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Posted by simonebrunozzi 5 hours ago

Will we put data centers in space?(www.forethought.org)
49 points | 143 commentspage 4
zelphirkalt 4 hours ago|
No we will not. The reason is simple: Space is not in the cloud, it is above. Anything that's not in the cloud is bad.

Silliness aside, has anyone come up with a cooling system that would work well for a friggin data center in space? Or is it still all just a wishful thinking game, ignoring physics?

vlovich123 4 hours ago||
The plan as I understand it is to pack it tightly with TPUs with liquid cooling out to radiators and flying a tight cluster of these next to each other using high bandwidth laser links. That lets you balance the amount of thermal radiation you need to emit vs the amount of TPUs in a single satellite. Thus it’s not a DC in a single satellite but more like a rack and then a bundle of racks flying beside each other.
ben_w 4 hours ago|||
> Silliness aside, has anyone come up with a cooling system that would work well for a friggin data center in space? Or is it still all just a wishful thinking game, ignoring physics

That cooling is already perfectly viable.

However at the temperatures chips operate at, because stuff on the ground is getting convective cooling as well as radiative, a radiator designed for LEO will reject slightly more heat on the ground than it would in orbit.

exogeny 4 hours ago|||
It is absolutely a wishful thinking game, ignoring physics. It's a bet made by investors who don't know or care about the science, and are looking for a modal outcome of a failed company purchased by SpaceX or by an even dumber company looking to compete with SpaceX.
pfdietz 1 hour ago|||
Whenever I asked someone to dig down into "against the laws of physics" arguments, they turned out to instead rest on a pile of tacit and pessimistic technological assumptions.

Perhaps you could explain in detail why you think the laws of physics have to be violated for space data centers to work.

vlovich123 4 hours ago|||
I recommend reading up on the results of Google’s project suncatcher. IMHO the results have provided a roadmap to space DCs with the only blocker being launch cost which are targeted to become economically viable in 2030s; sooner for spacex because they can lower their margins to zero or even negative for the launch itself.
freecodeio 1 hour ago||
it's the equivalent of PMs asking "can we just make our own llm to save costs"
ggm-at-algebras 4 hours ago||
Do we need to? Do we want to? Who is "we" here?
quantum_state 2 hours ago||
Solar wind and magnetic storm will fry the data center into space junk …
etchalon 52 minutes ago||
So if launch costs drop 15x and radiator technology improves 12 to 30x and chip lose is improved 2x and there are absolutely no innovations that make terrestrial deployment cheaper, it's totally slightly cheaper!
WillPostForFood 4 hours ago||
I have a few qualms with this:

As a Linux user, I can already build such a system quite trivially by installing Debian on a Raspberry Pi, attaching it to a weather balloon, and setting up a cron job to maintain orbit. The cooling is handled by opening a window. From Windows or Mac, the balloon could be accessed through built-in software.

omgwtfbyobbq 4 hours ago||
Even if they aren't financially viable, I think they're attractive because companies want to keep certain kinds of data/processing on everyone/everything someplace where there's a lower chance of government regulation (gdpr/etc).

If this is the case, I wouldn't be surprised to see them eventually support these kinds of regulations because it would enhance their moat (now earth orbit in addition to large capex for equipment and a sufficiently large user base).

berkes 1 hour ago||
In that case, international water is far easier. There already are server farms on old oil rigs.

But, as these things go, regulation isn't that much about where you put the computers, but about where you register your company, and where your customers are living.

omgwtfbyobbq 52 minutes ago||
It's easier, but it's riskier too. Someone can come along a take your stuff a lot easier at sea than they can in orbit. And weather is always tricky, although launches aren't easy either.

In terms of regulation, it depends on the specifics. Sometimes it depends on where the customer lives, but even if it does, when a platform has no business operations in a region and there aren't international treaties between the consumer country and where they're operating from to resolve that sort of thing, the most the regulating country can do is block them.

jeltz 2 hours ago|||
GDPR does not care about where your servers are located.
omgwtfbyobbq 1 hour ago||
It seems to be in certain cases. For example Meta is subject to GDPR because they have EU headquarters, and were subject to fines because they transferred EU data to US servers.

If they have headquarters outside the EU, and only use data they've already acquired/processed to make money off of EU consumers from outside the EU, GDPR shouldn't be an issue for them in the same way.

And GDPR makes it harder for their competitors to catch up because it's harder for those competitors to get data.

Eezee 1 hour ago||
Aren't they subject to GDPR because they do business in the EU with EU citizens? I don't see how that would change.
omgwtfbyobbq 54 minutes ago||
Probably, but not in the same way. I'm guessing they wouldn't have been fined for external data transfers if their servers were located outside the EU.

It could be that the EU would block them if they wanted to host fb/etc... including ads, and didn't have a presence in the EU, but I'm not sure if that's the case.

rightnutwingjob 1 hour ago|||
There are only three ways to deal with regulations you don’t like: political, legal, and force.

Where you put something is completely irrelevant.

omgwtfbyobbq 1 hour ago||
That's not accurate. You can build/do/etc things in some places and not in others because of differences in local law/regulation.

Where you put something, like a data center, can be relevant. If Meta didn't have a business presence in the EU, and operated their data centers outside of the EU, they wouldn't have been subject to GDPR in the same way they were.

Goodliff 3 hours ago||
One cool possibility is superconductance with a number of materials.

The catches:

o Shielding from the sun's light and radiant heat.

o And efficiently radiating the system heat into space (since there is no air to convect or conduct the heat away).

octoberfranklin 1 hour ago||
For people selling the anti-sabotage / anti-datacenter-terrorism angle: the math doesn't work.

The energy needed to achieve orbital altitude is vastly less than the energy needed to reach orbit. About 1kg of rocket fuel will carry a small explosive and some tiny steel spheres to LEO altitude. The projectile will not be in orbit; it won't have escape velocity -- in fact it will briefly hit zero velocity (wrt the earth) at orbital altitude and then fall back to earth.

The very large cloud of shrapnel created will encompass LEO orbital height for several seconds. If an orbiting datacenter passes through the cloud during those seconds, the shrapnel will be moving at orbital velocity wrt the datacenter. In other words, just one piece will take it out.

With relatively simple rocketry (and, these days, an abliterated LLM to aid you) a dedicated luddite would have several opportunities per day to hit one of a constellation of satellites. If they wanted one very specific satellite they'd have one or two chances a year. The targeting and steering is not hard -- the orbital paths are publicly known and easily observable; you can use RF time-of-flight to implement exceptionally precise position/altitude/velocity measurements from the rocket (no need for GPS -- use your own transmitters on the ground). This is not hard. And it will only get easier as AI advances.

*I strongly discourage anybody reading this from doing the above.*

I'm posting it in order to show people that anti-sabotage is absolutely not a selling point for orbital datacenters. If anything, they are far more vulnerable to luddite attacks. The people channelling billions into this tech know this too. So their motive is something else. I don't know what, but it isn't this. The math doesn't work.

matteoraso 2 hours ago||
Even if data centres in space become cost-effective, what's the point? The only non-contrived answer that I can think of is to avoid NIMBYism, but pushback against data centres can't be that bad.
elnatro 4 hours ago|
If we don’t put data centers in the North Pole or in Antarctica, I really doubt that we put data centers in space.
pfdietz 1 hour ago||
In space solar energy is available all the time. That is not the case in those locations, and the storage needs to get around that are the worst on Earth.
gf000 2 minutes ago||
Wind, waves, nuclear.

You don't have to pack your energy generator into the same package where your compute would go, for laughably little energy. You can have a single cable go between a huge power plant and the data center.

erulastiel 4 hours ago||
Bro the North Pole doesn’t have land FYI
Marsymars 23 minutes ago|||
Hey the geomagnetic pole is probably currently somewhere over Ellesmere Island, though has been drifting away.
JRandomHacker42 4 hours ago|||
neither does space
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