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Posted by jalev 2 days ago

The LLMentalist Effect (2023)(softwarecrisis.dev)
230 points | 307 commentspage 4
signa11 1 day ago|
can there be any intelligence without any curiosity ?
krupan 2 days ago||
People are missing the point. We should all be much more skeptical, much more careful about how we evaluate the claims made by the people selling these products because we as humans are super vulnerable to the types of scams the author of this article describes. We all know someone that has fallen for a scam, been "cured" of a "disease" by someone whose just selling sugar pills, but we are blind to our own weakness for similar schemes. Surely we aren't that easily duped! Yet hacker news is now full of comments from people confidently predicting what is coming right around the corner, revering the Frontier Models, and defending every claim from OpenAI and Anthropic about how amazing their proprietary closed source secret sauce fueled product is.
pixl97 2 days ago|
The problem with people is we love to express in writing things we are ignorant about. Now, this helps us become less ignorant if we are introspective, but a lot of people are not doing it for that reason.

The fact that every new model generation has come with more capabilities should give the full skeptics at least a little pause that the foundations of their convictions may be incorrect.

krupan 2 days ago||
It's not even clear that the actual LLMs have improved. It could be all the non-LLM software (harnesses), the system prompts, the sheer amount of compute hardware, etc. that makes them better. We could be quickly running up against a wall. The complete package of technology that is OpenAI's and Anthropic's products are completely opaque and proprietary. The psychic/con artist communication both from the LLM and the humans like Sam Altman only muddies the water further
rpdillon 2 days ago|||
People on HN have been claiming that LLMs are going to hit a wall any second now for the past two and a half years.

To reiterate, this is the very beginning of a long series of technological expansions that are going to come out of GenAI. The work is going to go on for decades. All you have to do is look at what happened with the mass-produced automobile, the personal computer, the internet, and mobile phones to see how long the propagation will continue before we settle into a new normal.

pixl97 2 days ago||
LLMs are really so new that the amount of exploration we've done on them is still tiny. It's also a field where a decade of work is being done every year. The vast majority of detractors I've seen always seem to be way way behind the latest models and even farther behind the papers coming out.
pixl97 2 days ago|||
>non-LLM software (harnesses), the system prompts, the sheer amount of compute hardware,

Eh, this is turning into a messy chinese room argument. It is the room or is it the system. In my philosophy the chinese room argument is a non-starter. It's not the room, it's the system. For LLMS this would be like arguing that the output of a single prompt has to be able to answer everything which is nothing close to how human intelligence works. A single human thought is rarely intelligent, it's most often a replay of information it already has. Dialectic processes and loop processes are what tends to push the limits of human intelligence. We reach local maxima with thought alone, and this is boosted by things like writing down the problem and having other humans that may be even less intelligent than you add to the process. In fact this process works with one self by writing and reading ones own thoughts as it's using different subsystems of the mind for introspection.

The idea that LLMs have ran out of steam typically show more of a lack of imagination in the writer than what's occurring in the field.

PowerElectronix 1 day ago||
I like how back in 2023 we had "no AI scientist believes this to be intelligence" and in 2026 we have cults in Anthropic praying to the LLM.
mindcrime 2 days ago||
(EDIT: I, like some others, just noticed this is an older post from 2023. That changes nothing in particular in my response here, but I would be curious to know if the OP's views have shifted at all in light of subsequent developments).

I feel like this post completely misses the point, pretty much across the board. And it does so by repeating the same mistake that everybody keeps making - conflating mechanism and function.

One of the issues in during this research—one that has perplexed me—has been that many people are convinced that language models, or specifically chat-based language models, are intelligent.

That's because they are intelligent.

But there isn’t any mechanism inherent in large language models (LLMs) that would seem to enable this and,

The mechanism is irrelevant to the issue of whether they are intelligent or not. Airplanes fly, despite not flapping their wings. The sign on the marquee says artificial intelligence.

LLMs are not brains and do not meaningfully share any of the mechanisms that animals or people use to reason or think.

Again, irrelevant. Nobody claims that they are brains, and it doesn't matter what mechanism they use. The sign on the marquee says artificial intelligence.

LLMs are a mathematical model of language tokens. You give a LLM text, and it will give you a mathematically plausible response to that text.

That's a bit overly reductionistic. And to the earlier point and, if real, it would be completely unexplained.

I'd probably leave out the word "completely" there, but it is fair to say that not everything about the underlying mechanism is understood. But at the risk of repeating myself, that's orthogonal to the question of whether or not they are intelligent.

There is no reason to believe that it thinks or reasons—indeed, every AI researcher and vendor to date has repeatedly emphasised that these models don’t think.

You mean "There is no reason to believe that it thinks or reasons like a human". Again, this is irrelevant to the question of whether or not they are intelligent. The sign on the marquee says artificial intelligence.

I don't know why people keep obsessing over mechanism in this discussion. It something functions as an intelligence, it is intelligent as far as I'm concerned - at least when the framing is a discussion of artificial intelligence.

mindcrime 2 days ago|
And just to expand on why I reject the line of thought laid out in this article, let me share something from my own life as an illustrative example.

I'm working on a project, with a lot of help from ChatGPT, involving an "artificial neuron". That is, an electronic circuit, using a PUT, a capacitor, and some resistors, that simulates some of the behavior of a biological neuron. Specifically an "integrate and fire" model of neuron behavior. To that end, I'm running experiments by scripting my function generator to send signals to the circuit, and then capturing the inputs and outputs on my oscilloscope. Then I usually discuss the results with ChatGPT. In what follows, observe a couple of things:

1. The LLM "knows" the context of what we're talking about, even if I provide a prompt with no text at all, just an image.

2. It parses a moderately complex image, identifies the separate traces and what they represent, uses the time-base information displayed on screen, and the on-screen graticule, and works out "how many input pulses fire before an output pulse fires" and then reports back to me and gives an analysis of how that relates to our previous observations and gives suggestions for the next experiment to run.

Human intelligence? No. But I see no world where behavior like that does not count as "intelligent" regardless of the mechanism behind it. And that's probably not even the best example I could come up with, it's just something that was "top of mind" and for which I had the necessary images and what-not already ready, or easy to capture.

https://www.fogbeam.com/images/neuron_zero0.png

https://www.fogbeam.com/images/neuron_zero1.png

https://www.fogbeam.com/images/neuron_zero2.png

https://www.fogbeam.com/images/neuron_zero3.png

https://www.fogbeam.com/images/neuron_zero4.png

SuperV1234 1 day ago||
> 2023 > 200 upvotes

typical hn

Good4boothee 1 day ago|
It has more comments than points, IFAIK that causes flamewar suppression to kick in and take it off the frontpage. It would be great for submission to include year in title when it matters but I doubt it can be reliably automated.
aidiscoverywire 2 days ago||
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kyberlex 2 days ago||
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mr_big_bowls 1 day ago||
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_superposition_ 2 days ago|
I predict a lot of butt hurt tokens in the comments...