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Posted by voxleone 12 hours ago

Doomsday: Friday, 13 November, A.D. 2026 (1960)(www.science.org)
433 points | 301 commentspage 2
peterhull90 11 hours ago|
The lead author did some interesting work: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heinz_von_Foerster . I enjoyed this paper, it starts serious then goes a bit tongue-in-cheek (at least I interpret it like that). It would interesting to plot data from 1960 to now on their Figure 1 to see where the model diverges.
KellyCriterion 10 hours ago||
Year of publishing is 1960:

interesting, that even in 1960 some were thinking about that "there may be a fixed date of end of the world" - usually you would think those thoughts are exclusive to whatever religion, no: This 66 years ago, a time when there was already enough scientific breakthrough to reflect wisely on the idea of "a fixed end date for end of world"

:)

patall 10 hours ago||
You may not be wrong but the authors were just picking an example in the headline. In the analysis they calculate t0 as 2026.87 plus/minus 5.50 years. They clearly state what assumptions that is based on do not take it as absolute fact but as providing thought for discussion.
herculity275 9 hours ago|||
Highly recommend "When We Cease to Understand the World" by Labatut, a lot of it concerns the different strains of apocalyptic thinking among the early 20th century scientists.
ketzu 10 hours ago||
> even in 1960 some were thinking about that "there may be a fixed date of end of the world"

I think this can be taken 2 ways.

1) This is more an instance of "see clickbait was a thing in 1960"

2) There have always been and will always be people that believe that. See 2012 or a random person on the Las Vegas strip preaching it.

m000 8 hours ago||
Genuine question: Is the displayed document the original typesetting, or a later reproduction?
cubefox 8 hours ago|
Original of course.
patrickmay 10 hours ago||
Stein's Law: If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.
eigenform 10 hours ago||
Apparently today would've also been his 115th birthday! I sometimes wonder what he would have thought about (*gesturing broadly at everything*) all this.
dnlgrmm 10 hours ago|
I enjoyed the tongue-in-cheek, dry writing style of the paper already. The fact that he chose his own birthday as doomsday shows even more that he had a great sense of humor.
trusche 11 hours ago||
Wrong premise, but otherwise feels about right.
blackoil 10 hours ago||
Wow pretty accurate, off by about a month only. It is 17th December.
programjames 7 hours ago|
Where did the date December 17th come from?
blackoil 4 hours ago||
Avengers: Doomsday release date :|
puelocesar 8 hours ago||
Somehow I feel Marvel lost an opportunity here
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