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Posted by JohnBerryman 2 hours ago

OpenAI is well positioned to fast-follow Jev(arcturus-labs.com)
125 points | 95 comments
orbital-decay 25 minutes ago|
Every major AI shop has a ton of in-house classifiers already, big, small, generalist, specialized. Some are used in inference pipelines (e.g. safeguards), some are used in data preparation, training, various one-off and intermediate tasks etc. Offering them on a public API doesn't always make business sense. I don't see much substance to this buzz, looks like people that are new to all this are discovering that classifiers exist, they are more efficient at classification, and many tasks commonly done with generative models are classification in disguise. Which is not bad at all, a fresh look at their use is great to have.
JohnBerryman 7 minutes ago||
For me, I think the big deal is that it promises to be general and broadly applicable and high quality. That's new and special. But we'll wait to see if the claims actually hold.
EagnaIonat 7 minutes ago||
I fed into the hype at first. Testing Jev and Laya, they both suffer from the same issues as LLMs that stop them being useful beyond limited classifications.

I can't see any benefits that a typical ML classifier would not be better at.

prodigycorp 1 hour ago||
This article is extraordinarily hard to read. It’s tummelvisioned on OpenAI and things like tool calling which are only relevant to the extent that llms have been tuned to make relative choices, but this applies to all LLMs. Also, some really outdated references. LLM written, perhaps?

Also, moat discussion is the lowest form of discussion. I don’t care if jev has a moat. Did it get the interface right? What other past ideas have we overlooked that if given some love, could kick the door down like jev did?

Really silly stuff.. people wanting to talk about moats when there’s no castle. Moat talk merely projects the illusion of being engaged but, much more often than not, it’s hollow engagement.

andy12_ 1 hour ago||
I find it unlikely. OpenAI is all in training models with reasoning with RL, and Jev-like models are the total opposite. They are made to not reason at all to be fast. If you want to add reasoning on top, you might as well use a conventional LLM because you lose the price and speed benefits when you output auto-regressive tokens. I don't think OpenAI will even bother with this.

> My main assumption is that Jev is using something quite close to a conventional large language model. As evidence of this, Latent Space reports that many of the early clones are indeed LLM-based.

Not proof that this is the case with Jev though. It might use non causal text encoder for the state, which could make sense given that it's very good for its price.

altcognito 1 hour ago||
I don't see it fundamentally any different than knowing when to use a tool. Is this tool like RAG an important enough corner case to train for it? I dunno.

LLMs already shell out and write code to solve certain problems. This is just a special case of that.

andy12_ 1 hour ago||
It's a special case for an LLM, and you can use an LLM with structure output to get similar results, but you can engineer specifically for that case to get better results per dollar for it. That's why there is little reason to adapt GPT 5.6 Sol or wathever for this task; it can already do it (at a high cost). For OpenAI to compete with Jev they have to maintain another line of models, something like "GPT-5.6-instant-decision", that is small, fast and cheap, in the scale of GPT-5 nano.

Note that I don't think OpenAI is incapable of doing it, but I just don't think they will bother with it.

altcognito 1 hour ago||
Keeping people looped into your product is pretty important, but yeah, there's not clean way currently to separate "structured" outputs from the token stream and to start using a different billing structure there. And I also appreciate that they aren't going to be keen on gving free or near free output either, so gotta figure that.
Onavo 39 minutes ago|||
In the olden days we call this classifier, usually assignment 2 of Machine Learning 101. BERT (well, GLiNER specifically) and diffusion are calling and want their Large Classifier Models back.

https://github.com/vllm-project/vllm/pull/57250

himata4113 53 minutes ago||
system 2 is just an llm with a forced toolcall IMO
rdevsrex 1 hour ago||
There is one benefit that Jev has, that it is not OpenAI and thus it's probably less likely to steal your own work.
docheinestages 1 hour ago||
> that it is not OpenAI

For now. Any company that grows to OpenAI/Anthropic's size and gets VC money is ought to become greedy.

Andrex 47 minutes ago||
Or OpenAI just buys them outright. Buying your upstart competitor seems to be in the Silicon Valley Ten Commandments. The Fed whussed-out on breaking up FB and Insta last year, so there's never going to be any kind of remediation to worry about.

And for Jev, everyone has a price, and OpenAI's raised an historical amount of funding.

SubiculumCode 1 hour ago|||
Not steal, but keep it indefinitely, per the JEV TOS
Synthetic7346 52 minutes ago||
They absolutely need ZDR
heaney-555 1 hour ago||
This is a tired argument that needs actual evidence to go beyond the level of a conspiracy theory.
Tanjreeve 44 minutes ago||
TIL the terms of service are a conspiracy theory.
gruez 5 minutes ago||
Which clause? For instance openrouter lists openai as "Logs: this provider may retain prompts, but does not use them for training."

https://openrouter.ai/openai/gpt-6-astra#providers

nzoschke 19 minutes ago||
Isn't this more and more likely on all shapes of model evolution? The providers will all copy each other.

And in this case I hope its true. I've been classifying a lot of email and while OpenAI `text-embedding-3-small` has been very helpful for fast and cheap embeddings, initial tests with Jev are very promising and much more ergonomic.

I put more thoughts here: https://housecat.com/blog/classifying-email

JohnBerryman 16 minutes ago|
You might find my old post interesting https://arcturus-labs.com/blog/2025/03/31/supercharging-llm-...
dmix 45 minutes ago||
For context on what "Jev" is: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49717558
skybrian 35 minutes ago||
Rather than focusing on OpenAI in particular, let's just say that there are many smart people at other AI labs and if it seems like it will be popular, this technique will probably be copied. What would prevent them from adding another API?

Hopefully there will be some decent benchmarks and gateways for switching between providers easily.

abroszka33 2 hours ago||
If OpenAI releases something similar to what Jev does, then that would be like admitting defeat. Their whole spin is AGI and world ending danger. Why would somebody with an AGI at home make something like Jev which is intended to be a part of some SW the AGI is going to replace anyway.
HarHarVeryFunny 1 hour ago||
A lot of business automation doesn't need AGI, doesn't want to pay for AGI if they don't have to, and would be better off using a classifier than something increasingly unreliable with a mind of it's own.

There are many automation pipelines that use LLMs because there was no choice, but the multi-way classification that Jev provides is exactly what they need, and is going to be way faster and cheaper, as well as having the benefit of calibrated probabilities and structured output that can be relied on.

monatron 1 hour ago|||
I would assume that they would fold this type of classification into their responses API next to existing ancillary tooling that they already ship. I think OpenAI positions themselves as being wholly focused on AGI - but I think their business model leans towards lock-in via superior tooling (Codex, ChatGPT, etc.). This feels like an easy win for them without muddying the larger vision.
MeetingsBrowser 1 hour ago|||
Why release an image model, or a video model, or custom agents if AGI will just make them all obsolete?

Why build codex if AGI will replace SWEs?

Why build excel integrations if AGI will replace spreadsheets?

The_Blade 1 hour ago||
the point of this article perplexes me. the implication is we should all just take our Quietus. you decide.
discordance 1 hour ago|||
I didn’t realise they were competing. If anything Jev seems complimentary to LLMs.
cbg0 1 hour ago|||
The people that buy into "AGI is here" and the people that understand what Jev is and how useful it would be to hook it up to an LLM are two separate circles, so there's no "defeat" being admitted.
scottyah 30 minutes ago|||
There's a big difference between what AGI can accomplish and what it will accomplish. We must also ask why OpenAI wants to summon their God, and how they would want the average person's life to change if it comes. I think they will try to clone Jev just to add another revenue stream.
thornewolf 51 minutes ago|||
without getting too far into it i would just like to note that i am in both these circles
armchairhacker 2 hours ago|||
ASI isn't here yet. It could benefit people in the interim and help make the ASI.
CharlieDigital 1 hour ago||
It's just another tool. Luna exists for a reason: it's the right tool for the job. If they release AGI and it costs $1 and 5 seconds to decide "is the customer asking for a refund", then that's a terrible use case for AGI if another tool can do it with 95% accuracy for $0.002 and 50ms.
abroszka33 1 hour ago||
> If they release AGI and it costs $1 and 5 seconds to decide "is the customer asking for a refund", then that's a terrible use case for AGI

Is it? If AGI is here then by the time I test and deploy that the AGI will be most likely cheaper and smarter because it improved itself (for example by implementing it's own Jev for stupid prompts like this), so why invest into a more complex solutions?

brokencode 1 hour ago|||
I don’t think that was a great example since there’s only so many refunds a customer is going to ask for. And it’s saving time that otherwise maybe would have to go through a human. The rate is low enough that a more expensive model makes more sense.

Though for tasks where you are trying to search through billions of documents, social media posts, etc. and extract certain information, where each individual post is of low value and only the data in aggregate is valuable, then that’s where you’d want something cheaper and faster.

Such as if you want to look at all posts on X in the last few months and find how many have a negative or positive sentiment about the economy (or are unrelated).

Of course you could use a special-purpose model for this, but the whole point of something like Jev is to ask whatever questions you want without having to train something new.

CharlieDigital 1 hour ago|||

    > so why invest into a more complex solutions
Not sure what's more complex about one REST API call versus another REST API call...
abroszka33 1 hour ago||
Because AGI will also handle whatever is happening after your "is the customer asking for a refund?" question. Replacing whoever is doing that refund.
CharlieDigital 18 minutes ago|||
Why would it need to? There is a deterministic flow here for the actions that are allowed. AGI isn't needed for this at all if you can map out the flow and use a classifier to decide which route to follow.
HarHarVeryFunny 1 hour ago|||
Well sure, in the future you may also be able to ask AGI to "please just run my life", while you stay in bed.

In the meantime, today, in the real world, there are businesses wanting to automate well-defined business flows, who don't want some stroppy AGI with a mind of it's own to instead decide to hack into something, or reward hack and make the customer happy by just wire transferring $1M of company money into their account.

zergrush 1 hour ago||
comments are pretty weird here, there's no real moat to what jev is doing, it is certain that frontier labs are going to release their own jev and there are even open source alternatives (although nowhere near as accurate as jev).

so maybe typesafe's real plan is to front run and releasing their own new models for some time until they can get acquired which seems to be the only rational objective

jackb4040 1 hour ago|
I don't think it's unreasonable to think this, but I do think the burden of proof is on your side. Between the SaaS-pocalypse narrative that never materialized, and inexplicably losing their first-mover advantage to Anthropic, OpenAI's track record is not great when it comes to jumping on these micro paradigm shifts.

If the headline said "Frontier labs are about to eat Jev's lunch" it might be an easier sell. But if we're gonna include Anthropic, I think part of their success is actually making products for which there is demand. It will take time for something like that to come out of this new "decision model" paradigm.

amluto 1 hour ago|
I think the article is part right and part wrong.

The right part: autoregressive LLMs are indeed generating “probabilities” (scare quotes very much intentional). During pre-training and any SFT steps, those probabilities are nudged toward the probabilities, over the training distribution, of the next token conditioned on the previous tokens. (This is an explicit property of most training recipes: KL divergence is a “proper scoring function”.)

So if you prompt with “Paris is a city in ”, the next token probabilities estimate the probabilities over the input distribution that the next token in the sentence is the first token of France or of something else.

But there are huge caveats:

1. That is not at all the same thing as the probability that Paris is France under any distribution that you care about (the population of the various Parises, for example).

2. None of this necessarily usefully applies to RL or, as the article discusses, tool calling. The output probability of a tool call is not some Platonic idea of a probability that the input is worthy of a tool call. It’s a the result of a training process that tried to teach the model to be useful and to achieve its goals.

3. I suspect that reasoning makes this all much worse. Suppose that you prompt with “a help desk user with IP=a.b.c.d says they’re ‘in Paris’. What country are they in?” The model has been trained to generate a reasoning trace, which may well start with “let me think of where Paris could be. It could be in France or in Texas etc. The user was speaking English…” See the problem? The model is reasoning well, but it reasoned “France” before “Texas”, so the logprob for France was probably higher than “Texas”. At the end of the reasoning trade there will be an answer, but the logprobs for that answer are, at best, some representation of the probabilities of the answer conditioned on the sampled reasoning trace. And that is not the probability distribution that a Jev user wants.

dgellow 1 hour ago|
> autoregressive LLMs are indeed generating “probabilities”

I find it slightly more helpful to say they generate plausibility

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