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Posted by rmdmphilosopher 4 hours ago

The Dark Night of Mathematics(kirwinhampshire.substack.com)
95 points | 84 comments
d_burfoot 25 seconds ago|
Every single knowledge worker is going to face this kind of crisis. It will be worse for people who cared deeply about their craft, but the crisis will have the same shape. The way through is to change the way you relate to your work, and to appreciate the fact that you can now produce far more output.

Mathematicians should realize: instead of spending decades on individual theorems, you can now create whole new subfields of mathematics. Of course, you won't be doing the creation directly, in the way the mathematicians of old did; that's just not the name of the game anymore. But you will still be directing the research and involved in the creation.

compiler-devel 2 minutes ago||
I can’t help but confess some sense of satisfaction with the upheaval described in the post. Many proofs and textbooks laden with statements like “without loss of generality”, “immediately”, or “obviously” are followed by anything but. AI now counters that streak of smug by toppling some long held theorems and it’s fun to watch.
Athanase000 26 minutes ago||
When I was in mathematics, reading other people's work was always more rewarding to me than doing my own. I would spend years on a question to get some progress, versus spending a few days or weeks reading a paper to enjoy something new. I understand not everyone is like me but I really welcome the omniscient mathematician machine people are predicting. I can't wait to ask all the questions I care about.
jostylr 1 hour ago||
As a mathematics person, I find this at odds with my views. I know the current regime rewards new mathematical discoveries for professional advancement, but that is a job thing, one which can be altered by the powers that be. To me investigating mathematics is fun whether it is new to the world or not. The complaint is similar to lamenting how everywhere has already been visited and there is nothing to be done other than have your own personal experience of a place. I saw the redwoods recently for the first time and I thoroughly enjoyed the experience despite not being the first person to see them. Mathematical discovery is much the same except now we have tools that help us dramatically with the tedious stuff, the researching what others know. In the old days, I would spend a long time figuring something out and only at the end could I figure out where to find it in the literature. Very frustrating. Now, we have machines to guide us to many things and understandings and clarifications. They are guides that help us get to where we want to be and then let us wander as we desire. This is incredible. I am currently using them to develop the computational tools I want to use to explore stuff.

As for squeezing in the time to do mathematics if the paying jobs disappear, there is a good chance we will have a world of plenty very shortly. I have a belief that the Austrian economists are right that there will always be plenty for humans to do and get rewarded for, but I also think that the costs of living will be so low that someone who wants to do mathematics will have plenty of time to do so. I hope this person holds the faith long enough and tries to see how the AI's can help accelerate one's own understanding. I am no fan of AIs generating a bunch of papers that no one reads or cares about, but I could say the same about the immense number of papers made by humans as well. If anything, the AIs make all of that immense knowledge more valuable as it is now knowable and accessible through these tools. There is also the fact that the mathematics job market has been oversaturated for at least 20 years. What our new tools allow is for people to be able to do mathematics outside of having access to a research library and top mathematics department.

lagrange77 37 minutes ago||
> investigating mathematics is fun whether it is new to the world or not.

Yes exactly. Enjoying the beauty of nature is (thankfully) completely decoupled from the job/money/society side of things.

code51 28 minutes ago||
You can enjoy the beauty of nature, especially mathematics, if you're alive and well enough to focus.
Zsfe510asG 53 minutes ago||
Yes, we'll have free health care, boomers will rent their apartments for $100, everyone will have UBI and a Tesla with a warp drive that travels to the terraformed Mars.

Hayek and Friedman predicted it!

mkckto 31 minutes ago||
Without knowing anything about the specifics of the conjectures that are falling, I wonder if this affair highlights an issue with the quality of the "open conjectures" that are out there.

There are a lot of reasons you might make a conjecture. Perhaps you are motivated by a search for structure: "We suspect that these objects behave like this, therefore we naturally imagine that...". But you might make a conjecture out of empirical evidence: "We checked 1 million examples, time to make a conjecture." While empiricism has its place in mathematics, it might not be the best motivation for a conjecture. As Bishop said, "Do not ask whether a statement is true until you know what it means." If you pose a conjecture based on empirical evidence, perhaps you should be thinking more about why you would imagine your statement be true in the first place.

I know some will think that this rings of goalpost moving, but when I hear about all these counterexamples spelling the end of mathematics as we know it, I just wonder how strong those conjectures really were in the first place. Again, I haven't actually dug into the specifics of any of the results so admittedly I could be totally off base, but I do know that not all conjectures are created equal.

yaqubroli 3 hours ago||
> “Even if AI can prove theorems and theory-craft more efficiently than humans, and even if these proofs and theories are beautiful and interesting, and even if they are presented with elegance and clarity of thought, mathematicians will still have a place in the appraisal, presentation, understanding and appreciation of this new abundance of pleasing non-human proofs. We can still practice mathematics, learn mathematics, teach mathematics and do mathematics together.”

I am not a mathematician, but this seems like an entirely non-problematic answer to me. Mathematics is ultimately the discovery of relations and their consequences, so of course large language models were eventually going to catch up. But precisely what they do lack is ability to appreciate these relations.

The author says mathematics is a spiritual pursuit.[1] I have asked LLMs about theological topics before and they have also been able to produce perfectly cogent answers (even heavy questions like “how did Aquinas view Pseudo-Dionysius’ negation-laden description of God”). I am not the least bit shaken by this, because it is still on me to evaluate and understand, and appreciate these answers.[2] The author seems to think LLM’s pattern recognition makes redundant human understanding and appreciation, which is a logical leap that doesn’t make sense to me. Maybe the author is conflating utility and purpose? I feel bad, and hope the author takes care of themself, but I really think the author is taking a massive leap here. It is not that deep.

[1] I begrudgingly agree, but with the caveat that tending to a vegetable garden in your backyard is also a spiritual pursuit. Mathematics isn’t some special discipline that elevates you beyond other people, as much as it is useful and interesting.

[2] I of course wouldn’t consult an LLM if I actually wanted to educate myself or reason about these topics. Not only do I want to reason through them myself, but when it comes to issues in philosophy/theology/heavy stuff, you need to take in to account the perspective and experiences of the human writing them. LLMs muddle everyone’s perspective together.

halperter 2 hours ago||
I think what people find "spiritual" about mathematics is the process, with its creativity and brilliance, ratjer than the final answer. I'd also think it's rather incomparable to a vegetable garden as the amount of effort required and complexity, which drive "spirituality", are of much grander scales. The author believes that llms make mathematics so trivial that mathematicians will no longer be the ones proving but the ones teaching and commentating, taking the "fun" part away in service of money. People will still do what they wabt to do, but one can no longer get by by indulging in what they like to do (math).
joe_the_user 38 minutes ago||
I begrudgingly agree, but with the caveat that tending to a vegetable garden in your backyard is also a spiritual pursuit. Mathematics isn’t some special discipline that elevates you beyond other people, as much as it is useful and interesting.

The thing is, if someone had the option to press a button and cause their garden to be weeded and growing perfectly, if most gardeners were using that button instead of growing normally, maybe some people would keep gardening for the spiritual part but they'd certainly feel like the rug had been pulled out from under them.

Edit: As another example, Robert Pirsig in his famous book described motorcycle maintinence as a spiritual enterprise. However, the quality that gave it this was the patience required-for and the uncertainty involved-in the enterprise. And again, if all you have to do is press a button, the spiritual part kind of goes away.

singpolyma3 10 minutes ago||
Except agricultural automation does exist. And people do choose to do it by hand because... It's a hobby and efficiency isn't the point
tptacek 3 hours ago||
One way to differentiate between an art or a craft and a science is that if a genie appeared and offered to trivialize all the discovery work of your career and simply give you the answers today, and you'd say "no", you're probably not doing science.
lioeters 25 minutes ago||
Not even wrong. Real scientists say "yes" to the genie with all the answers? And artists and crafts people don't? The entire statement is nonsense, and offers no insight into art or science. It's almost like a language model generated a plausible sentence that is grammatically correct but has no relation to the real world.

Perhaps if the analogy was between science and engineering.. A plumber would say "yes" to the genie that solves the problem immediately, if he/she got paid for the work instead of the genie (or the corporation providing the genie service). In that case the plumber is redundant and unnecessary, the customer can just ask the genie directly. A scientist would say "no" because the whole point of science is the knowledge and understanding, which is gained by the process of discovery and not given on a silver platter.

srcreigh 2 hours ago|||
An impressive number of things don’t make sense about this thought experiment. Whatever the genie says wouldn’t have much to do with the life you live afterwards, since your life changes after hearing the info. One persons careers worth of discovery work is not that much. A lot of work is dependent on the state of the world and can’t be moved into the past, even language changes. Someone could still do a craft or science or whatever afterwards— assuming life continues to have surprising complexity, the genie could only ever just scratch the surface.
jckt 2 hours ago|||
Disregarding the competing definitions of “science”, a significant value in mathematical work is “the journey”. The truth or falsehood of individual results are rarely as important as the machinery developed to deliver it. If all the genie did was tell you something was true or false, the only learning you gain is to backtrack and develop the machinery yourself. To a certain extent this is true of the other sciences too.
breezybottom 31 minutes ago|||
Not from a logical positivist perspective, which is why you conveniently disregarded "competing views".
boinkboink78912 2 hours ago|||
This is a genie that does far more than tell you whether something is true or false though.
loose-cannon 37 minutes ago|||
there's a human element in discovery and in problem solving. Whether or not somebody chooses to sidestep work isn't necessarily an indication that the work isn't science. It's just an indication that some people are passionate and invested in performing the work.
coffepot77 57 minutes ago|||
Persian Curse seems to apply here

“May your every desire be immediately fulfilled.”

blueflow 37 minutes ago|||
math never was a science to begin with.
joe_the_user 53 minutes ago||
The only "fields" where a genie appearing and doing all your work for you are fields (jobs) where you only about the money at the end. There are some fields where a serious practitioner might be happy to have a genie do all the "grunt work" (though what people that is varies - I'm not sure what "discovery work" means here but it doesn't matter since present AI promises to do everything in the future if not now).

And this analogy breaks down further given that both the real now genie and the hypothetically more powerful genie of the future would each work for your (ex) employer.

oytis 19 minutes ago||
Wouldn't it be great if we had a cure for cancer, working fusion energy or at least a proof for P vs NP even if no human had a joy of discovering it?
singpolyma3 15 minutes ago||
> Mathematicians are paid to prove theorems

lol who is paying for this? Mathematicians are generally paid to do other things and get to do this kind of work as a side effect.

bonoboTP 9 minutes ago||
In academia they are paid to produce papers (and get some chores done like teaching), hopefully ones that can result in bombastic press releases, or winning awards.

On a more abstract level they are paid to bring funding and prestige to the university, but that often goes through the route of papers. And papers often involve proving theorems.

superjan 9 minutes ago||
[delayed]
ngriffiths 2 hours ago||
> For me, the affective quality of learning mathematics is empathetically tethered to an act of discovery and creation. It is social. We are conversant with another mathematician—perhaps long dead. If we follow the chain of communication we arrive at a mathematician who enjoyed some original discovery. Human mathematics is Talmudic. It is a lively discourse of philosophical and religious richness spanning thousands of years.

This is really beautiful. And no matter what happens, two things have to be true: some form of lively philosophic and religious richness will keep being a core part of our history and will touch every person in some way; and it will change enormously over time (maybe with math continuing to be a small part, maybe not).

There is a part of math that is like that. There's also another part (as Vladimir Arnold provocatively said):

> All mathematics is divided into three parts: cryptography (paid for by CIA, KGB and the like) hydrodynamics (supported by manufacturers of atomic submarines) celestial mechanics (financed by military and other institutions dealing with missiles, such as NASA).

> Cryptography has generated number theory, algebraic geometry over finite fields, algebra, combinatorics and computers.

> Hydrodynamics procreated complex analysis, partial differential equations, Lie groups and algebra theory, cohomology theory and scientific computing.

> Celestial mechanics is the origin of dynamical systems, linear algebra, topology, variational calculus and symplectic geometry.

Those parts can just be delegated to AI the same way they used to be delegated to mathematicians. But Arnold continued:

> The existence of mysterious relations between all these different domains is the most striking and delightful feature of mathematics (having no rational explanation).

ozgrakkurt 1 hour ago||
> It is a lively discourse of philosophical and religious richness

This is pretty funny considering how trashy it is compared to philosophy

smitty1e 2 hours ago||
I guess I don't follow admitting to a religious dimension in mathematics, and then eschewing the religious answer to the existential problem cited: prayer.

"Lord, this situation bites."

Potential reply: "Tell me about it."

drivebyhooting 3 hours ago|
Well for me the twilight had already come when I realized I’d never amount to a decent mathematician. Maybe this is rather a common experience?

LLMs just democratized that process.

joshdavham 39 minutes ago|
What made you realize you'd never amount to a decent mathematician?

For me, it was a course in Real Analysis haha

drivebyhooting 13 minutes ago||
Graduate complex analysis. I couldn’t do any of the homework problems without a study group.
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