Posted by Loeffelmann 4 days ago
This is true but a bit misleading: 99% of people actually playing poker in the US today are playing Texas Hold'em or other variants where "your first hand" contains more than 5 cards and is vastly more likely to have a royal flush. I've had several royal flushes but would not want to think I'm only an order of magnitude or two away from having the luck of a Powerball winner.
A useful statistic to include is the probability of becoming a successful business owner, or better yet, the probability of getting a job that pays an annual salary of 200k, 1mil. etc. Maybe that will inspire people to dream more practically.
Another insightful feature would be to emulate playing at the rate of real life (approx. tickets per second in real life).
(excluding the smaller pool draws of 5/6, 4/6, etc)
One ticket as the width of a human hair (60-80 µm).
The winning numbers are a hole the width of a human hair.
The odds of winning 1:14m is hitting another hair head on in a line 14,000,000×0.00007 m=980 meters wide. (~840 meters to ~1,120 meters)
The odds of winning 1:33.3m is hitting another hair head on in a line 33,294,800×0.00007 m=2,330.636 meters wide. (1,998 meters to ~2,664 meters)
(calculations by ChatGPT)
If I buy a ticket, it's so I can daydream for myself.
See also: Simulation Clicker.
I know how my brain works these days.