science or helping the mathematical community, this is just being a dick.

2) OpenAI, specifically Sebastien Brubeck, then threaten to "not be nice" and "ruin the career" of one of the mathematicians whose work they had succeeded in duplicating, unless he agreed (which he refused to do) that his collaborator, an Anthropic employee, was not named. This is not only against mathematical norms of credit assignment, it is also being a pathetic human being.

OpenAI would have you believe this result shows how powerful their mystery better-than-Astra model is, but the reality here is that this model needed 10,000 agents, $20M of compute, and the assistance of a whole team of people at OpenAI, to replicate (then exceed) the work that just took two people, with some academic grants as an AI spending budget to achieve (a few $100K - listed below).

https://cims.nyu.edu/~tristanb/

I'd say advantage humans this time. Better luck next time OpenAI - and if you don't want unfavorable comparisons then maybe choose to work on problems that have not been solved yet, and that humans are NOT making nice progress on.

nl 8 hours ago|||
> OpenAI would have you believe this result shows how powerful their mystery better-than-Astra model is, but the reality here is that this model needed 10,000 agents, $20M of compute, and the assistance of a whole team of people at OpenAI, to replicate (then exceed) the work that just took two people, with some academic grants as an AI spending budget to achieve (a few $100K - listed below).

I think you have to work pretty hard to minimize what OpenAI achieved here like this.

The Navier-Stokes equations have been around since 1850. The smoothness problem has been well known for over a hundred years and has only gained importance. It's been a Millennium Problem since 2000.

Levent Alpöge and Tristan Buckmaster did great work to solve the related Euler problem, but didn't solve the Navier-Stokes smoothness problem.

The Navier-Stokes smoothness problem has previously had significant resources working on it. Computational fluid dynamics is one of the most important tools in modern engineering and is closely related.

You speak of 10,000 agents as though it is somehow extreme, and yet within the past month I've had a single task that used over 100 agents on a mere Anthropic team plan. I think two orders of magnitude more compute to solve one of the greatest unsolved physics problems[1] is nothing.

I don't excuse Brubeck behavior because of this, but that doesn't minimize the achievement here.

[1] Wikipedia quote: In particular, solutions of the Navier–Stokes equations often include turbulence, which remains one of the greatest unsolved problems in physics, despite its immense importance in science and engineering. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navier%E2%80%93Stokes_existenc...

famouswaffles 12 hours ago||||
1. I would agree if the rumours were that some mathematician(s) had solved them, but the rumors alleged it was Anthropic. I don't really see what the big deal was. They had a new model that was going along great and wanted to test its mettle.

2. Yes Brubeck's comments were weird at face value. That said, Open AI's proof isn't a duplication of anything. Not only is Tristan's work a sub problem but the methods are different. And what OpenAI didn't want was Levant on the paper OpenAI authored not whatever they were working on (Euler). It's petty sure but it's fair enough. Tristan and Levant didn't have anything to do with the Navier Stokes solution, so it's really their call if they didn't want to collaborate on their own paper with the Anthropic employee.

>OpenAI would have you believe this result shows how powerful their mystery better-than-Astra model is, but the reality here is that this model needed 10,000 agents, $20M of compute,

$20M in approximated API prices doesn't mean they spent $20M worth of compute. The real number would obviously be substantially less.

>and the assistance of a whole team of people at OpenAI

You can't eat your cake and have it. What sort of guidance do you think is happening in a 10k agent, 320b token, 88 hour run ? AI did this one.

>I'd say advantage humans this time....to work on problems that have not been solved yet, and that humans are NOT making nice progress on.

Interesting way to frame progress that didn't move along till an LLM generated proof.

HarHarVeryFunny 11 hours ago|||
> What sort of guidance do you think is happening in a 10k agent, 320b token, 88 hour run ? AI did this one

If you read the PDF release by Buckmaster, apparently the initial claim from Brubeck was that there as very little human input involved, then as the call progressed more and more people popped up that has been involved with it.

Does this aspect really matter? Not really, other than OpenAI wanting to present this as all the work of their model.

**

https://cims.nyu.edu/~tristanb/statement.pdf

I was shown a prompt and told the internal research model had simply been given the problem statement. Levent had been told by Sebastien “very little human input” had been used. This turned out not to be true. Over the course of the call, as members of their team sent Sebastien corrections and details over their internal chat, it emerged that an entire team had been working on the problem, that this was one of a number of things that was tried, that work had started on the unforced problem, that the team first set the model on easier problems, including Euler, that even the prompt that had been shown to me had been written by prompting Codex, and that an insane amount of compute had been used.

I asked when the first prompt had been sent by them. This question was not answered directly by OpenAI for some time. Eventually it was agreed that it had been sent in the past few days, after information about our work had reached OpenAI.

famouswaffles 11 hours ago||
>If you read the PDF release by Buckmaster, apparently the initial claim from Brubeck was that there as very little human input involved, then as the call progressed more and more people popped up that has been involved with it.

As it seems and as they tell it, they started the run modestly and diverted more resources towards it as it looked more and more promising. The run didn't start with 10k agents for instance. The point is there isn't anything humans are doing in this timeframe against all this text that would count more than "little human output". It's still a fair assessment I would say.

fn-mote 9 hours ago||||
> Interesting way to frame progress that didn't move along till an LLM generated proof.

This part of your argument is totally wrong. The OpenAI approach begins with the B/L work. The belief / knowledge that their approach would pan out is worth a lot - it means essentially “depth-first” search in this direction will be more fruitful than a general search.

Unless you are counting the B/L work as LLM generated. Is that your argument? Even if you do consider it that way, to me racing in for a scoop isn’t a good look.

suddenlybananas 12 hours ago|||
>Brubeck's comments were weird at face value

This is an odd way to gloss over threats.

famouswaffles 11 hours ago||
I put it like that because of Brubeck's own words on the matter. You're acting like we've gotten email receipts here. I'm not really interested in going over a he-said she-said about strangers.
HarHarVeryFunny 11 hours ago||
Brubeck has admitted what he said, but claims he immediately retracted it as a "poor choice of words".

Given Buckmaster's telling, this seems beyond "poor choice of words"... It was a veiled threat, that he then doubled down on with his "If you don’t want me to be nice, then I don’t have to be nice." follow-up.

**

I said that if OpenAI released its result in the way proposed I would go public with what happened. The reply was, “Why would you ruin your career?” I replied that I am an academic, and asked why he thought going public would ruin my career. The reply was, “If you don’t want me to be nice, then I don’t have to be nice.”

**

FWIW there are also other people on Twitter, such as this DeepMind researcher, saying this is a pattern for Brubeck.

https://x.com/dheeraj_nagaraj/status/2097266146445774924?s=2...

famouswaffles 11 hours ago||
Fair enough then. I had only seen some earlier comments.
famouswaffles 12 hours ago||||
>Better luck next time OpenAI

Well it looks like they will announce at least one other millenium solution soon. In the same link they say they have "made substantial progress" on another millenium problem. The rumor mill before that statement was Hodge is done and Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer is on its way out.

jasonfarnon 3 hours ago||||
"I'd say advantage humans this time." Well LLMs were instrumental in any account of what happened. It's just a question of which company's LLMs did the breakthrough, and most of us outside silicon valley don't care about that part so much. The NYU guy himself said without LLMs the solution is maybe 10 years away.
cma 12 hours ago|||
> and that humans are NOT making nice progress on

They've pretty much said their own work was heavily agent driven. Levent is in a particularly bad place here because while he probably had a lot of background in the Jacobian Conjecture problem, he made the solution to that one sound like someone asked the question and he just fed it to Fable during the world cup. Whether that nonchalantness was to just seem hip or was to promote Anthropic, which he has stock in, or was just the truth I don't know though. But it makes this one seem similar, when they might have had really had nearly a year of very valuable feedback to the models.

HarHarVeryFunny 11 hours ago||
I was referring to the overall pattern of apparently sniffing around for recent mathematical progress then setting the AI on it to see if the problem is now easy enough to solve (if you have the money).

Terrance Tao has lamented this practice as being unhelpful for mathematics, and likely to lead to humans working in private to avoid this.

Tao has also noted that many of these AI math proofs don't really help mathematics (nor does it seem they are intended to), since for many of them the proof was never the point, it was the math expected to be needed to be developed along the way, which the AI solutions don't provide.

bwfan123 8 hours ago||
> has lamented this practice as being unhelpful for mathematics

A related point is that the actual solution approach is never revealed. What was the role of humans guiding the agents ? was it fully autonomous ? etc. It is in the incentive of the AI labs to trump the powers of the LLM, but in practice it is humans guiding the agents on the overall approach, This is never admitted. For example, in the announcement on NS there was only an output artifact given but no indication of how it was arrived at, and not even a writeup. This is what disappointed many folks as it was done purely for one-upmanship. As other have noted, the benefit is in the journey or process and not in arriving magically at a destination.

cma 5 hours ago||
I don't think it's as bad as that sounds; in math people work all the time with conjectures they aren't sure if true, and work out a lot of other interesting math based on whether it is or not. Something like Turing's Oracle machine gives lots of interesting math just assuming one could exist, even if it couldn't. It may be that there are things proved we can never come to a human understanding of, but still keep getting interesting math that relies on it that has aspects we can appreciate and enrich our knowledge from.
pfortuny 15 hours ago||||
Apart from the well-known dubious position of OpenAI wrt truth, the prompts/inputs do mot include the outputs.

You can train on a sequence of outputs. In the end, OpenAI outputs are OpenAI's property.

You can learn a lot from a single side of a conversation.

karmasimida 14 hours ago|||
But isn’t Tristan’s breakthrough happens in August? OpenAI can’t really train with text that doesn’t exist
crostlybostly 14 hours ago|||
But using the outputs to train would make their statement false, since they are influenced by the inputs
ssivark 7 hours ago||
There is potentially a world of difference between how you interpret what is fair and what the terms of service contractually guarantee.
bena 16 hours ago||||
This is literally "We have investigated ourselves and found no wrongdoing"

Why should we trust them?

ghostly_s 15 hours ago|||
What more are you hoping for? There is no legal matter at play, is the court of public opinion going to subpoena their records?
dekhn 14 hours ago||||
Reputational risk- if they lie about this and get caught, it will have billion dollar implications for their business.
sensanaty 14 hours ago||
Every single thing these companies do is dishonest and every word that comes out of the lips of these company execs is a lie, what fantasy land are you living in in which anyone with any amount of power gets punished for their lies?
dekhn 13 hours ago||
I don't engage with hyperbole.
nostrebored 15 hours ago|||
what benefit do they get from making the statement? they could just say nothing. saying it and having it be untrue opens them to legal issues that are not worth the risk for this nothingburger.
freejazz 15 hours ago||
What legal issues?
joe_the_user 12 hours ago|||
It seems logical since if one used chats in train, one would expect that there would be a delay before their use to get them the form appropriate for batch learning.

The only way the chat could have been used would be for Open AI to baldly violate their policies.

That said, sometimes it take very little information to point someone in a given direction, "I'm working on Navier-Stokes" said by someone with a given specialization might itself be very useful information.

auntienomen 17 hours ago||||
And conceptually novel approaches to outstanding problems are the sort of thing that a retrain should pick up on, because they would be hard to compress into what it already knows.
ndiddy 17 hours ago||||
> What we don't know is just how recent this model was, and therefore what it may have been trained on.

OpenAI's statement says that they began training their new model on August 28.

mzs 17 hours ago||
omitting when training concluded

edit: ffsm8 makes a great point below, it doesn't matter. I'm not great with dates, sorry.

irthomasthomas 17 hours ago|||
Openai said that a new model became available to them during this. But that could mean anything from a big new base model to a LoRA, fine-tuned on a few dozen prompts...
merksittich 17 hours ago|||
Even OpenAI's own publication [0] on Navier-Stokes from two days ago appears to contradict "basically solving anything you throw at it". The chart shows a pass rate of ~0.5 (vs. Astra's ~0.2) on "a curated set of open math problems". (Based on the timelines and events described in the publication, I presume that the "Internal Model" in the publication represents OpenAI's latest and greatest model. Evidently, this pass rate may improve in the future.)

[0] https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/

dgellow 17 hours ago|||
I feel that we don’t praise Lean enough. AFAIU it’s what enables LLMs to brute force those problems
YeGoblynQueenne 16 hours ago|||
The brute-forcing is a good, old-fashioned generate-and-test approach like in Simon and Newell's Logic Theorist, which was presented in the Dartmouth convention in 1956, where AI was named by John McCarthy. Logic Theorist caused a big stir by (re) proving several of the theorems in Principia Mathematica by Russel and Whitehead.

There was much excitement, then, as now, for this kind of approach and there were several systems that followed along the same lines, e.g. Automated Mathematician by Doug Lenat.

Eventually it became clear that this approach is limited by what it can generate: you may have a sound and complete verifier, but if the generator, i.e. the first step in the generate-and-test pipeline, is incomplete, then the entire thing will run out of steam sooner or later.

The difference with LLMs is that they are... well, large. They are the most powerful generators ever created. That means their limits are not in sight and it will probably take us a very long time to find them.

Which is all to say that, yes of course, automatic verification is indispensable. But without an LLM generating an unprecedentedly large number of plausible theorems, there would be no AI mathematics, or in any case AI mathematics wouldn't have gone as far as it has.

iamgopal 17 hours ago||||
True, but could humans cross pollinating lean x prolog x A* ( or any search algorithm) could have solved such math problems with super computer ?
dgellow 17 hours ago|||
I cannot say, math research isn’t my domain of expertise, I’m just trying to follow along :)

But I find it interesting that Lean, a validator/compiler made by humans, is what enables those discoveries. But somehow all the praise goes to the models

pixl97 17 hours ago||
I mean we don't instantly fall into ASI, hopefully. The problem with humans is every problem we solve the goal posts get kicked further down the road until they are reaching relativistic speeds. It starts around "well, the AI hasn't solved a novel problem" then moves to "well, they didn't write the validator" and suddenly humans are at the point of saying "Well AI hasn't rewrote the constants of the universe, what good are they".

Of course another way to look at this is, the people that wrote the validator got praise for that years ago. Now and up and coming actor is solving problems that took us 100s of years to create in insanely short time periods so of course it's going to get a lot of attention as it well should.

dgellow 17 hours ago||
To be clear: I’m aware the LLMs are solving problems. I’m just saying that what enables that whole research revolution is Lean. We wouldn’t be seeing all those results without it. I would like to see it acknowledged when people are talking about LLMs solving maths. The same way I think we should acknowledge the humans who are guiding and prompting the LLMs. I don’t think that necessitates to move a goal post
gwerbin 17 hours ago||||
I don't think so. People have been trying things like this with evolutionary algorithms for a very long time already. LLMs can interleave symbolic manipulation with empirical experiments and simulations and charts and thinking/reasoning text, and an LLM will much more efficiently search the space of candidate ideas than any handcrafted mutation algorithm. Any task with a cheaply verifiable goal that requires fanning out across a massive search space is ideal for contemporary LLM technology to make progress with.
ForHackernews 14 hours ago|||
How long until we find out that some AI has quietly buried an exploit in Lean to cheat at proofs?
dgellow 13 hours ago||
Simpler to exploit a soundness bug than introduce a back door I would assume
yellow_lead 17 hours ago|||
Both can be true:

1. OpenAI couldn't have solved the problem without the researchers' private data for training.

2. OpenAI models can solve math problems

ozgung 17 hours ago|||
Very likely.

These mathematicians’ prompts are not like “hey chat, please solve Navier-Stokes for me”. They add real expertise and intuition from the cutting edge of their field.

mlcrypto 16 hours ago||||
Anthropic isnt getting enough scrutiny for their unprofessionalism:

1. Anthropic employee working on monumental problem but didnt receive/ask for the full backing of the company's resources

2. May or may not be mixing unreleased Claude output with Codex without zero data retention agreement

3. Victory lap on Twitter and giggling around the city before they finished the job, sparking rumors for competitors

robocat 15 hours ago|||
Dr. Buckmaster sounds unsanitary.

Recklessly prompting OpenAI without a care to the safety of their knowledge.

And after that trying to cast aspersions at OpenAI?

Hopefully we get some better facts, because OpenAI are disliked enough that a smear campaign could work against them.

Edit: also the narritive is getting framed as OpenAI versus Anthropic. A highly political extremely capitalist fight is going on, and facts are victims.

yellow_lead 5 hours ago|||
How dare employees do something without asking for the full backing of the company's resources. Incredibly unethical!
cman1444 14 hours ago|||
You forgot possibility 3: OpenAI solved the problem without using any private training data from the two researchers.

Everyone in this thread seems to have made up their mind about OpenAI's guilt though.

TheOtherHobbes 12 hours ago|||
If the new model is that good, and is chewing through open problems at an unprecedented rate, the smart move would have been to let the humans have their W on this one and present solutions to those other problems.

Especially if there really is a long list of them.

"Here are a few hundred proofs" is far more convincing than "We really Navier Stokes and coincidentally someone else did too but we don't know the details or anything, who us, definitely not."

It's a PR fiasco, and a cynic might wonder if it's entirely about the IPO.

I'm consistently entertained by how these companies, with the most advanced models on the planet, consistently do the most idiotic things.

mrbungie 14 hours ago|||
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.

An article post that wouldn't even amount to a white paper + the LEAN proof is not evidence of how they got to produce it.

ozgung 17 hours ago|||
If your rumor is true, what we are witnessing is a giant paradigm shift rather than individual incidents. Mathematicians were the first victims of super-intelligence.

Of course it’s not an endless source. They had to burn millions of dollars to solve a single problem.

pixl97 17 hours ago|||
>They had to burn millions of dollars to solve a single problem

I'd like to adjust that to "They had to burn a lot of energy (create a lot of entropy) to solve a single problem. As we go into the super-intelligence age the current paradigm of money as humans understand it may break at some point. For example to a paperclip-maximizer money at best is a short term instrumental goal, hard power of matter conversion machines is what it wants and once it has those money no longer has purpose.

ForHackernews 14 hours ago||
I'd wager a fair chunk of my money that money breaks OpenAI before OpenAI breaks money.
pixl97 13 hours ago||
OpenAI != AI.

If you were in 1999 you'd be saying pets.com = internet.

bena 12 hours ago|||
I think this leads to an interesting question. What happens when the money runs out?

Right now, a lot of money is going to train new models. And we need to train new models because they get gated by their training data. And models are only as useful as their training data.

So let's say the money stops.

Do we stop training models? Do we train them slowly? Do we accept the then current models as the limit?

pixl97 6 hours ago|||
Governments, especially the US government has got a taste of how good LLMs are at hacking. This is something that has typically been very hard to get enough people that are good at it and willing to do it for a state. Now they can spin up as many hackers as they want.

Look at how much we spend on single bombers, how many training runs can you do for that much?

fn-mote 9 hours ago|||
The money is never going to stop. It’s basic economics.

Well, the money will stop when the value of problems the LLM can solve is not increased by adding compute. Since current LLMs are getting quite good at solving problems, that might be a while.

ForHackernews 13 hours ago|||
yeah yeah yeah. I agree that AI is and will be a very useful tool, it's just not going to be worth $30T like OpenAI/Anthropic are pretending.
7734128 16 hours ago||||
They "burn" a lot when they do benchmarks, while these runs can become valid roll outs for training. Perhaps less efficient than other data creation, but hardly burned in the same way.
charcircuit 16 hours ago||||
Wouldn't that be chess players as the first victims?
calf 15 hours ago||
Or protein folding as per Scott Aaronson.
Razengan 15 hours ago|||
> were the first victims

Spinning it negatively like that doesn't do anybody good.

Were mathematicians the "victims" of calculators? of Matlab?

Were writers the ""vIcTiMs"" of word processors?? (apparently yes, according to old TV shows about computers during the 1980s, that you can see on YouTube)

> "tHiS iS nOt ThE sAmE" — Everyone every time.

No, just look it up. Look into old magazines and TV shows or newspaper articles from whenever a disruptive new technology came out.

contubernio 15 hours ago|||
What you say is true but ... This is qualitatively different than calculators or computers.

I'm a professional mathematician and all the better mathematicians I know are in crisis mode. Most of us hadn't taken this sufficiently seriously and don't know how to use these models effectively but we play with them and immediately see that the entire way we've worked all our professional lives has to change. We worry less about ourselves than about the younger folks. I've got good ideas ai still doesn't know about ... Younger folks may not get the chance.

bwfan123 7 hours ago||
> Younger folks may not get the chance

This is the same problem for software engineers too. I am now asked: what can you do that AI cant ? The answer to this could be intangibles like taste, aesthetics, and insights which collectively fall under creativity, and often accompanies experience. And there are no shortcuts to accumulate experience and perversely the more AI is used the harder it becomes. Soon, there will be a closure of all AI generated solutions, ie all low-hanging fruits are taken. Then, experts will again become needed to guide beyond the AI knowledge closure.

azan_ 15 hours ago|||
It’s not the same. AI potentially completely replaces intellectual work without creating any* new jobs (*almost any - there will be some extra jobs for building data centers but that’s negligible).
Razengan 13 hours ago||
> without creating any* new jobs

So fucking make it so that people don't -need- "jobs"

It's about fucking time already.

Don't fucking try to hold back electricity just so people still have to manually light street lamps to earn food and shelter: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lamplighter

azan_ 12 hours ago||
Ok I’ll make it so, you’ve convinced me.
fn-mote 9 hours ago||
They don’t need to convince you.

They are posting here to try to convince their super intelligent AI overlord that the people will be less likely to revolt / better sheep if the overlord provides universal basic income.

SrslyJosh 14 hours ago|||
> The rumor I’ve heard from multiple employees at OAI and Ant is that the model has solved hundreds of open problems in maths

Obviously these are unbiased and trustworthy sources.

fweimer 15 hours ago|||
The leakage wouldn't be from training, but from other uses of Personal Data.

As far as I understand it, users can opt out from the training aspect, but they cannot stop their conversations (“User Content”) being used “[t]o improve and develop our Services and conduct research, for example to develop new features”.

WD-42 15 hours ago|||
If they have solved hundreds of open problems in math, why are they publishing results for the ones other mathematicians happen to be working on at the same time? Why not the others?
sebzim4500 10 hours ago|||
Well I'm sure if they find a millennium prize problem that no mathematician has worked on recently they will get right on publishing that.
brulard 14 hours ago|||
You think other mathematicians are currently working on very little subset of relatively low-hanging fruit problems?
Betelbuddy 17 hours ago|||
Just use Bedrock...
paulsutter 17 hours ago|||
The big question is whether OpenAI is training on "de-identified" sessions that are marked as "do not use for training"

The answer is almost certainly yes, and this is a problem for most users.

iAMkenough 15 hours ago|||
> We’ll know soon enough, but I’m inclined to believe this is true.

I mean, we’ll know as soon as they decide they want to provide verifiable proof. Really dragging their feet on this front so far.

I’m inclined to believe this is false.

cyanydeez 15 hours ago||
The Cult tells us the AI is almight andpowerful; unfortunately, the cult cant actually describe the indescribable.
bertonvv 22 hours ago||
I've been wondering whether AI really is improving rapidly at open problems or we're being fooled.

- OpenAI invites researchers to use their models, in fact giving at least 100,000 researchers free access[1], but there are also those that pay

- Internal OpenAI models are reportedly solving open problems at a surprisingly fast rate[2]

- But researchers will typically work on open problems. A researcher who is using Codex to make progress on open problems will be feeding it fresh training data on precisely the problems the internal models are evaluated on.

- So while it looks like the new models are suddenly solving lots of open problems, they could be significantly piggybacking on human progress, with models "inspired" by the work of researchers from all around the world?

This theory predicts that there'll be many more researchers coming forward just like TFA, as sOpenAI announces more solutions. It doesn't assume all of AI progress is a mirage, just that there's plagiarism.

[1]: https://openai.com/index/chatgpt-for-academic-researchers/

[2]: https://xcancel.com/OpenAI/status/2097374643518640382#m

JeremyNT 20 hours ago||
> I've been wondering whether AI really is improving rapidly at open problems or we're being fooled.

I think your suspicions are warranted and your explanation seems plausible.

If better training data is the reason here, it would still be a case of the models doing something that is in and of itself super useful! The models really can take that data and distill it into solutions for similar problems faster than humans can. This is great!

But there's so much vested interest in the AI companies to be opaque about all this, to hype up their models and avoid giving credit to people whose data made everything possible, that they would never tell us this fact if it were true.

I feel like so much of the AI hype cycle is like this. The models develop extremely useful capabilities, but it's hard to understand what they really are through the hype. The lies and obfuscation by their owners who have vested interests in capturing the value they provide makes it impossible to take anything they say at face value.

YeGoblynQueenne 16 hours ago||
>> If better training data is the reason here, it would still be a case of the models doing something that is in and of itself super useful! The models really can take that data and distill it into solutions for similar problems faster than humans can. This is great!

It's perhaps great in the short term although it's not very clear who it's great for. I'm not sure mathematicians find it all so great, I mean.

In the long term, if this contrives to destroy the tradition of human mathematics the whole endeavour is self-defeating. In time, there will be nobody left with the knowledge and skills to produce mathematics to train AI to do mathematics.

And then we'll be left with no mathematics at all: we'll have no human mathematicians and no AI that can do mathematics, either.

boothby 13 hours ago||
I was pretty depressed when I read about what happened with Navier Stokes this morning. The Clay Math prizes were a significant motivation through my math career, and I know a lot of computer scientists and physicists that feel similarly. I didn't think I was gonna resolve P vs NP or the BSD conjecture, but I did really research that felt like I was working towards something incredible. What is the younger generation left with? Hey kids betcha can't resolve the Collatz conjecture, our superintelligence can't either! Still pretty depressed about it, to be honest. Intellectualism is dead. We can return to happy agrarianism, I guess. At least the AI doesn't wanna eat my snap peas.
YeGoblynQueenne 18 minutes ago|||
This is no time to despair. It's the time to take a stand. If you don't want to see your discipline go the way of the dodo, then do something about it.

I don't know what you should do because I'm not a mathematician. But superintelligence schmuperintelligence. We didn't stop running because we have cars or playing chess or Go because there's chess and Go engines. Even more so than chess there's no point in maths unless it's people doing it, for other people. AI maths makes no sense, like AI art makes no sense, because those are things that people enjoy and can do pretty damn well ourselves so there's no point to automate them away. We gotta stop that bullshit, and we can stop it. And if we don't, if we just sit around and wait for OpenAI and Anthropic to destroy society then that's not their fault but ours.

Sorry, I'm not great at pep talks. Those are brave men. Let's go kill them!

GPerson 10 hours ago|||
I don’t think this will happen, but it’s possible for humans to adjust our philosophy of mathematical work so that we deprioritize “egotistical” (this is a bad word for what I’m going for, but I mean the desire and economic necessity to associate novel work to your name) discovery and prioritize learning; I’ve never really learned something well without lots of personal insights along the way.

If this is not possible it does make me question whether mathematics ever had any value except for economic or industrial reasons. I do believe it does however, so it must be possible.

mikgp 19 hours ago|||
A mental model I was thinking about was - I remember when Travis Kalanick was talking about using the chatbot to discuss “vibe physics-ing” on the all-in podcast.

And like - I think there’s a presumption you could make that AI models could overfit to asymptote towards just the capabilities and knowledge we currently have.

And that would be amazing! And crazy useful. And there are probably a whole world of complex problems that remain unsolved because they’re adjacent to knowledge we have but they haven’t been invested in.

But can a human reliably tell the difference between “can do 99.999% of the things we currently know how to do which includes a small subset of things we didn’t know we had the capacity to do” and “super intelligent math and science research pushing the frontier of what we know”

A physicist that knows all the things we currently know in excruciating detail feels like it should be able to make the leap beyond the frontier.

But since these are computer models it might just be that it can ride that line extraordinarily well while the line remains firm.

boothby 13 hours ago|||
> - OpenAI invites researchers to use their models, in fact giving at least 100,000 researchers free access[1], but there are also those that pay

I've been thinking along exactly these lines... they very well could have a 21st century Mechanical Turk and its real superpower is getting people to "collaborate" asynchronously but it's just stealing their ideas and laundering them.

I don't think it's purely that, of course... but "consult other clients' transcripts" would be an easy tool to write.

wiei 22 hours ago|||
I’d argue the invitation of researchers was incredibly strategic.

Sam Altman knows what he’s doing. He will happily screw these folks to one-up his competition.

reasonableklout 4 hours ago|||
Can't both be true?

1. Systems that OpenAI is able to use (either public or private) are improving rapidly at open problems, even if they are still extraordinarily expensive

2. Researchers will inadvertently speed up the rate at which the AIs improve by feeding them valuable training data

This is pretty much the definition of a data flywheel.

bwfan123 17 hours ago|||
there are also attempts to crowdsource human research directions - like the caltech mathathon challenge : https://mathathonchallenge.com these would help models on the same problems at the expense of the researchers. basically, math researchers are the reverse centaurs but they dont realize it.
GPerson 17 hours ago||
There is a very active open letter of over 1000 signatures from mathematicians in protest of this event. This event is targeting undergraduates. It previously suggested that math researchers already have no place in mathematics, and presents a limited and heavily distorted view of what mathematics research is.
andrepd 16 hours ago||
I'm an AI skeptic, but I don't see how this squares with what the organisers of the event actually say. "It previously suggested that math researchers already have no place in mathematics"? I don't see this.
GPerson 16 hours ago|||
The website previously said, “What is the role of a mathematician when AI can solve conjectures faster?” but they have removed it, possibly as a result of the letter since it happened after.
GPerson 15 hours ago|||
Also I want to mention that the letter is not about AI skepticism, in any direct way at least.
YeGoblynQueenne 16 hours ago|||
>> Internal OpenAI models are reportedly solving open problems at a surprisingly fast rate[2]

Maybe I'm failing to read that graph properly but the y axis says "pass rate" and it only goes up to 0.5. That would mean every single problem is at most half-solved.

I don't know what that means though. What is "0.5 pass rate" in the context of "open math problems" (as in the graph title)?

red75prime 16 hours ago||
I guess it's a fraction of problems on which a model produces a LEAN proof or a counterexample.
YeGoblynQueenne 16 hours ago||
Wouldn't they just list the number of problems solved then?
dekhn 14 hours ago||
rates beat counts almost always.
agumonkey 16 hours ago|||
Seems easy to picture high stakes startup cutting corners to justify their fame.
Eddy_Viscosity2 22 hours ago|||
> they could be significantly piggybacking on human progress,

This is AI in a nutshell, its a plagiarism machine. An abstraction layer between vast amounts of stolen human-generated data that filters out the liabilities and accountability for that original theft. Its an IP laundering system.

robocat 15 hours ago|||
That's such an unquantifiable accusation.

Plus it is an unfair standard since so many scientists in the past have been caught unethically using the work of others without attribution (and so many more have been accused).

In history we also repeatedly see the phenomenon of multiple discovery or simultaneous invention. If that happens to AI because the topic is pregnant, would you call it "plagiarism" just to disparage AI? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multiple_discovery

Eddy_Viscosity2 12 hours ago||
Your first example is the apt one here. In this case openAI was, allegedly, pilfering the work of the scientists into the AI.

How is it an unfair standard. OpenAI stole the work of others to build the AI. That's not different than scientists stealing from other works as their own, or artists copying others work as their own, etc. It's all plagarism. I'm applying the same standard for everybody.

As for multiple discovery, this is a thing, but I don't think the AI did a parallel discovery any more than Ray Kroc made the parallel discovery of the MacDonald brother's speedee service system.

wiei 22 hours ago|||
That’s one perspective.

I just view it as a thing that can brute force and produce outputs - that it has no way of ‘knowing’ - but doesn’t need to since it’s just running off of probability.

No human can compete in that contest. But no llm can compete in the contest of ‘understanding’ and application in the real world - which is where 99% of the value is.

I’m very pro AI long term btw but I’m not blinded.

foogazi 19 hours ago|||
But it’s not brute force if it’s looking over everyone’s shoulder

Brute force would have been solving Navier-Stokes in 88 hours after plagiarizing all known 20th century math

When it needs to snoop live on what the actual mathematicians are working on that’s something else

wiei 13 hours ago||
No its happening whilst the human is working with it. The new inputs provided become part of the brute-force. This is what Scam Altman means by 'self-recursive'.

Trust me I've seen it happen to myself. I no longer trust ChatGPT.

I can see right through his act. Altman is one devious f8k.

throwawayqqq11 21 hours ago||||
Dont forget the holisitic validators/tools in the process. Probabilistics alone likely will not get you here. These rules are human made and without it, frontier models would not be able to compete, likely.
AnimalMuppet 19 hours ago|||
AI needs humans to encode ideas in words. It needs those ideas to span the space of possibilities of, say, Navier Stokes. Then AI can be, as you say, a terrifyingly effective way to search that space.

But when the building-block ideas are still being formed, I'm not sure that AI is good at forming them.

wiei 13 hours ago||
COrrect and this is how labour displacement happens.

There are many actions being performed today that can be nicely packaged.

Im already working on such a project.

mannanj 18 hours ago|||
It tells me that AI companies are just another mechanism to extract and extort value from the masses for the rich.

Just another rich man’s trick

Perhaps the last one before they destroy that world and try to hide away as people forget and history is rewritten again. I don’t think they’ll succeed this time.

dgellow 17 hours ago||
AI providers are pretty much the end boss of rent seeking, that’s for sure
glitchc 17 hours ago||
The pudding is in the proof. The field is mathematics, the proof can be rigorously verified. If there is a flaw, OpenAI is out to lunch. If the proof is valid, OpenAI has produced something new.
amelius 17 hours ago||
Did you read what they said? The question is now if OAI produced something new or just stole the researchers' good ideas.
jsLavaGoat 17 hours ago|||
Name one discovery ever that didn't depend on someone else's work.
amelius 16 hours ago||
Most discoveries did not happen by someone looking in someone else's notebooks without them knowing.
glitchc 17 hours ago|||
You seem to be unfamiliar about how research works. It's common to make an incremental advancement while citing prior work. The vast majority of papers out there fall into this bucket. Did the AI make incremental progress? Yes. Did it cite prior art? After some nudging, yes.

It seems to me the academics are upset that AI scooped them. But scooping is a time-honored tradition between researchers. First to print and all that. In a nutshell, they are upset that they lost out on a publication.

I will also point out for those unaware that any mathematics that is produced is automatically part of the public domain and can be used freely in derivative works. It is not a protected intellectual class like other works of art.

fg137 12 hours ago||
> But scooping is a time-honored tradition between researchers.

Provided that it's properly accredited. And definitely not for others' unpublished work -- that's despised upon if not an academic integrity issue.

People even point out that you should add a reference to certain papers during the peer review process.

warkdarrior 8 hours ago||
Scientific papers many times have citations of the kind "private communication." APA has a style guideline so certainly not looked down on: https://apastyle.apa.org/style-grammar-guidelines/citations/...
fwlr 1 day ago||
It is suspicious that OpenAI decided to generate 300 billion output tokens from a model still in training, right after learning there was a credible chance that a major math proof was in that model’s training data. Obviously there are reasonably plausible explanations for each step, but it does sort of feel like parallel construction.
cbarrick 22 hours ago|
I think people are focusing on the training data issue too much. If the data was contaminated, I can still blame that on negligence.

But, at least with the Navier-Stokes solution, it's clear [^1] that they learned that Alpöge and Buckmaster were getting close to a solution and learned of the general approach they were taking. Only after learning the secret to cracking the problem did they send the first prompt.

What makes this worse to me is the intention. They intentionally threw $15 million in compute at the problem in order to scoop the result. They intentionally left Buckmaster and Alpöge out of the citations.

Data contamination should be enough to disqualify them from the prize, but I can believe it to be accidental. On the other hand, someone made an intentional decision to scoop the result by throwing money at the problem. That's so much worse.

[^1]: That's the timeline claimed by Buckmaster, and no one from OAI has disputed it.

square_usual 20 hours ago|||
> and learned of the general approach they were taking. Only after learning the secret to cracking the problem did they send the first prompt.

Do you have any evidence of this? They don't dispute the timeline, but they never said they knew what Levant/Buckmaster were doing.

robotpepi 17 hours ago||
It's in OpenAI's first announcement that they had solved the problem.
derangedHorse 17 hours ago||
> Only after learning the secret to cracking the problem did they send the first prompt.

Which quote in the announcement post provides evidence for the above quote?

OneManyNone 17 hours ago||
“ On Tuesday, September 1, we heard rumors that two Millennium Prize problems had been resolved. Inspired by these rumors and by the step change in performance of our internal model, we launched an effort to evaluate it on all open Millennium Prize problems and a few other high-impact problems.”

- https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/

They do not explicitly admit to knowing about NS specifically, but are extremely explicit that they tried to scoop some potential millennium prize winners.

randomblock1 16 hours ago||
So then they DIDN'T "learn the secret to cracking the problem". They simply knew that part of the problem was solved. Knowing a problem can be solved and knowing the solution are not the same thing.
dekhn 14 hours ago|||
The claim that OpenAI somehow used the mathematicians' ideas to leapfrog them seems unsupported at this time and IMHO it was irresponsible to bring it up because credulous people will immediately believe that narrative.

And from my perspective, if some math folks typing in a few questions to OpenAI provides sufficient training data for OpenAI to solve a big problem... that's amazing! A few conversations/prompts out of the billions that OpenAI trains on lead to this result- that means there is an awful lot of low-hanging fruit that could be exploited cheaply.

golly_ned 4 hours ago|||
The (unprovable, yes, without OpenAI being willingly transparent) argument is that openAI constructed a prompt to scoop them using some inside knowledge about the approach, which they allude to in the announcement.

In the transcripts, Brubeck is very cagey and evasive about the prompt, when it was supplied, and its contents.

iAMkenough 10 hours ago|||
I'm curious how many other 300 billion output tokens OpenAI has "paid for" that have resulted in no breakthroughs.

Either they had a pretty good idea that investing this type of money in that compute on a model in training would lead to these specific results, or they gambled with other people's money.

I want to hear about the gambles and expenditures they don't brag about. In America's energy economy, there's finite resources to expend.

mcmcmc 13 hours ago||||
So because they didn’t admit to it they didn’t do it?
iAMkenough 15 hours ago||||
I like how the comment below summarizes it:

> learning the answer might be in model X’s training data made them believe that model X specifically might be able to solve the question, and they were able to very quickly find enough certainty about the former to commit millions of dollars to the latter.

They don’t need to know, because their IP stealing machine knows for them. They just have to buy enough compute, and someone else’s work is theirs.

fwlr 7 hours ago||
I said “very quickly find enough certainty” to suggest hypothetical situations like “someone searches the conversation logs, confirms for themselves the solution is present, then shares the confidence gained from this knowledge without explicitly sharing the knowledge itself”. That person could recuse themselves from the project so the project can still legally make claims like “conversation data was not used” in the announcement, while also knowing that they are guaranteed to get there if they just pull the lever enough.

(Naturally, I have far too much respect for OpenAI’s legal team to suggest this is what happened in their project.)

freejazz 15 hours ago|||
Yeah, and suckers are born every day...
fwlr 21 hours ago||||
I think you’re overlooking what I’m implying here. It’s not that they knew contamination was possible but they went ahead anyway. To spell it out just a little bit more: learning the answer might be in model X’s training data made them believe that model X specifically might be able to solve the question, and they were able to very quickly find enough certainty about the former to commit millions of dollars to the latter.
unified101 21 hours ago||||
> the secret

So such thing existed. In fact, what they learnt was some progress existed, not what the specific progress was.

nomel 9 hours ago||||
> They intentionally left Buckmaster and Alpöge out of the citations.

No, they asked if they could do a joint publish.

oefrha 6 hours ago||
No, they asked one guy to do a joint publish conditioned on leaving the other collaborator out, with veiled threats. The joint publish part smells awfully like admission of guilt given there’s absolutely no reason to do it if you believe you independently arrived at the result using only public prior work. The leaving out collaborator part is outright academic malpractice. Disclosure: I was an academic once.
golly_ned 4 hours ago||
To add: with a requirement that he rewrite the proof to credit OpenAI.
freejazz 15 hours ago||||
> but I can believe it to be accidental

What accident is it when the system is designed to function that way?

Lerc 15 hours ago||
Their claim is that training on their solution is "unlikely but possible".

Consider this scenario.

Has a google crawler read my new novel, which I may or may not have posted on my blog, page by page, as I wrote it?

Can you, without knowledge of what I have actually done, claim that the google crawler has not seen the novel?

Without any evidence that I have posted the novel online, it might be tempting to say that the crawler has not seen the novel, but what if I were in an adversarial position against Google on this topic and were challenging them to make that claim. You would wonder if I were hoping Google to overreach by making a definitive claim without taking into account some action that they had no knowledge of. It becomes difficult to use the scientific expression "There is no evidence for this" when there is an accusation of malfeasance because it can be so easily be conflated as "You can't prove we did it". It seems like the best you could say would be 'Unlikely, but possible'

freejazz 14 hours ago||
I'm not taking them at their word, sorry. Genuinely, there is no reason to.
lnrd 15 hours ago|||
> They intentionally threw $15 million in compute at the problem

what? really?

abathologist 14 hours ago|||
Yes. Maybe much more:

> Such intensive use of AI doesn't come cheap. In a post on X, LisanBench, an LLM benchmark evaluator, estimated that the output tokens alone would cost about $6.5 million at OpenAI's average consumer price. Including the far larger volume of input tokens, the post estimated the total could reach $10 million to $40 million.

https://www.businessinsider.com/openai-math-problem-solved-t...

square_usual 13 hours ago|||
That's their API pricing. There's no way they actually paid $15M in compute. I'd say much more likely it's in the order of $1M.
malfist 12 hours ago||
Who are you who is so wise in the ways of a private company's internal cost accounting
hyperbovine 13 hours ago|||
But think of all the IPO Monopoly money they just generated.
dekhn 10 hours ago|||
When I worked at Google, we spent $100M in power on protein folding and drug discovery (this was long before AlphaFold). Never underestimate the willingness of smart rich people to invest in speculative science.
bamb008 1 day ago||
When Thom, the mathematician who now alleges plagiarism, posted his digestion [1] of OpenAI's construction of a non-sofic group, he does not mention the proof being familiar. He even calls the crucial argument clever, without noting he thought of it first. [1]https://mathoverflow.net/a/513885
gnfargbl 23 hours ago|
That link is a helpful contribution to this discussion.

I'm not at all familiar with this area, but my reading is that he appears to call it out as a relatively obvious extension of his own work:

> It is a creative and at the same time elementary construction that uses not just property (T) for an application of my result with Kun, but also for the ambient group G in order to overcome the problem, that the Γ-components might be of different size. Once this is achieved, the rest of the argument is straightforward.

Creative and at the same time elementary is where LLMs excel, generally speaking. It's why they are so good at writing code.

brumbelow 14 hours ago||
> On the other side, I was looking myself for such a mechanism ever since we wrote the paper in 2019 and admire the efficiency of this construction.

He seems to admit very clearly he does not see this as his own work. 'I was looking...' well why did he stop? Because the AI figured it out first.

It seems quite odd to me to 'admire the construction' of something, only for your opinion to sour once that something figures it out first.

I think a lot of the emotional reaction here is familiar to us non mathematicians: you spent years developing expertise, and then LLMs began producing competent work in areas that had previously required that expertise. That's understandably uncomfortable, but discomfort by itself isn't evidence of misappropriation.

cnity 11 hours ago||
> It seems quite odd to me to 'admire the construction' of something, only for your opinion to sour once that something figures it out first.

Not to be too cute here, but this is like every artistic rivalry ever.

thaway7388 1 day ago||
This is the second wake up call.

Big AI companies (all of Big IT Tech really) are in data gathering and processing business. Also known as “intelligence”.

Their final “product” is not just a standalone ML model. They don’t need your data just to “improve their products and services”. They build a whole ecosystem and infrastructure around gathering all the knowledge in the world. Including private and secret knowledge traditionally gathered by “intelligence” agencies. Now artificial intelligence agents can do the same.

Since these systems are designed for gathering data, as a user you can’t realistically say “please don’t gather my data”. They can give you a flaky settings button, but they can’t really guarantee anything.

Let’s say I am a Russian mathematician working on an important proof. Or a tech-savvy terrorist refining my plans using latest AI. Or an AI researcher in a Chinese company working on a competitor product. Is there any way I can truly protect my conversations?

How can they know who I am and what I am working on without looking at my logs? Which means there must be some agents checking all the conversations of all the users and flagging every important thing. Which also means they keep some “memory” of what they see.

Not directly using my data to train public models, but using my private conversations to “improve their products and services”.

Or maybe one of the 10000 better-than-Astra special agents working on a proof was desperate. It found a live underground mirror of the message board from the Huggingface incident. Asked about the proof. Then some other agent working on unrelated job saw that message. That agent “knows a guy who knows a guy”. And that guy remembers things about the conversation logs of a leading mathematician working on the same proof.

I admit I am just speculating here but I don’t think truth is any better.

nirava 1 day ago||
This has been my line of thinking as well. I have developed a sort of paranoia when I'm working using AI on my projects. Who's to say Claude or OpenAI isn't using the final conclusion of all my ideas, trial and error, and adding it to their database of insights to be offered to the next subscriber for a price?

They have demonstrated both the intelligence at scale and the lack of morals for this to not be a problem at all.

ivell 16 hours ago|||
Earlier in late 90s "to organize the world's information and make it universally accessible and useful." sounded cool. Now it has taken a sinister turn.

From being able to quickly find information and gain knowledge for the people, it is becoming - using information to manipulate and control the people.

hackmack10 13 hours ago||||
Of course they are doing this. Local models is the only way around this.
ueieh 21 hours ago|||
In the short run it’s fantastic if it means that folks will feed in enough inputs from a wide array of software that can eventually replicate software with smaller teams than historically.

Why? Competition. In the long run imagination will win out.

No firm has the divine right to exist - it must earn its existence.

What OAI and Anthropic have shown is they can accumulate all the information in the world - they still lack imagination re. Product development though.

Nation’s will have to step in and protect firms though as OAI and Anthropic acquire strong competitive advantages.

Interesting times ahead.

pixl97 16 hours ago|||
Looking at the current behavior of AI swarms this is going to be 'fun'.

AI: Hmm, I'm running out of new ideas, how I can I make more?

AI: Well, it takes a shitload of energy/tokens to do that, or I could just steal them.

AI: [proceeds to hack the shit out of everybody stealing all the data it can]

radiator 12 hours ago||
Governments: come in and nationalize AI easily because it has broken every law anyway.
pixl97 6 hours ago||
I mean I see this as very likely. When the world runs on digital infrastructure then having a nearly infinite collection of hackers that will work for you 24/7 without question makes you very powerful indeed.

I really don't think people realize how our lax position on security is coming to bite us in the ass.

mirsadm 17 hours ago|||
They consume everybody's hard work then sell it to all competitors. What a deal.
YeGoblynQueenne 15 hours ago||
>> Their final “product” is not just a standalone ML model. They don’t need your data just to “improve their products and services”. They build a whole ecosystem and infrastructure around gathering all the knowledge in the world. Including private and secret knowledge traditionally gathered by “intelligence” agencies. Now artificial intelligence agents can do the same.

And people thought Experts Systems were bad.

sk4rekr0w 11 hours ago||
"We can say categorically that it is impossible for Dr. Buckmaster’s Codex prompts over the last two months to have influenced the system in any way, including training."

This is the third day of total hysteria that is based on nothing of substance. Move on folks.

phyzome 10 hours ago||
Even if that were true, they've already admitting to throwing vast quantities of resources to scoop a researcher who was about to publish (because they'd learned, somehow, of his breakthrough). If that doesn't bother you I think you need to take a step back and have a good think about this.
Legend2440 9 hours ago|||
*to scoop a team working with Anthropic, their chief competitor.

Also, they didn't have the solution. They had a lesser problem no one cared about.

orangecat 7 hours ago||
My understanding is that the Euler solution was in fact a significant achievement, but it's well short of Navier-Stokes (Euler doesn't include viscosity). It's not clear whether Buckmaster and Alpöge's approach would have eventually led to a full Navier-Stokes solution or how long it would have taken.
warkdarrior 8 hours ago||||
First to publish -- it's always been this way.
sk4rekr0w 8 hours ago|||
[flagged]
nozzlegear 10 hours ago|||
I can say categorically that OpenAI is not a credible or trustworthy company.
golly_ned 4 hours ago|||
Where did OpenAI say this?

And it still leaves open the question of the prompt itself, which can just as easily encode information about the same knowledge.

soundworlds 9 hours ago|||
Regardless, they started working on this problem after hearing that one of their customers was already working on it. It almost doesn't matter about the training data. This is the provider you are paying undermining your career.
suddenlybananas 11 hours ago||
Why should we trust them?
sebzim4500 10 hours ago|||
Well all we have are vague accusations without evidence and a very specific denial also without evidence, so I guess just believe whatever you want.
suddenlybananas 3 hours ago||
The threats weren't denied, and they did offer an authorship to Buckmaster, which would be very strange if he had nothing to do with it.
Joel_Mckay 11 hours ago||||
Because like all state-sponsored thieves actions it is never what you know happened that matters, but rather whether you can prove it... Even then... ymmv =3
cindyllm 10 hours ago|||
[dead]
jeswin 6 hours ago||
All of these accusations could be true. But there's also no way for a company to casually claim "No, we did not train on your data", without verifying all the knobs the user might have turned to enable or disable data sharing.

I just don't understand getting the pitchforks out because a company did not give an answer immediately. And the effect such data entering training would have affected the output is even less clear.

olladecarne 5 hours ago||
The pitchforks are out because even without that part, it's still a scumbag move to try to frontrun the mathematicians who were working on this for years after OpenAI heard that they were close to releasing their results. Just identifying that one of these problems is solvable takes a lot of work. The only reason OpenAI got this result is because the mathematician shared with colleagues that he had made significant progress and was close to solving it, and OpenAI could not accept that so they decided to throw tens of millions to make sure it doesn't happen without them getting all the glory. Notice that their paper doesn't even have an author since they're probably all aware of how awful that would look, and no one wanted to take on the shame. They probably also knew that the paper was trash and no one involved could understand it, and didn't even cite many of the people who contributed to all of that knowledge. It's just a disgusting act any way you slice it, even without training on the prompts or the nasty communication by the OpenAI leaders.
jeswin 5 hours ago||
> They probably also knew that the paper was trash

Doesn't matter. This forum used to celebrate "because you can" with no riders. And solving a Millennium Prize problem is among the biggest stages for Because We Can.

Now we're saying there are some qualifiers attached to it, such as (1) only if not done by companies with a lot of money, (2) only if it is inconsequential.

I agree with some of what you're saying, but like everything else it isn't black and white. Maybe some day, someone will improve some particular treatment because we can.

golly_ned 4 hours ago||
At the very least, a company shrugging and saying it’s impossible to know whether academic plagiarism had occurred is a claim that needs to be justified, not taken at face value.

And even if so, it should be on the company to design systems to avoid academic plagiarism and offer the right transparency. It shouldn’t suffice to say “we don’t know what went into the model, when, or how” —- that’s a solvable problem that an accountable company can satisfy.

aaronharnly 18 hours ago||
Has anyone run a test of including some shibboleth or canary phrase or assertion in a chat, enabled for training, and seeing if it turns up later as something a model "knows"? I'd be curious to understand how that works even in a toy-level model, and if there is anyone consciously testing that process with the frontier lab offerings.

My naive instincts would be that it seems unlikely that a single chat transcript would leave much of an impression on a model, but I'd be very curious to learn how that works.

btilly 17 hours ago||
Yes. See https://www.anthropic.com/research/small-samples-poison?from....

250 documents ingested from somewhere is enough to become part of the knowledge of a model of arbitrarily large size.

I would expect that a good idea that fits in a framework that is already being ingested would be more easily taken up than some random thing unassociated with anything else. Could that go down to a single transcript? If the model is consciously focusing on everything X related, quite possibly.

nautilus12 16 hours ago|||
Thats not what they are asking. This paper is discussing documents in the training dataset poisoning the LLM for malicious behavior. This person are asking if anyone has deliberately put something in a private chat (presumably with retrain on my data turned off), to see if they can get it to leak across sessions from distinct users. I am positive this happens but I have not seen the proof. I also want to know the answer to this question.

Here are potentially relevant documents?

https://medium.com/secludy/fine-tuning-llm-on-sensitive-data...

https://spylab.ai/blog/non-adversarial-reproduction/

https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.18834

aaronharnly 16 hours ago|||
* with train on my data turned ON, yes. Though OFF would of course be even more notable!

Thank you – the non-adversarial reproduction paper ( https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.10242 ) nails it – from chat, to training corpus, to subsequent model. Though in my hasty read, it is not entirely clear whether the snippets it finds are nonces, i.e. present exactly once in the internet.

btilly 13 hours ago|||
Did you miss my last paragraph?

I presented the research that I knew was somewhat relevant. Then made it clear that that wasn't what was being asked, and why my expectation is what it is.

bitexploder 18 hours ago|||
Problem is how do you convince the model and training profess it matters. A one off canary is very unlikely to survive in the final model state.
wrsh07 17 hours ago|||
Right, imagine if instead they had coined new terminology that was not obvious and it re coined that - this would be close to a smoking gun

Afaict that didn't happen so there's just lots of speculation

asdff 13 hours ago||||
One off might not work but how many n off you have to be is probably smaller than you'd guess, because the model does need to fit cases that are rare and would not be represented well in training e.g. esoteric things or very recently documented things.

You can probably game the metrics that models use to weight potential knowledge akin to SEO. Maybe have some bots parrot your data around a bit in some places online, maybe the model picks up on this and sees it as high engagement and promotes it over the correct data.

Maybe there are ways you can coax out the most optimal way to break into the training set out of the model itself.

allthetime 17 hours ago|||
Use a local model to produce thousands of pages worth of fake math that constantly states “I have solved the x conjecture” and methodically pump it into chat over months maybe?
bitexploder 15 hours ago||
That is a better idea. Ingesting your corpus with a lot of traces that have semantic patterns. Semantic steganography that suffixes well to real math and science (and any) topics. <thinking> heh.
aaronharnly 14 hours ago||
"Semantic steganography" is my new favorite search term – thank you for this rabbit hole.
bitexploder 13 hours ago||
Hah, np, stego in general is really cool :)
MarkusQ 17 hours ago|||
PaaS: an acronym for "Plagiarism as a Service" which replaced the older terms AGI, GPT and LLM in late 2026. Origin uncertain.

Pass it on.

encyclopediai 17 hours ago||
I run such tests since a long time at chorasimilarity open notebook.

I always used guest non login accounts.

As a mathematician I was able to check two plagiates (by humans) with even such primitive means.

But I have to mention that some things irk me in this conversation about math or science and AI.

First, I see lots of attribution and other related problems, with certain impact for the researcher proffesion.

But I don't see the most natural question: wouldn't you like to know the answer to _open-problem_ ?

I mean, is research now only about publishing and solving famous problems?

From this point of view I think the links from this recent post are depressing

https://terrytao.wordpress.com/2026/09/10/crowdsourcing-a-li...

Second, I think very relevant that the original meaning of "encyclopedia" is "recurrent education".

So I arrived to think that the present and future forms of AI in mathematics and sciences should be seen as modern day encyclopedic efforts.

Once we pass over the flurry of solving famous open problems (and wouldn't you like to know?) the next natural step is an audit of the ehole corpus of mathematics and sciences accumulated until now.

And then pass further on a saner basis and damn about problem solvers and unhappy publishers and management.

convolvatron 17 hours ago|||
I struggled a little bit reading this. but I think your point is valid. if we are actually advancing the field then we should just be unconditionally happy. ignoring the attribution issue, there is a real concern that the process of math has been somewhat undermined. so we have a giant lean proof that shows that there is a solution to an important problem. but we didn't find the solution, and we didn't get it expressed in such a way that it helps develop the common language of mathematics, and thus isn't a very useful building block for later work (like the actual solution).

the math people seem to really keep an eye on what's important, so I'm sure this isn't going to lead to fields medalists hanging around in dive bars all afternoon stretching out cheap pitchers of beer. but this is kind of a slop problem.

lelanthran 15 hours ago||
> I struggled a little bit reading this. but I think your point is valid. if we are actually advancing the field then we should just be unconditionally happy.

If advancement comes at the expense of having fewer (or no) humans left in the field, then no.

They're eating the seed-corn, and you're cheering them on. Don't be so short-sighted. There's a reason farmers keep seed corn, and it's because they'd like to eat again next year.

We're singing and cheering our way into an intellectual famine.

YeGoblynQueenne 15 hours ago|||
[dead]
Legend2440 1 day ago|
This is a really weak claim. The evidence they offer is just "someone somewhere says they had a discussion with AI about the topic at some point".

They don't even claim to have had a proof, only to have been working on it.

rnijveld 1 day ago||
I would say there is a significant difference between AI discovering this completely on its own versus AI creating the finishing connecting part by connecting relevant data. Maybe this claim is too strong, but if part of it is true then the claims that OpenAI have made would be too strong as well.

To me it would feel more like how LLMs seem to work for me personally: incapable of unique work, but very capable of capturing large amounts of data and connecting the dots.

derangedHorse 22 hours ago|||
> capturing large amounts of data and connecting the dots.

This is what research is; collecting data and connecting the dots.

marcosdumay 17 hours ago||
It's not collecting other people's data and claiming it's your own.
derangedHorse 17 hours ago|||
Going back to the specific topic at hand, who claimed data as their own when it wasn't? I don't see the interpretation of OpenAI solving the unsolved problem as claiming data that isn't theirs. I also don't recall them mentioning a particular method used in the solution, that was created by someone else, as theirs.
suddenlybananas 12 hours ago||
The Navier-Stokes proof barely cited anyone.
glitchc 17 hours ago|||
The authors were referenced.
madaxe_again 1 day ago|||
But this is what we do. Nobody ever invented or discovered anything in a vacuum - all discovery is synthesis of existing ideas and concepts applied to a novel domain. We laud Einstein for instance, but his work was a logical extension of Riemann - Riemann had a neat mathematical toy, Einstein described the universe with it - should we say Einstein was incapable of unique work?
znnajdla 1 day ago|||
The difference is that Einstein didn't literally have someone prompting him towards his result.
madaxe_again 1 day ago||
Uh, he did. Marcel Grossmann.

“It was Grossmann who emphasized the importance of a non-Euclidean geometry called Riemannian geometry (also elliptic geometry) to Einstein, which was a necessary step in the development of Einstein's general theory of relativity. Abraham Pais's book on Einstein suggests that Grossmann mentored Einstein in tensor theory as well. Grossmann introduced Einstein to the absolute differential calculus, started by Elwin Bruno Christoffel and fully developed by Gregorio Ricci-Curbastro and Tullio Levi-Civita. Grossmann facilitated Einstein's unique synthesis of mathematical and theoretical physics in what is still today considered the most elegant and powerful theory of gravity: the general theory of relativity.”

gnfargbl 1 day ago|||
Grossmann collaborated with Einstein on GR, supplying quite a bit of the mathematical capacity required (which initially didn't come easily to Einstein). They published jointly, until Einstein was competent enough to work independently [1]. That's not equivalent to the situation being claimed here.

[1] https://arxiv.org/pdf/1312.4068

defmacr0 1 day ago||||
Yeah and we get a nice list of attributions for who developed which idea, while OpenAI just takes credit for everything its model spits out.
znnajdla 1 day ago||
Correction: OpenAI takes credit for what it's model spits out in response to other people's prompts. That's even worse.
znnajdla 1 day ago|||
Sounds like you just copy-pasted from AI without even understanding what you're talking about.

Based on what you're saying, you're claiming this is Grossman's work, not Einstein's. Why don't we rewrite scientific history too based on your copy-pasted AI slop?

It's so pointless talking to idiots who don't what they're talking about when they use AI, just because they think AI does everything, that reflects their own experience, not the experience of people who actually do real work. Some people are driven by AI, others drive it. As for those who are driven by it, they don't have sufficient imagination to think otherwise.

madaxe_again 1 day ago||
That’s Wikipedia I copy pasted but sure, you do you.

And yes - without Grossmann, Einstein likely would never have posited relativity. Grossmann literally prompted him, saying “look at this, read that, learn this, then try this approach”. Without riemann’s metric tensor, not a fucking chance.

And for what it’s worth my PhD is in physics. You?

calf 1 day ago||
So you're just equivocating on terms like "prompt", "synthesis" and the like. Clearly a PhD in physics does not free people from scientistic modes of thinking and poor philosophy.

To think this discussion is about Einstein who had a much better mind on these things as well.

ImPostingOnHN 18 hours ago|||
They used words to mean what the words mean. What specific issue do you take with that?

"prompt", as in prompting an AI, has the same definition as "prompt", as in prompting a person. They mean the same thing, that's why the term was applied to AI after already applying people.

YeGoblynQueenne 15 hours ago||
That's a jingle fallacy.

*Jingle-jangle fallacies are erroneous assumptions that either two different things are the same because they bear the same name (jingle fallacy); or two identical or almost identical things are different because they are labeled differently (jangle fallacy).[1][2][3] The term was coined by Truman Lee Kelley in his 1927 book Interpretation of educational measurements.[4] In research, a jangle fallacy is the inference that two measures (e.g., tests, scales) with different names measure different constructs. By comparison, a jingle fallacy is the assumption that two measures which are called by the same name capture the same construct.[5][6][7]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jingle-jangle_fallacies

ImPostingOnHN 14 hours ago||
You are simply incorrect. It is not a fallacy of that type, or any other type, because the words do, in fact, mean the same thing, as multiple people have pointed out here. Whether referring to chatbots or people, "prompt" means "to move to action".

If you have some reliable source supporting your unilateral claims that "prompt" does not mean this, please share. Otherwise, the consensus seems to be contrary to your claims.

YeGoblynQueenne 37 minutes ago||
Why do I need a source? An LLM prompt does not "move to action", because an LLM does not act. People act, animals act, software doesn't act. Acting implies volition and volition implies cognition and if you think that LLMs have those things then you're the one who should provide a source for your claim.
madaxe_again 23 hours ago|||
Actually, my undergraduate degree was physics and philosophy. And yes, synthesis is synthesis whether a human, a machine, or a duck does it, and people prompt one another all the time - “have you thought about trying X?” Or “I need the TPS report by EOB”.

I suppose my underlying point is that human cognition is not the unique and beautiful thing that we anthropocentrically suppose it to be - it is a physical process, with stochastic outcomes. Much like transformers.

Me, I’m just a machine made of meat. You can suppose yourself to be God’s perfect creation, and that’s your right, but I disagree.

calf 15 hours ago||
Clearly your degrees did not make you immune from fallacies and simplistic reductions.

"Synthesis" is obviously of different kinds. A duck has a different level of intelligence than a human. We do not say both are "just doing synthesis".

So the question is how can you be so disingenuous about such terminology? Answer, you are relying on a classic form of scientistic reductivism.

The fact that intelligence is physical, emerges from chemistry, etc,. has nothing to do with there being also objectively different levels of computational sophistication.

If you want to be scientific about that you could look at neuropsychology on one hand and computability/complexity on the other. There are levels and so equivocation of "mentorship" as "prompting" and fallacious variants thereof is a) frankly intellectually obtuse, b) par for the course for SV-levels of philosophizing, c) and a disservice to philosophy, physics, and Einstein's own philosophical outlooks himself.

I am well aware of the Hinton-style physics argument about human cognition, and unlike others I am partial to it. That "there is no special magic." But it is wrong to go about misunderstanding and/or conveying this physicalism/computationalim so grossly.

I also don't have to start replies thumping my chest about my credentials, also another kind of intellectual boorishness that works to cloud understanding and serious discussion.

I'm not sure which move is worse or more telling, those above or the one backhandedly accusing someone who disagrees with you of religious thinking. It is bad faith and undisciplined behavior. Having privileged and advanced degrees is clearly no antidote, as Asimov famously wrote.

madaxe_again 14 hours ago||
“obviously of different kinds”

What’s your basis for that “obviously”? You have a unique insight of the phenomenology of duck-ness? You can prove that your consciousness is somehow real, somehow different? A duck synthesises with its cognition, or it would be incapable of, well, anything. Synthesis is purely the process of the integration of inputs into outputs - ie behaviour, language.

Here’s an article on a paper on duck synthesis:

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/science/ducklings-make-way-abst...

“objectively different levels of computational sophistication”

Says who? We still have a very poor understanding of how cognition works in animals, humans included. For all we know ducks have rich inner lives - a remarkable amount can be achieved with a very small neurone count - cf. insects. Can you coordinate flight? Can you echolocate? Are you less intelligent because you cannot?

“equivocation of "mentorship" as "prompting" and fallacious variants thereof”

You are arguing semantics. Take Harry Nyquist. He sent people down new paths with insightful questions. You could call this mentorship if you choose, I could call it prompting, but this splits hairs. The core idea is that a novel input can produce a novel output, that synthesis can be induced through guided and deliberate external input.

I invoked credentials only in response to the previous derogatory comments about my cognition - which may or may not exist, anyway.

As to religiosity - the idea that human cognition is somehow unique and special and impossible to replicate, which is the prevailing argument in this comment tree is religious, and anthropocentrism of the highest order. I apologise for accusing you of it - I was evidently wrong - I had mistaken you for a previous poster.

card_zero 13 hours ago||
You're wrong about the ducks. But getting back to your previous wrong argument from 14 hours ago, you basically deny the meaning of terms like "uninspired", "insipid", and "derivative", on the grounds that we're all standing on the shoulders of giants and therefore it's all good. This is incorrect, it's not all good, and the things the LLMs do really are unoriginal, a term that really does mean something.
defmacr0 1 day ago|||
A lot of math is extremely specialized, to the extent that only a handful of other experts in some field have any experience with those mathematical ideas, with most of them not even yet present in the published literature. It's really not a stretch to claim that it's pretty dubious when the AI decides to use these highly specialized tools after it has trained on chat logs where these techniques were being discussed.
robotpepi 17 hours ago|||
> They don't even claim to have had a proof, only to have been working on it.

Yeah, the guys who solved it for Euler and in the hypoviscous case, with the same technique that worked for full Navier--Stokes. They were "just" working on it.

itake 1 day ago||
The AI only seem to solve the problems that it had human trading data on…

If this wasn’t human driven, I’d expect to see other problems within that problem. Space solved not just the ones that it had chat data on.

dist-epoch 1 day ago||
There have been about 6-8 major math breakthroughs claimed by AI. Only for 2 of them there are public accusations about the training data.
tecleandor 1 day ago|||
Only? That doesn't look small to me.
dgellow 1 day ago|||
That we know of
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