Polls seem completely useless over the past decade or so. I think betting markets are a better indicator of true sentiment now.
tancop 1 day ago|
Betting markets are even less representative. People who trade on politics are usually rich conservative men with a risk taking mindset and more likely to be active crypto users or work in finance. It's a totally different user base from normal polls.
gruez 1 day ago||
The point of markets isn't to recruit a diverse user base, it's to create an incentive structure that punishes bad predictions and rewards good predictions.