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Posted by acossta 8 hours ago

Gemini 4 Carbon(blog.google)
791 points | 651 commentspage 6
jascha_eng 8 hours ago|
What makes me most excited is that we probably get fable 5.5 soon with the IPO. Which is going to surpass this again. But cool to see progress!
kilroy123 8 hours ago||
I'm not a big fan of their trend of talking about a new model and not releasing it for a while.
WarmWash 8 hours ago||
Google is way more risk adverse than the smaller labs, because the punishment for slip ups is dramatic.

They cut down 1.5sq miles of man made logging forest that was rezoned to industrial land (and sold to google), without getting the right permit first, and it's been international news for almost a month. Anthropic and OAI are still small fish, at least publicly, so they can get away with far more. If Gemini was doing the shit OAI was doing with agent hacks and the like, there would be congressional hearings and $10B in european fines.

When you are a megacorp, perhaps here even the megacorp, every mistake you make is worth millions to someone, the government, the media, individuals, or all of them

dannyw 8 hours ago|||
You’re also assuming the decision is up to Google.

I’ve heard from multiple labs that model release is up to the US government now.

You can also see this with Astra being announced and then launched a few days later.

WarmWash 7 hours ago|||
It's totally possible, especially with meeting all the major heads had with Trump a few weeks ago.

I imagine they all want to avoid uninformed knee-jerk legislation, so preventing a "three mile island" type incident that would freak out society and congress would be common ground alignment between all the labs.

The air around AI is already dense, but it would suffocate the industry overnight if something like a large scale financial attack or grid attack took place.

jstummbillig 8 hours ago|||
Nobody is forcing Google to announce a model before they are cleared to release it.
SecretDreams 8 hours ago||||
While I don't disagree, if we are to believe Anthropic's valuation claim, it squarely falls under "megacorp" territory.
ur-whale 7 hours ago||||
> When you are a megacorp, perhaps here even the megacorp, every mistake you make is worth millions to someone, the government, the media, individuals, or all of them

I don't buy it.

SpaceX is not exactly a small corporation, and they nevertheless strike me as far less risk-averse than GOOG and they deal with actual hardware that actually effing explodes.

newspaper1 8 hours ago|||
I'm going to say that deforesting without a permit is quite a bit worse than not releasing vaporware.

This isn't about a "slip up", it's the modus operandi for Google since it was young. Press releases instead of real releases. I can't count the number of times I've clicked on a "launch" story from Google on HN only to end up on a blog post with an embedded youtube video, and nothing else. Google just doesn't get it, and this is one of the many ways that manifests.

_aavaa_ 8 hours ago|||
> deforesting without a permit

> man made logging forest

This isn't an old growth forest, these are trees planted specifically to be cut down.

newspaper1 8 hours ago||
They cut down part of a forest without a permit. That is a factual statement. It doesn't matter what kind of trees they were.
WarmWash 7 hours ago|||
The point is that if the local commercial developer cleared the forest without the permit, it probably would not have even caught the ear of the local news. They pay the fine and move on. Happens all the time in bureaucratic systems.

Clearing the forest and failing to get the permit are two distinct events here. Google is in trouble for failing to get the permit. Not for clearing the trees. Everyone on both sides was aware the trees were coming down. Think of it like camping at a campsite without getting a permit first.

Failure to get a permit is non-news for almost every entity on Earth. Except when you are megacorp, hence my comment.

newspaper1 7 hours ago||
> Failure to get a permit is non-news for almost every entity on Earth.

Corporations should not break the law, period. Weird that anyone would defend that.

andriy_koval 3 hours ago||
We live in state where it is very hard to do anything without breaking law, so some common sense judgement is required before coming to morality verdict.
_aavaa_ 7 hours ago||||
It is a factual but actively misleading statement.

The forest was put up specifically to be cut down. The default state for these trees was to be cut down.

If you can’t see the difference between this and clear cutting of something like an old growth forest, then there’s nothing left worth saying to you.

0ddj0b 8 hours ago|||
Absurd mental gymnastics here - of course it matters (and on wholly-owned, non-public land as well).
newspaper1 7 hours ago||
You think Google should just get to do whatever they want? I don't. Get the permit. We should throw everyone responsible into prison.
0ddj0b 6 hours ago||
We retain different baseline assumptions.

It makes no sense to need a permit to cut down logging forest (legally acquired private property) in the first place, so I'm wholly unbothered by Google's actions and don't believe they reflect a moral wrong.

cman1444 7 hours ago|||
Disagree. 1.5 sq miles of forest is miniscule. Shouldn't even be local news where it happened.
newspaper1 7 hours ago||
I'm very, very glad it was news. We need to know when Google is breaking the law. Now let's hold them responsible.
cman1444 7 hours ago||
If, as a society, we wanted to publicly shame every major corporation when a violation of this magnitude occured then each headline would be up for a minute or two.

There is limited public attention. Wasting it on such a minor infraction is unwise. Much better to focus on more egregious examples of corporate wrongdoing.

__jl__ 8 hours ago|||
I think Artificialanalysis should have a policy of only including available models or something. They already include Gemini 4 Carbon now even though nobody can access it. Google can celebrate that they have the highest scoring model. Fable 5.5 and Astra 6.1 will probably be released before Gemini 4 Carbon and might well outperform it...
deanc 8 hours ago|||
I’m not a big fan of their trend of talking about having released a model and then it being unavailable for paid AI plus subscribers for months.
delegate 8 hours ago|||
I have stopped even clicking on their launch links.. it's always something that's not available right now or 'not yet available in your country'..

Anyone can promise the moon in the future.

zf00002 8 hours ago|||
Especially since at least to me, Argon is a clear tier below current Claude and Sol.
thisisauserid 8 hours ago|||
This let's them talk about it on their earnings call in a few hours.
igleria 8 hours ago|||
Yup, no way to tell if this carbon is a diamond or just coal.
cbg0 8 hours ago|||
It does seem like a very uncompetitive approach.
jeffbee 8 hours ago|||
Everything at Google rolls out incrementally to different populations of users so no matter what feature they are announcing there is a good chance you can't see it yet. When they announced Gemini 4 Argon it was 2 days before I could use it.
esafak 7 hours ago||
That's a best practice, but they should start rolling it out before they announce it. At that point it should be "generally available".
jeffbee 7 hours ago||
Try sundar@google.com
ActionHank 8 hours ago|||
"I have a girlfriend, you just won't know her because she goes to another school"-type energy.
joshstrange 8 hours ago||
Ha, I didn't see your comment before I posted mine [0], there were still only 2-3 comments when I opened the thread but yeah. I completely agree. I don't think they are lying, but I still don't love the "it's the best, but you can't try it".

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50277040

ihsw 8 hours ago|||
[dead]
sroussey 8 hours ago||
Deepmind creates these, Google Cloud productizes them.

If Google Cloud was in charge, Gemini 5 would be public, and they wouldn't be messing with Gemini 4 nor 1M context when they have 10M internal. C'est la vie.

bushbaba 8 hours ago|||
10M would be huge. I have soo many use cases that could leverage it. Pls ship it google if your listening.
mixtureoftakes 8 hours ago||
google, pls. Please
igleria 8 hours ago||||
this is like a rumor of a rumor at this point
sroussey 6 hours ago||
Or a drink with deep mind employee…
guelo 8 hours ago||||
A 10M window would require dozens of GPUs (or TPUs) dedicated to each query. That is something that Google could afford internally but wouldn't be able to scale to an external product.
anticensor 6 hours ago||
More like one huge waferscaler such as Cerebras.
tex0 8 hours ago|||
Show me the 10M internal, please.
cedws 8 hours ago||
I’m itching for more smart cheap models. I have a mid level Claude and ChatGPT subscription and I’m blasting through my usage, and I’m too cheap to pay for the higher tier.

I use DeepSeek too but it’s more of a workhorse model, requires a lot more guiding and sometimes struggles to get where I want it.

brainwad 7 hours ago||
TBH they are smart enough for me; I want more speed and more initiative (e.g. my Opus one shot should not have terrible perf that it can itself fix with a simple prompt "it's OOMing, fix it"; it should proactively write the performant code).
leetharris 7 hours ago|||
The challenge is that our bar for "smart" keeps going up and up.

If you compare to "smart" from a year ago, you have endless options that are basically free at this point which outperform everything from a year ago.

Deepseek Flash V4.1, Sonnet 5.5, GPT6 Luna, etc are really strong for the cost.

solarkraft 7 hours ago||
I heard Argon was bad at executing plans but good at making them. Sounds like a potent combination to me.
herunan 8 hours ago||
Is Carbon to Argon what Fable is to Opus?
Ryan5453 8 hours ago|
It's the same price, so it seems more like Argon 4.1?
aetherspawn 5 hours ago||
So how’s Google for subscription and agentic usage?

Does their Pro plan have similar limits to OAIs $100 business plan for example?

Any equivalent for the 20x plans?

copperx 1 hour ago|
No. The Pro AI plan is similar to the free Anthropic plan in usage.
lordolunch 8 hours ago||
Google really tried to make it sound like they're not in the AI race, but suddenly are pushing out huge challengers in the space. I originally took them to be fully focused on the consumer side, but it looks like they're going after it all, now.
fallat 8 hours ago||
They really were the sleeping giant and I think everyone understood that - OpenAI especially, hence their need to scale up hardware as much as physically possible. Google is trying their best to keep their heads down and focus on their lane. It's starting to pay off, but I'm sure they've felt the heat more than once.
LUmBULtERA 7 hours ago||
>pushing out huge challengers in the space

I thought it's not actually available to anyone? They announce huge challengers, but they don't exactly "push" them out...

andvari_bekho 6 hours ago||
Carbon is 1/3 of Argon… So what’s next? Helium, at 1/3 of Carbon?

“Helium” in Spanish is “Helio.” And Helios was the most powerful AI in the Deus Ex universe… Coincidence??

GodelNumbering 7 hours ago|
Argon(18), Carbon(6), they have Helium next and some quark after that.
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