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Posted by thatoneengineer 12/16/2025

The World Happiness Report is beset with methodological problems(yaschamounk.substack.com)
167 points | 212 comments
dosinga 12/16/2025|
I don't know. The World Happiness Report relies on one simple question, which is easy to criticise but at least it applies a clear and consistent method. The paper referred to does not. It uses a special US dataset for states and a much smaller global dataset for every other country, then treats the results as if they measure the same thing. This setup almost guarantees that US states look unusually good. The authors present this as evidence, but it mostly reflects differences in survey design rather than real differences in wellbeing. In that sense the methodological problems here are more serious than the ones they point to in the World Happiness Report.
rkagerer 12/16/2025||
In case others are wondering what the one simple question is (called the Cantril Ladder):

“Please imagine a ladder with steps numbered from zero at the bottom to ten at the top. Suppose we say that the top of the ladder represents the best possible life for you and the bottom of the ladder represents the worst possible life for you. If the top step is 10 and the bottom step is 0, on which step of the ladder do you feel you personally stand at the present time?”

Personally feels a little more convoluted than just asking "How happy are you, on a scale of 0-10?"

staticman2 12/16/2025|||
I'm not a psychology expert but from stuff I read I bet the reason they don't ask "How happy are you, on a scale of 0-10?" is they tried that and found the same person would give different answers from day to day and moment to moment based on what is going on this very minute.

I'd also bet that they found the above "convoluted" question was one that led to the same people giving more consistent answers from day to day and moment to moment.

Even if I'm wrong I hope you see this is a much thornier problem than just asking a question and assuming the answer tells us anything about the person taking the survey.

levocardia 12/16/2025|||
I have done survey methodology research and fully agree, almost assuredly when you see questions worded in a seemingly "convoluted" way like this, the reason is that there was exhaustive research that found this wording was the best balance of reliability and validity.

There is also a lot of value in a question that works well enough, that you ask consistently over long stretches of time (or long stretches of distance). Maybe it's not perfect, but the longitudinal data would be worthless if they updated the wording every single year.

rolandog 12/17/2025|||
Agreed!

Although I'm no survey expert, the thing I'd like to bring to everyone's attention is how easy it is to not take into account people that have a degree of numeric or math illiteracy... which I guess they are the main target demographic that is included by these questions (and I can also guess that they make a worryingly large part of the demographic, because our systems are rarely inclusive).

In my experience, having met people from multiple countries during the time I've been living abroad, what I have noticed is that — in this world filled with inequality — it is a privilege to be able to have a good grasp in scientific subjects. And, for lots of different factors, people have setbacks or trauma that make it difficult to learn a subject that is either boring or painful to them.

So, yes the questions are a bit convoluted, but they help paint a mental image for probably the majority with a thing that they may be closely familiar with: stairs... Plus, it probably helps statisticians get a better signal to noise out of the questions, too.

nxobject 12/17/2025|||
I agree – I'm sure social psychologists and psychometricians have been thinking about this since forever, probably since even the dawn of modern psychometrics. Cross-cultural and cross-language validity would likely be particularly problematic with something more detailed, especially once you get entangled with things like how anger is expressed and conceptualized, the role of positive outer expressions of affect like smiling, etc.
quitit 12/17/2025||||
It's easy to overlook the importance in outlining a process for evaluating each rung in the ladder.

Adding this nuance to the question serves to invite deeper thought and avoid assigning a motivation-based rating (like when you give the Uber driver 5 stars when what you felt was actually just "satisfactory").

A more basic rating question can invite other kinds of influence, such as a motivation in how they'd like their life to be perceived rather than how they genuinely feel it to be.

In surveys with less nuance the data tends to correlate around the extremes.

M95D 12/18/2025|||
It's the "best possible life for you" part of the question that makes all the difference.
seizethecheese 12/16/2025||||
But it needs to be convoluted. The problem with the simpler version is the word happy needs to be translated both culturally and more literally.
notahacker 12/16/2025|||
Yep. There are some implicit cultural expectations around "best possible life" which vary from country to country, but it's not quite as much a "is the word in your local language we've rendered as happy closer in meaning to satisfied or ecstatic?" question, and it's also less about short term emotions on the day of the survey and much more about satisfaction with life opportunities, which is generally more relevant for international and longitudinal comparisons...
nxor 12/16/2025|||
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Aperocky 12/16/2025||||
Happy have so many definition that I like the question better, it is much less ambiguous than "happy".

My happiness changes depending on many external factor and varies by hour and days, but the answer to the former question aren't going to change quite as often, would have probably provided the same answer over the entire year.

arjie 12/17/2025||||
What an interesting question. It would seem intuitively that a population with a limited band of socioeconomic mobility must answer 10 and one with a wide band of mobility must answer 0. I wonder whether that is true.
Doxin 12/18/2025|||
As far as I can tell happiness is relative in any case, I'm not sure that accounting for that in the question is a bad thing.
M95D 12/18/2025|||
And yet, highest rating countries also have good socioeconomic mobility.

Socioeconomic mobility isn't the only thing that affects happiness. A good wife/husband contributes a lot to happiness, for example.

tobr 12/16/2025||||
I have to say, I don’t understand what ”for you” means in ”best/worst possible life for you”. At first I read it roughly as ”given the fundamental unchanging circumstances of your life, such as where and when you were born, who your parents are, and your basic health” but maybe they mean something like ”in your subjective perspective on what is good/bad”?
nhaehnle 12/17/2025||
My thought as well, but the question is: does it matter for what the survey is trying to achieve?

Some people will interpret it one way, some a subtly different way, but is there a reason that people's interpretation changes over time in a way that is more rapid and more significant than the underlying question of how good their life is broadly? Probably not.

There may be cultural differences that make it tricky to do comparisons between cultures / countries, but it should give something useful when looking at the same culture / country over time.

bossyTeacher 12/16/2025||||
>"How happy are you, on a scale of 0-10?"

Your question is likely to be interpreted as you asking the person's current MOOD hence different answers on different times are likely. While you are thinking of a less changing wider concept.

The social context is important too, there is a social stigma around admitting that you are not happy which will play into this question too.

connorshinn 12/17/2025||||
One possible flaw in this question - I really don't like heights, so the idea of being at the top of a ladder does NOT equate to being happy for me.

Now I know it's a metaphor and not a literal ladder, but it does make me wonder if that association skews the results at all..

IAmBroom 12/17/2025||
Yes, I expect to hear a scale like this expressed as "where 10 is the best and 0 is the worst".
sysguest 12/25/2025||||
"on which step of the ladder do you feel you personally stand at the present time?”

hmm maybe answering 10 means: I only expect my life to down-roll from now on?

greygoo222 12/16/2025||||
That's a necessary feature. The best translation of "happy" in different countries can have very different connotations.
euroderf 12/17/2025||
That's why the ladder idea seems good: relatively mistranslation-proof.

For Finland, discussion seems to hinge on whether "happiness" is "close enough" to "contentedness".

yencabulator 12/17/2025||
I'm a Finn. I personally interpret that survey as Finland being the least unhappy place. There's a social safety net, health care is taken care of, you know your life won't get destroyed by the slightest misfortune, you get a good education for free, your surroundings are generally safe and well maintained, you feel safe & are fairly certain nothing bad will happen, there are people around you who share your values, life is good.

Things that for example the article author's favorite USA does not have. But of course a Murkin' can't accept that. I fully expect him to gripe that somehow the Corruption Perceptions Index is also somehow unfair to his favorite country too, and just cannot be right.

You had me at blaming "elites".

euroderf 12/17/2025|||
Kind of a "Minimax" interpretation. Whereas in the USA, when you hit bottom it's so low that you probably ain't comin' up again.
philipallstar 12/17/2025|||
[flagged]
Giefo6ah 12/17/2025|||
You should probably check where Finland is in a map before talking about hard to defend borders…
yencabulator 12/17/2025||
And maybe check what Finland is doing with its military and what happened around World War II before saying that USA pays "most of our defense".

What's really rich is Americans deciding they no longer like their self-assigned World Police role, and managing to blame their supposed allies for that. Never underestimate the quality of Russian psyops, I guess.

philipallstar 12/21/2025||
What Finland had during WW2 is not relevant to the value the US has provided all Western countries by making shipping lanes safe for the last 75 years.
euroderf 12/17/2025|||
> defence and medical advancement research

These are America's choices. And it's America's choice whether to wield these in world-leading competitiveness or as ossified self-serving bureaucracy.

Other countries make other choices about where to do world-leading R&D (that Americans can take advantage of as lower prices). Chinese solar, for example.

philipallstar 12/21/2025||
> These are America's choices

Yes, and now they're starting to choose differently. Which is a shame, because shaming a country for acting in the worlds self-interest is a very strange thing to do.

scotty79 12/16/2025||||
If I feel hopeless, I might think that I live best possible life for me (and answer 10) despite feeling deeply unhappy about it.
crimsoneer 12/17/2025||||
I'm assuming part of this is it's not always asked in English...?
NedF 12/16/2025|||
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darth_avocado 12/16/2025|||
I am yet to be convinced that 4000 data points are sufficient to extrapolate how happy 2.8B people are in the world. (India and China) Especially when it deals with a complex topic as happiness without taking any cultural differences into account.

People on HN tend to argue it’s sufficient data to be statistically significant, but I don’t see how.

a_victorp 12/16/2025|||
Came to say the same thing. The author criticizes the happiness report methodology than immediately cites a report full of methodological problems
awb0 12/16/2025||
One way to interpret this is not as the author's endorsement of the other report, but as a demonstration of how fragile these happiness rankings are to perturbations in methodology / definition.
nxobject 12/17/2025||
Apropos to that: I wish the author had said more about critically evaluating tweaks in methodology and definition.

(For example, he cites Blanchflower and Bryson because he prefers positive affect as a measurement of happiness – but doesn't note that Blanchflower and Bryson pool data for 2008-2017, so in terms of rankings they may be measuring something meaningful but different.)

kansface 12/16/2025|||
> I don't know. The World Happiness Report relies on one simple question, which is easy to criticise but at least it applies a clear and consistent method.

The simplicity is nice, but for the (probable) fact that suicide attempts/rates and emigration don't correspond... so lets not call it happiness.

Karrot_Kream 12/16/2025|||
The substack references Nilsson et al [1] in regards to criticisms of the Cantril Ladder. It's a pretty easy to read paper so I highly suggest just reading it.

[1]: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-52939-y.pdf

testing22321 12/17/2025|||
The US never gets a single city in the top 50 “world’s most livable cities” ranking.

Lousy public transport, bankrupting healthcare and education, mass shootings, traffic, pollution.

Nobody is fooled into thinking Americans are happy.

Natsu 12/16/2025|||
> In that sense the methodological problems here are more serious than the ones they point to in the World Happiness Report.

It's a simple question, sure, but it's not clear that it's a very meaningful one, even if other approaches aren't necessarily any better. When I think of the word happiness, I don't exactly associate it with suicide or rarely smiling.

stickfigure 12/16/2025|||
"Pick a random number between 1 and 10" is also a clear and consistent method, and also not particularly meaningful.

The point I took from the article is that we should stop paying attention to this meaningless metric. I didn't read it as a request to replace it with another metric.

Sam6late 12/17/2025|||
I would like to rewrite it, replacing desires with hormones, since they are the drivers for desires, when young one could jump a wall, risking his/her life to see the one we desire, then in their fifties on a nude beach everybody looks and feels mundane. The defining experience of our age seems to be biochemical hunger. We're flooded with hormones that tell us to crave more, even when we already have more than we need. We're starved for balance while stimuli multiply around us. Our dopamine peaks and crashes without reason; our cortisol hums in the background like faulty wiring.

We live with a near-universal imbalance: the reign of thin hormones. These thin hormones promise satisfaction but never deliver. They spike and vanish, leaving behind only the impulse to chase the next hit. Philosophers once spoke of desires that change the self; today, our neurochemistry is being short-circuited before the self even enters the conversation.

A thick hormone is slower, steadier. It reshapes you in the process of living it—like the oxytocin that comes from trust, or the endorphins that build with persistence. But thin hormones—those dopamine flickers from notifications, likes, and swipes—do nothing but reproduce themselves. They deliver sensation without transformation, stimulation without growth.

Modern systems have perfected the art of hijacking our endocrine circuitry. Social media fires the neurons of connection without the chemistry of friendship. Porn delivers the hormonal spike of intimacy without the vulnerability that generates oxytocin. Productivity apps grant the dopamine signature of accomplishment with nothing actually achieved. We’ve built an economy not of meaning, but of molecules. And none of it seems to be making us more alive.

VonGuard 12/17/2025||
Imagine that, the United States is attempting to pervert truth into utter and complete lies. It's almost as if this is the only brand the United States has left.

At this point in my life if I see something with United States looks good compared to the rest of the world I just immediately assume it is a lie. Because the United States is nothing but lies and greed anymore. We cannot even claim innovation as a central motivator anymore.

hiAndrewQuinn 12/16/2025||
I have lived in Finland for the past four years, having emigrated from the US like the other poster here, and the WHR is a common punching bag topic amongst locals here.

The odd thing however is that when I ask them whether they think the average Finn is happy, they say absolutely not, but when I ask them whether they themselves are happy, most of the time I get a "oh this place is actually pretty great for weirdos like me, I just mean like, normal people would hate it here". But that's the thing: No one normal chooses to live in Finland!

perons 12/17/2025||
I'm brazillian, moved to Finland 2 years ago to work here, and can confirm the sentiment.

If you ask a Finn, most people are actually quite harsh to the Finnish government, economy, etc - specially as of recent, since Finland now has one of the worst unemployment rate in EU. But lifestyle here is quite sober, everyone has hobbies and are quite dedicated to them. I guess the Sauna and Avanto culture are the main happiness drivers here, and tbh after experiencing it, I wouldn't change for anything else.

Lerc 12/16/2025|||
This is a fairly common discrepancy between how people perceive the mean/median of a property is compared to the mean/median of how they themselves are.

You see it in things like business confidence going in both directions at various times, pessimism when things are going well, optimism when things are going poorly.

It is very convenient in politics, because you can choose which figure to report to make it seem like you are saying the same thing but you can switch between them to make things look good (or bad l, depending on your attention)

marcus_holmes 12/17/2025|||
Friend of mine moved from Australia to Finland, and loved it there. I can't imagine dealing with all that cold after Aussie's wonderful heat, but he loved it.

Happiness is found in different places for different people, thankfully.

fpoling 12/17/2025||
Even when it is extremely cold like -50 Celsius, one can still walk outside for hours with sufficiently warm clothes. But try the same when it is +50. And then spending weeks in air-conditioned apartments was strictly worse for me than in a heated home during the winter. Plus there is no insects when it is cold. So my preference is for colder climate.
abdullahkhalids 12/17/2025|||
The thing is, in cold places, it is possible for the temperature to remain consistently cold for several days on end, day and night. In hot places, even if day time temperatures approach 50 degrees, at night the temperature will almost certainly be below 35 degrees. So you can always go out at night and be fairly comfortable temperature wise.
M95D 12/18/2025||
How is that any better? Go out only at night vs. go out at any time?
euroderf 12/17/2025||||
Yup, it's easier to dress for the cold than for the heat. Shorts & sandals only take you so far.
marcus_holmes 12/18/2025|||
I've lived in both, and my face hurts in the cold. There's nothing quite like that amazing feeling of walking through warm air, feels like the atmosphere is hugging me :) I prefer the warm :)
QuercusMax 12/16/2025|||
I have a relative who decided to move up to Baffin Island and get into long-distance arctic trekking. She'd probably fit right in.
burningChrome 12/16/2025|||
Played hockey with several Finns. They always seemed grumpy about something. The Norwegians and Swedes I played soccer with always had a more cheerful disposition. They always made fun of the Northern Finns, saying, "You'd be grumpy AF too if you had to deal with Winter for 7 months every year!"
vidarh 12/17/2025||
I'm Norwegian, and the Norwegian stereotype of Finnish people used to be that they are dour and introvert. And we're by and large culturally a lot less outwardly cheerful to people we don't know than the Danes.

Sometimes Norwegian TV would show Finnish dramas while I was growing up in the '80s, and the standing joke was that the typical Finnish drama had two guys hiking through the forest, one of them saying something, and then half an hour more of hiking before the other would reply. I don't remember whether that was accurate (it's not as if I'd have kept watching), but I suspect not.

euroderf 12/17/2025|||
Unrelated, but this reminds me of Americans' opinions of their congresscritters: Congresscritters as a whole are a terrible, corrupt bunch, but your own congresscritter is amazing!
PLMUV9A4UP27D 12/16/2025|||
As a Finn, I can confirm this.
looperhacks 12/17/2025|||
A similar thing was recently reported for Germany as well. When asked how they believe the average German is doing, most people answered something along "worse than me".
bflesch 12/16/2025||
Finns are amazing!
tigranbs 12/16/2025||
As a US person, I have lived in Finland for 3 years, and I can assure you that the Finns are the most content people you can imagine! They can go months without talking to anyone and still consider themselves "happy", but the correct word in English is "content".

That report is correct, it just they advertise with the wrong word in the headline, I guess because it is more click-bate title than having it as "The most content country"

Ekaros 12/16/2025||
As Finn I would agree. Finland is fine. Not the greatest and not happiest. But overall it is fine still. In most areas cost of living is pretty reasonable, services are sufficient. Police for example does good enough job. Probably could earn more money somewhere else, but why bother...
euroderf 12/17/2025|||
You don't see many cops in Finland. You just don't.

Firstly because the social benefits system keeps a lot of people out of trouble ' call it bribery if you like, but it meets basic needs. Secondly because there's a lot of private "security" types around - for example in the supermarkets, keeping out drunks and dealing with shoplifters - letting the police focus on the real stuff.

Herring 12/16/2025|||
It's extremely important if you're interested in social stability. Unhappy people have a tendency to turn authoritarian and lash about, hurting both their own society and anyone who looks different.
QuercusMax 12/16/2025|||
I dunno, "discontent" is a pretty politically charged word, going back to Shakespeare - "Now is the winter of our discontent" from Richard III is referring to an attempted political overthrow.

Unhappiness sounds much more pedestrian.

jfengel 12/16/2025||
It's referring to a successful political overthrow.

The quote really needs the first two lines:

  Now is the winter of our discontent
  made glorious summer by the sun of York.
The verb in the sentence is "is made", not just "is". "Now" it is summer, not winter. They were discontent in the past. Now they are happy.

York (Richard's brother, Edward, now King Edward IV) has overthrown King Henry VI. There's also an important pun: "York" also refers to their father, also named Richard, who was the Duke of York until his death at the hands of Henry's faction. So Edward is also the "son of York".

That said, Richard is being sarcastic. He's plotting the next political overthrow, which will also be successful. And who will in turn be overthrown again. That, at least, will put an end to it, if for no other reason than that literally everybody else is dead.

QuercusMax 12/16/2025||
Leave it to Shakespeare to use a garden-path sentence to open one of his greatest plays....
jfengel 12/17/2025|||
One of my most important jobs as a Shakespeare actor is to find ways to enunciate some of his over-long sentences in a way that allows the audience to follow them just by listening.

In this case, it's not too hard. Shakespeare likes giving you oppositions, like "winter" and "summer". Put the stress there, and the audience will follow. And you don't need to breathe at the end of the line; it can flow directly into the next one.

ninalanyon 12/17/2025|||
It's only fifteen words! And very straightforward.
nephihaha 12/17/2025|||
Authoritarianism is usually imposed from above, not below.
edwinjm 12/17/2025||
In democracies, you sometimes can see authoritarians being elected. Current situation in the USA is one example.
johnp314 12/17/2025|||
You have much better (concrete) examples in South and Centeral America, e.g. Venezuela & Nicaragua, but there are plenty of others.
nephihaha 12/17/2025|||
Not really. The US situation is engineered so only two parties ever get in, and are practically impossible to remove. Wait several years and the other lot will get in.

Even with Trump we see a lot of policies and directions that the Democrats have pursued previously.

nephihaha 12/17/2025|||
Are they though? Alcoholism and Seasonal Affective Disorder are rife in Nordic countries.
ninalanyon 12/17/2025||
Do you have a reference for that? The World Population Review [1] says that alcoholism rates are similar to or less than the US, Australia, Brazil. And definitely less than many other countries around the world.

[1] https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/alcoholis...

nephihaha 12/18/2025||
These countries often have strict rules about alcohol which reflect this. In some parts you had to buy alcohol from a government store. Then there is usual tactic of taxing it to death. As a result illegal alcohol production is common out in the countryside.
marifjeren 12/16/2025||
The only problem the author points out is that he doesn't like the Cantril Ladder question.

I get it if you feel like that question falls short of representing your own personal concept of happiness, but that question is the standard in positive psychology research for measuring self reported subjective well being, and hardly enough to say the report is "beset with methodological problems".

imgabe 12/17/2025||
They give several well-considered criticisms of the question - it leads people to focus on socioecomonic status, it doesn't correlate with other measure like whether they report experiencing joy recently, etc. It's not much of a defense to simply say "well, it's the standard".
marifjeren 12/17/2025|||
My criticism is about how the dramatic language differs from the banal content of the article.

Titling it "The World Happiness Report Is a Sham" and calling it "beset with methodological problems", I would expect some more serious scientific malpractices, like data fabrication, calculation errors, sampling problems, p-hacking, etc., not "I think there are some problems with this variable".

deaux 12/17/2025||
Disagree. Whether I'm entirely fabricating data that claims A by writing numbers into an Excel sheet, or whether I'm doing a survey that measures B and then claim it means A, isn't materially different in outcome. The outcomes are just as bad, and that's what people care about. Maybe you as a researcher care that the former is more immoral, but to everyone else it doesn't matter.
nxobject 12/17/2025||
I think there's a difference in outcomes between fabricating data, and getting data that still remains validly gathered, but measures something subtly different. And I think the general public can make meaning of that difference and have a stake in both – in the same way that the general public knows that stock market values and economic security are different things, even though people still have a lot riding on retirement plans based on stock investments.
jltsiren 12/17/2025|||
Is joy related to happiness, or are they two separate concepts? That depends on your cultural background and the languages you speak.

The World Happiness Report can be traced back to the UN General Assembly Resolution 65/309, which was proposed by Bhutan. Therefore the intended definition of happiness in this context is similar to the one in Bhutan's Gross National Happiness index.

notahacker 12/16/2025||
The more practical problem is that the samples used in the Gallup World Poll are for largely unavoidable reasons small and not representative of entire country demographics; in particular respondents can skew richer and more educated than their national average in poorer countries.
hamdingers 12/16/2025||
> “Please imagine a ladder with steps numbered from zero at the bottom to ten at the top. Suppose we say that the top of the ladder represents the best possible life for you and the bottom of the ladder represents the worst possible life for you. If the top step is 10 and the bottom step is 0, on which step of the ladder do you feel you personally stand at the present time?”

My immediate problem with this is the lower bound of responses in a given country would be determined by your perception of the safety nets available to you. Someone in a Scandinavian country where there are virtually no unsheltered homeless people probably doesn't index their zero to "dying of exposure on the sidewalk due to untreated mental illness," while an American who sees that regularly would.

decimalenough 12/16/2025||
That seems to be working as intended? The unhappiness of both "dying of exposure on the sidewalk due to untreated mental illness" and the constant gnawing fear that this is a realistic outcome due to medical bankruptcy or whatever should pull down a country's happiness index.

I've always figured that this is in fact a big reason why the Nordic countries do so well on the survey: the average is lifted not by shiny happy people holding hands, but by the strong safety net ensuring that you can't fall into a pit of despair.

greygoo222 12/16/2025|||
You're misreading the comment. hamdingers is suggesting that the fear of "dying of exposure on the sidewalk" is inflating a country's happiness index, because people are using "dying of exposure on the sidewalk" as a realistic worst-case baseline.
SiempreViernes 12/16/2025||
No, the two people before you both understood that point, the disagreement is only on wether it is unfair that a country with a lot of people fearing dying of cold on the sidewalk is considered "less happy".
greygoo222 12/25/2025|||
No, you are misreading.
SR2Z 12/16/2025|||
So why then is Bhutan so happy?
SpicyLemonZest 12/16/2025|||
Bhutan is not ranked in the World Happiness Report, and at least one source (https://www.vox.com/policy/471950/gross-domestic-product-eco...) says that international comparative data contradicts the Bhutanese government's claim that their people are particularly happy.
nephihaha 12/17/2025|||
Because everyone's told to smile?

Seriously, though, I think it is because it has a good natural environment and strong extended families. But that is about to change with their new planned city.

celeryd 12/16/2025|||
Someone in a Scandinavian country is probably well informed of how terrible it is for the poorest and most vulnerable outside their country. The indexes are probably the same.

The person in the Scandinavian country, when asked this question, will think "hmm, well I am not in America, so I will add 3 steps to my answer" and, och se där, up they go to the top of the World Ranking.

SiempreViernes 12/16/2025|||
Some might do that, but hopefully most people read the question properly and see it specifically asks about the situation for you, so thinking about the starving children in Gaza is not part of the question.
t0mk 12/16/2025|||
I don't think that people in Scandinavia are well informed about how life can be for the poorest outside of their country.

> bottom of the ladder represents the worst possible life >>>for you<<<.

..and when asked this, I believe they consider how bad it can get for them in their country.

Based on my experience living and talking with people in Scandinavia and eastern europe.

mvdtnz 12/16/2025||
"Scandinavians don't know that poverty exists" is a pretty wild claim.
haritha-j 12/17/2025||
True, although i do think its likely that its not top of mind. When things aren't relatable, its hard to take them into account in everyday life, even when you're factually aware of it.
t0mk 12/19/2025||
> When things aren't relatable, its hard to take them into account in everyday life, even when you're factually aware of it.

Yes, This is what I failed to express in my previous comment.

opo 12/17/2025|||
>...Someone in a Scandinavian country where there are virtually no unsheltered homeless people probably doesn't index their zero to "dying of exposure on the sidewalk due to untreated mental illness," while an American who sees that regularly would.

Maybe I am not understanding this - do you think the average American regularly sees people dying of exposure on the sidewalk? Or what do you mean?

euroderf 12/17/2025|||
When I was going to grad school in DC, I'd suggest to classmates that we place bets on the date of the first person dying of exposure in the city every winter.

This bet kinda horrified some people, but I think I got my point across.

nxobject 12/17/2025|||
In regions with like climates, amount of snowfall, etc. perhaps.
levocardia 12/16/2025||
>At a minimum, you would expect the happiest countries in the world to have some of the lowest incidences of adverse mental health outcomes. But it turns out that the residents of the same Scandinavian countries that the press dutifully celebrates for their supposed happiness are especially likely to take antidepressants or even to commit suicide.

"Ecological fallacy! Ecological fallacy!," I screamed, flapping my arms pointlessly at my laptop.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ecological_fallacy#Individual_...

RamblingCTO 12/16/2025||
I've just had this topic with friends. How can finland and the nordics be further up than, say, spain? Have they ever been? Sure, materialistic safety is better up there. But the way of living, at least in my experience, is way higher. Look at suicide rates and alcoholism and such.

I'll spoil it: - Finland 38 - Norway 71 - Spain 137

(fun fact: USA is 31)

ranked by suicide. If you visit it, and the vibes and feelings you have don't match the statistics, the statistics are shit I'd say. And maybe cities and rural areas destroy this statistic. But what do I know (but the article agrees with me)

estomagordo 12/16/2025||
Using suicide rates as a measure for population happiness is very peculiar, given that the people who commit suicide represent fractions of a percent, and would only ever sum up to a rounding error.
crazygringo 12/16/2025|||
It's not that peculiar if you assume all countries follow the same type of happiness distribution that is simply shifted/stretched lower or higher.

Then, the relative size of a bottom or top absolute threshold is highly meaningful. Even if it's a fraction of a percent, populations are huge and suicide rates are not rounding errors at all -- they're actually quite statistically significant.

And as macabre as it is, suicides are objective facts mostly unaffected by methodology, and unaffected by translation issues, cultural differences, etc.

This is why suicide rates are actually a powerful mental health statistic, just like height is a powerful physical health statistic, at the population level. There's obviously still a lot both of these metrics don't say, but the fact that they are highly objective makes them extremely valuable.

jampekka 12/16/2025|||
The World Happiness Report discusses this:

"The large variations in the systems and processes to define mortality causes imply there may be very different numbers of deaths that are registered with a specific cause. This creates a problem for cross-country comparisons of mortality by cause in general, and even more so for deaths of despair, and suicides in particular.

The person responsible for writing the cause of death on the death certificate may be different across countries. In some countries, the police are responsible, while in others a medical doctor, coroner, or judicial investigator takes on this role. Differences in doctors’ training, access to medical records, and autopsy requirements contribute to these discrepancies. The legal or judicial systems that decide causes of death also vary. For instance, in some countries suicide is illegal and is not listed as a classifiable cause of death, leading to underreporting or misclassification of suicides as accidents, violence, or deaths of “undetermined intent.”[25]

Data on suicides, even when reported, can be inaccurate due to social factors as well. In some countries, suicide might be taboo and highly stigmatised, so the families and friends of the person who committed suicide might decide to misreport or not disclose the mortality cause, causing underreporting of its incidence. In other societies, such as Northern Europe, there is less stigma attached to suicides, and alcohol and drug use."

https://www.worldhappiness.report/ed/2025/supporting-others-...

Karrot_Kream 12/18/2025||
I don't think it would be that difficult to reconcile suicides between G20 countries. Outside of that, sure, data collection methods and quality heavily differ. But many people are interested in the varying levels of happiness among the G20 and there it doesn't seem that difficult to compare.
andreasgl 12/16/2025||||
> And as macabre as it is, suicides are objective facts mostly unaffected by methodology, and unaffected by translation issues, cultural differences, etc.

I wouldn't be surprised if cultural differences are actually the largest factor that explains a country's suicide rate. Not easy to prove, of course, but I would be very careful drawing any conclusions from differences in suicide rates between countries with vastly different cultures.

I think you can also expect large differences in how countries report their suicide rates.

mekoka 12/17/2025||||
I won't go into too much details on the topic, as it's loaded with triggering elements. Let's just say that if you were to study how different cultures apprehend and conceptualize life and death (whether philosophically or religiously), I'm fairly sure that you'd come out the other end questioning a lot of your original assumptions (which I only presume you hold based on your comment). Our collective outlook can have significant and far reaching influence in individual decisions.
williamdclt 12/17/2025||||
> if you assume all countries follow the same type of happiness distribution that is simply shifted/stretched lower or higher.

That's a pretty strong assumption, seems more likely that there's variation at the extremes than not. For example, if a small percentage of the population deals badly with extended nighttime in long winters, then it'll affect Finland's most-unhappy stats (and suicide rates) without meaning much for the average happiness.

BartjeD 12/16/2025|||
Suicides are hugely affected by cultural norms. In certain Asian cultures this has quite the history, so this can't be a correct assumption.
Karrot_Kream 12/16/2025||
Most Asian cultures with suicide problems acknowledge and try very hard to bring those rates down. It isn't just a cultural norm and is in fact a good indicator of the happiness of a population.
mrguyorama 12/17/2025||
> It isn't just a cultural norm and is in fact a good indicator of the happiness of a population.

Prove it

Karrot_Kream 12/18/2025||
Here's [1] the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor, and Welfare's page on preventing suicides. The motto is 誰も自殺に追い込まれることのない社会の実現を目指して or "Aiming for a world where nobody must deal with suicide"

[1]: https://www.mhlw.go.jp/stf/seisakunitsuite/bunya/hukushi_kai...

BartjeD 12/18/2025||
That's a straw man; There are many cultures that have a strong emphasis on honor/shame mechanics, which in turn drive suicides in those cultures. And which match cultural expectations in a grim kind of way.

The fact that people want to change their culture is possibly an early indication of a shift, which could take decades or centuries to actually occur. And such a cultural shift can also lose momentum and be still-born.

---

I find counting suicides innovative. But if you do it in a global context without looking at the cultures as confounding factor: It's wrong.

There are many other confounding factors, such as a forgiving national (personal) bankruptcy regime. The USA has a pretty forgiving regime compared to other countries. But that doesn't mean you can say it correlates with how happy people are. Because - like suicides - the number of people that go bankrupt might not significantly correlate to the average happiness rate. Because a (small) minority of people go bankrupt / commit suicide.

It's in fact perfectly reasonable and possible to suppose that a country with higher average suicides and harsher penalties for bankruptcy still ends up higher on the happiness index. Because perhaps health and social-contact / family factors impact the rating more, on average.

RamblingCTO 12/17/2025|||
QoL certainly has its effect on suicide rates. I assume that life is the shittier, the more people opt to leave on their own terms. Just look at russia, absolute shithole and it's on rank 11.

If people are happy, you have less suicides. I don't need a study for that.

bendtb 12/16/2025|||
There is also a religious element to suicide that cannot be overlooked.

Also, I Spain your view of Spain is tainted. I think very few people would choose an average city in Spain over e.g. Copenhagen where 20% of the Danish population live.

GoatOfAplomb 12/16/2025|||
All the Spanish cities I've visited have looked "perfect", but there's a lot I don't see as a tourist, e.g. that Spain has one of the highest unemployment rates in Europe (10.5%).
PLMUV9A4UP27D 12/16/2025||
Finland is now close to Spain when it comes to unemployment rate! Let's see how that affects Finland's ranking.
alephnerd 12/16/2025||||
The perception of Spain is much more positive in the Anglophone world - it's viewed as a country where cost of living is low, you can nap in the middle of the day, the women/men are hot and easy, the wine is great and cheap, and you can party late at night.

In reality the average Spaniard isn't experience the majority of that, as those are perceptions that arose from the rose-tinted glasses of tourists. Most tourists don't know about the Eurozone crisis, the regional disparity, and the consolidation of Spain's economic growth engines to 1-2 cities.

Spain is a good developed country with a decent QoL as is reflected by it's HDI and developmental indicators (and the fact that it has outpaced historically richer and more developed Italy is a testament to that), but tourists almost always take a rose-tinted view whereas locals almost always take a negative view.

And I think this is the crux of the issue with how the "World Happiness Index" is used in American discourse - in the US almost no one vists Europe or other parts of the World for extended periods of time and most Americans lack familial or social ties in Europe. As such, idealized images of Europe ("a socialist paradise" or "white Christendom under siege") have taken hold in popular discourse and are used as proxies for the American culture war.

vjk800 12/16/2025|||
> The perception of Spain is much more positive in the Anglophone world - it's viewed as a country where cost of living is low, you can nap in the middle of the day, the women/men are hot and easy, the wine is great and cheap, and you can party late at night.

If you're a tourist, you get to experience only those parts. If you live there, you have to experience the other 99% of the life also and it's not so great.

alephnerd 12/16/2025||
Did you even read the second sentence?
phony-account 12/16/2025|||
These measures are bullshit and often just come down to a prevalent societal ‘temperament’ that’s inculcated from birth. I live and have family in Sweden and the rest of my family is in Spain. The Swedes have immense pride in their country and pretty much only talk about the positives. When the winters are dark, cold, rain has been pouring for fourteen days straight and the last time you saw sun was 4 weeks ago, they say “there’s no bad weather just bad clothes”. One day I sat with my cousin and some other relatives in the olive grove of his country place in Spain - sun was shining and we’d been eating delicious locally produced food for hours and drinking wine from his vineyard while he yapped on about how everything in Spain is ‘shit’ (una mierda). And this is why places like Finland are reportedly the ‘happiest’ in the world.
oldestofsports 12/16/2025|||
We’ve had about 1 hour of sunlight so far in december where i live in Finland, but it’s fine. It also makes the sun way more enjoyable when it finally shines in the summer.

I’d never want to live in perpetual summer. Seasons brings joy.

haritha-j 12/17/2025|||
I'm from Sri Lanka, and i'm glad you're 'happy' with it, but i'll take my eternal sunshine over months of darkness anyday.
phony-account 12/17/2025|||
> I’d never want to live in perpetual summer. Seasons brings joy

Even this is a typical myth that I often hear from Scandinavians. In fact different parts of Spain (or England or France) have also clearly demarcated seasons.

If you want to experience the joy of Autumn then the crisp, long days of an English Fall are incomparably more distinct than the unrelenting darkness that’s almost indistinguishable from Winter in Scandinavia, for instance. And when Spring comes to the valleys of the temperate regions of Spain, then the blossom and explosion of wild flowers is miraculous.

But like I said, from preschool onwards Scandinavians are indoctrinated with the belief that they live in the best of all possible worlds, and no amount of actual experience can ever dent that notion.

arethuza 12/17/2025|||
Not sure that "crisp" is a word I'd use to describe any part of the UK in autumn - probably more like "soggy" - but that applies to any season!
phony-account 12/17/2025||
> Not sure that "crisp" is a word I'd use to describe any part of the UK in autumn - probably more like "soggy" - but that applies to any season!

From the gently self-deprecating nature of your answer I’m guessing you’re British - and this is indeed the whole point of what I’m saying.

I genuinely and deeply miss this aspect of the English character which is totally lacking in Sweden - the websites called “shitLondon” or the insistence that English food is inferior to Italian or French cuisine or this repeated idea that it always rains (it doesn’t). That self-mockery simply doesn’t exist here, apart from when it’s some sort of humble-brag.

oldestofsports 12/18/2025|||
If the temp stays above 0 degrees celsius all year round it does not count as having seasons, since winter is obviously missing.
pezezin 12/17/2025||||
I am Spanish and I agree with your comment. Sadly we love to hate our country, I guess we still have a lot of guilt accumulated from Franco's era.

In my case, the cure was traveling and living abroad for 7 years now, it made me realize that Spain is actually a great country.

SiempreViernes 12/16/2025||||
To be fair, nothing in Sweden can match the flooding of Valencia.
parineum 12/17/2025|||
I don't see how that makes the measure bullshit. Outlook and expectations are related to happiness. If you want for nothing but have little it's better than a never ending treadmill of more.

Having a culture that produces happier people in worse circumstances doesn't make those people less happy.

phony-account 12/17/2025||
> Having a culture that produces happier people in worse circumstances doesn't make those people less happy

The question is whether stoicism in the face of what most people would categorize as suffering should be classified as “happiness”.

allturtles 12/17/2025||
Yes, absolutely. How else would you define it? The whole point of happiness is that is a subjective, internal state. If you just want to know if people live in a cold, dark climate you don't need to ask them.
euroderf 12/17/2025||||
> There is also a religious element to suicide that cannot be overlooked.

Also a genetic component.

nephihaha 12/17/2025||
Dark winters are a bigger component here. Most Nordic countries get little sun in winter and it gets worse the further north you are.
euroderf 12/17/2025||
Finland leads the world in per capita coffee consumption. My pet theory is that in the winter it fights depression, and in the summer the sun is out late at night and you're saying to your friends: How could we possibly go to sleep now?! Moar coffee!!
nephihaha 12/17/2025||
I tend to find coffee increases jitteriness and anxiety in people. Some evidence it may increase depression too.
euroderf 12/17/2025||
Well, maybe not so much fight depression as fight lethargy ?
nephihaha 12/17/2025||
In my experience, even that is not true. It displaces it.
socalgal2 12/16/2025|||
Have you eaten everyday food (not gourmet) in Copenhagen?
simonask 12/17/2025||
Copenhageners eat the same plastic-wrapped salads, organic grass-fed whatever, and whatever the latest green smoothie trend is, as in Southern California.

If this is a dig at the largely pork/cabbage/potato-based diet of Northern Europe, you will be relieved to hear they don’t follow it.

Source: Am one.

refurb 12/17/2025|||
Even if the question was perfectly unbiased and captured happiness, comparing scores from country to country are impossible because the scale differs from country to country.

A 10 in Afghanistan is not the same as a 10 in Canada. Societies have different perception of “the best” based on each individuals experience, what society values and what they think is possible.

So while helpful in tracking happiness over time within the same country, it can’t be used to compare countries.

silisili 12/16/2025|||
Not for nothing, but I'm not sure that's a great metric. Venezuela for instance is 178, and it doesn't seem like an overly happy place to be these past few years.
nephihaha 12/17/2025||
In Venezuela people are told to be happy.
BurningFrog 12/16/2025||
Note that people who commit suicide don't answer surveys anymore.
M95D 12/18/2025||
People are usually unhappy for a long time before that happens.
PLMUV9A4UP27D 12/16/2025||
A Finn here. And just as many other finns, I'm confused to why Finland ranks at the top. Yet, this seems like a case of someone looking to disprove a theory and thus finds the arguments. For example; Health metrics isn't a good measure, considering that Scandinavia has free health care, and this leads to more cases of mental health issues are recorded. Suicides aren't a great metric either, considering that Swedes and Finns have fairly high level of access to guns. I do agree that happiness is a term that is difficult to define, and that "happiness" is a bit misleading. "Content" is a better description.

Also, I think it's easy to misunderstand the Finns from the surface of us. We don't exhibit happiness, and we don't express happiness in a way that is easily observed. Finland ranks at the top of trust in other people, and being one of the least corrupt countries in the world. Those two metrics are a hint into how we Finns relate to other people. Also, it's difficult to get to know Finns, and for this reason it's difficult for outsiders to understand the Finns and the mentality.

On the anecdotal side, earlier this year I solo-traveled the US for 4 weeks, and out of those I got into deeper conversations, I was struck by how sad people were. That made me more convinced that I live a very happy life, in a happy place.

Edit: Some references: Weapons per capita: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Estimated_number_of_civilian_g... Corruption index: https://www.transparency.org/en/cpi/2024 Trust in others: https://www.visualcapitalist.com/mapped-where-people-trust-e...

bflesch 12/16/2025||
Also regarding "comparison of suicide numbers", in many religious regions suicide is a problem for your soul and therefore a problem for your still-living relatives.

So there is a huge incentive for religious societies to let a family member's suicide appear like an accident. Suicide rates are an extension of mental health disease rates and extremely hard to compare without correcting for many factors.

arethuza 12/17/2025|||
"We don't exhibit happiness, and we don't express happiness in a way that is easily observed"

I would far rather live somewhere where people look unhappy but are actually pretty content with life than somewhere where people feel compelled to look happy even though they are actually feeling pretty miserable.

But then again I am an aging Scot so I'm biased. ;-)

Edit: I'm also just back from a visit to Finland.

cosmic_cheese 12/16/2025|||
That fuzzy line that sits between happiness and contentment is worth some exploration. For some the two are one and the same but for others “happiness” represents something closer to a perpetual Disney-movie-good-ending sort of emotional state that I suspect is broadly speaking unrealistic. I wonder how much sadness has stemmed from chasing that unattainable ideal.
PLMUV9A4UP27D 12/16/2025||
You have a good point. I was about to write something about that in my previous point, like "Finns have a ladder that is lowers than others", but it didn't sound right. You put it with better words.
euroderf 12/17/2025|||
As a Murrcan greybeard now having lived more than half my life in Finland, I agree with your second-paragraph observations on the people and the mentality.

The level of societal trust here is still very high. I say "still" because methinks Western media and social media serve to erode such things. My 0.01€, YMMV.

nxor 12/16/2025||
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BurningFrog 12/16/2025||
As a Swede, I've always been confused by these results. The self image of Swedes is that we're fairly miserable on average, and don't know how to enjoy life as much as some people in warmer climates.

That said, note that both things mentioned in here will raise average happiness:

> But it turns out that the residents of the same Scandinavian countries that the press dutifully celebrates for their supposed happiness are especially likely to take antidepressants or even to commit suicide.

marginalia_nu 12/16/2025||
I think (as a fellow Swede) that there is a culturally sense of guilt involved in having a comparatively comfortable life and not being happy about it, compounded by a sense of guilt that a comfortable life is somehow undeserved.

Saying you are unhappy is in a sense saying you need a better quality of life, or deserve more happiness, both of which are kind of taboo under the Law of Jante.

rodrigodlu 12/16/2025||
As an introvert living in Rio de Janeiro, I can tell you that a lot of being happier in a hot climate with a lot of people around is just a social mask.

When I start deep questions about financial safety, the future and so on, just by asking I can be labelled as a pessimist. And I'm far from that.

I'm a fairly resolved and confident introvert, but I know many timid people that feel ashamed that they don't feel "happy" in these large group of people, that are extremely agitated and yelling around to grab some piece of attention they need.

And what is being shown in social media, documentaries and etc is just one pov.

PLMUV9A4UP27D 12/16/2025||
It's a good point about living in a hot climate often being associated with living a happy life. Although to what I've seen, there isn't much evidence for such a correlation.
BurningFrog 12/16/2025||
Simple theory:

In a warm climate you see people walking around feeling comfortable.

In a cold climate, the people you see are freezing.

bluGill 12/17/2025||
People are not freezing in a cold climate - they have plenty of coats on. In hot climates you run out of clothes to take off - even nudists.
beautiful_zhixu 12/17/2025|||
Well I feel cold in winter sometimes even with a coat on. It hurts when I go outside, so I stay inside more, but if I stay inside too much, it hurts.

The point about hot environments is true, but people are not anxious and your body rarely hurts. They are lazy and their minds blank out. It is often too hot to do anything except try to scam anxious northerners and move away from mosquitos.

BurningFrog 12/17/2025|||
I grew up in northern Sweden. You're definitely miserable even when dressed perfectly in -15°C!

You're right that once it gets over +30°C or so, you'll be miserable whatever you wear. But there is a large temperature range below that that is wonderful. The Bay Area is almost always in that zone.

ninalanyon 12/17/2025||
It's currently above freezing, dark, and wet here in Norway about 40 km south of Oslo. I'd be a lot more comfortable if it were -15 C. The sun would probably shine for more of the day instead of being hidden behind dark clouds and it would be dry; going for a walk would be much more enjoyable.
flexie 12/17/2025|
The Substack post takes a rather childish approach by confusing happiness with smiling and laughter.

Personal safety, good health, financial stability, access to education, job security, low stress, and strong family and social ties do not necessarily make people smile or laugh. They create a sense of contentment. That is precisely where Scandinavian countries excel.

phyzix5761 12/17/2025|
I agree but does the happiness report actually measure all of that with their single question:

Please imagine a ladder with steps numbered from zero at the bottom to ten at the top. Suppose we say that the top of the ladder represents the best possible life for you and the bottom of the ladder represents the worst possible life for you. If the top step is 10 and the bottom step is 0, on which step of the ladder do you feel you personally stand at the present time?

williamdclt 12/17/2025||
Yes? "The best possible life" covers pretty much exactly these socioeconomic factors for most people. Is there any of these factors that you think is not covered by this question?
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